Everton v Luton — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 30 September 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324
Premier League
xG
Shots
23 – 9
On target
4 – 2
Shots in box
16 – 8
xG per shot
0.18 – 0.17
Set-piece xG
2.17 – 1.38
Goals − xG
-3.17 – +0.45
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Everton 4.17 xGLuton 1.55 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Everton attacking right
Luton attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2' |
 Everton |
Dwight McNeil | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 4' |
Everton |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0.44 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Vitalii Mykolenko |
| 5' |
 Luton |
Marvelous Nakamba | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 9' |
Everton |
James Garner | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Abdoulaye Doucouré |
| 11' |
Everton |
Idrissa Gueye | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Abdoulaye Doucouré |
| 14' |
Everton |
Amadou Onana | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Vitalii Mykolenko |
| 19' |
Luton |
Tom Lockyer | 0.29 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 22' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Blocked Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 23' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.05 | From Corner | — | Shot On Post | Alfie Doughty |
| 23' |
Luton |
Tom Lockyer | 0.77 | From Corner | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 28' |
Everton |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0.09 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Dwight McNeil |
| 30' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.20 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Goal | Alfie Doughty |
| 33' |
Luton |
Carlton Morris | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Marvelous Nakamba |
| 36' |
Everton |
James Garner | 0.56 | Open Play | — | Shot On Post | Dwight McNeil |
| 39' |
Everton |
Amadou Onana | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Ashley Young |
| 39' |
Everton |
James Garner | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Abdoulaye Doucouré |
| 40' |
Everton |
Abdoulaye Doucouré | 0.55 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 40' |
Everton |
Amadou Onana | 0.59 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Saved Shot | James Garner |
| 40' |
Everton |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0.94 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 45' |
Everton |
James Garner | 0.03 | Set Piece | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 50' |
Everton |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Amadou Onana |
| 50' |
Luton |
Chiedozie Ogbene | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 51' |
Luton |
Mads Andersen | 0.07 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Alfie Doughty |
| 59' |
Everton |
Dwight McNeil | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Vitalii Mykolenko |
| 61' |
Everton |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | James Tarkowski |
| 68' |
Everton |
Beto | 0.31 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jack Harrison |
| 71' |
Everton |
Ashley Young | 0.01 | From Corner | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 71' |
Everton |
Dwight McNeil | 0.05 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Beto |
| 74' |
Everton |
Beto | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | — |
| 76' |
Everton |
Beto | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | James Garner |
| 85' |
Everton |
Beto | 0.08 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | James Garner |
| 91' |
Everton |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | James Tarkowski |
Players
Luton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiedozie Ogbene AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Marvelous Nakamba MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Issa Kabore DMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Thomas Kaminski GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Jacob Brown AMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Amari'i Bell DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alfie Doughty DML | 89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.09 |
| Carlton Morris FW | 84 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Tom Lockyer DC | 62 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Reece Burke DC | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mads Andersen Sub | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Teden Mengi Sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Elijah Adebayo Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cauley Woodrow Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Everton
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| James Garner MR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.70 | 0.77 | 1.15 |
| Amadou Onana MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.02 | 0.99 |
| Dwight McNeil ML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.65 | 1.20 |
| James Tarkowski DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| Jarrad Branthwaite DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Jordan Pickford GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Vitalii Mykolenko DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| Ashley Young DR | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.41 |
| Abdoulaye Doucouré AMC | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.55 | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| Idrissa Gueye MC | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Jack Harrison Sub | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| Beto Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.05 | 0.55 |
| Nathan Patterson Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld Sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |