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Eyupspor v Galatasaray — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Eyupspor win
17.8%
model 15.5%
Draw
21.6%
model 22.2%
Galatasaray win
60.5%
model 62.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.4%
  2. 0-2 10.2%
  3. 1-2 9.9%
  4. 0-1 8.7%
  5. 0-3 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.559.4% Under 2.540.6%
BTTS yes55.6% BTTS no44.4%
Eyupspor 1+62.2% Eyupspor 2+25.4%
Galatasaray 1+87.8% Galatasaray 2+62.1%

Expected goals 0.97 – 2.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Galatasaray (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 29%
63.7% fair odds 1.57
strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Eyupspor not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.2% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Galatasaray carry the stronger rating, 1733 Elo against 1442.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Galatasaray have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.8% for Eyupspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.97 for Eyupspor and 2.10 for Galatasaray.

Why Eyupspor

Nothing in the data singles out Eyupspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Galatasaray can win

Galatasaray carry the stronger rating, 1733 Elo against 1442. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eyupspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Galatasaray, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eyupspor: 43% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Galatasaray: 49% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Galatasaray are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 0.97–2.10 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.95–2.26 0-2 10% 62% 56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to win 65.9% 64.8% 28.9% 2.24× 1.54
Draw 20.5% 24.4% 25.9% 0.94× 4.09
Eyupspor to win 13.5% 13.5% 45.4% 0.30× 7.42
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray & not both score 33.7% 29.6% 14.4% 2.05× 3.38
Galatasaray & both teams score 32.2% 29.6% 14.6% 2.03× 3.38
Draw & both teams score 15.5% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.57
Eyupspor & both teams score 8.1% 8.3% 23.1% 0.36× 12.01
Eyupspor & not both score 5.5% 8.3% 22.4% 0.37× 12.02
Draw & not both score 5.0% 4.9% 8.0% 0.61× 20.51
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray & over 1.5 57.7% 54.9% 22.4% 2.45× 1.82
Galatasaray & over 2.5 47.4% 45.0% 18.1% 2.49× 2.22
Galatasaray & under 3.5 36.1% 34.9% 19.6% 1.78× 2.87
Galatasaray & over 3.5 29.8% 26.1% 9.4% 2.77× 3.84
Galatasaray & under 2.5 18.5% 18.0% 10.9% 1.65× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 15.5% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 14.6% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 14.6% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Eyupspor & over 1.5 10.6% 12.8% 36.2% 0.35× 7.79
Eyupspor & over 2.5 8.8% 7.9% 30.3% 0.26× 12.63
Eyupspor & under 3.5 9.4% 7.9% 29.5% 0.27× 12.63
Galatasaray & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 6.6% 1.19× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.9% 7.9% 5.7% 1.38× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 5.7% 1.38× 12.63
Eyupspor & under 2.5 4.7% 4.8% 15.2% 0.32× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 5.0% 4.8% 8.0% 0.60× 20.81
Eyupspor & over 3.5 4.1% 4.8% 16.1% 0.30× 20.81
Eyupspor & under 1.5 2.9% 4.8% 9.3% 0.52× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (1UP) 77.7% 78.7% — — 1.27
Eyupspor (1UP) 32.4% 32.9% — — 3.04
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (2UP) 65.9% 68.1% — — 1.47
Eyupspor (2UP) 13.5% 14.1% — — 7.10
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to win 2nd half 56.6% 61.4% — — 1.63
2nd half drawn 28.9% 26.1% — — 3.83
Eyupspor to win 2nd half 14.5% 11.5% — — 8.67
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.2% 75.7% — — 1.32
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.8% 60.1% — — 1.66
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.2% 39.9% — — 2.51
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.8% 24.3% — — 4.12
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 2nd half 89.7% 88.8% — — 1.13
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 2nd half 58.2% 58.3% — — 1.72
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 2nd half 41.8% 41.7% — — 2.40
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 2nd half 10.3% 11.2% — — 8.93
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (+2.5) 98.8% 96.3% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Galatasaray (+1.5) 95.3% 96.3% 78.5% 1.23× 1.04
Galatasaray (+0.5) 86.5% 88.5% 54.6% 1.62× 1.13
Galatasaray (-0.5) 65.9% 68.7% 28.9% 2.38× 1.46
Eyupspor (+0.5) 34.1% 31.3% 71.1% 0.44× 3.19
Eyupspor (-0.5) 13.5% 11.5% 45.4% 0.25× 8.67
Eyupspor (-1.5) 4.7% 3.7% 21.5% 0.17× 27.01
Eyupspor (-2.5) 1.2% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 27.24
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to concede 61.3% 67.5% 77.8% 0.87× 1.48
Galatasaray clean sheet 38.7% 32.5% 22.2% 1.46× 3.08
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray clean sheet in 1st half 66.5% 71.1% — — 1.41
Galatasaray to concede in 1st half 33.5% 28.9% — — 3.46
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray clean sheet in 2nd half 58.2% 57.7% — — 1.73
Galatasaray to concede in 2nd half 41.8% 42.3% — — 2.36
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray over 2.5 corners 84.6% 81.4% — — 1.23
Galatasaray over 3.5 corners 71.7% 71.6% — — 1.40
Galatasaray under 6.5 corners 69.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Galatasaray over 4.5 corners 57.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Galatasaray under 5.5 corners 57.2% 57.2% — — 1.75
Galatasaray under 4.5 corners 42.9% 42.8% — — 2.33
Galatasaray over 5.5 corners 42.8% 42.8% — — 2.33
Galatasaray over 6.5 corners 30.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Galatasaray under 3.5 corners 28.3% 28.4% — — 3.52
Galatasaray under 2.5 corners 15.4% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray over 0.5 goals 89.5% 87.8% 69.8% 1.26× 1.14
Galatasaray under 3.5 goals 80.8% 81.5% 95.3% 0.85× 1.23
Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 65.9% 68.0% 34.8% 1.96× 1.47
Galatasaray under 2.5 goals 60.8% 63.2% 86.2% 0.73× 1.58
Galatasaray over 2.5 goals 39.2% 36.8% 13.8% 2.66× 2.72
Galatasaray under 1.5 goals 34.1% 32.0% 65.2% 0.49× 3.12
Galatasaray over 3.5 goals 19.2% 18.5% 4.7% 3.93× 5.40
Galatasaray under 0.5 goals 10.5% 12.2% 30.2% 0.40× 8.21
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 1st half 77.1% 76.1% — — 1.31
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 1st half 59.5% 62.1% — — 1.61
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 1st half 40.5% 37.9% — — 2.64
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 1st half 22.9% 23.9% — — 4.19
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray scores more in 2nd half 47.2% 48.2% — — 2.08
Galatasaray scores equally in both 27.8% 26.6% — — 3.75
Galatasaray scores more in 1st half 25.0% 26.5% — — 3.77
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 60.2% 61.9% 36.4% 1.70× 1.62
Eyupspor (away no bet) 39.8% 38.1% 63.6% 0.60× 2.62
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray even goals 50.6% 52.6% 54.5% 0.96× 1.90
Galatasaray odd goals 49.4% 47.4% 45.5% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 78.7% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 21.3% 18.7% — — 5.34
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 73.4% 67.7% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 26.6% 32.3% — — 3.10
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 67.4% 62.5% — — 1.60
Galatasaray to score 2+ in a row 58.4% 55.1% — — 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 32.3% 29.1% — — 3.44
Galatasaray to score 3+ in a row 29.6% 25.1% — — 3.98
Eyupspor to score 2+ in a row 15.7% 16.2% — — 6.18
Eyupspor to score 3+ in a row 3.1% 2.6% — — 38.94
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray corners (+3.5) 96.2% 95.7% — — 1.05
Galatasaray corners (+2.5) 92.9% 89.6% — — 1.12
Galatasaray corners (+1.5) 87.6% 84.5% — — 1.18
Eyupspor corners (+3.5) 65.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Galatasaray corners (-1.5) 58.2% 57.1% — — 1.75
Eyupspor corners (+2.5) 54.0% 52.4% — — 1.91
Galatasaray corners (-2.5) 46.0% 47.6% — — 2.10
Eyupspor corners (+1.5) 41.8% 42.9% — — 2.33
Galatasaray corners (-3.5) 34.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Eyupspor corners (-1.5) 12.4% 15.5% — — 6.45
Eyupspor corners (-2.5) 7.1% 10.4% — — 9.60
Eyupspor corners (-3.5) 3.8% 4.3% — — 23.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 55.6% 46.5% — — 2.15
9-11 corners 27.1% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 17.4% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 88.2% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 82.6% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 75.3% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 66.2% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 56.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 55.6% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 44.4% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 7.5 corners 43.9% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 33.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 10.5 corners 24.7% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 11.5 corners 17.4% 19.3% — — 5.17
Over 12.5 corners 11.8% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-2 10.3% 11.5% 4.4% 2.60× 8.72
1-1 9.6% 7.4% 12.5% 0.59× 13.51
1-2 9.8% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
0-1 8.2% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
0-3 7.8% 7.4% 2.4% 3.14× 13.51
1-3 7.4% 7.4% 2.7% 2.79× 13.51
Any other score 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.51
0-0 5.0% 1.7% 8.0% 0.22× 58.29
0-4 4.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.29
1-0 2.9% 1.7% 9.3% 0.18× 58.30
1-4 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.66× 58.30
2-0 1.8% 1.7% 6.0% 0.28× 58.31
2-1 4.1% 1.7% 9.9% 0.17× 58.30
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 4.6% 0.38× 58.29
2-3 3.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.30
2-4 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 1.94× 58.31
3-0 0.6% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.32
3-1 1.3% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.31
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 3.88× 58.32
4-0 0.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 58.32
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.32
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.33× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 11.64× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (2nd half DNB) 79.6% 80.8% — — 1.24
Eyupspor (2nd half DNB) 20.4% 19.2% — — 5.21
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray leading at HT (DNB) 74.3% 74.4% — — 1.35
Eyupspor leading at HT (DNB) 25.7% 25.6% — — 3.90
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray or draw (X2) 86.5% 86.5% 54.6% 1.58× 1.16
Eyupspor or Galatasaray (12) 79.5% 75.6% 74.1% 1.02× 1.32
Eyupspor or draw (1X) 34.1% 35.2% 71.1% 0.50× 2.84
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray or draw at HT 84.1% 84.0% — — 1.19
Eyupspor or Galatasaray at HT 61.8% 60.9% — — 1.64
Eyupspor or draw at HT 54.1% 47.8% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray or draw (1UP) 86.5% 91.9% — — 1.09
Eyupspor or draw (1UP) 34.1% 39.1% — — 2.56
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray or draw in 2nd half 85.5% 88.5% — — 1.13
Eyupspor or Galatasaray in 2nd half 71.1% 73.9% — — 1.35
Eyupspor or draw in 2nd half 43.4% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 54.9% 50.4% — — 1.98
Neither half drawn 45.1% 49.6% — — 2.02
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (DNB) 83.0% 80.4% 38.9% 2.07× 1.24
Eyupspor (DNB) 17.0% 19.6% 61.1% 0.32× 5.09
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to score first 66.9% 69.6% — — 1.44
Eyupspor to score first 28.1% 27.9% — — 3.59
No goal scored 5.0% 4.4% — — 22.90
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 55.8% 55.0% 55.5% 0.99× 1.82
Not both teams to score 44.2% 45.0% 44.5% 1.01× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 46.2% 44.3% 43.2% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 28.3% 33.3% 33.7% 0.99× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 15.9% 21.5% 10.9% 1.97× 4.65
Both score & under 2.5 9.6% 8.3% 12.5% 0.66× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.8% 82.6% 83.4% 0.99× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 16.2% 17.4% 16.6% 1.04× 5.75
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.7% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.3% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.8% 54.6% — — 1.83
Both score 2nd half only 25.1% 27.1% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 13.9% 10.8% — — 9.26
Both score in both halves 6.2% 6.8% — — 14.72
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.9% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.1% 18.7% — — 5.34
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 62.5% 59.6% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 37.5% 40.4% — — 2.48
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.0% 42.2% 45.7% 0.92× 2.37
4-6 goals 35.4% 35.1% 28.4% 1.23× 2.85
0-1 goals 16.1% 20.2% 23.6% 0.86× 4.95
7+ goals 4.4% 1.8% 2.7% 0.70× 54.08
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to score 3+ 39.2% 35.9% 13.8% 2.60× 2.78
Galatasaray to score exactly 2 26.7% 27.4% 21.1% 1.30× 3.65
Galatasaray to score exactly 1 23.6% 22.3% 35.2% 0.63× 4.49
Galatasaray to score exactly 0 10.5% 12.9% 30.2% 0.43× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to score exactly 0 38.7% 35.6% 22.2% 1.60× 2.81
Eyupspor to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.6% 32.0% 1.11× 2.81
Eyupspor to score exactly 2 17.4% 18.8% 23.9% 0.79× 5.33
Eyupspor to score 3+ 7.1% 10.3% 22.2% 0.46× 9.69
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray leading at HT 45.9% 52.2% — — 1.92
Draw at HT 38.2% 39.1% — — 2.56
Eyupspor leading at HT 15.9% 16.0% — — 6.27
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray -1: 2 43.7% 42.8% — — 2.34
Galatasaray -1: 1 34.1% 30.1% — — 3.33
Galatasaray -1: X 22.2% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (0:1) 86.5% 89.2% 54.6% 1.63× 1.12
Draw (0:1) 8.8% 9.3% 24.0% 0.39× 10.79
Eyupspor (0:1) 4.7% 5.8% 21.5% 0.27× 17.31
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (0:2) 95.3% 94.1% 78.5% 1.20× 1.06
Draw (0:2) 3.5% 3.7% 11.6% 0.32× 26.67
Eyupspor (0:2) 1.2% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 26.81
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (0:3) 98.8% 96.6% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 1.0% 2.4% 6.6% 0.36× 42.19
Eyupspor (0:3) 0.3% 2.4% 3.5% 0.67× 42.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (0:4) 99.8% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Eyupspor (0:4) 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.03× 82.17
Draw (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 2.5% 0.49× 82.15
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (1:0) 43.7% 43.4% 13.1% 3.31× 2.30
Eyupspor (1:0) 34.1% 30.2% 71.1% 0.42× 3.31
Draw (1:0) 22.2% 21.7% 15.9% 1.36× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (2:0) 56.3% 61.9% 86.9% 0.71× 1.62
Galatasaray (2:0) 23.7% 19.2% 5.4% 3.52× 5.22
Draw (2:0) 20.0% 15.9% 7.8% 2.03× 6.30
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.3% 50.1% — — 2.00
1st half highest scoring 25.9% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 23.8% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede 89.5% 85.7% 69.8% 1.23× 1.17
Eyupspor clean sheet 10.5% 14.3% 30.2% 0.47× 7.00
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede in 1st half 59.5% 62.1% — — 1.61
Eyupspor clean sheet in 1st half 40.5% 37.9% — — 2.64
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede in 2nd half 74.2% 73.0% — — 1.37
Eyupspor clean sheet in 2nd half 25.8% 27.0% — — 3.70
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 6.5 corners 94.6% 89.3% — — 1.12
Eyupspor under 5.5 corners 89.1% 86.3% — — 1.16
Eyupspor under 4.5 corners 79.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Eyupspor under 3.5 corners 64.7% 62.3% — — 1.61
Eyupspor over 2.5 corners 55.0% 52.6% — — 1.90
Eyupspor under 2.5 corners 45.0% 47.4% — — 2.11
Eyupspor over 3.5 corners 35.3% 37.7% — — 2.65
Eyupspor over 4.5 corners 20.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Eyupspor over 5.5 corners 10.9% 13.7% — — 7.28
Eyupspor over 6.5 corners 5.4% 10.7% — — 9.32
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 3.5 goals 98.4% 96.4% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Eyupspor under 2.5 goals 92.9% 92.2% 77.8% 1.19× 1.08
Eyupspor under 1.5 goals 75.5% 77.7% 54.1% 1.44× 1.29
Eyupspor over 0.5 goals 61.3% 63.6% 77.8% 0.82× 1.57
Eyupspor under 0.5 goals 38.7% 36.4% 22.2% 1.64× 2.75
Eyupspor over 1.5 goals 24.5% 22.3% 46.0% 0.48× 4.49
Eyupspor over 2.5 goals 7.1% 7.8% 22.2% 0.35× 12.87
Eyupspor over 3.5 goals 1.6% 3.6% 7.4% 0.49× 27.60
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 1st half 93.6% 94.9% — — 1.05
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 1st half 66.5% 69.3% — — 1.44
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 1st half 33.5% 30.7% — — 3.26
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 1st half 6.4% 5.1% — — 19.44
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor scores equally in both 47.7% 47.2% — — 2.12
Eyupspor scores more in 2nd half 30.7% 33.1% — — 3.02
Eyupspor scores more in 1st half 21.6% 21.1% — — 4.75
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray (home no bet) 76.3% 77.7% 52.7% 1.47× 1.29
Draw (home no bet) 23.7% 22.3% 47.3% 0.47× 4.48
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor even goals 57.5% 55.3% 51.0% 1.08× 1.81
Eyupspor odd goals 42.5% 44.7% 49.0% 0.91× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 27.1% 28.4% — — 3.52
HT 0-1 24.2% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-2 11.0% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-0 10.8% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-1 10.1% 11.0% — — 9.13
Any other HT score 7.1% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 1-2 4.5% 2.4% — — 41.92
HT 2-0 2.2% 2.4% — — 42.06
HT 2-1 2.0% 2.4% — — 42.08
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray at HT / Galatasaray at FT 41.0% 41.4% — — 2.42
Draw at HT / Galatasaray at FT 21.0% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.1% 12.6% — — 7.91
Eyupspor at HT / Eyupspor at FT 7.4% 6.1% — — 16.43
Draw at HT / Eyupspor at FT 5.1% 6.1% — — 16.50
Eyupspor at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.81
Eyupspor at HT / Galatasaray at FT 4.0% 3.5% — — 28.82
Galatasaray at HT / Draw at FT 3.9% 3.5% — — 28.83
Galatasaray at HT / Eyupspor at FT 1.0% 3.5% — — 28.93
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to score last 67.1% 70.4% — — 1.42
Eyupspor to score last 27.9% 27.6% — — 3.63
No goal scored 5.0% 4.4% — — 22.90
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.0% 95.6% — — 1.05
Galatasaray to lead by 1 at any time 77.7% 78.3% — — 1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 59.2% 55.0% — — 1.82
Galatasaray to lead by 2 at any time 50.6% 50.8% — — 1.97
Eyupspor to lead by 1 at any time 32.4% 29.8% — — 3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 29.1% 25.4% — — 3.94
Galatasaray to lead by 3 at any time 27.1% 25.4% — — 3.94
Eyupspor to lead by 2 at any time 9.0% 6.7% — — 14.89
Eyupspor to lead by 3 at any time 2.0% 1.6% — — 62.98
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray most corners 69.8% 64.5% — — 1.55
Eyupspor most corners 20.1% 25.8% — — 3.87
Corners level 10.0% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.5% 83.4% 85.4% 0.98× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.4% 78.7% 73.9% 1.06× 1.27
2-5 goals 73.3% 72.4% 69.8% 1.04× 1.38
1-4 goals 73.0% 72.4% 75.4% 0.96× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.9% 63.3% 59.8% 1.06× 1.58
3-6 goals 57.7% 59.1% 51.4% 1.15× 1.69
1-3 goals 55.2% 59.1% 61.3% 0.96× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.6% 53.2% 47.3% 1.12× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.0% 43.6% 45.7% 0.95× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.1% 43.6% 37.3% 1.17× 2.29
4-6 goals 35.4% 39.2% 28.4% 1.38× 2.55
1-2 goals 32.9% 35.2% 38.3% 0.92× 2.84
4-5 goals 29.3% 30.2% 24.3% 1.24× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.6% 18.8% 14.3% 1.32× 5.31
7+ goals 4.4% 2.6% 2.7% 0.97× 39.05
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray never behind 62.6% 68.3% — — 1.46
Eyupspor never behind 17.3% 18.2% — — 5.48
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.1% 50.9% 50.8% 1.00× 1.96
Even number of goals 51.9% 49.1% 49.2% 1.00× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.0% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.0% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.8% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.2% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.0% 95.4% 92.0% 1.04× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 89.4% 87.6% 93.2% 0.94× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 83.9% 82.3% 76.4% 1.08× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 78.0% 77.3% 83.2% 0.93× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 62.1% 61.7% 53.9% 1.15× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 60.2% 61.7% 69.1% 0.89× 1.62
Over 3.5 goals 39.8% 38.3% 30.9% 1.24× 2.61
Under 2.5 goals 37.9% 38.3% 46.1% 0.83× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 22.0% 22.7% 16.8% 1.35× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 16.1% 17.7% 23.6% 0.75× 5.66
Over 5.5 goals 10.6% 12.4% 6.8% 1.83× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 5.0% 4.6% 8.0% 0.58× 21.82
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.3% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.1% 86.7% 92.5% 0.94× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 79.4% 75.9% 69.6% 1.09× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 73.2% 72.4% 80.4% 0.90× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 51.3% 51.9% 40.2% 1.29× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 48.7% 48.1% 59.8% 0.80× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 26.8% 27.6% 19.6% 1.41× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 20.6% 24.1% 30.4% 0.79× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.9% 13.3% 7.5% 1.76× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.7% 2.8% 2.8% 1.02× 35.53
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.5% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 72.9% 71.4% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 62.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 37.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 27.1% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.5% 11.1% — — 9.05
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.6% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 70.5% 77.5% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 56.8% 55.2% — — 1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 43.2% 44.8% — — 2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 29.5% 22.5% — — 4.44
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.4% 17.0% — — 5.88
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to score in both halves 86.0% 85.4% — — 1.17
Galatasaray not to score in both halves 55.9% 58.0% — — 1.72
Galatasaray to score in both halves 44.1% 42.0% — — 2.38
Eyupspor to score in both halves 14.0% 14.6% — — 6.86
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 55.8% 58.6% 55.5% 1.06× 1.71
Only Galatasaray scores 33.7% 33.3% 14.4% 2.31× 3.00
Only Eyupspor scores 5.5% 7.1% 22.4% 0.32× 14.05
Neither team scores 5.0% 4.6% 8.0% 0.58× 21.58
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.8% 22.6% 22.7% 1.00× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.8% 17.5% 14.3% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 11.1% 12.1% 15.8% 0.77× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 11.4% 12.1% 10.2% 1.19× 8.25
6 or more goals 10.6% 12.1% 6.8% 1.79× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 5.0% 4.5% 8.0% 0.56× 22.34
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 27.1% 28.5% — — 3.51
2 goals in 1st half 23.3% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 14.5% 11.0% — — 9.13
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 56.8% 54.1% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 27.9% 29.4% — — 3.40
No goals in 2nd half 15.4% 16.6% — — 6.02
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to win both halves 97.6% 97.2% — — 1.03
Galatasaray not to win both halves 73.8% 73.4% — — 1.36
Galatasaray to win both halves 26.2% 26.7% — — 3.75
Eyupspor to win both halves 2.4% 2.8% — — 36.02
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray to win either half 76.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Eyupspor to win neither half 72.0% 72.9% — — 1.37
Eyupspor to win either half 28.0% 27.1% — — 3.69
Galatasaray to win neither half 23.7% 20.2% — — 4.94
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to win to nil 94.5% 92.1% 77.6% 1.19× 1.09
Galatasaray not to win to nil 66.3% 69.6% 85.6% 0.81× 1.44
Galatasaray to win to nil 33.7% 30.4% 14.4% 2.10× 3.29
Eyupspor to win to nil 5.5% 7.9% 22.4% 0.35× 12.67
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Galatasaray by 3+ 23.7% 24.1% 5.4% 4.42× 4.15
Galatasaray by 1 22.2% 24.1% 15.9% 1.52× 4.15
Draw 20.5% 24.1% 25.9% 0.93× 4.15
Galatasaray by 2 20.0% 17.1% 7.8% 2.18× 5.86
Eyupspor by 1 8.8% 7.2% 24.0% 0.30× 13.90
Eyupspor by 2 3.5% 2.7% 11.6% 0.23× 36.82
Eyupspor by 3+ 1.2% 2.7% 10.0% 0.27× 36.89
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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