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Eyupspor v Istanbul Basaksehir — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Eyupspor win
27.4%
model 28.1%
Draw
29.4%
model 30.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir win
43.2%
model 41.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.3%
  2. 0-1 10.8%
  3. 0-0 10.4%
  4. 1-2 8.7%
  5. 1-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.543.2% Under 2.556.8%
BTTS yes49.7% BTTS no50.3%
Eyupspor 1+65.4% Eyupspor 2+28.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir 1+73.9% Istanbul Basaksehir 2+38.9%

Expected goals 1.06 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (X2)
Double chance · usually 55%
72.6% fair odds 1.38
strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Eyupspor not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 78%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1442.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Istanbul Basaksehir have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for the draw and 27.4% for Eyupspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.06 for Eyupspor and 1.34 for Istanbul Basaksehir.

Why Eyupspor

Nothing in the data singles out Eyupspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.4%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Istanbul Basaksehir can win

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1442.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eyupspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Istanbul Basaksehir, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eyupspor: 43% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Istanbul Basaksehir: 42% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Istanbul Basaksehir are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.06–1.34 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.04–1.48 1-1 14% 46% 51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 46.0% 47.3% 28.9% 1.64× 2.11
Draw 28.8% 27.9% 25.9% 1.08× 3.58
Eyupspor to win 25.2% 27.9% 45.4% 0.61× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & not both score 26.1% 25.2% 14.4% 1.74× 3.98
Istanbul Basaksehir & both teams score 20.0% 18.0% 14.6% 1.23× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 19.4% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Eyupspor & not both score 13.4% 13.3% 22.4% 0.59× 7.54
Eyupspor & both teams score 11.8% 13.3% 23.1% 0.57× 7.54
Draw & not both score 9.4% 8.3% 8.0% 1.05× 12.00
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 1.5 35.4% 34.9% 22.4% 1.56× 2.87
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 3.5 33.0% 30.8% 19.6% 1.57× 3.25
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 2.5 26.6% 26.1% 18.1% 1.44× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 23.1% 21.6% 20.3% 1.06× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 23.1% 21.6% 20.3% 1.06× 4.63
Eyupspor & under 3.5 19.3% 18.0% 29.5% 0.61× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 19.4% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 2.5 19.5% 18.0% 10.9% 1.65× 5.56
Eyupspor & over 1.5 18.1% 18.0% 36.2% 0.50× 5.56
Eyupspor & over 2.5 13.8% 12.8% 30.3% 0.42× 7.79
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 3.5 13.0% 12.8% 9.4% 1.36× 7.79
Eyupspor & under 2.5 11.4% 12.8% 15.2% 0.85× 7.79
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 1.5 10.6% 12.8% 6.6% 1.94× 7.79
Draw & under 1.5 9.4% 7.9% 8.0% 1.00× 12.63
Eyupspor & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.63
Eyupspor & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 16.1% 0.49× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.7% 1.38× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.6% 7.9% 5.7% 1.38× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1UP) 60.7% 62.7% — — 1.60
Eyupspor (1UP) 42.4% 38.6% — — 2.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2UP) 46.0% 49.9% — — 2.00
Eyupspor (2UP) 25.2% 25.1% — — 3.98
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 2nd half 40.0% 41.7% — — 2.40
2nd half drawn 37.3% 36.2% — — 2.76
Eyupspor to win 2nd half 22.6% 24.1% — — 4.14
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 2nd half 77.7% 79.2% — — 1.26
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 2nd half 58.8% 54.4% — — 1.84
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 2nd half 41.2% 45.6% — — 2.19
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 2nd half 22.3% 20.8% — — 4.81
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.1% 88.6% — — 1.13
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 2nd half 55.4% 58.2% — — 1.72
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.6% 41.8% — — 2.39
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.9% 11.4% — — 8.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (+2.5) 97.2% 96.3% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Istanbul Basaksehir (+1.5) 90.2% 92.1% 78.5% 1.17× 1.09
Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5) 74.8% 73.7% 54.6% 1.35× 1.36
Eyupspor (+0.5) 54.0% 52.4% 71.1% 0.74× 1.91
Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5) 46.0% 47.6% 28.9% 1.65× 2.10
Eyupspor (-0.5) 25.2% 26.3% 45.4% 0.58× 3.80
Eyupspor (-1.5) 9.8% 7.9% 21.5% 0.37× 12.67
Eyupspor (-2.5) 2.8% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 27.14
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede 64.5% 67.6% 77.8% 0.87× 1.48
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet 35.5% 32.4% 22.2% 1.46× 3.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 1st half 64.1% 64.5% — — 1.55
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 1st half 35.9% 35.5% — — 2.82
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 2nd half 55.4% 57.5% — — 1.74
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 2nd half 44.6% 42.5% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 6.5 corners 80.4% 81.4% — — 1.23
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 corners 77.0% 76.0% — — 1.32
Istanbul Basaksehir under 5.5 corners 69.5% 67.6% — — 1.48
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 corners 60.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Istanbul Basaksehir under 4.5 corners 55.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners 44.5% 42.8% — — 2.33
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 corners 39.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Istanbul Basaksehir over 5.5 corners 30.5% 32.4% — — 3.09
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 corners 23.0% 24.0% — — 4.18
Istanbul Basaksehir over 6.5 corners 19.6% 18.6% — — 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 goals 93.7% 92.4% 95.3% 0.97× 1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 goals 81.4% 81.5% 86.2% 0.95× 1.23
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 goals 77.2% 76.2% 69.8% 1.09× 1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 goals 56.5% 59.4% 65.2% 0.91× 1.68
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals 43.5% 40.6% 34.8% 1.17× 2.46
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 goals 22.8% 23.8% 30.2% 0.79× 4.21
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 goals 18.6% 18.5% 13.8% 1.34× 5.40
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 goals 6.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.62× 13.07
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 1st half 88.1% 89.4% — — 1.12
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 1st half 55.4% 61.9% — — 1.62
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 1st half 44.6% 38.1% — — 2.63
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 1st half 11.9% 10.6% — — 9.47
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 2nd half 40.5% 43.4% — — 2.30
Istanbul Basaksehir scores equally in both 36.4% 37.5% — — 2.67
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 1st half 23.1% 21.8% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 53.3% 51.7% 36.4% 1.42× 1.93
Eyupspor (away no bet) 46.7% 48.3% 63.6% 0.76× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir even goals 52.6% 52.6% 54.5% 0.97× 1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir odd goals 47.4% 47.4% 45.5% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 87.9% 87.9% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 12.1% 12.1% — — 8.27
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 59.8% 60.7% — — 1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals 40.2% 39.3% — — 2.54
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 51.9% 50.9% — — 1.97
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2+ in a row 36.2% 36.5% — — 2.74
Eyupspor to score 2+ in a row 20.5% 19.6% — — 5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row 17.6% 16.2% — — 6.17
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ in a row 12.8% 12.0% — — 8.31
Eyupspor to score 3+ in a row 4.9% 2.6% — — 37.86
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+3.5) 89.6% 84.5% — — 1.18
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+2.5) 83.2% 79.8% — — 1.25
Eyupspor corners (+3.5) 80.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+1.5) 74.4% 70.7% — — 1.41
Eyupspor corners (+2.5) 71.8% 70.7% — — 1.41
Eyupspor corners (+1.5) 60.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-1.5) 39.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-2.5) 28.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Eyupspor corners (-1.5) 25.6% 29.3% — — 3.42
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-3.5) 19.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Eyupspor corners (-2.5) 16.8% 20.2% — — 4.95
Eyupspor corners (-3.5) 10.4% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 56.1% 46.5% — — 2.15
9-11 corners 27.2% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 16.8% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 88.7% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 83.2% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 75.9% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 66.8% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 8.5 corners 56.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 7.5 corners 55.7% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 7.5 corners 44.3% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 8.5 corners 43.9% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 33.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 10.5 corners 24.1% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 11.5 corners 16.8% 19.3% — — 5.17
Over 12.5 corners 11.3% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.7% 11.5% 12.5% 0.92× 8.71
0-1 10.6% 11.5% 6.6% 1.73× 8.72
0-0 9.4% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.51
0-2 8.8% 7.4% 4.4% 1.68× 13.51
1-2 9.2% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
1-0 7.1% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
2-1 6.4% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.51
2-2 4.7% 1.7% 4.6% 0.38× 58.29
0-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.29
0-4 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.31
1-3 4.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.29
1-4 1.7% 1.7% 1.0% 1.66× 58.31
2-0 4.3% 1.7% 6.0% 0.28× 58.29
2-3 2.3% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.31
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.94× 58.31
3-0 1.5% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.31
3-1 2.2% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.31
3-2 1.6% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 3.88× 58.32
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 58.32
4-1 0.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.33× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 11.64× 58.32
Any other score 2.2% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2nd half DNB) 63.9% 62.9% — — 1.59
Eyupspor (2nd half DNB) 36.1% 37.1% — — 2.70
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT (DNB) 59.0% 56.5% — — 1.77
Eyupspor leading at HT (DNB) 41.0% 43.5% — — 2.30
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (X2) 74.8% 72.1% 54.6% 1.32× 1.39
Eyupspor or Istanbul Basaksehir (12) 71.2% 72.1% 74.1% 0.97× 1.39
Eyupspor or draw (1X) 54.0% 52.7% 71.1% 0.74× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at HT 77.8% 79.5% — — 1.26
Eyupspor or draw at HT 68.1% 67.1% — — 1.49
Eyupspor or Istanbul Basaksehir at HT 54.1% 47.8% — — 2.09
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1UP) 74.8% 79.7% — — 1.26
Eyupspor or draw (1UP) 54.0% 58.9% — — 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw in 2nd half 77.4% 75.9% — — 1.32
Eyupspor or Istanbul Basaksehir in 2nd half 62.7% 63.8% — — 1.57
Eyupspor or draw in 2nd half 60.0% 58.3% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.7% 61.4% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 35.3% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (DNB) 64.6% 62.7% 38.9% 1.61× 1.59
Eyupspor (DNB) 35.4% 37.3% 61.1% 0.61× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score first 53.3% 53.4% — — 1.87
Eyupspor to score first 37.3% 32.7% — — 3.05
No goal scored 9.4% 7.5% — — 13.33
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 51.1% 51.3% 55.5% 0.92× 1.95
Not both teams to score 48.9% 48.7% 44.5% 1.10× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 40.3% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.41
Both score & over 2.5 37.4% 38.4% 43.2% 0.89× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.7% 12.4% 12.5% 0.99× 8.08
Not both score & over 2.5 8.6% 8.3% 10.9% 0.76× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.9% 85.6% 83.4% 1.03× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.1% 14.4% 16.6% 0.86× 6.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.3% 73.7% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.7% 26.3% — — 3.81
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.3% 65.7% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 22.5% 21.0% — — 4.77
Both score 1st half only 12.1% 10.8% — — 9.28
Both score in both halves 4.2% 4.9% — — 20.24
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.7% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 16.3% 16.8% — — 5.94
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 50.5% 52.9% — — 1.89
A half without a goal 49.5% 47.1% — — 2.12
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.3% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
0-1 goals 27.1% 26.6% 23.6% 1.13× 3.76
4-6 goals 23.1% 22.9% 28.4% 0.81× 4.36
7+ goals 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 0.69× 54.39
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 1 33.7% 33.8% 35.2% 0.96× 2.96
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 2 24.9% 22.3% 21.1% 1.06× 4.48
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 0 22.8% 22.3% 30.2% 0.74× 4.49
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ 18.6% 19.6% 13.8% 1.41× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.6% 32.0% 1.11× 2.81
Eyupspor to score exactly 0 35.5% 35.5% 22.2% 1.60× 2.81
Eyupspor to score exactly 2 19.0% 18.8% 23.9% 0.79× 5.33
Eyupspor to score 3+ 8.7% 10.3% 22.2% 0.47× 9.67
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 45.9% 52.2% — — 1.92
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT 31.9% 32.9% — — 3.04
Eyupspor leading at HT 22.2% 20.5% — — 4.87
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 1 54.0% 52.2% — — 1.92
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 2 23.6% 23.5% — — 4.25
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: X 22.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:1) 74.8% 71.1% 54.6% 1.30× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 15.3% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.61
Eyupspor (0:1) 9.8% 9.3% 21.5% 0.43× 10.76
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2) 90.2% 90.7% 78.5% 1.16× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 7.0% 7.7% 11.6% 0.66× 13.05
Eyupspor (0:2) 2.8% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 26.72
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:3) 97.2% 96.6% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.2% 2.4% 6.6% 0.36× 42.13
Eyupspor (0:3) 0.6% 2.4% 3.5% 0.67× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:4) 99.4% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 2.5% 0.49× 82.11
Eyupspor (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.03× 82.16
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (1:0) 54.0% 54.1% 71.1% 0.76× 1.85
Istanbul Basaksehir (1:0) 23.6% 21.7% 13.1% 1.66× 4.61
Draw (1:0) 22.5% 21.7% 15.9% 1.36× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (2:0) 76.4% 80.4% 86.9% 0.93× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 14.3% 10.3% 7.8% 1.32× 9.71
Istanbul Basaksehir (2:0) 9.3% 6.4% 5.4% 1.17× 15.65
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.2% 48.7% — — 2.06
Halves equal 28.1% 26.2% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 25.7% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede 77.2% 76.0% 69.8% 1.09× 1.32
Eyupspor clean sheet 22.8% 24.0% 30.2% 0.79× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor clean sheet in 1st half 55.4% 61.9% — — 1.62
Eyupspor to concede in 1st half 44.6% 38.1% — — 2.63
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede in 2nd half 58.8% 54.7% — — 1.83
Eyupspor clean sheet in 2nd half 41.2% 45.3% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 6.5 corners 87.7% 86.2% — — 1.16
Eyupspor under 5.5 corners 78.9% 76.5% — — 1.31
Eyupspor over 2.5 corners 68.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Eyupspor under 4.5 corners 66.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Eyupspor over 3.5 corners 50.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
Eyupspor under 3.5 corners 49.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Eyupspor over 4.5 corners 33.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Eyupspor under 2.5 corners 31.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Eyupspor over 5.5 corners 21.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Eyupspor over 6.5 corners 12.3% 13.8% — — 7.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 3.5 goals 97.9% 96.4% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Eyupspor under 2.5 goals 91.3% 92.2% 77.8% 1.19× 1.08
Eyupspor under 1.5 goals 72.3% 74.2% 54.1% 1.37× 1.35
Eyupspor over 0.5 goals 64.5% 63.6% 77.8% 0.82× 1.57
Eyupspor under 0.5 goals 35.5% 36.4% 22.2% 1.64× 2.75
Eyupspor over 1.5 goals 27.7% 25.8% 46.0% 0.56× 3.88
Eyupspor over 2.5 goals 8.7% 7.8% 22.2% 0.35× 12.85
Eyupspor over 3.5 goals 2.1% 3.6% 7.4% 0.49× 27.58
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 1st half 92.6% 94.8% — — 1.06
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 1st half 64.1% 64.1% — — 1.56
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 1st half 35.9% 35.9% — — 2.78
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 1st half 7.4% 5.2% — — 19.14
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor scores equally in both 45.5% 47.0% — — 2.13
Eyupspor scores more in 2nd half 32.1% 33.2% — — 3.01
Eyupspor scores more in 1st half 22.4% 21.1% — — 4.74
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (home no bet) 61.5% 60.0% 52.7% 1.14× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 38.5% 40.0% 47.3% 0.85× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor even goals 56.3% 55.3% 51.0% 1.08× 1.81
Eyupspor odd goals 43.7% 44.7% 49.0% 0.91× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 35.7% 38.9% — — 2.57
HT 0-1 20.7% 24.3% — — 4.12
HT 1-0 15.6% 18.5% — — 5.42
HT 1-1 9.6% 6.9% — — 14.43
HT 0-2 6.2% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 2-0 3.5% 2.4% — — 41.98
Any other HT score 3.3% 2.4% — — 42.00
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.03
HT 2-1 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.07
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT 25.7% 27.2% — — 3.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.6% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT 17.6% 16.8% — — 5.96
Eyupspor at HT / Eyupspor at FT 14.0% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Eyupspor at FT 9.7% 6.1% — — 16.37
Eyupspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.1% — — 16.49
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.80
Eyupspor at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT 2.7% 3.5% — — 28.87
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Eyupspor at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score last 53.4% 52.1% — — 1.92
Eyupspor to score last 37.2% 38.7% — — 2.58
No goal scored 9.4% 7.5% — — 13.33
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.6% 92.6% — — 1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 1 at any time 60.7% 61.2% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 43.6% 39.3% — — 2.55
Eyupspor to lead by 1 at any time 42.4% 39.2% — — 2.55
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 2 at any time 29.3% 25.4% — — 3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 15.0% 10.6% — — 9.47
Eyupspor to lead by 2 at any time 14.4% 10.6% — — 9.48
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 3 at any time 11.1% 10.5% — — 9.54
Eyupspor to lead by 3 at any time 3.8% 1.6% — — 61.25
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir most corners 51.4% 51.7% — — 1.94
Eyupspor most corners 36.5% 39.3% — — 2.55
Corners level 12.1% 10.4% — — 9.57
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.3% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.5% 78.7% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
2-6 goals 71.4% 72.3% 73.9% 0.98× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.6% 68.8% 69.8% 0.99× 1.45
1-3 goals 66.0% 68.8% 61.3% 1.12× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.8% 63.3% 59.8% 1.06× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.3% 48.5% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
1-2 goals 44.6% 43.6% 38.3% 1.14× 2.29
3-6 goals 44.5% 43.6% 51.4% 0.85× 2.29
3-5 goals 41.7% 43.6% 47.3% 0.92× 2.29
3-4 goals 34.9% 35.2% 37.3% 0.95× 2.84
4-6 goals 23.1% 24.5% 28.4% 0.86× 4.09
4-5 goals 20.2% 24.5% 24.3% 1.01× 4.09
5-6 goals 9.6% 8.9% 14.3% 0.62× 11.25
7+ goals 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 0.96× 39.19
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir never behind 48.2% 56.6% — — 1.77
Eyupspor never behind 29.8% 30.2% — — 3.32
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.0% 50.9% 50.8% 1.00× 1.96
Even number of goals 53.0% 49.1% 49.2% 1.00× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.7% 57.6% — — 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.3% 42.4% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.5% 52.0% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.5% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.7% 95.4% 93.2% 1.02× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 90.6% 92.3% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 88.9% 87.6% 83.2% 1.05× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 75.5% 77.3% 69.1% 1.12× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 72.9% 72.5% 76.4% 0.95× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 54.0% 52.5% 46.1% 1.14× 1.90
Over 2.5 goals 46.0% 47.5% 53.9% 0.88× 2.11
Under 1.5 goals 27.1% 27.5% 23.6% 1.17× 3.63
Over 3.5 goals 24.5% 22.7% 30.9% 0.73× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 11.1% 12.4% 16.8% 0.74× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 9.4% 7.7% 8.0% 0.97× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 4.3% 4.6% 6.8% 0.68× 21.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.5% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.4% 97.2% 92.5% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 87.2% 86.7% 80.4% 1.08× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 68.8% 67.5% 59.8% 1.13× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 62.9% 61.9% 69.6% 0.89× 1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 37.1% 38.1% 30.4% 1.25× 2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 31.2% 32.5% 40.2% 0.81× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 12.8% 13.3% 19.6% 0.68× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.6% 2.8% 7.5% 0.37× 35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.5% 2.8% 2.8% 1.02× 35.63
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.3% 92.6% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 72.0% 71.4% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 64.3% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 35.7% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 28.0% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.7% 7.4% — — 13.46
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 81.5% 82.9% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.7% 79.7% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 56.1% 55.1% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 43.9% 44.9% — — 2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.3% 20.3% — — 4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 18.5% 17.1% — — 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to score in both halves 84.0% 84.3% — — 1.19
Istanbul Basaksehir not to score in both halves 73.8% 74.0% — — 1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir to score in both halves 26.2% 26.0% — — 3.84
Eyupspor to score in both halves 16.0% 15.7% — — 6.35
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 51.1% 53.8% 55.5% 0.97× 1.86
Only Istanbul Basaksehir scores 26.1% 26.0% 14.4% 1.80× 3.84
Only Eyupspor scores 13.4% 11.0% 22.4% 0.49× 9.06
Neither team scores 9.4% 7.1% 8.0% 0.90× 14.01
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.9% 24.9% 22.7% 1.10× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.4% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 17.7% 17.5% 15.8% 1.11× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 13.5% 12.1% 14.3% 0.85× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 9.4% 7.6% 8.0% 0.96× 13.14
Exactly 5 goals 6.8% 7.6% 10.2% 0.75× 13.15
6 or more goals 4.3% 4.5% 6.8% 0.66× 22.35
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.3% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 35.7% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 19.3% 15.7% — — 6.39
3+ goals in 1st half 8.7% 7.4% — — 13.46
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 43.9% 44.8% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 32.8% 33.7% — — 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 23.3% 22.7% — — 4.41
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to win both halves 94.8% 94.2% — — 1.06
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves 87.0% 87.9% — — 1.14
Istanbul Basaksehir to win both halves 13.0% 12.1% — — 8.30
Eyupspor to win both halves 5.2% 5.8% — — 17.22
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to win neither half 60.3% 64.8% — — 1.54
Istanbul Basaksehir to win either half 58.9% 59.2% — — 1.69
Istanbul Basaksehir to win neither half 41.1% 40.8% — — 2.45
Eyupspor to win either half 39.7% 35.2% — — 2.85
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to win to nil 86.6% 88.1% 77.6% 1.14× 1.14
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win to nil 73.9% 75.4% 85.6% 0.88× 1.33
Istanbul Basaksehir to win to nil 26.1% 24.6% 14.4% 1.71× 4.06
Eyupspor to win to nil 13.4% 11.9% 22.4% 0.53× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.8% 27.9% 25.9% 1.08× 3.59
Istanbul Basaksehir by 1 22.5% 24.1% 15.9% 1.52× 4.15
Eyupspor by 1 15.3% 17.0% 24.0% 0.71× 5.87
Istanbul Basaksehir by 2 14.3% 11.8% 7.8% 1.51× 8.51
Istanbul Basaksehir by 3+ 9.3% 7.2% 5.4% 1.32× 13.90
Eyupspor by 2 7.0% 7.2% 11.6% 0.62× 13.91
Eyupspor by 3+ 2.8% 2.7% 10.0% 0.27× 36.84
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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