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Eyupspor v Kasimpasa — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Eyupspor win
39.0%
model 37.5%
Draw
30.5%
model 31.3%
Kasimpasa win
30.5%
model 31.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.7%
  2. 0-0 11.7%
  3. 1-0 10.9%
  4. 0-1 9.6%
  5. 2-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.539.8% Under 2.560.2%
BTTS yes47.5% BTTS no52.5%
Eyupspor 1+70.0% Eyupspor 2+33.8%
Kasimpasa 1+65.9% Kasimpasa 2+29.2%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 46%
62.0% fair odds 1.61
strong signal · 1198 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Kasimpasa (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 79%
83.7% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Eyupspor.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Eyupspor have an estimated 39.0% win probability, against 30.5% for the draw and 30.5% for Kasimpasa. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.20 for Eyupspor and 1.07 for Kasimpasa.

Why Eyupspor

Nothing in the data singles out Eyupspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.20 to 1.07. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kasimpasa can win

Kasimpasa carry the stronger rating, 1487 Elo against 1442.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eyupspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kasimpasa, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eyupspor: 43% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kasimpasa: 34% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Eyupspor are the model's most likely outcome at 39.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.20–1.08 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.09–1.13 1-1 15% 38% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa to win 34.9% 30.4% 28.9% 1.05× 3.29
Eyupspor to win 33.2% 30.4% 45.4% 0.67× 3.29
Draw 31.8% 30.4% 25.9% 1.17× 3.29
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa & not both score 21.2% 21.8% 14.4% 1.51× 4.59
Eyupspor & not both score 20.1% 21.8% 22.4% 0.97× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 19.5% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Kasimpasa & both teams score 13.7% 13.3% 14.6% 0.91× 7.53
Eyupspor & both teams score 13.1% 13.3% 23.1% 0.57× 7.54
Draw & not both score 12.3% 13.3% 8.0% 1.67× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa & under 3.5 27.8% 26.1% 19.6% 1.33× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 27.1% 26.1% 20.3% 1.28× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 27.1% 26.1% 20.3% 1.28× 3.84
Eyupspor & under 3.5 26.6% 26.1% 29.5% 0.88× 3.84
Kasimpasa & over 1.5 24.1% 21.6% 22.4% 0.97× 4.63
Eyupspor & over 1.5 22.8% 21.6% 36.2% 0.60× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.5% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Kasimpasa & under 2.5 17.7% 18.0% 10.9% 1.65× 5.56
Eyupspor & under 2.5 16.9% 18.0% 15.2% 1.19× 5.56
Kasimpasa & over 2.5 17.2% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Eyupspor & over 2.5 16.3% 18.0% 30.3% 0.59× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 12.3% 12.8% 8.0% 1.61× 7.79
Eyupspor & under 1.5 10.4% 12.8% 9.3% 1.38× 7.79
Kasimpasa & under 1.5 10.8% 12.8% 6.6% 1.94× 7.79
Eyupspor & over 3.5 6.6% 7.9% 16.1% 0.49× 12.63
Kasimpasa & over 3.5 7.1% 7.9% 9.4% 0.84× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 0.84× 20.81
Draw & over 3.5 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 0.84× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (1UP) 49.9% 44.0% — — 2.27
Eyupspor (1UP) 48.4% 43.9% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (2UP) 34.9% 30.6% — — 3.26
Eyupspor (2UP) 33.2% 30.5% — — 3.28
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 41.0% 41.9% — — 2.38
Kasimpasa to win 2nd half 31.1% 34.3% — — 2.92
Eyupspor to win 2nd half 27.9% 25.9% — — 3.86
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.3% 86.9% — — 1.15
Kasimpasa under 0.5 in 2nd half 50.9% 52.3% — — 1.91
Kasimpasa over 0.5 in 2nd half 49.1% 47.7% — — 2.10
Kasimpasa over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.7% 13.1% — — 7.62
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 2nd half 87.0% 88.3% — — 1.13
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 2nd half 53.6% 55.2% — — 1.81
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.4% 44.8% — — 2.23
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.0% 11.7% — — 8.57
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (+2.5) 95.8% 96.3% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Kasimpasa (+1.5) 86.2% 88.5% 78.5% 1.13× 1.13
Kasimpasa (+0.5) 66.8% 68.7% 54.6% 1.26× 1.46
Eyupspor (+0.5) 65.1% 68.6% 71.1% 0.97× 1.46
Kasimpasa (-0.5) 34.9% 31.4% 28.9% 1.09× 3.19
Eyupspor (-0.5) 33.2% 31.3% 45.4% 0.69× 3.19
Eyupspor (-1.5) 13.8% 11.5% 21.5% 0.54× 8.66
Eyupspor (-2.5) 4.2% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 27.04
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa to concede 66.5% 72.3% 77.8% 0.93× 1.38
Kasimpasa clean sheet 33.5% 27.7% 22.2% 1.24× 3.61
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa clean sheet in 1st half 62.5% 64.9% — — 1.54
Kasimpasa to concede in 1st half 37.5% 35.1% — — 2.85
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa clean sheet in 2nd half 53.6% 55.0% — — 1.82
Kasimpasa to concede in 2nd half 46.4% 45.0% — — 2.22
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa under 6.5 corners 82.1% 81.4% — — 1.23
Kasimpasa over 2.5 corners 75.4% 76.0% — — 1.32
Kasimpasa under 5.5 corners 71.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
Kasimpasa over 3.5 corners 58.7% 57.2% — — 1.75
Kasimpasa under 4.5 corners 57.7% 57.2% — — 1.75
Kasimpasa over 4.5 corners 42.3% 42.8% — — 2.33
Kasimpasa under 3.5 corners 41.3% 42.8% — — 2.34
Kasimpasa over 5.5 corners 28.4% 28.4% — — 3.52
Kasimpasa under 2.5 corners 24.6% 24.0% — — 4.17
Kasimpasa over 6.5 corners 17.9% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa under 3.5 goals 97.2% 97.5% 95.3% 1.02× 1.03
Kasimpasa under 2.5 goals 89.5% 87.8% 86.2% 1.02× 1.14
Kasimpasa under 1.5 goals 69.0% 68.0% 65.2% 1.04× 1.47
Kasimpasa over 0.5 goals 67.6% 68.0% 69.8% 0.97× 1.47
Kasimpasa under 0.5 goals 32.4% 32.0% 30.2% 1.06× 3.12
Kasimpasa over 1.5 goals 31.0% 32.0% 34.8% 0.92× 3.13
Kasimpasa over 2.5 goals 10.5% 12.2% 13.8% 0.88× 8.21
Kasimpasa over 3.5 goals 2.8% 2.5% 4.7% 0.53× 39.89
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa under 1.5 in 1st half 92.4% 94.0% — — 1.06
Kasimpasa under 0.5 in 1st half 63.7% 63.4% — — 1.58
Kasimpasa over 0.5 in 1st half 36.3% 36.6% — — 2.73
Kasimpasa over 1.5 in 1st half 7.6% 6.0% — — 16.70
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa scores equally in both 43.1% 43.7% — — 2.29
Kasimpasa scores more in 2nd half 35.7% 37.3% — — 2.68
Kasimpasa scores more in 1st half 21.2% 22.1% — — 4.53
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (away no bet) 51.1% 51.7% 63.6% 0.81× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 48.9% 48.4% 36.4% 1.33× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa even goals 55.3% 56.9% 54.5% 1.04× 1.76
Kasimpasa odd goals 44.7% 43.1% 45.5% 0.95× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.2% 91.9% — — 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.8% 8.1% — — 12.27
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 52.7% 50.6% — — 1.98
Both halves under 1.5 goals 47.3% 49.4% — — 2.03
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 44.9% 38.8% — — 2.57
Kasimpasa to score 2+ in a row 24.9% 19.7% — — 5.08
Eyupspor to score 2+ in a row 23.7% 19.6% — — 5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row 13.1% 12.1% — — 8.29
Kasimpasa to score 3+ in a row 6.9% 5.6% — — 18.00
Eyupspor to score 3+ in a row 6.4% 5.5% — — 18.05
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa corners (+3.5) 87.5% 84.5% — — 1.18
Eyupspor corners (+3.5) 83.3% 79.8% — — 1.25
Kasimpasa corners (+2.5) 80.4% 79.8% — — 1.25
Eyupspor corners (+2.5) 75.0% 70.7% — — 1.41
Kasimpasa corners (+1.5) 70.9% 70.7% — — 1.41
Eyupspor corners (+1.5) 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Kasimpasa corners (-1.5) 35.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Eyupspor corners (-1.5) 29.1% 29.3% — — 3.42
Kasimpasa corners (-2.5) 25.0% 29.3% — — 3.42
Eyupspor corners (-2.5) 19.7% 20.2% — — 4.94
Kasimpasa corners (-3.5) 16.7% 20.2% — — 4.94
Eyupspor corners (-3.5) 12.5% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 55.4% 46.5% — — 2.15
9-11 corners 27.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 17.3% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 88.3% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 82.7% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 75.4% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 66.2% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 56.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 55.4% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 44.6% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 7.5 corners 43.6% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 33.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 10.5 corners 24.6% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 11.5 corners 17.3% 19.3% — — 5.18
Over 12.5 corners 11.7% 16.9% — — 5.92
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.8% 11.5% 12.5% 0.92× 8.72
0-0 12.3% 11.5% 8.0% 1.44× 8.72
0-1 10.8% 11.5% 6.6% 1.73× 8.72
1-0 10.4% 11.5% 9.3% 1.24× 8.72
0-2 6.9% 7.4% 4.4% 1.68× 13.51
1-2 7.5% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
2-0 6.5% 7.4% 6.0% 1.23× 13.51
2-1 7.3% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.51
0-3 2.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.30
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.32
1-3 2.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.30
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.66× 58.31
2-2 4.1% 1.7% 4.6% 0.38× 58.30
2-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.31
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.94× 58.32
3-0 2.4% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.31
3-1 2.7% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.30
3-2 1.5% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 3.88× 58.32
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 58.32
4-1 0.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.32
4-2 0.4% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.33× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 11.64× 58.32
Any other score 1.1% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (2nd half DNB) 52.8% 52.9% — — 1.89
Eyupspor (2nd half DNB) 47.2% 47.1% — — 2.12
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor leading at HT (DNB) 51.3% 55.7% — — 1.79
Kasimpasa leading at HT (DNB) 48.7% 44.3% — — 2.26
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor or Kasimpasa (12) 68.2% 69.6% 74.1% 0.94× 1.44
Kasimpasa or draw (X2) 66.8% 69.6% 54.6% 1.27× 1.44
Eyupspor or draw (1X) 65.1% 69.6% 71.1% 0.98× 1.44
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor or draw at HT 75.3% 79.2% — — 1.26
Kasimpasa or draw at HT 73.9% 75.0% — — 1.33
Eyupspor or Kasimpasa at HT 50.8% 47.7% — — 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa or draw (1UP) 66.8% 76.2% — — 1.31
Eyupspor or draw (1UP) 65.1% 76.1% — — 1.31
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa or draw in 2nd half 72.1% 74.1% — — 1.35
Eyupspor or draw in 2nd half 68.9% 65.7% — — 1.52
Eyupspor or Kasimpasa in 2nd half 59.0% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 68.6% 68.3% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 31.4% 31.7% — — 3.15
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (DNB) 51.2% 50.9% 38.9% 1.31× 1.97
Eyupspor (DNB) 48.8% 49.1% 61.1% 0.80× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa to score first 44.5% 41.8% — — 2.39
Eyupspor to score first 43.2% 41.7% — — 2.40
No goal scored 12.3% 9.9% — — 10.12
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 53.6% 51.3% 44.5% 1.15× 1.95
Both teams to score 46.4% 48.7% 55.5% 0.88× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 46.9% 44.3% 33.7% 1.31× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 31.5% 34.5% 43.2% 0.80× 2.90
Both score & under 2.5 14.8% 12.4% 12.5% 0.99× 8.08
Not both score & over 2.5 6.7% 8.3% 10.9% 0.76× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 90.7% 89.0% 83.4% 1.07× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 9.3% 11.0% 16.6% 0.66× 9.08
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 76.7% 74.6% — — 1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half 23.3% 25.4% — — 3.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 66.0% 63.0% — — 1.59
Both score 2nd half only 20.2% 21.2% — — 4.71
Both score 1st half only 10.7% 10.7% — — 9.34
Both score in both halves 3.1% 4.9% — — 20.43
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.2% 85.2% — — 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 13.8% 14.8% — — 6.76
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 55.6% 57.2% — — 1.75
A goal in each half 44.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.0% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
0-1 goals 33.6% 30.7% 23.6% 1.30× 3.25
4-6 goals 17.7% 20.2% 28.4% 0.71× 4.94
7+ goals 0.8% 1.8% 2.7% 0.69× 54.43
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa to score exactly 1 36.5% 35.9% 35.2% 1.02× 2.78
Kasimpasa to score exactly 0 32.4% 33.8% 30.2% 1.12× 2.96
Kasimpasa to score exactly 2 20.6% 22.3% 21.1% 1.06× 4.49
Kasimpasa to score 3+ 10.5% 12.9% 13.8% 0.93× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to score exactly 1 36.6% 35.6% 32.0% 1.11× 2.81
Eyupspor to score exactly 0 33.5% 32.6% 22.2% 1.46× 3.07
Eyupspor to score exactly 2 20.0% 23.3% 23.9% 0.98× 4.29
Eyupspor to score 3+ 9.8% 10.3% 22.2% 0.46× 9.68
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 49.2% 52.3% — — 1.91
Eyupspor leading at HT 26.1% 25.0% — — 3.99
Kasimpasa leading at HT 24.7% 20.8% — — 4.80
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa -1: 1 65.1% 67.8% — — 1.48
Kasimpasa -1: X 20.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Kasimpasa -1: 2 14.9% 14.0% — — 7.13
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (0:1) 66.8% 65.2% 54.6% 1.19× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 19.4% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.61
Eyupspor (0:1) 13.8% 13.7% 21.5% 0.64× 7.28
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (0:2) 86.2% 87.1% 78.5% 1.11× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.6% 7.7% 11.6% 0.66× 13.02
Eyupspor (0:2) 4.2% 3.8% 10.0% 0.38× 26.63
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (0:3) 95.8% 96.6% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.2% 2.4% 6.6% 0.36× 42.07
Eyupspor (0:3) 1.0% 2.4% 3.5% 0.67× 42.17
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (0:4) 99.0% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.8% 1.2% 2.5% 0.49× 82.01
Eyupspor (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.03× 82.08
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (1:0) 65.1% 70.1% 71.1% 0.98× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 20.1% 21.7% 15.9% 1.36× 4.61
Kasimpasa (1:0) 14.9% 12.7% 13.1% 0.97× 7.86
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (2:0) 85.2% 88.5% 86.9% 1.02× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 10.2% 10.3% 7.8% 1.32× 9.74
Kasimpasa (2:0) 4.7% 2.3% 5.4% 0.42× 43.54
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 44.1% 44.7% — — 2.24
Halves equal 30.4% 29.2% — — 3.43
1st half highest scoring 25.5% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede 67.6% 66.7% 69.8% 0.96× 1.50
Eyupspor clean sheet 32.4% 33.3% 30.2% 1.10× 3.00
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor clean sheet in 1st half 63.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Eyupspor to concede in 1st half 36.3% 36.7% — — 2.73
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor clean sheet in 2nd half 50.9% 52.5% — — 1.91
Eyupspor to concede in 2nd half 49.1% 47.5% — — 2.10
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 6.5 corners 85.6% 86.2% — — 1.16
Eyupspor under 5.5 corners 76.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
Eyupspor over 2.5 corners 71.5% 71.8% — — 1.39
Eyupspor under 4.5 corners 62.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Eyupspor over 3.5 corners 53.8% 52.6% — — 1.90
Eyupspor under 3.5 corners 46.2% 47.4% — — 2.11
Eyupspor over 4.5 corners 37.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Eyupspor under 2.5 corners 28.5% 28.2% — — 3.55
Eyupspor over 5.5 corners 23.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Eyupspor over 6.5 corners 14.4% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 3.5 goals 97.5% 96.4% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Eyupspor under 2.5 goals 90.2% 92.2% 77.8% 1.19× 1.08
Eyupspor under 1.5 goals 70.2% 74.2% 54.1% 1.37× 1.35
Eyupspor over 0.5 goals 66.5% 68.0% 77.8% 0.87× 1.47
Eyupspor under 0.5 goals 33.5% 32.0% 22.2% 1.44× 3.12
Eyupspor over 1.5 goals 29.8% 25.8% 46.0% 0.56× 3.88
Eyupspor over 2.5 goals 9.8% 7.8% 22.2% 0.35× 12.86
Eyupspor over 3.5 goals 2.5% 3.6% 7.4% 0.49× 27.55
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 1st half 91.9% 94.7% — — 1.06
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 1st half 62.5% 64.7% — — 1.55
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 1st half 37.5% 35.3% — — 2.83
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 1st half 8.1% 5.3% — — 18.79
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor scores equally in both 44.1% 42.3% — — 2.36
Eyupspor scores more in 2nd half 33.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
Eyupspor scores more in 1st half 23.0% 21.3% — — 4.70
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa (home no bet) 52.3% 51.4% 52.7% 0.98× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 47.7% 48.6% 47.3% 1.03× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor even goals 55.6% 55.2% 51.0% 1.08× 1.81
Eyupspor odd goals 44.4% 44.8% 49.0% 0.91× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 40.1% 38.5% — — 2.60
HT 1-0 18.5% 18.6% — — 5.36
HT 0-1 17.7% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 1-1 8.7% 6.9% — — 14.45
HT 2-0 4.4% 2.4% — — 42.01
HT 0-2 4.0% 2.4% — — 42.03
Any other HT score 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT 2-1 2.0% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT 1-2 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.4% — — 42.27
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 21.7% 21.6% — — 4.62
Eyupspor at HT / Eyupspor at FT 18.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Kasimpasa at HT / Kasimpasa at FT 18.4% 16.8% — — 5.97
Draw at HT / Kasimpasa at FT 14.5% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Eyupspor at FT 13.0% 12.7% — — 7.90
Eyupspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% — — 16.67
Kasimpasa at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% — — 28.62
Eyupspor at HT / Kasimpasa at FT 2.0% 3.5% — — 28.72
Kasimpasa at HT / Eyupspor at FT 1.6% 3.5% — — 28.73
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa to score last 44.5% 40.1% — — 2.49
Eyupspor to score last 43.2% 40.1% — — 2.50
No goal scored 12.3% 9.3% — — 10.77
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 87.7% 91.3% — — 1.10
Kasimpasa to lead by 1 at any time 49.9% 44.6% — — 2.24
Eyupspor to lead by 1 at any time 48.4% 44.6% — — 2.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 37.5% 34.6% — — 2.89
Kasimpasa to lead by 2 at any time 19.3% 15.0% — — 6.68
Eyupspor to lead by 2 at any time 18.2% 14.9% — — 6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 11.1% 10.4% — — 9.59
Kasimpasa to lead by 3 at any time 5.8% 6.7% — — 14.99
Eyupspor to lead by 3 at any time 5.3% 6.7% — — 15.01
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa most corners 47.4% 47.0% — — 2.13
Eyupspor most corners 40.4% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 12.2% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.1% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.2% 83.4% 75.4% 1.11× 1.20
1-3 goals 69.3% 68.8% 61.3% 1.12× 1.45
2-6 goals 65.7% 68.8% 73.9% 0.93× 1.45
2-5 goals 63.9% 63.3% 69.8% 0.91× 1.58
2-4 goals 59.0% 59.1% 59.8% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 49.5% 48.5% 38.3% 1.27× 2.06
2-3 goals 48.0% 48.5% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
3-6 goals 37.5% 39.2% 51.4% 0.76× 2.55
3-5 goals 35.7% 39.2% 47.3% 0.83× 2.55
3-4 goals 30.8% 35.2% 37.3% 0.95× 2.84
4-6 goals 17.7% 18.8% 28.4% 0.66× 5.31
4-5 goals 15.9% 18.8% 24.3% 0.77× 5.31
5-6 goals 6.7% 8.9% 14.3% 0.62× 11.27
7+ goals 0.8% 2.6% 2.7% 0.96× 39.19
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kasimpasa never behind 39.3% 44.1% — — 2.27
Eyupspor never behind 37.8% 44.1% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 46.5% 50.9% 50.8% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 53.5% 49.1% 49.2% 1.00× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 58.4% 58.0% — — 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 41.6% 42.0% — — 2.38
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.7% 52.0% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 45.3% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.4% 95.4% 93.2% 1.02× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 92.5% 92.3% 83.2% 1.11× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 87.7% 87.6% 92.0% 0.95× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 81.6% 82.3% 69.1% 1.19× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 66.4% 66.3% 76.4% 0.87× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 61.8% 61.7% 46.1% 1.34× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 38.2% 38.3% 53.9% 0.71× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 33.6% 33.7% 23.6% 1.43× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 18.4% 17.7% 30.9% 0.57× 5.65
Under 0.5 goals 12.3% 12.4% 8.0% 1.56× 8.06
Over 4.5 goals 7.5% 7.7% 16.8% 0.46× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 2.6% 4.6% 6.8% 0.67× 21.88
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.2% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.3% 97.2% 92.5% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 91.6% 92.4% 80.4% 1.15× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 77.0% 75.9% 59.8% 1.27× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 53.3% 51.9% 69.6% 0.75× 1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 46.7% 48.1% 30.4% 1.58× 2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 23.0% 24.1% 40.2% 0.60× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 8.4% 7.6% 19.6% 0.39× 13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.7% 2.8% 7.5% 0.37× 35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.8% 2.8% 2.8% 1.02× 35.63
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.4% 92.7% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 76.3% 78.3% — — 1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half 59.9% 63.9% — — 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 40.1% 36.1% — — 2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half 23.7% 21.7% — — 4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.6% 7.3% — — 13.75
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 85.7% 85.4% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 72.2% 77.6% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 62.2% 61.7% — — 1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 37.8% 38.3% — — 2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 27.8% 22.4% — — 4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 14.3% 14.6% — — 6.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to score in both halves 82.6% 84.3% — — 1.19
Kasimpasa not to score in both halves 82.2% 84.3% — — 1.19
Kasimpasa to score in both halves 17.8% 15.7% — — 6.36
Eyupspor to score in both halves 17.4% 15.7% — — 6.37
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 46.4% 50.7% 55.5% 0.91× 1.97
Only Kasimpasa scores 21.2% 22.2% 14.4% 1.54× 4.50
Only Eyupspor scores 20.1% 22.2% 22.4% 0.99× 4.50
Neither team scores 12.3% 11.0% 8.0% 1.39× 9.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.2% 24.9% 22.7% 1.10× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 21.3% 22.6% 15.8% 1.43× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 19.8% 17.5% 23.1% 0.76× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 12.3% 12.1% 8.0% 1.52× 8.25
Exactly 4 goals 11.0% 12.1% 14.3% 0.85× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 4.9% 4.5% 10.2% 0.44× 22.37
6 or more goals 2.6% 4.5% 6.8% 0.66× 22.40
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 40.1% 38.5% — — 2.60
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 17.1% 15.6% — — 6.39
3+ goals in 1st half 6.6% 7.3% — — 13.75
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 37.8% 39.1% — — 2.55
1 goal in 2nd half 34.5% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 27.8% 29.2% — — 3.42
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to win both halves 92.5% 94.1% — — 1.06
Kasimpasa not to win both halves 92.1% 94.1% — — 1.06
Kasimpasa to win both halves 7.9% 5.9% — — 16.95
Eyupspor to win both halves 7.5% 5.9% — — 16.98
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to win neither half 53.5% 54.3% — — 1.84
Kasimpasa to win neither half 52.1% 54.2% — — 1.84
Kasimpasa to win either half 47.9% 45.8% — — 2.19
Eyupspor to win either half 46.5% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor not to win to nil 79.9% 78.2% 77.6% 1.01× 1.28
Kasimpasa not to win to nil 78.8% 78.1% 85.6% 0.91× 1.28
Kasimpasa to win to nil 21.2% 21.9% 14.4% 1.51× 4.58
Eyupspor to win to nil 20.1% 21.8% 22.4% 0.98× 4.58
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 31.8% 27.7% 25.9% 1.07× 3.61
Kasimpasa by 1 20.1% 24.1% 15.9% 1.52× 4.15
Eyupspor by 1 19.4% 17.1% 24.0% 0.71× 5.87
Kasimpasa by 2 10.2% 11.7% 7.8% 1.51× 8.51
Eyupspor by 2 9.6% 7.2% 11.6% 0.62× 13.90
Kasimpasa by 3+ 4.7% 2.7% 5.4% 0.50× 36.76
Eyupspor by 3+ 4.2% 2.7% 10.0% 0.27× 36.77
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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