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Eyupspor v Kocaelispor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Eyupspor win
39.8%
model 36.7%
Draw
31.3%
model 34.3%
Kocaelispor win
29.0%
model 29.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 0-0 16.0%
  2. 1-1 14.9%
  3. 1-0 13.7%
  4. 0-1 11.5%
  5. 2-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.530.3% Under 2.569.7%
BTTS yes39.4% BTTS no60.6%
Eyupspor 1+64.5% Eyupspor 2+27.7%
Kocaelispor 1+58.9% Kocaelispor 2+22.4%

Expected goals 1.04 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 30%
55.9% fair odds 1.79
strong signal · 764 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Kocaelispor not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Eyupspor.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Eyupspor have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.3% for the draw and 29.0% for Kocaelispor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.03 for Eyupspor and 0.89 for Kocaelispor.

Why Eyupspor

Nothing in the data singles out Eyupspor.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.3%. A combined 1.92 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.03 to 0.89. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kocaelispor can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kocaelispor.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eyupspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kocaelispor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eyupspor: 43% possession, 8.8 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kocaelispor: 55% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Eyupspor are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 16.0%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.04–0.89 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 0.84–0.78 0-0 21% 22% 32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 37.8% 36.4% 25.9% 1.40× 2.75
Eyupspor to win 32.9% 30.4% 45.4% 0.67× 3.29
Kocaelispor to win 29.3% 27.9% 28.9% 0.97× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor & not both score 24.7% 21.8% 22.4% 0.98× 4.58
Kocaelispor & not both score 21.9% 21.8% 14.4% 1.51× 4.58
Draw & not both score 21.1% 21.8% 8.0% 2.74× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 16.7% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.57
Eyupspor & both teams score 8.2% 8.3% 23.1% 0.36× 12.01
Kocaelispor & both teams score 7.4% 8.3% 14.6% 0.57× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & under 2.5 35.5% 34.9% 20.3% 1.72× 2.87
Draw & under 3.5 35.5% 34.9% 20.3% 1.72× 2.87
Eyupspor & under 3.5 29.7% 26.1% 29.5% 0.88× 3.84
Kocaelispor & under 3.5 26.6% 26.1% 19.6% 1.33× 3.84
Eyupspor & under 2.5 22.3% 21.6% 15.2% 1.42× 4.63
Draw & under 1.5 21.1% 21.6% 8.0% 2.72× 4.63
Kocaelispor & under 2.5 20.0% 18.0% 10.9% 1.65× 5.56
Eyupspor & over 1.5 17.7% 18.0% 36.2% 0.50× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.7% 18.0% 18.1% 0.99× 5.56
Eyupspor & under 1.5 15.2% 18.0% 9.3% 1.94× 5.56
Kocaelispor & over 1.5 15.3% 18.0% 22.4% 0.80× 5.56
Kocaelispor & under 1.5 14.0% 12.8% 6.6% 1.94× 7.79
Eyupspor & over 2.5 10.7% 12.8% 30.3% 0.42× 7.79
Kocaelispor & over 2.5 9.3% 7.9% 18.1% 0.44× 12.63
Eyupspor & over 3.5 3.2% 4.8% 16.1% 0.30× 20.82
Kocaelispor & over 3.5 2.7% 4.8% 9.4% 0.51× 20.82
Draw & over 2.5 2.3% 4.8% 5.7% 0.84× 20.82
Draw & over 3.5 2.3% 4.8% 5.7% 0.84× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (1UP) 44.1% 38.8% — — 2.58
Kocaelispor (1UP) 40.7% 38.5% — — 2.60
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (2UP) 32.9% 30.4% — — 3.29
Kocaelispor (2UP) 29.3% 25.4% — — 3.94
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 48.9% 45.7% — — 2.19
Eyupspor to win 2nd half 26.0% 26.0% — — 3.85
Kocaelispor to win 2nd half 25.1% 26.0% — — 3.85
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor under 1.5 in 2nd half 91.9% 92.2% — — 1.09
Kocaelispor under 0.5 in 2nd half 62.6% 60.3% — — 1.66
Kocaelispor over 0.5 in 2nd half 37.4% 39.7% — — 2.52
Kocaelispor over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.1% 7.8% — — 12.77
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 2nd half 91.5% 93.9% — — 1.07
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 2nd half 61.8% 62.8% — — 1.59
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 2nd half 38.2% 37.2% — — 2.69
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 2nd half 8.5% 6.1% — — 16.39
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor (+2.5) 97.1% 96.3% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Kocaelispor (+1.5) 88.4% 88.5% 78.5% 1.13× 1.13
Eyupspor (+0.5) 70.7% 73.6% 71.1% 1.04× 1.36
Kocaelispor (+0.5) 67.1% 68.7% 54.6% 1.26× 1.46
Eyupspor (-0.5) 32.9% 31.3% 45.4% 0.69× 3.19
Kocaelispor (-0.5) 29.3% 26.4% 28.9% 0.91× 3.79
Eyupspor (-1.5) 11.6% 11.5% 21.5% 0.54× 8.68
Eyupspor (-2.5) 2.9% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 27.13
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor to concede 57.0% 62.4% 77.8% 0.80× 1.60
Kocaelispor clean sheet 43.0% 37.6% 22.2% 1.69× 2.66
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor clean sheet in 1st half 69.6% 71.5% — — 1.40
Kocaelispor to concede in 1st half 30.4% 28.5% — — 3.51
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor clean sheet in 2nd half 61.8% 61.3% — — 1.63
Kocaelispor to concede in 2nd half 38.2% 38.7% — — 2.58
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor under 6.5 corners 83.5% 81.4% — — 1.23
Kocaelispor over 2.5 corners 73.9% 71.6% — — 1.40
Kocaelispor under 5.5 corners 73.4% 71.6% — — 1.40
Kocaelispor under 4.5 corners 59.7% 57.2% — — 1.75
Kocaelispor over 3.5 corners 56.8% 57.2% — — 1.75
Kocaelispor under 3.5 corners 43.2% 42.8% — — 2.33
Kocaelispor over 4.5 corners 40.3% 42.8% — — 2.34
Kocaelispor over 5.5 corners 26.6% 28.4% — — 3.52
Kocaelispor under 2.5 corners 26.1% 28.4% — — 3.52
Kocaelispor over 6.5 corners 16.5% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor under 3.5 goals 99.2% 97.5% 95.3% 1.02× 1.03
Kocaelispor under 2.5 goals 95.5% 97.5% 86.2% 1.13× 1.03
Kocaelispor under 1.5 goals 81.6% 81.5% 65.2% 1.25× 1.23
Kocaelispor over 0.5 goals 54.2% 53.5% 69.8% 0.77× 1.87
Kocaelispor under 0.5 goals 45.8% 46.5% 30.2% 1.54× 2.15
Kocaelispor over 1.5 goals 18.4% 18.5% 34.8% 0.53× 5.40
Kocaelispor over 2.5 goals 4.5% 2.5% 13.8% 0.18× 39.84
Kocaelispor over 3.5 goals 0.8% 2.5% 4.7% 0.53× 40.02
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor under 1.5 in 1st half 96.0% 96.1% — — 1.04
Kocaelispor under 0.5 in 1st half 73.2% 67.6% — — 1.48
Kocaelispor over 0.5 in 1st half 26.8% 32.4% — — 3.09
Kocaelispor over 1.5 in 1st half 4.0% 3.9% — — 25.46
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor scores equally in both 52.8% 51.1% — — 1.96
Kocaelispor scores more in 2nd half 29.2% 26.7% — — 3.75
Kocaelispor scores more in 1st half 18.0% 18.1% — — 5.53
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 53.4% 51.7% 36.4% 1.42× 1.93
Eyupspor (away no bet) 46.6% 48.3% 63.6% 0.76× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor even goals 60.5% 59.1% 54.5% 1.08× 1.69
Kocaelispor odd goals 39.5% 41.0% 45.5% 0.90× 2.44
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 96.4% 96.5% — — 1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.37
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 63.6% 57.6% — — 1.74
Not both halves under 1.5 36.4% 42.4% — — 2.36
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 30.9% 29.0% — — 3.45
Eyupspor to score 2+ in a row 17.3% 16.2% — — 6.17
Kocaelispor to score 2+ in a row 15.1% 16.2% — — 6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row 7.0% 5.5% — — 18.11
Eyupspor to score 3+ in a row 3.9% 2.6% — — 38.45
Kocaelispor to score 3+ in a row 3.1% 2.6% — — 38.90
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor corners (+3.5) 90.2% 89.6% — — 1.12
Kocaelispor corners (+2.5) 83.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Eyupspor corners (+3.5) 82.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Kocaelispor corners (+1.5) 74.8% 70.7% — — 1.41
Eyupspor corners (+2.5) 73.0% 70.7% — — 1.41
Eyupspor corners (+1.5) 61.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Kocaelispor corners (-1.5) 38.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
Kocaelispor corners (-2.5) 27.0% 29.3% — — 3.42
Eyupspor corners (-1.5) 25.2% 29.3% — — 3.42
Kocaelispor corners (-3.5) 17.9% 20.2% — — 4.94
Eyupspor corners (-2.5) 16.3% 20.2% — — 4.95
Eyupspor corners (-3.5) 9.8% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 61.7% 48.3% — — 2.07
9-11 corners 25.1% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 13.2% 21.1% — — 4.73
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 91.5% 83.4% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 86.8% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 10.5 corners 80.4% 80.6% — — 1.24
Under 9.5 corners 72.0% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 8.5 corners 61.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 50.1% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 7.5 corners 49.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 8.5 corners 38.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 9.5 corners 28.0% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 10.5 corners 19.6% 19.4% — — 5.17
Over 11.5 corners 13.2% 16.9% — — 5.90
Over 12.5 corners 8.5% 16.6% — — 6.03
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 21.1% 20.1% 8.0% 2.52× 4.98
1-0 15.2% 13.8% 9.3% 1.49× 7.24
1-1 14.4% 11.5% 12.5% 0.92× 8.71
0-1 14.0% 11.5% 6.6% 1.73× 8.71
2-0 7.0% 7.4% 6.0% 1.23× 13.51
0-2 6.0% 7.4% 4.4% 1.68× 13.51
1-2 5.1% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
2-1 5.5% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.51
0-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.73× 58.31
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.32
1-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.31
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.66× 58.32
2-2 2.1% 1.7% 4.6% 0.38× 58.31
2-3 0.6% 1.7% 2.7% 0.65× 58.32
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.94× 58.32
3-0 2.0% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.31
3-1 1.5% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.31
3-2 0.6% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.32
3-3 0.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.29× 58.32
3-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.4% 3.88× 58.32
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 1.8% 0.97× 58.32
4-1 0.3% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.32
4-2 0.1% 1.7% 1.2% 1.46× 58.32
4-3 0.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.33× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.1% 11.64× 58.32
Any other score 0.3% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (2nd half DNB) 50.9% 53.3% — — 1.88
Kocaelispor (2nd half DNB) 49.1% 46.7% — — 2.14
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor leading at HT (DNB) 54.5% 56.6% — — 1.77
Kocaelispor leading at HT (DNB) 45.5% 43.4% — — 2.30
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor or draw (1X) 70.7% 72.1% 71.1% 1.01× 1.39
Kocaelispor or draw (X2) 67.1% 69.6% 54.6% 1.27× 1.44
Eyupspor or Kocaelispor (12) 62.2% 63.6% 74.1% 0.86× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor or draw at HT 80.6% 83.8% — — 1.19
Kocaelispor or draw at HT 76.8% 79.4% — — 1.26
Eyupspor or Kocaelispor at HT 42.7% 42.7% — — 2.34
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor or draw (1UP) 70.7% 79.4% — — 1.26
Kocaelispor or draw (1UP) 67.1% 76.3% — — 1.31
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor or draw in 2nd half 74.9% 74.0% — — 1.35
Kocaelispor or draw in 2nd half 74.0% 74.0% — — 1.35
Eyupspor or Kocaelispor in 2nd half 51.1% 54.3% — — 1.84
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 76.9% 77.4% — — 1.29
Neither half drawn 23.1% 22.6% — — 4.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (DNB) 52.9% 50.9% 61.1% 0.83× 1.96
Kocaelispor (DNB) 47.1% 49.1% 38.9% 1.26× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to score first 41.0% 41.6% — — 2.41
Kocaelispor to score first 37.9% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 21.1% 22.4% — — 4.46
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 67.7% 58.5% 44.5% 1.31× 1.71
Both teams to score 32.3% 41.5% 55.5% 0.75× 2.41
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 63.3% 50.5% 33.7% 1.50× 1.98
Both score & over 2.5 17.9% 21.6% 43.2% 0.50× 4.64
Both score & under 2.5 14.4% 12.4% 12.5% 0.99× 8.08
Not both score & over 2.5 4.4% 4.7% 10.9% 0.43× 21.15
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 96.2% 91.6% 83.4% 1.10× 1.09
Both teams to score 2+ 3.8% 8.4% 16.6% 0.50× 11.92
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 85.3% 85.6% — — 1.17
Both teams to score in 2nd half 14.7% 14.4% — — 6.95
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 78.0% 76.1% — — 1.31
Both score 2nd half only 13.6% 10.8% — — 9.26
Both score 1st half only 7.2% 6.8% — — 14.67
Both score in both halves 1.2% 4.8% — — 20.90
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 91.6% 92.0% — — 1.09
Both teams to score by HT 8.4% 8.0% — — 12.51
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 69.2% 66.1% — — 1.51
A goal in each half 30.8% 33.9% — — 2.95
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.5% 42.1% 45.7% 0.92× 2.37
0-1 goals 50.3% 41.2% 23.6% 1.75× 2.43
4-6 goals 8.1% 7.6% 28.4% 0.27× 13.13
7+ goals 0.1% 1.8% 2.7% 0.69× 54.52
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor to score exactly 0 45.8% 42.8% 30.2% 1.42× 2.33
Kocaelispor to score exactly 1 35.8% 35.9% 35.2% 1.02× 2.78
Kocaelispor to score exactly 2 13.9% 12.9% 21.1% 0.61× 7.75
Kocaelispor to score 3+ 4.5% 4.6% 13.8% 0.33× 21.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to score exactly 1 36.3% 35.6% 32.0% 1.11× 2.81
Eyupspor to score exactly 0 43.0% 35.3% 22.2% 1.59× 2.84
Eyupspor to score exactly 2 15.3% 18.7% 23.9% 0.79× 5.34
Eyupspor to score 3+ 5.4% 10.3% 22.2% 0.46× 9.71
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 57.3% 57.3% — — 1.75
Eyupspor leading at HT 23.2% 20.6% — — 4.86
Kocaelispor leading at HT 19.4% 16.2% — — 6.19
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor -1: 2 67.1% 68.0% — — 1.47
Eyupspor -1: X 21.4% 23.5% — — 4.26
Eyupspor -1: 1 11.6% 13.9% — — 7.21
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor (0:1) 67.1% 65.2% 54.6% 1.19× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 21.4% 24.2% 24.0% 1.01× 4.13
Eyupspor (0:1) 11.6% 13.7% 21.5% 0.64× 7.30
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor (0:2) 88.4% 87.1% 78.5% 1.11× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.7% 7.7% 11.6% 0.66× 13.03
Eyupspor (0:2) 2.9% 3.7% 10.0% 0.37× 26.71
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor (0:3) 97.1% 96.6% 90.0% 1.07× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.3% 2.4% 6.6% 0.36× 42.13
Eyupspor (0:3) 0.6% 2.4% 3.5% 0.67× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor (0:4) 99.4% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 2.5% 0.49× 82.12
Eyupspor (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.03× 82.16
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (1:0) 70.7% 72.4% 71.1% 1.02× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 19.6% 17.1% 15.9% 1.08× 5.84
Kocaelispor (1:0) 9.7% 6.9% 13.1% 0.53× 14.44
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor (2:0) 90.3% 93.9% 86.9% 1.08× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 7.4% 6.4% 7.8% 0.82× 15.67
Kocaelispor (2:0) 2.2% 2.3% 5.4% 0.42× 43.75
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 39.4% 39.4% — — 2.54
Halves equal 36.6% 36.6% — — 2.73
1st half highest scoring 24.1% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to concede 54.2% 53.2% 69.8% 0.76× 1.88
Eyupspor clean sheet 45.8% 46.8% 30.2% 1.55× 2.14
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor clean sheet in 1st half 73.2% 66.9% — — 1.50
Eyupspor to concede in 1st half 26.8% 33.1% — — 3.02
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor clean sheet in 2nd half 62.6% 59.9% — — 1.67
Eyupspor to concede in 2nd half 37.4% 40.1% — — 2.49
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 6.5 corners 89.8% 86.3% — — 1.16
Eyupspor under 5.5 corners 81.8% 81.0% — — 1.24
Eyupspor under 4.5 corners 69.8% 66.7% — — 1.50
Eyupspor over 2.5 corners 65.5% 66.7% — — 1.50
Eyupspor under 3.5 corners 53.5% 52.6% — — 1.90
Eyupspor over 3.5 corners 46.5% 47.4% — — 2.11
Eyupspor under 2.5 corners 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.01
Eyupspor over 4.5 corners 30.2% 33.3% — — 3.01
Eyupspor over 5.5 corners 18.2% 19.0% — — 5.25
Eyupspor over 6.5 corners 10.2% 13.7% — — 7.28
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 3.5 goals 98.9% 96.4% 92.6% 1.04× 1.04
Eyupspor under 2.5 goals 94.6% 92.2% 77.8% 1.19× 1.08
Eyupspor under 1.5 goals 79.3% 77.8% 54.1% 1.44× 1.29
Eyupspor over 0.5 goals 57.0% 58.6% 77.8% 0.75× 1.71
Eyupspor under 0.5 goals 43.0% 41.4% 22.2% 1.86× 2.42
Eyupspor over 1.5 goals 20.7% 22.2% 46.0% 0.48× 4.50
Eyupspor over 2.5 goals 5.4% 7.8% 22.2% 0.35× 12.89
Eyupspor over 3.5 goals 1.1% 3.6% 7.4% 0.49× 27.62
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor under 1.5 in 1st half 94.8% 94.9% — — 1.05
Eyupspor under 0.5 in 1st half 69.6% 69.7% — — 1.44
Eyupspor over 0.5 in 1st half 30.4% 30.3% — — 3.30
Eyupspor over 1.5 in 1st half 5.2% 5.1% — — 19.79
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor scores equally in both 50.8% 57.6% — — 1.74
Eyupspor scores more in 2nd half 28.8% 27.9% — — 3.59
Eyupspor scores more in 1st half 20.4% 21.0% — — 4.76
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 56.3% 56.4% 47.3% 1.19× 1.77
Kocaelispor (home no bet) 43.7% 43.6% 52.7% 0.83× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor even goals 59.2% 55.3% 51.0% 1.09× 1.81
Eyupspor odd goals 40.8% 44.7% 49.0% 0.91× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 51.2% 49.9% — — 2.00
HT 1-0 18.2% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 0-1 15.6% 18.5% — — 5.41
HT 1-1 6.0% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 2-0 3.4% 2.4% — — 41.99
HT 0-2 2.5% 2.4% — — 42.05
HT 1-2 0.9% 2.4% — — 42.15
HT 2-1 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.14
Any other HT score 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 2-2 0.2% 2.4% — — 42.20
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 29.4% 27.4% — — 3.66
Eyupspor at HT / Eyupspor at FT 17.7% 16.8% — — 5.96
Kocaelispor at HT / Kocaelispor at FT 14.5% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Eyupspor at FT 14.3% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Kocaelispor at FT 13.7% 12.7% — — 7.90
Eyupspor at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% — — 28.81
Kocaelispor at HT / Draw at FT 3.9% 3.5% — — 28.83
Eyupspor at HT / Kocaelispor at FT 1.1% 3.5% — — 28.93
Kocaelispor at HT / Eyupspor at FT 1.0% 3.5% — — 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor to score last 41.0% 40.1% — — 2.50
Kocaelispor to score last 37.9% 38.8% — — 2.58
No goal scored 21.1% 25.3% — — 3.96
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 78.9% 78.5% — — 1.28
Eyupspor to lead by 1 at any time 44.1% 39.3% — — 2.55
Kocaelispor to lead by 1 at any time 40.7% 39.2% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 26.3% 25.3% — — 3.95
Eyupspor to lead by 2 at any time 14.2% 10.5% — — 9.48
Kocaelispor to lead by 2 at any time 12.1% 10.5% — — 9.52
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 6.1% 6.7% — — 15.02
Eyupspor to lead by 3 at any time 3.4% 1.6% — — 61.65
Kocaelispor to lead by 3 at any time 2.7% 1.6% — — 62.33
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor most corners 50.8% 51.7% — — 1.94
Eyupspor most corners 36.5% 39.3% — — 2.55
Corners level 12.6% 10.4% — — 9.57
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 78.3% 78.7% 85.4% 0.92× 1.27
1-4 goals 76.4% 78.7% 75.4% 1.04× 1.27
1-3 goals 70.7% 72.3% 61.3% 1.18× 1.38
1-2 goals 56.6% 59.1% 38.3% 1.54× 1.69
2-6 goals 49.5% 48.5% 73.9% 0.66× 2.06
2-5 goals 49.0% 48.5% 69.8% 0.69× 2.06
2-4 goals 47.2% 48.5% 59.8% 0.81× 2.06
2-3 goals 41.5% 43.6% 45.7% 0.95× 2.29
3-6 goals 22.1% 24.5% 51.4% 0.48× 4.09
3-5 goals 21.6% 24.5% 47.3% 0.52× 4.09
3-4 goals 19.8% 18.8% 37.3% 0.51× 5.31
4-6 goals 8.1% 8.9% 28.4% 0.31× 11.27
4-5 goals 7.6% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.27
5-6 goals 2.4% 2.6% 14.3% 0.18× 39.15
7+ goals 0.1% 2.5% 2.7% 0.96× 39.25
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Eyupspor never behind 38.2% 44.1% — — 2.27
Kocaelispor never behind 34.8% 36.4% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.3% 50.9% 50.8% 1.00× 1.97
Even number of goals 54.7% 49.1% 49.2% 1.00× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 63.4% 60.8% — — 1.64
Odd goals in 1st half 36.6% 39.2% — — 2.55
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 58.4% 61.2% — — 1.63
Odd goals in 2nd half 41.6% 38.8% — — 2.58
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 99.4% 95.4% 93.2% 1.02× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 97.5% 95.4% 83.2% 1.15× 1.05
Under 3.5 goals 91.8% 92.3% 69.1% 1.34× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 78.9% 77.3% 92.0% 0.84× 1.29
Under 2.5 goals 77.7% 77.3% 46.1% 1.68× 1.29
Under 1.5 goals 50.3% 52.5% 23.6% 2.23× 1.90
Over 1.5 goals 49.7% 47.5% 76.4% 0.62× 2.11
Over 2.5 goals 22.3% 22.7% 53.9% 0.42× 4.40
Under 0.5 goals 21.1% 22.7% 8.0% 2.85× 4.41
Over 3.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 30.9% 0.25× 12.94
Over 4.5 goals 2.5% 4.6% 16.8% 0.27× 21.86
Over 5.5 goals 0.6% 4.6% 6.8% 0.67× 21.89
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.9% 97.2% 97.2% 1.00× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 99.3% 97.2% 92.5% 1.05× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 97.3% 97.2% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 90.4% 92.4% 59.8% 1.54× 1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 69.3% 67.5% 30.4% 2.22× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 30.7% 32.5% 69.6% 0.47× 3.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 9.6% 7.6% 40.2% 0.19× 13.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 2.7% 2.8% 19.6% 0.14× 35.59
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 0.7% 2.8% 7.5% 0.37× 35.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.1% 2.8% 2.8% 1.01× 35.66
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 96.9% 97.5% — — 1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half 85.0% 88.9% — — 1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half 51.2% 54.5% — — 1.84
Over 0.5 in 1st half 48.8% 45.5% — — 2.20
Over 1.5 in 1st half 15.0% 11.1% — — 9.04
Over 2.5 in 1st half 3.1% 2.5% — — 39.31
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 92.9% 90.4% — — 1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.0% 77.7% — — 1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 60.8% 61.2% — — 1.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 39.2% 38.8% — — 2.58
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 25.0% 22.3% — — 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 7.1% 9.6% — — 10.43
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor not to score in both halves 90.0% 85.7% — — 1.17
Eyupspor not to score in both halves 88.4% 85.6% — — 1.17
Eyupspor to score in both halves 11.6% 14.4% — — 6.94
Kocaelispor to score in both halves 10.0% 14.3% — — 7.00
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 32.3% 33.3% 55.5% 0.60× 3.00
Only Eyupspor scores 24.7% 22.3% 22.4% 1.00× 4.49
Only Kocaelispor scores 21.9% 22.3% 14.4% 1.54× 4.49
Neither team scores 21.1% 22.3% 8.0% 2.80× 4.49
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 1 goals 29.2% 24.9% 15.8% 1.58× 4.02
Exactly 2 goals 27.4% 24.9% 22.7% 1.10× 4.02
Exactly 0 goals 21.1% 22.6% 8.0% 2.84× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 14.1% 12.1% 23.1% 0.52× 8.25
Exactly 4 goals 5.7% 7.6% 14.3% 0.53× 13.15
Exactly 5 goals 1.9% 4.5% 10.2% 0.44× 22.39
6 or more goals 0.6% 4.5% 6.8% 0.66× 22.41
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 51.2% 49.9% — — 2.00
1 goal in 1st half 33.9% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 11.8% 10.9% — — 9.21
3+ goals in 1st half 3.1% 2.5% — — 39.31
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 2nd half 39.2% 40.5% — — 2.47
1 goal in 2nd half 35.8% 40.1% — — 2.49
2+ goals in 2nd half 25.0% 29.3% — — 3.41
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor not to win both halves 95.0% 94.2% — — 1.06
Eyupspor not to win both halves 93.8% 94.2% — — 1.06
Eyupspor to win both halves 6.2% 5.8% — — 17.14
Kocaelispor to win both halves 5.0% 5.8% — — 17.23
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor to win neither half 60.5% 64.9% — — 1.54
Eyupspor to win neither half 57.0% 59.1% — — 1.69
Eyupspor to win either half 43.0% 40.9% — — 2.45
Kocaelispor to win either half 39.5% 35.1% — — 2.85
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kocaelispor not to win to nil 78.1% 78.1% 85.6% 0.91× 1.28
Eyupspor not to win to nil 75.3% 78.1% 77.6% 1.01× 1.28
Eyupspor to win to nil 24.7% 21.9% 22.4% 0.98× 4.56
Kocaelispor to win to nil 21.9% 21.9% 14.4% 1.52× 4.57
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 37.8% 34.7% 25.9% 1.34× 2.88
Eyupspor by 1 21.4% 24.1% 24.0% 1.00× 4.15
Kocaelispor by 1 19.6% 17.1% 15.9% 1.07× 5.86
Eyupspor by 2 8.7% 7.2% 11.6% 0.62× 13.90
Kocaelispor by 2 7.4% 7.2% 7.8% 0.92× 13.91
Eyupspor by 3+ 2.9% 2.7% 10.0% 0.27× 36.84
Kocaelispor by 3+ 2.2% 2.7% 5.4% 0.50× 36.86
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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