Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Fagiano Okayama

05:00 UTC

FC Tokyo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 138h before kick-off

Fagiano Okayama win

29.5%

model 32.6%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.8%

FC Tokyo win

43.2%

model 41.6%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.2%
0-1 10.7%
1-0 9.3%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.9%	Under 2.5	52.1%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Fagiano Okayama 1+	69.8%	Fagiano Okayama 2+	33.7%
FC Tokyo 1+	75.1%	FC Tokyo 2+	40.5%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

FC Tokyo (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fagiano Okayama not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 75%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1602 Elo against 1512.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Tokyo have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for Fagiano Okayama and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.20 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.39 for FC Tokyo.

Why Fagiano Okayama

Nothing in the data singles out Fagiano Okayama.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.20 to 1.39. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why FC Tokyo can win

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1602 Elo against 1512. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Fagiano Okayama, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Tokyo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fagiano Okayama: 48% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 7.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Tokyo: 51% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Tokyo are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332642	1.20–1.39	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322841	1.06–1.25	1-1 13%	41%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win	40.8%	42.9%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Fagiano Okayama to win	31.6%	30.4%	43.0%	0.71×	3.29
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & not both score	24.9%	21.8%	17.8%	1.23×	4.58
Fagiano Okayama & not both score	19.0%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
FC Tokyo & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Fagiano Okayama & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	18.1%	0.73×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.6%	8.3%	7.0%	1.19×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & under 3.5	31.8%	30.7%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
FC Tokyo & over 1.5	28.2%	26.1%	21.3%	1.23×	3.84
Fagiano Okayama & under 3.5	25.4%	26.1%	33.1%	0.79×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.5%	21.6%	20.3%	1.06×	4.63
Fagiano Okayama & over 1.5	20.8%	21.6%	30.3%	0.71×	4.63
FC Tokyo & over 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	17.8%	1.21×	4.63
FC Tokyo & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	13.4%	1.61×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Fagiano Okayama & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Fagiano Okayama & over 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
FC Tokyo & under 1.5	12.7%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Fagiano Okayama & under 1.5	10.8%	12.8%	12.8%	1.00×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
FC Tokyo & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.63
Fagiano Okayama & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (1UP)	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Fagiano Okayama (1UP)	46.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2UP)	40.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Fagiano Okayama (2UP)	31.6%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
FC Tokyo to win 2nd half	35.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Fagiano Okayama to win 2nd half	26.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.6%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Fagiano Okayama under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Fagiano Okayama over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.4%	11.4%	—	—	8.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (+2.5)	96.4%	96.3%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
FC Tokyo (+1.5)	87.9%	88.5%	81.9%	1.08×	1.13
FC Tokyo (+0.5)	68.4%	68.7%	57.0%	1.20×	1.46
Fagiano Okayama (+0.5)	59.2%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75
FC Tokyo (-0.5)	40.8%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Fagiano Okayama (-0.5)	31.6%	31.3%	43.0%	0.73×	3.19
Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)	12.1%	11.5%	18.1%	0.64×	8.68
Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)	3.6%	3.7%	6.3%	0.59×	27.09

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to concede	65.5%	72.3%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
FC Tokyo clean sheet	34.5%	27.7%	24.7%	1.12×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 1st half	63.3%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
FC Tokyo to concede in 1st half	36.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 2nd half	54.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Tokyo to concede in 2nd half	45.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 6.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Tokyo over 2.5 corners	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
FC Tokyo under 5.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Tokyo over 3.5 corners	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Tokyo under 4.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Tokyo over 4.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Tokyo under 3.5 corners	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Tokyo over 5.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Tokyo under 2.5 corners	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
FC Tokyo over 6.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
FC Tokyo under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.8%	87.8%	1.00×	1.14
FC Tokyo over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.8%	68.1%	1.05×	1.39
FC Tokyo under 1.5 goals	64.5%	63.2%	68.3%	0.93×	1.58
FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals	35.5%	36.8%	31.7%	1.16×	2.72
FC Tokyo under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.2%	31.9%	0.88×	3.55
FC Tokyo over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	12.2%	1.00×	8.20
FC Tokyo over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	6.3%	—	—	15.99

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo scores equally in both	40.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
FC Tokyo scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
FC Tokyo scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (away no bet)	53.5%	51.7%	62.2%	0.83×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.5%	48.3%	37.8%	1.28×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo even goals	54.1%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
FC Tokyo odd goals	45.9%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.2%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.8%	8.3%	—	—	12.08

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
FC Tokyo to score 2+ in a row	28.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Fagiano Okayama to score 2+ in a row	22.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
FC Tokyo to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.96
Fagiano Okayama to score 3+ in a row	5.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fagiano Okayama corners (+2.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Tokyo corners (+3.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fagiano Okayama corners (+1.5)	73.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Tokyo corners (+2.5)	69.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Tokyo corners (+1.5)	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fagiano Okayama corners (-1.5)	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Fagiano Okayama corners (-2.5)	30.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Tokyo corners (-1.5)	26.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fagiano Okayama corners (-3.5)	21.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Tokyo corners (-2.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
FC Tokyo corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	50.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	38.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.7%	11.5%	10.0%	1.15×	8.72
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.71
1-0	10.8%	11.5%	12.8%	0.90×	8.72
0-0	9.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-2	7.7%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
2-1	7.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
2-0	5.6%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2nd half DNB)	57.1%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Fagiano Okayama (2nd half DNB)	42.9%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo leading at HT (DNB)	52.8%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Fagiano Okayama leading at HT (DNB)	47.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama or FC Tokyo (12)	72.5%	72.1%	73.9%	0.98×	1.39
FC Tokyo or draw (X2)	68.4%	69.6%	57.0%	1.22×	1.44
Fagiano Okayama or draw (1X)	59.2%	57.1%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw at HT	75.3%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Fagiano Okayama or draw at HT	72.3%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Fagiano Okayama or FC Tokyo at HT	52.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw (1UP)	68.4%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Fagiano Okayama or draw (1UP)	59.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw in 2nd half	73.7%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Fagiano Okayama or draw in 2nd half	65.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Fagiano Okayama or FC Tokyo in 2nd half	61.3%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	31.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (DNB)	56.3%	58.1%	42.0%	1.38×	1.72
Fagiano Okayama (DNB)	43.7%	41.9%	58.0%	0.72×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score first	48.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Fagiano Okayama to score first	41.5%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	9.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.6%	51.3%	49.5%	1.04×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.4%	48.7%	50.5%	0.97×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.4%	44.3%	40.2%	1.10×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	33.6%	34.5%	37.2%	0.93×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.2%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.8%	85.6%	86.3%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.2%	14.4%	13.8%	1.04×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.1%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.2%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
A goal in each half	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.1%	30.7%	29.5%	1.04×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.4%	20.2%	20.9%	0.97×	4.95
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
FC Tokyo to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.4%	31.9%	0.86×	3.65
FC Tokyo to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
FC Tokyo to score 3+	13.2%	12.9%	12.2%	1.06×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	36.3%	0.98×	2.81
Fagiano Okayama to score exactly 0	34.5%	32.6%	24.7%	1.32×	3.07
Fagiano Okayama to score exactly 2	19.5%	18.8%	24.5%	0.77×	5.33
Fagiano Okayama to score 3+	9.2%	10.3%	14.8%	0.70×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
FC Tokyo leading at HT	27.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Fagiano Okayama leading at HT	24.7%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo -1: 1	59.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Tokyo -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
FC Tokyo -1: 2	17.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:1)	68.4%	65.3%	57.0%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.60
Fagiano Okayama (0:1)	12.1%	13.7%	18.1%	0.76×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:2)	87.9%	87.1%	81.9%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	13.04
Fagiano Okayama (0:2)	3.6%	3.8%	6.3%	0.60×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:3)	96.4%	96.6%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	42.11
Fagiano Okayama (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	2.2%	1.08×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	82.09
Fagiano Okayama (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.15

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (1:0)	59.2%	58.4%	68.9%	0.85×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	22.9%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61
FC Tokyo (1:0)	17.9%	17.1%	11.9%	1.44×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama (2:0)	82.1%	84.6%	88.1%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.8%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.73
FC Tokyo (2:0)	6.1%	6.4%	5.9%	1.07×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to concede	71.3%	73.1%	68.1%	1.07×	1.37
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet	28.7%	26.9%	31.9%	0.85×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Fagiano Okayama to concede in 1st half	39.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama over 2.5 corners	85.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Fagiano Okayama over 3.5 corners	72.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Fagiano Okayama under 6.5 corners	70.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Fagiano Okayama under 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Fagiano Okayama over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Fagiano Okayama under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Fagiano Okayama over 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Fagiano Okayama over 6.5 corners	29.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Fagiano Okayama under 3.5 corners	27.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Fagiano Okayama under 2.5 corners	14.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama under 3.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Fagiano Okayama under 2.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Fagiano Okayama under 1.5 goals	71.3%	74.2%	60.8%	1.22×	1.35
Fagiano Okayama over 0.5 goals	65.5%	67.9%	75.3%	0.90×	1.47
Fagiano Okayama under 0.5 goals	34.5%	32.1%	24.7%	1.30×	3.12
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals	28.7%	25.8%	39.2%	0.66×	3.88
Fagiano Okayama over 2.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	14.8%	0.52×	12.85
Fagiano Okayama over 3.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.57

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Fagiano Okayama under 0.5 in 1st half	63.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Fagiano Okayama over 0.5 in 1st half	36.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	5.3%	—	—	19.04

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama scores equally in both	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Fagiano Okayama scores more in 2nd half	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Fagiano Okayama scores more in 1st half	22.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (home no bet)	59.7%	56.5%	54.4%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.3%	43.5%	45.6%	0.95×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama even goals	56.0%	55.3%	52.7%	1.05×	1.81
Fagiano Okayama odd goals	44.0%	44.7%	47.3%	0.95×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
HT 0-1	19.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	17.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	8.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.90
HT 2-0	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	41.95
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.17

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	21.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Fagiano Okayama at HT / Fagiano Okayama at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Fagiano Okayama at FT	12.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Fagiano Okayama at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
FC Tokyo at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Fagiano Okayama at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
FC Tokyo at HT / Fagiano Okayama at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score last	48.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Fagiano Okayama to score last	41.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	9.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
FC Tokyo to lead by 1 at any time	54.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Fagiano Okayama to lead by 1 at any time	46.7%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.3%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
FC Tokyo to lead by 2 at any time	22.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Fagiano Okayama to lead by 2 at any time	16.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
FC Tokyo to lead by 3 at any time	7.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.95
Fagiano Okayama to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.7%	—	—	60.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama most corners	52.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
FC Tokyo most corners	36.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.9%	83.4%	81.7%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.1%	72.3%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
2-6 goals	66.0%	68.8%	68.0%	1.01×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.9%	63.3%	65.0%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.4%	59.1%	59.2%	1.00×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.7%	48.5%	46.6%	1.04×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.8%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.7%	39.2%	41.1%	0.95×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.2%	35.2%	35.3%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.4%	18.8%	20.9%	0.90×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.3%	18.8%	18.0%	1.05×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.6%	8.9%	8.9%	1.00×	11.27
7+ goals	1.0%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo never behind	43.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Fagiano Okayama never behind	35.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	94.4%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	88.6%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	79.7%	77.3%	76.6%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	70.5%	0.94×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.3%	58.6%	53.4%	1.10×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	40.7%	41.4%	46.6%	0.89×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	29.5%	1.14×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.3%	22.7%	23.4%	0.97×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	12.94
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	11.4%	0.68×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	5.6%	0.81×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	94.0%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.3%	92.4%	87.0%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.5%	72.4%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.2%	55.7%	61.2%	0.91×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.8%	44.3%	38.8%	1.14×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.5%	27.6%	30.5%	0.91×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.7%	7.6%	13.0%	0.59×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	6.0%	0.47×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	75.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama not to score in both halves	83.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
FC Tokyo to score in both halves	20.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
Fagiano Okayama to score in both halves	16.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.4%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Only FC Tokyo scores	24.9%	22.3%	17.8%	1.25×	4.49
Only Fagiano Okayama scores	19.0%	16.0%	25.0%	0.64×	6.23
Neither team scores	9.6%	7.1%	7.0%	1.02×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	24.9%	24.1%	1.03×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.5%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	12.2%	0.99×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.6%	7.6%	7.0%	1.08×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.15
6 or more goals	3.1%	4.5%	5.6%	0.79×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	7.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	25.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama not to win both halves	93.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
FC Tokyo not to win both halves	90.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Tokyo to win both halves	9.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.90
Fagiano Okayama to win both halves	6.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama to win neither half	55.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
FC Tokyo to win either half	53.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
FC Tokyo to win neither half	46.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Fagiano Okayama to win either half	44.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fagiano Okayama not to win to nil	81.0%	83.1%	75.0%	1.11×	1.20
FC Tokyo not to win to nil	75.1%	78.1%	82.2%	0.95×	1.28
FC Tokyo to win to nil	24.9%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.56
Fagiano Okayama to win to nil	19.0%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.5%	27.9%	26.1%	1.07×	3.59
FC Tokyo by 1	22.9%	24.1%	19.4%	1.24×	4.15
Fagiano Okayama by 1	19.5%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.86
FC Tokyo by 2	11.8%	11.7%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
Fagiano Okayama by 2	8.5%	7.2%	12.0%	0.60×	13.90
FC Tokyo by 3+	6.1%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.91
Fagiano Okayama by 3+	3.6%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.82