Fakel Voronezh v Dinamo Moscow — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Fakel Voronezh

11:00 UTC

Dinamo Moscow

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 336h before kick-off

Fakel Voronezh win

18.2%

model 17.0%

Draw

26.6%

model 26.8%

Dinamo Moscow win

55.2%

model 56.2%

182755

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.8%
1-1 12.6%
0-2 11.6%
0-0 9.7%
1-2 9.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.9%	Under 2.5	55.1%
BTTS yes	46.3%	BTTS no	53.7%
Fakel Voronezh 1+	55.7%	Fakel Voronezh 2+	19.6%
Dinamo Moscow 1+	80.9%	Dinamo Moscow 2+	49.4%

Expected goals 0.81 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Dinamo Moscow (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 28%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fakel Voronezh not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Dinamo Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1612 Elo against 1341.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Moscow have an estimated 55.2% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 18.2% for Fakel Voronezh. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.81 for Fakel Voronezh and 1.66 for Dinamo Moscow.

Why Fakel Voronezh

Nothing in the data singles out Fakel Voronezh.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Dinamo Moscow can win

Dinamo Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1612 Elo against 1341. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Fakel Voronezh, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dinamo Moscow, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fakel Voronezh: 45% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dinamo Moscow: 62% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 6.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Dinamo Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 55.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	172756	0.81–1.66	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	192951	0.79–1.45	0-1 14%	39%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to win	51.4%	51.4%	28.0%	1.83×	1.94
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	28.0%	1.00×	3.58
Fakel Voronezh to win	19.2%	19.4%	44.1%	0.44×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow & not both score	33.3%	29.6%	14.8%	2.00×	3.38
Dinamo Moscow & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Draw & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.54
Fakel Voronezh & not both score	11.5%	13.3%	25.4%	0.52×	7.54
Fakel Voronezh & both teams score	7.7%	8.3%	18.9%	0.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow & under 3.5	39.5%	34.9%	20.5%	1.70×	2.87
Dinamo Moscow & over 1.5	37.3%	34.9%	20.5%	1.70×	2.87
Dinamo Moscow & over 2.5	26.2%	26.1%	16.5%	1.58×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.5%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.5%	26.1%	22.2%	1.18×	3.84
Dinamo Moscow & under 2.5	25.2%	26.1%	11.8%	2.21×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	17.5%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
Fakel Voronezh & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	30.9%	0.58×	5.56
Dinamo Moscow & under 1.5	14.1%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Dinamo Moscow & over 3.5	11.9%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Fakel Voronezh & over 1.5	12.1%	12.8%	33.5%	0.38×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	7.3%	1.75×	7.79
Fakel Voronezh & under 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	18.3%	0.70×	7.79
Fakel Voronezh & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	26.0%	0.30×	12.63
Fakel Voronezh & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	10.8%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.81
Fakel Voronezh & over 3.5	3.0%	4.8%	13.4%	0.36×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (1UP)	63.4%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Fakel Voronezh (1UP)	34.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (2UP)	51.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Fakel Voronezh (2UP)	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to win 2nd half	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	39.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.77
Fakel Voronezh to win 2nd half	17.7%	18.2%	—	—	5.51

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Dinamo Moscow over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Dinamo Moscow under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Dinamo Moscow over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.19

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (+2.5)	98.6%	96.3%	89.6%	1.07×	1.04
Dinamo Moscow (+1.5)	93.8%	92.1%	77.4%	1.19×	1.09
Dinamo Moscow (+0.5)	80.8%	82.5%	55.9%	1.48×	1.21
Dinamo Moscow (-0.5)	51.4%	52.4%	28.0%	1.87×	1.91
Fakel Voronezh (+0.5)	48.6%	47.6%	72.0%	0.66×	2.10
Fakel Voronezh (-0.5)	19.2%	17.5%	44.1%	0.40×	5.72
Fakel Voronezh (-1.5)	6.2%	7.9%	22.6%	0.35×	12.70
Fakel Voronezh (-2.5)	1.4%	3.7%	10.4%	0.35×	27.22

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to concede	54.8%	56.0%	78.0%	0.72×	1.78
Dinamo Moscow clean sheet	45.2%	44.0%	22.0%	2.00×	2.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Dinamo Moscow to concede in 1st half	28.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow clean sheet in 2nd half	63.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Dinamo Moscow to concede in 2nd half	36.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow over 2.5 corners	82.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Dinamo Moscow under 6.5 corners	75.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Dinamo Moscow over 3.5 corners	68.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Dinamo Moscow under 5.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Dinamo Moscow over 4.5 corners	51.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Dinamo Moscow under 4.5 corners	48.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Dinamo Moscow over 5.5 corners	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Dinamo Moscow under 3.5 corners	32.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Dinamo Moscow over 6.5 corners	24.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Dinamo Moscow under 2.5 corners	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Dinamo Moscow under 2.5 goals	82.1%	81.5%	88.8%	0.92×	1.23
Dinamo Moscow over 0.5 goals	76.6%	76.3%	67.5%	1.13×	1.31
Dinamo Moscow under 1.5 goals	57.4%	59.4%	70.1%	0.85×	1.68
Dinamo Moscow over 1.5 goals	42.6%	40.6%	29.9%	1.36×	2.46
Dinamo Moscow under 0.5 goals	23.4%	23.7%	32.5%	0.73×	4.21
Dinamo Moscow over 2.5 goals	17.9%	18.5%	11.2%	1.66×	5.39
Dinamo Moscow over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	3.0%	2.51×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Dinamo Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Dinamo Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Dinamo Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	11.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Dinamo Moscow scores equally in both	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Dinamo Moscow scores more in 1st half	23.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	60.6%	61.9%	38.9%	1.59×	1.62
Fakel Voronezh (away no bet)	39.4%	38.1%	61.1%	0.62×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow even goals	52.7%	52.6%	53.3%	0.99×	1.90
Dinamo Moscow odd goals	47.3%	47.4%	46.7%	1.01×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	8.2%	—	—	12.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	53.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	46.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Dinamo Moscow to score 2+ in a row	36.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Fakel Voronezh to score 2+ in a row	13.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Dinamo Moscow to score 3+ in a row	13.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Fakel Voronezh to score 3+ in a row	2.6%	2.6%	—	—	39.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow corners (+3.5)	85.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fakel Voronezh corners (+3.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Dinamo Moscow corners (+2.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fakel Voronezh corners (+2.5)	74.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Dinamo Moscow corners (+1.5)	68.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Fakel Voronezh corners (+1.5)	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Dinamo Moscow corners (-1.5)	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Fakel Voronezh corners (-1.5)	31.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Dinamo Moscow corners (-2.5)	25.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fakel Voronezh corners (-2.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dinamo Moscow corners (-3.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Fakel Voronezh corners (-3.5)	14.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	62.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	37.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.49×	8.72
1-1	13.5%	11.5%	15.0%	0.76×	8.72
0-0	11.9%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.72
0-2	11.2%	11.5%	4.3%	2.69×	8.72
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
0-3	5.4%	7.4%	2.4%	3.04×	13.51
2-1	4.8%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.29
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.31
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.31
2-0	3.3%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	1.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	0.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (2nd half DNB)	70.9%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Fakel Voronezh (2nd half DNB)	29.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	66.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Fakel Voronezh leading at HT (DNB)	34.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw (X2)	80.8%	80.6%	55.9%	1.44×	1.24
Fakel Voronezh or Dinamo Moscow (12)	70.5%	72.1%	72.0%	1.00×	1.39
Fakel Voronezh or draw (1X)	48.6%	48.6%	72.0%	0.67×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw at HT	82.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Fakel Voronezh or draw at HT	66.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Fakel Voronezh or Dinamo Moscow at HT	51.5%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw (1UP)	80.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Fakel Voronezh or draw (1UP)	48.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw in 2nd half	82.3%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Fakel Voronezh or Dinamo Moscow in 2nd half	60.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Fakel Voronezh or draw in 2nd half	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.3%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.7%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (DNB)	72.8%	71.5%	38.9%	1.84×	1.40
Fakel Voronezh (DNB)	27.2%	28.5%	61.1%	0.47×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to score first	56.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Fakel Voronezh to score first	31.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	11.9%	9.8%	—	—	10.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.8%	55.0%	47.2%	1.17×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.2%	45.0%	52.8%	0.85×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.6%	44.3%	37.0%	1.20×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.7%	33.4%	38.0%	0.88×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.4%	15.0%	0.82×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.0%	89.0%	86.8%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.0%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	18.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.64
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.0%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.0%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.0%	47.2%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	33.1%	30.7%	25.4%	1.21×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.1%	20.2%	25.4%	0.80×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to score exactly 1	34.0%	33.8%	37.8%	0.90×	2.96
Dinamo Moscow to score exactly 2	24.7%	22.3%	18.9%	1.18×	4.48
Dinamo Moscow to score exactly 0	23.4%	22.3%	32.5%	0.69×	4.48
Dinamo Moscow to score 3+	17.9%	19.6%	11.2%	1.75×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 0	45.2%	37.3%	22.0%	1.70×	2.68
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	35.2%	1.01×	2.81
Fakel Voronezh to score exactly 2	14.2%	14.3%	24.6%	0.58×	6.98
Fakel Voronezh to score 3+	4.6%	6.2%	18.7%	0.33×	16.07

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Dinamo Moscow leading at HT	34.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Fakel Voronezh leading at HT	17.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow -1: 1	48.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Dinamo Moscow -1: 2	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Dinamo Moscow -1: X	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (0:1)	80.8%	77.8%	55.9%	1.39×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	12.9%	13.7%	21.7%	0.63×	7.29
Fakel Voronezh (0:1)	6.2%	9.2%	22.6%	0.41×	10.86

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (0:2)	93.8%	90.8%	77.4%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	12.4%	0.30×	26.59
Fakel Voronezh (0:2)	1.4%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.79

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (0:3)	98.6%	96.6%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.16
Fakel Voronezh (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Fakel Voronezh (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.2%	1.00×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (1:0)	48.6%	49.3%	72.0%	0.68×	2.03
Dinamo Moscow (1:0)	26.6%	25.0%	11.4%	2.20×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	24.8%	21.7%	16.9%	1.29×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh (2:0)	73.4%	76.6%	88.6%	0.86×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	16.1%	15.8%	7.3%	2.16×	6.34
Dinamo Moscow (2:0)	10.5%	10.3%	4.3%	2.41×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Halves equal	30.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
1st half highest scoring	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to concede	76.6%	76.1%	67.5%	1.13×	1.32
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet	23.4%	23.9%	32.5%	0.74×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet in 1st half	56.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Fakel Voronezh to concede in 1st half	44.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to concede in 2nd half	58.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Fakel Voronezh clean sheet in 2nd half	41.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh over 2.5 corners	80.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Fakel Voronezh under 6.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Fakel Voronezh under 5.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fakel Voronezh over 3.5 corners	65.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fakel Voronezh under 4.5 corners	51.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Fakel Voronezh over 4.5 corners	48.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Fakel Voronezh under 3.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Fakel Voronezh over 5.5 corners	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Fakel Voronezh over 6.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Fakel Voronezh under 2.5 corners	19.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 3.5 goals	99.1%	96.4%	92.7%	1.04×	1.04
Fakel Voronezh under 2.5 goals	95.4%	96.4%	81.3%	1.19×	1.04
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 goals	81.1%	82.2%	56.9%	1.44×	1.22
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	78.0%	0.68×	1.88
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 goals	45.2%	46.8%	22.0%	2.13×	2.14
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 goals	18.9%	17.8%	43.1%	0.41×	5.62
Fakel Voronezh over 2.5 goals	4.6%	3.6%	18.7%	0.19×	27.46
Fakel Voronezh over 3.5 goals	0.9%	3.6%	7.3%	0.49×	27.62

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh under 1.5 in 1st half	95.4%	96.5%	—	—	1.04
Fakel Voronezh under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Fakel Voronezh over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Fakel Voronezh over 1.5 in 1st half	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh scores equally in both	52.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Fakel Voronezh scores more in 2nd half	27.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Fakel Voronezh scores more in 1st half	19.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (home no bet)	63.6%	60.0%	50.0%	1.20×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.4%	40.0%	50.0%	0.80×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh even goals	60.2%	55.9%	50.6%	1.10×	1.79
Fakel Voronezh odd goals	39.8%	44.1%	49.4%	0.89×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	22.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 0-2	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-0	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow at HT / Dinamo Moscow at FT	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Dinamo Moscow at FT	20.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	8.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Dinamo Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Fakel Voronezh at HT / Dinamo Moscow at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.70
Dinamo Moscow at HT / Fakel Voronezh at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to score last	57.1%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Fakel Voronezh to score last	30.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	11.9%	9.2%	—	—	10.89

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.1%	91.3%	—	—	1.10
Dinamo Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Dinamo Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	31.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Dinamo Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 2 at any time	9.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Fakel Voronezh to lead by 3 at any time	2.0%	1.6%	—	—	62.75

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow most corners	46.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Fakel Voronezh most corners	42.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.4%	79.7%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.1%	68.8%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.1%	68.8%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.2%	63.3%	69.5%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.2%	59.1%	61.6%	0.96×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.2%	48.5%	44.7%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.0%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.1%	39.2%	46.7%	0.84×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.2%	39.2%	43.1%	0.91×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.2%	35.2%	35.2%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	18.1%	18.8%	25.4%	0.74×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.2%	18.8%	21.7%	0.87×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.9%	8.9%	11.8%	0.75×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.6%	1.6%	1.57×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow never behind	53.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Fakel Voronezh never behind	24.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	86.8%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.1%	82.3%	73.2%	1.12×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	74.6%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	51.8%	1.19×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	48.2%	0.79×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	25.4%	1.33×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.9%	17.7%	26.8%	0.66×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	7.3%	1.69×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	13.2%	0.59×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.3%	92.4%	84.7%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.3%	75.9%	65.9%	1.15×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.1%	51.9%	65.5%	0.79×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.9%	48.1%	34.5%	1.39×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.7%	24.1%	34.1%	0.71×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.7%	7.6%	15.3%	0.50×	13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.7%	0.49×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.7%	1.66×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to score in both halves	89.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Dinamo Moscow not to score in both halves	74.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Dinamo Moscow to score in both halves	25.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Fakel Voronezh to score in both halves	10.5%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.2%	46.6%	52.8%	0.88×	2.15
Only Dinamo Moscow scores	33.3%	33.3%	14.8%	2.25×	3.00
Neither team scores	11.9%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.06
Only Fakel Voronezh scores	11.5%	11.0%	25.4%	0.43×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.0%	24.9%	26.6%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.1%	22.6%	18.3%	1.23×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	17.5%	21.5%	0.81×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.9%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	11.2%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.15
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.6%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	27.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Dinamo Moscow not to win both halves	85.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Dinamo Moscow to win both halves	14.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Fakel Voronezh to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh to win neither half	68.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Dinamo Moscow to win either half	62.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Dinamo Moscow to win neither half	37.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Fakel Voronezh to win either half	32.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fakel Voronezh not to win to nil	88.5%	88.1%	74.6%	1.18×	1.14
Dinamo Moscow not to win to nil	66.7%	69.6%	85.2%	0.82×	1.44
Dinamo Moscow to win to nil	33.3%	30.4%	14.8%	2.05×	3.29
Fakel Voronezh to win to nil	11.5%	11.9%	25.4%	0.47×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	28.0%	0.99×	3.58
Dinamo Moscow by 1	24.8%	24.1%	16.9%	1.43×	4.15
Dinamo Moscow by 2	16.1%	17.0%	7.3%	2.33×	5.87
Fakel Voronezh by 1	12.9%	11.8%	21.7%	0.54×	8.51
Dinamo Moscow by 3+	10.5%	11.8%	4.3%	2.75×	8.51
Fakel Voronezh by 2	4.8%	2.7%	12.4%	0.22×	36.75
Fakel Voronezh by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	36.86