Falkirk v Aberdeen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Falkirk

15:00 UTC

Aberdeen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,108h before kick-off

Falkirk win

47.1%

model 47.5%

Draw

26.5%

model 26.3%

Aberdeen win

26.5%

model 26.2%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.7%
1-1 12.4%
2-0 9.1%
2-1 9.0%
0-1 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.1%	Under 2.5	55.9%
BTTS yes	48.0%	BTTS no	52.0%
Falkirk 1+	76.4%	Falkirk 2+	42.3%
Aberdeen 1+	63.1%	Aberdeen 2+	26.3%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

57.2% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Aberdeen not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Falkirk carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1399.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Falkirk have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for Aberdeen. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Falkirk and 1.00 for Aberdeen.

Why Falkirk

Falkirk carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1399.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Aberdeen can win

Nothing in the data singles out Aberdeen.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Aberdeen, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Aberdeen: 45% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Falkirk are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482626	1.44–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502724	1.43–0.90	1-0 14%	41%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win	49.7%	47.4%	45.9%	1.03×	2.11
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58
Aberdeen to win	23.7%	24.5%	31.0%	0.79×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk & not both score	31.2%	29.6%	27.5%	1.08×	3.38
Falkirk & both teams score	18.4%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Aberdeen & not both score	14.3%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.6%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	11.99
Aberdeen & both teams score	9.4%	8.3%	16.3%	0.51×	11.99

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk & under 3.5	37.8%	34.9%	30.2%	1.16×	2.87
Falkirk & over 1.5	35.5%	34.9%	36.6%	0.95×	2.87
Falkirk & over 2.5	25.5%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Falkirk & under 2.5	24.1%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Aberdeen & under 3.5	19.6%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Aberdeen & over 1.5	14.8%	12.8%	24.4%	0.53×	7.79
Falkirk & under 1.5	14.1%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Aberdeen & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Falkirk & over 3.5	11.8%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Aberdeen & over 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Aberdeen & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81
Aberdeen & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (1UP)	62.2%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Aberdeen (1UP)	39.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2UP)	49.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Aberdeen (2UP)	23.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win 2nd half	39.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	38.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Aberdeen to win 2nd half	22.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.4%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.6%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (+2.5)	90.6%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Falkirk (+0.5)	76.3%	78.5%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Aberdeen (+1.5)	75.6%	78.5%	73.6%	1.07×	1.27
Aberdeen (+0.5)	50.3%	52.4%	54.1%	0.97×	1.91
Falkirk (-0.5)	49.7%	47.6%	45.9%	1.04×	2.10
Falkirk (-1.5)	24.4%	21.5%	26.4%	0.81×	4.65
Aberdeen (-0.5)	23.7%	21.5%	31.0%	0.69×	4.65
Falkirk (-2.5)	9.4%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to concede	76.0%	78.7%	79.5%	0.99×	1.27
Aberdeen clean sheet	24.0%	21.3%	20.5%	1.04×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Aberdeen to concede in 1st half	45.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to concede in 2nd half	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aberdeen clean sheet in 2nd half	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 6.5 corners	83.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Aberdeen over 2.5 corners	75.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Aberdeen under 5.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Aberdeen under 4.5 corners	58.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aberdeen over 3.5 corners	58.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aberdeen under 3.5 corners	41.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Aberdeen over 4.5 corners	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Aberdeen over 5.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Aberdeen under 2.5 corners	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Aberdeen over 6.5 corners	16.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Aberdeen under 2.5 goals	93.8%	92.4%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Aberdeen under 1.5 goals	77.4%	76.2%	63.2%	1.21×	1.31
Aberdeen over 0.5 goals	59.1%	59.4%	66.9%	0.89×	1.68
Aberdeen under 0.5 goals	40.9%	40.6%	33.1%	1.23×	2.47
Aberdeen over 1.5 goals	22.6%	23.8%	36.8%	0.65×	4.21
Aberdeen over 2.5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	14.5%	0.53×	13.08
Aberdeen over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen under 1.5 in 1st half	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Aberdeen under 0.5 in 1st half	69.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Aberdeen over 0.5 in 1st half	30.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Aberdeen over 1.5 in 1st half	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.72

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen scores equally in both	49.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Aberdeen scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Aberdeen scores more in 1st half	19.2%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (away no bet)	65.1%	66.4%	66.3%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.9%	33.6%	33.7%	1.00×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen even goals	58.3%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Aberdeen odd goals	41.7%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.1%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.9%	8.9%	—	—	11.27

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.5%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.4%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Aberdeen to score 2+ in a row	16.6%	16.1%	—	—	6.20
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.9%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	12.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Aberdeen to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	91.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	79.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Aberdeen corners (+3.5)	71.1%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Aberdeen corners (+2.5)	61.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Aberdeen corners (+1.5)	50.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	49.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	38.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	28.9%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Aberdeen corners (-1.5)	20.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Aberdeen corners (-2.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Aberdeen corners (-3.5)	8.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	14.1%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-0	9.6%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-1	8.9%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
2-0	10.0%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-1	4.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	63.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Aberdeen (2nd half DNB)	36.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	66.2%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Aberdeen leading at HT (DNB)	33.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw (1X)	76.3%	75.5%	69.0%	1.09×	1.32
Falkirk or Aberdeen (12)	73.4%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Aberdeen or draw (X2)	50.3%	52.6%	54.1%	0.97×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw at HT	82.0%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Aberdeen or draw at HT	64.6%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Falkirk or Aberdeen at HT	53.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	76.3%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Aberdeen or draw (1UP)	50.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	77.6%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk or Aberdeen in 2nd half	61.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Aberdeen or draw in 2nd half	60.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (DNB)	67.7%	67.5%	59.7%	1.13×	1.48
Aberdeen (DNB)	32.3%	32.5%	40.3%	0.81×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score first	55.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Aberdeen to score first	34.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	9.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.08

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.2%	55.0%	47.7%	1.15×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.8%	45.0%	52.3%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.6%	44.3%	34.1%	1.30×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.5%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.6%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.4%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.9%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.9%	15.1%	—	—	6.62
Both score 1st half only	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.51

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.2%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.8%	15.2%	—	—	6.56

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	54.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	46.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	32.7%	30.7%	21.7%	1.42×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.6%	20.3%	31.2%	0.65×	4.94
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.47

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to score exactly 0	40.9%	37.3%	33.1%	1.13×	2.68
Aberdeen to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Aberdeen to score exactly 2	16.4%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
Aberdeen to score 3+	6.2%	8.5%	14.5%	0.59×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Falkirk to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Falkirk to score exactly 0	24.0%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29
Falkirk to score 3+	17.4%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.6%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Falkirk leading at HT	35.4%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Aberdeen leading at HT	18.0%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk -1: 2	50.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Falkirk -1: X	25.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Falkirk -1: 1	24.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:1)	50.3%	51.2%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	25.2%	27.0%	19.6%	1.38×	3.70
Falkirk (0:1)	24.4%	24.2%	26.4%	0.92×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:2)	75.6%	79.4%	73.6%	1.08×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	15.0%	11.0%	14.5%	0.76×	9.09
Falkirk (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:3)	90.6%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.26
Falkirk (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen (0:4)	97.0%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.73
Falkirk (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (1:0)	76.3%	78.5%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.8%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
Aberdeen (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2:0)	92.1%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	7.6%	0.83×	15.68
Aberdeen (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.6%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	59.1%	60.7%	66.9%	0.91×	1.65
Falkirk clean sheet	40.9%	39.3%	33.1%	1.19×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	69.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	30.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	41.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	88.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	64.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	63.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	49.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	36.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	36.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	11.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	76.0%	77.8%	79.5%	0.98×	1.29
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	58.2%	58.7%	51.4%	1.14×	1.71
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	41.8%	41.3%	48.6%	0.85×	2.42
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	24.0%	22.2%	20.5%	1.09×	4.50
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.62
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	37.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	25.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.9%	51.4%	43.0%	1.20×	1.94
Aberdeen (home no bet)	47.1%	48.6%	57.0%	0.85×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	52.9%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Falkirk odd goals	47.1%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.8%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Aberdeen at HT / Aberdeen at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Aberdeen at FT	10.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Aberdeen at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Aberdeen at HT / Falkirk at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Falkirk at HT / Aberdeen at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score last	55.5%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Aberdeen to score last	34.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	9.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.4%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	62.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Aberdeen to lead by 1 at any time	39.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	29.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Aberdeen to lead by 2 at any time	11.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Aberdeen to lead by 3 at any time	2.7%	1.6%	—	—	62.61

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk most corners	60.7%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Aberdeen most corners	29.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.7%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.8%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-6 goals	66.3%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
2-5 goals	64.2%	63.3%	71.1%	0.89×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.7%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.3%	48.5%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.0%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	37.9%	39.2%	49.6%	0.79×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.4%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	19.6%	18.8%	31.2%	0.60×	5.31
4-5 goals	17.4%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.31
5-6 goals	7.7%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.26
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.9%	1.37×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk never behind	51.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Aberdeen never behind	28.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.9%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	79.4%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	67.3%	66.3%	78.3%	0.85×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	43.2%	1.36×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	56.8%	0.73×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	32.7%	33.7%	21.7%	1.55×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	20.6%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.92
Over 4.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	14.7%	0.53×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.1%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.7%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.2%	92.4%	82.1%	1.13×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.2%	72.4%	56.8%	1.27×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.7%	55.8%	72.4%	0.77×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.3%	44.2%	27.6%	1.60×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.8%	27.6%	43.2%	0.64×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.8%	7.6%	17.9%	0.42×	13.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.3%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.5%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to score in both halves	87.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Falkirk not to score in both halves	74.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Falkirk to score in both halves	25.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Aberdeen to score in both halves	12.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.8%	46.6%	52.3%	0.89×	2.15
Only Falkirk scores	31.2%	33.3%	27.5%	1.21×	3.01
Only Aberdeen scores	14.3%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.06
Neither team scores	9.6%	7.2%	5.8%	1.24×	13.98

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.3%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	23.1%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	11.9%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	9.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	5.5%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.15
6 or more goals	3.1%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	7.5%	7.2%	—	—	13.90

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	25.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Falkirk not to win both halves	86.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Falkirk to win both halves	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Aberdeen to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen to win neither half	63.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Falkirk to win either half	60.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Falkirk to win neither half	39.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Aberdeen to win either half	36.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aberdeen not to win to nil	85.7%	88.1%	85.1%	1.04×	1.14
Falkirk not to win to nil	68.8%	69.7%	72.5%	0.96×	1.44
Falkirk to win to nil	31.2%	30.3%	27.5%	1.10×	3.30
Aberdeen to win to nil	14.3%	11.9%	14.9%	0.80×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Falkirk by 1	25.2%	27.9%	19.6%	1.42×	3.59
Aberdeen by 1	15.8%	17.0%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
Falkirk by 2	15.0%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.50
Falkirk by 3+	9.4%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
Aberdeen by 2	5.9%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.92
Aberdeen by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.91