Falkirk v Celtic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Falkirk

15:00 UTC

Celtic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 100h before kick-off

Falkirk win

9.9%

model 12.1%

Draw

17.4%

model 17.5%

Celtic win

72.7%

model 70.4%

101773

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 11.6%
0-1 10.2%
1-2 9.6%
0-3 8.9%
1-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.4%	Under 2.5	39.6%
BTTS yes	50.6%	BTTS no	49.4%
Falkirk 1+	56.4%	Falkirk 2+	20.2%
Celtic 1+	89.9%	Celtic 2+	66.8%

Expected goals 0.83 – 2.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Celtic (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 31%

73.1% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1214 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Falkirk not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 72.7% win probability, against 17.4% for the draw and 9.9% for Falkirk. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.83 for Falkirk and 2.29 for Celtic.

Why Falkirk

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.4%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Celtic can win

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic: 62% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 72.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 11.6%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	121870	0.83–2.30	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	141966	0.88–2.14	0-2 11%	58%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	66.3%	64.7%	31.0%	2.09×	1.55
Draw	19.2%	19.4%	23.3%	0.83×	5.15
Falkirk to win	14.5%	13.5%	45.9%	0.29×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & not both score	36.7%	33.3%	14.9%	2.24×	3.00
Celtic & both teams score	29.6%	25.2%	16.3%	1.54×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Falkirk & both teams score	7.4%	8.3%	18.6%	0.45×	12.00
Falkirk & not both score	7.0%	8.3%	27.5%	0.30×	12.00
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.48

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	55.7%	54.8%	24.4%	2.25×	1.83
Celtic & over 2.5	44.5%	40.3%	20.5%	1.97×	2.48
Celtic & under 3.5	39.6%	34.9%	22.5%	1.55×	2.87
Celtic & over 3.5	26.7%	26.1%	8.7%	3.00×	3.84
Celtic & under 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	10.7%	2.01×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	14.5%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.9%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.9%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.79
Falkirk & under 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	30.2%	0.43×	7.79
Celtic & under 1.5	10.6%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Falkirk & over 1.5	10.0%	12.8%	36.6%	0.35×	7.79
Falkirk & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	28.1%	0.28×	12.63
Falkirk & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.81
Falkirk & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	9.5%	0.51×	20.81
Falkirk & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	15.9%	0.30×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	77.1%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Falkirk (1UP)	31.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	66.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Falkirk (2UP)	14.5%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	56.0%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
2nd half drawn	29.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Falkirk to win 2nd half	14.6%	11.4%	—	—	8.76

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Celtic under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Celtic over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
Celtic under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.9%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.1%	6.3%	—	—	16.00

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+2.5)	98.9%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Celtic (+1.5)	95.5%	96.3%	73.6%	1.31×	1.04
Celtic (+0.5)	85.5%	88.5%	54.1%	1.63×	1.13
Celtic (-0.5)	66.3%	68.7%	31.0%	2.22×	1.46
Falkirk (+0.5)	33.7%	31.3%	69.0%	0.45×	3.19
Falkirk (-0.5)	14.5%	11.5%	45.9%	0.25×	8.66
Falkirk (-1.5)	4.5%	3.7%	26.4%	0.14×	27.05
Falkirk (-2.5)	1.1%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.27

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	58.5%	62.5%	79.5%	0.79×	1.60
Celtic clean sheet	41.5%	37.5%	20.5%	1.83×	2.67

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	68.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Celtic to concede in 1st half	31.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 2nd half	60.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Celtic to concede in 2nd half	39.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	89.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Celtic over 3.5 corners	79.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Celtic over 4.5 corners	65.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Celtic under 6.5 corners	61.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Celtic over 5.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Celtic under 5.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Celtic over 6.5 corners	38.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Celtic under 4.5 corners	34.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Celtic under 3.5 corners	21.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Celtic under 2.5 corners	10.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 goals	88.2%	87.8%	66.9%	1.31×	1.14
Celtic under 3.5 goals	83.2%	81.5%	96.3%	0.85×	1.23
Celtic under 2.5 goals	64.0%	63.2%	85.5%	0.74×	1.58
Celtic over 1.5 goals	62.9%	63.2%	36.8%	1.72×	1.58
Celtic under 1.5 goals	37.1%	36.8%	63.2%	0.58×	2.72
Celtic over 2.5 goals	36.0%	36.8%	14.5%	2.54×	2.72
Celtic over 3.5 goals	16.8%	18.5%	3.7%	4.97×	5.41
Celtic under 0.5 goals	11.8%	12.2%	33.1%	0.37×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic scores more in 2nd half	46.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Celtic scores equally in both	28.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Celtic scores more in 1st half	24.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	57.1%	57.3%	33.7%	1.70×	1.74
Falkirk (away no bet)	42.9%	42.7%	66.3%	0.64×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	50.7%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Celtic odd goals	49.3%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.5%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	55.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	27.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic corners (+2.5)	85.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Celtic corners (+1.5)	78.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	71.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	61.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	51.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Celtic corners (-1.5)	48.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Celtic corners (-2.5)	38.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Celtic corners (-3.5)	28.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	21.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	14.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	27.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	11.2%	11.5%	4.1%	2.78×	8.72
0-1	10.6%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
1-1	9.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-3	8.0%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.51
1-3	7.0%	7.4%	3.1%	2.39×	13.51
Any other score	6.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.29
0-4	4.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.30
1-0	4.4%	1.7%	9.5%	0.18×	58.29
1-4	3.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.30
2-0	1.9%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.31
2-1	4.1%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.32
3-1	1.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2nd half DNB)	79.3%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	20.7%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	74.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	25.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (X2)	85.5%	86.5%	54.1%	1.60×	1.16
Falkirk or Celtic (12)	80.8%	80.6%	76.7%	1.05×	1.24
Falkirk or draw (1X)	33.7%	35.3%	69.0%	0.51×	2.83

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	84.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk or Celtic at HT	60.7%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Falkirk or draw at HT	54.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	85.5%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	33.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	85.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Falkirk or Celtic in 2nd half	70.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	44.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	82.1%	80.4%	40.3%	1.99×	1.24
Falkirk (DNB)	17.9%	19.6%	59.7%	0.33×	5.09

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	67.4%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Falkirk to score first	27.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
No goal scored	4.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.70

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.5%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.5%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.4%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	32.9%	34.6%	34.1%	1.01×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	15.6%	21.5%	13.8%	1.55×	4.66
Both score & under 2.5	9.1%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.1%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.9%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.6%	42.2%	45.7%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.2%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.8%	20.3%	21.7%	0.93×	4.94
7+ goals	3.4%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score 3+	36.0%	35.9%	14.5%	2.48×	2.79
Celtic to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.64
Celtic to score exactly 1	25.3%	27.4%	30.4%	0.90×	3.65
Celtic to score exactly 0	11.8%	12.9%	33.1%	0.39×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Falkirk to score exactly 0	41.5%	35.1%	20.5%	1.72×	2.85
Falkirk to score exactly 2	16.1%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.32
Falkirk to score 3+	6.0%	10.3%	23.8%	0.43×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT	45.1%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Draw at HT	39.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Falkirk leading at HT	15.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 2	42.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Celtic -1: 1	33.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Celtic -1: X	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:1)	85.5%	89.1%	54.1%	1.65×	1.12
Draw (0:1)	10.0%	9.3%	19.6%	0.47×	10.77
Falkirk (0:1)	4.5%	5.7%	26.4%	0.22×	17.41

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:2)	95.5%	94.1%	73.6%	1.28×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	3.4%	3.7%	14.5%	0.26×	26.70
Falkirk (0:2)	1.1%	3.7%	12.2%	0.31×	26.84

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:3)	98.9%	96.7%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.10
Falkirk (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Falkirk (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.97
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1:0)	42.2%	43.4%	13.4%	3.23×	2.30
Falkirk (1:0)	33.7%	30.1%	69.0%	0.44×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	24.0%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2:0)	57.8%	61.9%	86.6%	0.72×	1.62
Celtic (2:0)	22.2%	19.2%	6.0%	3.20×	5.22
Draw (2:0)	20.1%	19.0%	7.6%	2.48×	5.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	88.2%	85.6%	66.9%	1.28×	1.17
Falkirk clean sheet	11.8%	14.4%	33.1%	0.43×	6.96

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	57.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	42.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	72.2%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	27.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	80.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	69.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	19.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	98.8%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	76.2%	1.21×	1.08
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	78.0%	77.8%	51.4%	1.51×	1.29
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	58.5%	58.7%	79.5%	0.74×	1.71
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	41.5%	41.3%	20.5%	2.02×	2.42
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	22.0%	22.2%	48.6%	0.46×	4.50
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	23.8%	0.33×	12.85
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	1.2%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.63

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	68.5%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	5.1%	—	—	19.63

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	49.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	29.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	20.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (home no bet)	77.5%	78.0%	57.0%	1.37×	1.28
Draw (home no bet)	22.5%	22.0%	43.0%	0.51×	4.54

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	58.6%	55.3%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Falkirk odd goals	41.4%	44.7%	48.3%	0.92×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 0-1	24.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
HT 1-0	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-0	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.28
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	40.5%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	22.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	7.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	5.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Falkirk at HT / Celtic at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Celtic at HT / Falkirk at FT	1.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.00

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	67.4%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Falkirk to score last	27.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	4.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.70

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	77.1%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	31.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	25.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	8.3%	6.7%	—	—	15.00
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	59.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Falkirk most corners	30.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	76.8%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.5%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.6%	59.1%	61.6%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.6%	53.2%	55.2%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.5%	48.5%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.6%	43.6%	45.7%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.2%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.2%	35.2%	31.2%	1.13×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.1%	30.2%	25.6%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.3%	18.8%	13.0%	1.45×	5.31
7+ goals	3.4%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	63.4%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Falkirk never behind	18.1%	18.4%	—	—	5.45

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.4%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	85.3%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.2%	82.3%	78.3%	1.05×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.4%	61.7%	67.1%	0.92×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.0%	58.6%	56.8%	1.03×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.0%	41.4%	43.2%	0.96×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.6%	38.3%	32.9%	1.17×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.8%	17.7%	21.7%	0.82×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	14.7%	1.21×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.5%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.5%	75.9%	82.1%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.5%	72.4%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.1%	51.9%	56.8%	0.91×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.9%	48.1%	43.2%	1.11×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.5%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.5%	24.1%	17.9%	1.34×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.5%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	87.6%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Celtic not to score in both halves	58.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Celtic to score in both halves	41.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Falkirk to score in both halves	12.4%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.5%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Celtic scores	36.7%	39.9%	14.9%	2.68×	2.51
Only Falkirk scores	7.0%	7.1%	27.5%	0.26×	14.01
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.53

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	22.2%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	7.4%	1.63×	8.26
6 or more goals	8.5%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.1%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Celtic not to win both halves	74.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Celtic to win both halves	25.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Falkirk to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.30

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Falkirk to win neither half	72.1%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Falkirk to win either half	27.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Celtic to win neither half	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	93.0%	92.1%	72.5%	1.27×	1.09
Celtic not to win to nil	63.3%	66.6%	85.1%	0.78×	1.50
Celtic to win to nil	36.7%	33.5%	14.9%	2.25×	2.99
Falkirk to win to nil	7.0%	7.9%	27.5%	0.29×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic by 1	24.0%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
Celtic by 3+	22.2%	24.1%	6.0%	4.02×	4.15
Celtic by 2	20.1%	24.1%	7.6%	3.15×	4.15
Draw	19.2%	17.1%	23.3%	0.73×	5.86
Falkirk by 1	10.0%	7.2%	19.6%	0.37×	13.90
Falkirk by 2	3.4%	2.7%	14.5%	0.19×	36.87
Falkirk by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.94