Falkirk v Celtic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Falkirk

11:00

Celtic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,337h before kick-off

Falkirk win

13.3%

model 13.7%

Draw

19.1%

model 19.3%

Celtic win

67.6%

model 67.0%

131968

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (999 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-2 11.4%
0-1 10.5%
1-2 9.8%
1-1 9.1%
0-3 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.0%	Under 2.5	42.0%
BTTS yes	51.0%	BTTS no	49.0%
Falkirk 1+	57.6%	Falkirk 2+	21.3%
Celtic 1+	88.4%	Celtic 2+	63.4%

Expected goals 0.86 – 2.15. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 67.6% win probability, against 19.1% for the draw and 13.3% for Falkirk. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.86 for Falkirk and 2.15 for Celtic.

Why Falkirk

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Celtic can win

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1769 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic: 64% possession, 22.2 shots a match, 9.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 67.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 11.4%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	141966	0.90–2.15	0-2 11%	59%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	66.0%	65.0%	30.9%	2.10×	1.54
Draw	19.5%	19.4%	23.4%	0.83×	5.16
Falkirk to win	14.5%	13.4%	45.9%	0.29×	7.49

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & not both score	35.9%	33.2%	14.7%	2.25×	3.01
Celtic & both teams score	30.1%	29.7%	16.4%	1.81×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	17.8%	0.74×	7.54
Falkirk & both teams score	7.7%	8.4%	18.7%	0.45×	11.93
Falkirk & not both score	6.8%	8.4%	27.4%	0.31×	11.93
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	55.9%	54.9%	24.5%	2.24×	1.82
Celtic & over 2.5	45.0%	40.3%	20.5%	1.96×	2.48
Celtic & under 3.5	38.8%	34.9%	22.4%	1.56×	2.86
Celtic & over 3.5	27.2%	26.0%	8.7%	2.99×	3.84
Celtic & under 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	10.6%	2.05×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	14.7%	12.9%	17.8%	0.72×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	14.0%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.0%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.77
Falkirk & under 3.5	10.8%	12.9%	30.1%	0.43×	7.77
Falkirk & over 1.5	10.3%	12.9%	36.7%	0.35×	7.77
Celtic & under 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	6.6%	1.94×	7.77
Falkirk & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	28.2%	0.28×	12.70
Falkirk & under 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	17.8%	0.44×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.92
Falkirk & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	9.3%	0.51×	20.92
Falkirk & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	16.0%	0.30×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	77.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Falkirk (1UP)	32.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	66.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Falkirk (2UP)	14.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	56.0%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
2nd half drawn	29.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Falkirk to win 2nd half	14.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.94

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+2.5)	98.9%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Celtic (+1.5)	95.4%	96.3%	73.4%	1.31×	1.04
Celtic (+0.5)	85.5%	88.5%	54.1%	1.63×	1.13
Celtic (-0.5)	66.0%	68.7%	30.9%	2.22×	1.46
Falkirk (+0.5)	34.0%	31.3%	69.1%	0.45×	3.19
Falkirk (-0.5)	14.5%	11.5%	45.9%	0.25×	8.68
Falkirk (-1.5)	4.6%	3.7%	26.6%	0.14×	26.75
Falkirk (-2.5)	1.1%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	26.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	59.3%	62.8%	79.7%	0.79×	1.59
Celtic clean sheet	40.7%	37.2%	20.3%	1.83×	2.69

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	67.9%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Celtic to concede in 1st half	32.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	89.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Celtic over 3.5 corners	78.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Celtic over 4.5 corners	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Celtic under 6.5 corners	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Celtic over 5.5 corners	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Celtic under 5.5 corners	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Celtic over 6.5 corners	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Celtic under 4.5 corners	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Celtic under 3.5 corners	21.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Celtic under 2.5 corners	10.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 0.5 goals	88.4%	87.9%	67.0%	1.31×	1.14
Celtic under 3.5 goals	82.9%	81.4%	96.3%	0.85×	1.23
Celtic under 2.5 goals	63.5%	63.0%	85.5%	0.74×	1.59
Celtic over 1.5 goals	63.4%	62.9%	36.9%	1.70×	1.59
Celtic under 1.5 goals	36.6%	37.1%	63.1%	0.59×	2.70
Celtic over 2.5 goals	36.5%	37.1%	14.5%	2.55×	2.70
Celtic over 3.5 goals	17.1%	18.6%	3.7%	4.97×	5.39
Celtic under 0.5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	33.0%	0.37×	8.27

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	78.7%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	21.3%	23.7%	—	—	4.23

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	57.3%	57.5%	33.8%	1.70×	1.74
Falkirk (away no bet)	42.7%	42.5%	66.2%	0.64×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	50.7%	52.8%	57.7%	0.91×	1.90
Celtic odd goals	49.3%	47.2%	42.3%	1.12×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	56.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	27.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.72

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Celtic corners (+2.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Celtic corners (+1.5)	77.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	52.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Celtic corners (-1.5)	47.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Celtic corners (-2.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Celtic corners (-3.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	22.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	33.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.0%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	33.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	27.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	11.0%	11.4%	4.1%	2.76×	8.74
0-1	10.1%	11.4%	6.6%	1.72×	8.74
1-1	9.2%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.47
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.47
0-3	7.9%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.47
1-3	7.1%	7.4%	3.1%	2.39×	13.47
Any other score	6.9%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.47
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.50
0-4	4.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.50
1-0	4.2%	1.7%	9.3%	0.18×	58.50
1-4	3.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.50
2-0	1.9%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.51
2-1	4.1%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.50
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.50
2-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.51
2-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.51
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.52
3-1	1.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.52
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.52
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.52
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.52
4-1	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.52
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.75×	58.52
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.24×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	74.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	25.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (X2)	85.5%	86.6%	54.1%	1.60×	1.15
Falkirk or Celtic (12)	80.5%	80.6%	76.6%	1.05×	1.24
Falkirk or draw (1X)	34.0%	35.0%	69.1%	0.51×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	84.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Falkirk or Celtic at HT	60.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk or draw at HT	54.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	85.5%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	34.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	85.3%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
Falkirk or Celtic in 2nd half	70.7%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	44.0%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	82.0%	80.5%	40.3%	2.00×	1.24
Falkirk (DNB)	18.0%	19.5%	59.7%	0.33×	5.13

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	67.2%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Falkirk to score first	28.0%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.5%	51.4%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Not both teams to score	47.5%	48.6%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.3%	41.6%	43.4%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	32.0%	34.3%	33.8%	1.01×	2.92
Not both score & over 2.5	15.6%	21.7%	13.9%	1.56×	4.61
Both score & under 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.6%	85.6%	83.8%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.4%	14.4%	16.2%	0.89×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.8%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.90

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.5%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.5%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.5%	42.1%	45.9%	0.92×	2.38
4-6 goals	32.9%	30.8%	31.3%	0.98×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.1%	20.2%	21.4%	0.95×	4.95
7+ goals	3.6%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.88

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score 3+	36.5%	36.0%	14.5%	2.48×	2.78
Celtic to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	22.6%	1.21×	3.65
Celtic to score exactly 1	25.0%	27.4%	30.3%	0.90×	3.65
Celtic to score exactly 0	11.6%	12.8%	33.0%	0.39×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	31.1%	1.14×	2.81
Falkirk to score exactly 0	40.7%	34.9%	20.3%	1.72×	2.87
Falkirk to score exactly 2	16.4%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.30
Falkirk to score 3+	6.3%	10.3%	23.9%	0.43×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT	45.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	39.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk leading at HT	15.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 2	42.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Celtic -1: 1	34.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Celtic -1: X	23.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:1)	85.5%	88.9%	54.1%	1.64×	1.13
Draw (0:1)	9.9%	9.3%	19.5%	0.48×	10.79
Falkirk (0:1)	4.6%	5.9%	26.6%	0.22×	17.06

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:2)	95.4%	94.0%	73.4%	1.28×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	3.5%	3.8%	14.5%	0.26×	26.53
Falkirk (0:2)	1.1%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.67

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:3)	98.9%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.17
Falkirk (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Falkirk (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.15×	83.61
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	4.8%	0.25×	83.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1:0)	42.3%	42.9%	13.5%	3.18×	2.33
Falkirk (1:0)	34.0%	30.5%	69.1%	0.44×	3.28
Draw (1:0)	23.7%	21.8%	17.6%	1.23×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2:0)	57.7%	63.2%	86.5%	0.73×	1.58
Celtic (2:0)	22.3%	19.1%	6.0%	3.18×	5.23
Draw (2:0)	20.0%	15.8%	7.7%	2.05×	6.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	88.4%	86.2%	67.0%	1.29×	1.16
Falkirk clean sheet	11.6%	13.8%	33.0%	0.42×	7.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	57.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	42.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	54.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	45.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	98.7%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	76.1%	1.21×	1.08
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.7%	51.2%	1.52×	1.29
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	59.3%	58.8%	79.7%	0.74×	1.70
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	40.7%	41.2%	20.3%	2.03×	2.43
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.3%	48.8%	0.46×	4.49
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	23.9%	0.32×	12.93
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	1.3%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	67.9%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	32.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	4.5%	—	—	22.13

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (home no bet)	77.2%	78.7%	56.9%	1.38×	1.27
Draw (home no bet)	22.8%	21.3%	43.1%	0.49×	4.70

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	58.3%	55.5%	51.7%	1.07×	1.80
Falkirk odd goals	41.7%	44.5%	48.3%	0.92×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
HT 0-1	24.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 1-0	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
Any other HT score	6.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.19
HT 1-2	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.76
HT 2-0	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.91
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.93
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	40.4%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Falkirk at HT / Celtic at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Celtic at HT / Falkirk at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	67.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Falkirk to score last	28.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	77.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	48.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	32.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	25.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	8.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.18
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.5%	—	—	64.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	58.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Falkirk most corners	31.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.3%	78.6%	77.0%	1.02×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.9%	78.6%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.8%	59.2%	61.4%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.3%	59.2%	55.4%	1.07×	1.69
3-5 goals	49.9%	48.7%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.5%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.4%	39.2%	37.3%	1.05×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.9%	35.4%	31.3%	1.13×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.5%	30.2%	25.7%	1.17×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.8%	18.6%	13.1%	1.42×	5.37
7+ goals	3.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.36×	39.35

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	63.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Falkirk never behind	18.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.1%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	80.9%	82.4%	78.6%	1.05×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	80.7%	82.4%	85.3%	0.97×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	63.6%	61.7%	67.0%	0.92×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.8%	58.8%	57.1%	1.03×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.2%	41.2%	42.9%	0.96×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	36.4%	38.3%	33.0%	1.16×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.3%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	19.1%	17.6%	21.4%	0.83×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	7.5%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.1%	92.5%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.7%	75.9%	82.0%	0.93×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.5%	75.9%	72.8%	1.04×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.0%	51.8%	56.6%	0.92×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.0%	48.2%	43.4%	1.11×	2.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.5%	24.1%	27.2%	0.88×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.3%	24.1%	18.0%	1.34×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.9%	7.5%	8.1%	0.94×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.8%	2.0%	1.39×	36.31

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.3%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	87.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Celtic not to score in both halves	58.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Celtic to score in both halves	41.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Falkirk to score in both halves	12.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.5%	53.9%	52.5%	1.03×	1.86
Only Celtic scores	35.9%	39.8%	14.7%	2.70×	2.51
Only Falkirk scores	6.8%	7.2%	27.4%	0.26×	13.92
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.1%	22.6%	21.8%	1.04×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.4%	18.5%	0.94×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.3%	12.1%	15.8%	0.77×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	7.5%	1.62×	8.29
6 or more goals	8.9%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
No goals in 2nd half	16.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Celtic not to win both halves	74.7%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Celtic to win both halves	25.3%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Falkirk to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	—	—	36.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	75.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Falkirk to win neither half	71.9%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Falkirk to win either half	28.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Celtic to win neither half	24.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	93.2%	92.0%	72.6%	1.27×	1.09
Celtic not to win to nil	64.1%	66.8%	85.3%	0.78×	1.50
Celtic to win to nil	35.9%	33.2%	14.7%	2.25×	3.01
Falkirk to win to nil	6.8%	8.0%	27.4%	0.29×	12.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic by 1	23.7%	24.2%	17.6%	1.37×	4.14
Celtic by 3+	22.3%	24.2%	6.0%	4.01×	4.14
Celtic by 2	20.0%	17.0%	7.7%	2.21×	5.90
Draw	19.5%	17.0%	23.4%	0.72×	5.90
Falkirk by 1	9.9%	7.3%	19.5%	0.37×	13.79
Falkirk by 2	3.5%	2.7%	14.5%	0.19×	37.03
Falkirk by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	37.10