Falkirk v Motherwell — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Falkirk

19:45 UTC

Motherwell

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 873h before kick-off

Falkirk win

29.4%

model 30.9%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.3%

Motherwell win

43.3%

model 43.8%

292743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
0-1 10.3%
1-2 9.0%
1-0 8.3%
0-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.3%	Under 2.5	49.7%
BTTS yes	53.9%	BTTS no	46.1%
Falkirk 1+	69.9%	Falkirk 2+	33.8%
Motherwell 1+	77.3%	Motherwell 2+	43.6%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.48. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Falkirk under 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 51%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Falkirk not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 73%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Motherwell have an estimated 43.3% win probability, against 29.4% for Falkirk and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.20 for Falkirk and 1.48 for Motherwell.

Why Falkirk

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Motherwell can win

Motherwell carry the stronger rating, 1605 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Motherwell are the model's most likely outcome at 43.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	312544	1.20–1.48	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332740	1.16–1.29	1-1 13%	44%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win	39.7%	36.4%	31.0%	1.17×	2.75
Falkirk to win	33.3%	30.4%	45.9%	0.66×	3.29
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	23.3%	1.20×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & not both score	22.9%	21.8%	14.9%	1.46×	4.59
Falkirk & not both score	19.0%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Motherwell & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.57
Falkirk & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	18.6%	0.71×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.5%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell & under 3.5	29.9%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.84
Motherwell & over 1.5	28.4%	26.1%	24.4%	1.07×	3.84
Falkirk & under 3.5	25.7%	26.1%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
Falkirk & over 1.5	23.2%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Motherwell & over 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	20.5%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Motherwell & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.55
Falkirk & over 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Falkirk & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.56
Motherwell & under 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	6.8%	1.88×	7.79
Falkirk & under 1.5	10.2%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Motherwell & over 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Falkirk & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	15.9%	0.50×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (1UP)	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk (1UP)	49.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2UP)	39.7%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Falkirk (2UP)	33.3%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Motherwell to win 2nd half	34.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Falkirk to win 2nd half	27.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	11.4%	—	—	8.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (+2.5)	95.7%	96.3%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Motherwell (+1.5)	86.4%	88.5%	73.6%	1.20×	1.13
Motherwell (+0.5)	66.7%	68.7%	54.1%	1.27×	1.46
Falkirk (+0.5)	60.3%	62.9%	69.0%	0.91×	1.59
Motherwell (-0.5)	39.7%	37.1%	31.0%	1.20×	2.70
Falkirk (-0.5)	33.3%	31.3%	45.9%	0.68×	3.19
Falkirk (-1.5)	13.6%	11.5%	26.4%	0.44×	8.66
Falkirk (-2.5)	4.3%	3.7%	12.2%	0.30×	27.06

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	68.6%	72.3%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Motherwell clean sheet	31.4%	27.7%	20.5%	1.35×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	60.8%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	39.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	51.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	48.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	89.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	81.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	67.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	51.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	48.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	32.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	10.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.8%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	72.5%	71.8%	66.9%	1.07×	1.39
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	63.0%	63.2%	63.2%	1.00×	1.58
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	37.0%	36.8%	36.8%	1.00×	2.72
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	27.5%	28.2%	33.1%	0.85×	3.55
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	14.5%	0.84×	8.19
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	3.7%	0.68×	39.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores equally in both	39.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (away no bet)	55.3%	57.3%	66.3%	0.86×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	44.7%	42.7%	33.7%	1.27×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	53.8%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Motherwell odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.6%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.9%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	29.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	25.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.04
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	87.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	64.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	12.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	51.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	37.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	13.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
0-1	11.3%	11.5%	6.8%	1.68×	8.72
1-0	10.2%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
0-0	8.5%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-2	7.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	55.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	44.5%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	51.2%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or Motherwell (12)	73.1%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Motherwell or draw (X2)	66.7%	69.6%	54.1%	1.29×	1.44
Falkirk or draw (1X)	60.3%	63.6%	69.0%	0.92×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw at HT	73.7%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk or draw at HT	72.5%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk or Motherwell at HT	53.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	66.7%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	60.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	72.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	65.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Falkirk or Motherwell in 2nd half	62.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (DNB)	54.4%	50.9%	40.3%	1.26×	1.96
Falkirk (DNB)	45.6%	49.1%	59.7%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score first	48.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Falkirk to score first	43.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.4%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.6%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.9%	41.6%	34.1%	1.22×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	36.8%	38.4%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.31

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.2%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.8%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	30.0%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.9%	22.9%	31.2%	0.73×	4.36
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.79
Motherwell to score exactly 0	27.5%	27.5%	33.1%	0.83×	3.64
Motherwell to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
Motherwell to score 3+	14.1%	12.9%	14.5%	0.89×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Falkirk to score exactly 0	31.4%	32.6%	20.5%	1.59×	3.07
Falkirk to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.30
Falkirk to score 3+	11.2%	14.3%	23.8%	0.60×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Motherwell leading at HT	27.5%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Falkirk leading at HT	26.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell -1: 1	60.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Motherwell -1: X	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Motherwell -1: 2	17.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:1)	66.7%	65.2%	54.1%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.8%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61
Falkirk (0:1)	13.6%	13.7%	26.4%	0.52×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:2)	86.4%	87.1%	73.6%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.3%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.04
Falkirk (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	12.2%	0.31×	26.65

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:3)	95.7%	96.6%	87.8%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.00
Falkirk (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.87
Falkirk (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (1:0)	60.3%	65.2%	69.0%	0.94×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	22.0%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61
Motherwell (1:0)	17.7%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2:0)	82.3%	84.6%	86.6%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.5%	10.3%	7.6%	1.35×	9.72
Motherwell (2:0)	6.2%	6.4%	6.0%	1.07×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	72.5%	73.0%	66.9%	1.09×	1.37
Falkirk clean sheet	27.5%	27.0%	33.1%	0.82×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	59.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	40.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	83.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	16.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	88.8%	87.3%	76.2%	1.14×	1.15
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	68.6%	67.9%	79.5%	0.85×	1.47
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	67.8%	67.9%	51.4%	1.32×	1.47
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	32.2%	32.1%	48.6%	0.66×	3.12
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	31.4%	32.1%	20.5%	1.57×	3.12
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	11.2%	12.7%	23.8%	0.54×	7.86
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	5.4%	—	—	18.67

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	33.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (home no bet)	59.6%	56.4%	57.0%	0.99×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.4%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	54.9%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Falkirk odd goals	45.1%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	21.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	18.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Falkirk at HT / Motherwell at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Motherwell at HT / Falkirk at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score last	48.2%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Falkirk to score last	43.3%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.15

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.5%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	54.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	49.2%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	23.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	18.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk most corners	59.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Motherwell most corners	29.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.3%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.8%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.4%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.2%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.1%	63.8%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	47.2%	48.4%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.4%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.1%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.9%	24.4%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.3%	18.8%	25.6%	0.74×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.9%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
7+ goals	1.3%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell never behind	42.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Falkirk never behind	36.7%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.8%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.8%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.0%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.7%	58.6%	43.2%	1.36×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	44.3%	41.4%	56.8%	0.73×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.0%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	23.2%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.2%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.9%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.3%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.6%	72.3%	56.8%	1.27×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.7%	55.8%	72.4%	0.77×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.3%	44.2%	27.6%	1.60×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.4%	27.7%	43.2%	0.64×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.7%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.1%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.58
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.7%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.80

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	81.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Motherwell to score in both halves	21.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Falkirk to score in both halves	19.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.6%	50.7%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Only Motherwell scores	22.9%	22.3%	14.9%	1.50×	4.49
Only Falkirk scores	19.0%	16.0%	27.5%	0.58×	6.23
Neither team scores	8.5%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.7%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.5%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.9%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.9%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	18.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.3%	7.2%	—	—	13.80

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	92.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell not to win both halves	90.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell to win both halves	9.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.97
Falkirk to win both halves	7.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win neither half	53.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Motherwell to win either half	52.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Motherwell to win neither half	47.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Falkirk to win either half	46.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	81.0%	83.1%	72.5%	1.15×	1.20
Motherwell not to win to nil	77.1%	78.1%	85.1%	0.92×	1.28
Motherwell to win to nil	22.9%	21.9%	14.9%	1.47×	4.57
Falkirk to win to nil	19.0%	16.9%	27.5%	0.62×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Motherwell by 1	22.0%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
Falkirk by 1	19.8%	17.1%	19.6%	0.87×	5.86
Motherwell by 2	11.5%	11.8%	7.6%	1.54×	8.51
Falkirk by 2	9.3%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.90
Motherwell by 3+	6.2%	7.2%	6.0%	1.20×	13.92
Falkirk by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	12.2%	0.22×	36.84