Falkirk v St Johnstone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Falkirk

15:00 UTC

St Johnstone

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 604h before kick-off

Falkirk win

47.0%

model 47.5%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.2%

St Johnstone win

26.5%

model 27.3%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
1-0 11.2%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.5%
0-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.8%	Under 2.5	51.2%
BTTS yes	52.0%	BTTS no	48.0%
Falkirk 1+	78.4%	Falkirk 2+	45.2%
St Johnstone 1+	66.6%	St Johnstone 2+	30.0%

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Falkirk under 2.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 76%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Falkirk carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1351.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Falkirk have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for St Johnstone and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.53 for Falkirk and 1.10 for St Johnstone.

Why Falkirk

Falkirk carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1351.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Johnstone can win

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Johnstone: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Falkirk are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472527	1.53–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502525	1.60–1.06	1-1 12%	50%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win	50.2%	51.5%	45.9%	1.12×	1.94
St Johnstone to win	25.2%	27.9%	31.0%	0.90×	3.59
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk & not both score	27.9%	25.2%	27.5%	0.92×	3.97
Falkirk & both teams score	22.3%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Johnstone & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
St Johnstone & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.8%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk & over 1.5	38.9%	34.9%	36.6%	0.95×	2.87
Falkirk & under 3.5	34.7%	30.8%	30.2%	1.02×	3.25
Falkirk & over 2.5	29.9%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Falkirk & under 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
Draw & under 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.55
St Johnstone & under 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
St Johnstone & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Falkirk & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
St Johnstone & over 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Falkirk & under 1.5	11.4%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
St Johnstone & under 2.5	11.4%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
St Johnstone & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
St Johnstone & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (1UP)	64.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
St Johnstone (1UP)	42.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2UP)	50.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
St Johnstone (2UP)	25.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win 2nd half	40.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	35.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	24.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	12.9%	—	—	7.74

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (+2.5)	89.0%	88.5%	87.8%	1.01×	1.13
Falkirk (+0.5)	74.8%	73.7%	69.0%	1.07×	1.36
St Johnstone (+1.5)	73.7%	73.7%	73.6%	1.00×	1.36
Falkirk (-0.5)	50.2%	52.4%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
St Johnstone (+0.5)	49.8%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Falkirk (-1.5)	26.3%	26.3%	26.4%	1.00×	3.80
St Johnstone (-0.5)	25.2%	26.3%	31.0%	0.85×	3.80
Falkirk (-2.5)	11.0%	11.5%	12.2%	0.95×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	79.9%	78.8%	79.5%	0.99×	1.27
St Johnstone clean sheet	20.1%	21.2%	20.5%	1.04×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	50.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	49.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 2nd half	59.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
St Johnstone clean sheet in 2nd half	40.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	89.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	80.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	19.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	11.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	71.5%	71.8%	63.2%	1.14×	1.39
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	65.3%	68.0%	66.9%	1.02×	1.47
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	34.8%	32.0%	33.1%	0.97×	3.12
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	28.5%	28.2%	36.8%	0.77×	3.55
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.05
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.55

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone scores equally in both	44.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
St Johnstone scores more in 2nd half	34.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
St Johnstone scores more in 1st half	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (away no bet)	67.1%	66.4%	66.3%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.9%	33.6%	33.7%	1.00×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	56.0%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
St Johnstone odd goals	44.0%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	39.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	5.0%	2.6%	—	—	37.99

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	94.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	85.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	54.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	45.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	15.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	5.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	28.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
1-1	11.7%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
2-0	9.0%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	6.8%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-1	7.5%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
2-2	5.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
3-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	62.5%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
St Johnstone (2nd half DNB)	37.5%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	65.2%	73.3%	—	—	1.36
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	34.8%	26.7%	—	—	3.75

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or St Johnstone (12)	75.4%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Falkirk or draw (1X)	74.8%	72.1%	69.0%	1.04×	1.39
St Johnstone or draw (X2)	49.8%	48.5%	54.1%	0.90×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw at HT	80.2%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
St Johnstone or draw at HT	62.9%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Falkirk or St Johnstone at HT	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	74.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	49.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	75.8%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk or St Johnstone in 2nd half	64.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	59.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (DNB)	66.6%	67.4%	59.7%	1.13×	1.48
St Johnstone (DNB)	33.4%	32.6%	40.3%	0.81×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score first	56.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
St Johnstone to score first	37.0%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	6.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.0%	51.3%	52.3%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.0%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.3%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	38.6%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.16

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.8%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.5%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.7%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	25.8%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.37

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	34.8%	33.8%	33.1%	1.02×	2.96
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
St Johnstone to score 3+	9.1%	8.6%	14.5%	0.59×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	32.3%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Falkirk to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Falkirk to score 3+	21.8%	23.3%	23.8%	0.98×	4.29
Falkirk to score exactly 0	20.1%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Falkirk leading at HT	37.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
St Johnstone leading at HT	19.8%	16.1%	—	—	6.22

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk -1: 2	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk -1: 1	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Falkirk -1: X	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:1)	49.8%	46.1%	54.1%	0.85×	2.17
Falkirk (0:1)	26.3%	27.0%	26.4%	1.02×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.0%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:2)	73.7%	75.7%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.3%	15.2%	14.5%	1.05×	6.56
Falkirk (0:2)	11.0%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:3)	89.0%	90.6%	87.8%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.24
Falkirk (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	41.97

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:4)	96.2%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.67
Falkirk (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.85

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (1:0)	74.8%	72.5%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.8%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
St Johnstone (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (2:0)	90.7%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.6%	6.4%	7.6%	0.84×	15.67
St Johnstone (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	65.3%	66.6%	66.9%	1.00×	1.50
Falkirk clean sheet	34.8%	33.4%	33.1%	1.01×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	34.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	53.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	47.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	61.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	38.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.09
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	79.9%	77.8%	79.5%	0.98×	1.29
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	78.2%	77.8%	76.2%	1.02×	1.29
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	48.6%	0.96×	2.14
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	21.8%	22.2%	23.8%	0.94×	4.50
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	20.1%	22.2%	20.5%	1.09×	4.50
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	84.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	50.2%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	49.8%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	15.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	38.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Falkirk scores equally in both	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	26.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (home no bet)	50.5%	51.4%	57.0%	0.90×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.5%	48.6%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	52.0%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Falkirk odd goals	48.0%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.8%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	22.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	30.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	10.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
St Johnstone at HT / Falkirk at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Falkirk at HT / St Johnstone at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score last	56.1%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
St Johnstone to score last	37.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	6.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	64.3%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	42.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	32.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.41
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	13.2%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.62

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk most corners	67.5%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
St Johnstone most corners	22.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.4%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.9%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.4%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.8%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.5%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.3%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.5%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.5%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.8%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.4%	24.4%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.2%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk never behind	50.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
St Johnstone never behind	28.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.3%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.3%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.7%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.7%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.2%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.6%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.9%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.5%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.5%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.1%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.4%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.8%	7.6%	8.0%	0.94×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.5%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.5%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Falkirk not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Falkirk to score in both halves	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
St Johnstone to score in both halves	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.0%	53.8%	52.3%	1.03×	1.86
Only Falkirk scores	27.9%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.83
Only St Johnstone scores	13.3%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.06
Neither team scores	6.8%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.9%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.6%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.8%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.8%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.2%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win both halves	95.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Falkirk not to win both halves	85.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Falkirk to win both halves	14.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
St Johnstone to win both halves	4.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.28

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to win either half	62.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
St Johnstone to win neither half	60.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
St Johnstone to win either half	39.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Falkirk to win neither half	37.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win to nil	86.7%	88.1%	85.1%	1.04×	1.14
Falkirk not to win to nil	72.1%	75.3%	72.5%	1.04×	1.33
Falkirk to win to nil	27.9%	24.7%	27.5%	0.90×	4.05
St Johnstone to win to nil	13.3%	11.9%	14.9%	0.80×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Falkirk by 1	24.0%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
St Johnstone by 1	15.8%	17.0%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
Falkirk by 2	15.3%	17.0%	14.5%	1.18×	5.87
Falkirk by 3+	11.0%	11.8%	12.2%	0.96×	8.51
St Johnstone by 2	6.6%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.91
St Johnstone by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.89