Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 26 September 2026 · EUR-Nations League · 2627
EUR-Nations League results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.4%
- 1-0 11.2%
- 2-1 9.7%
- 2-0 9.5%
- 0-1 6.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | Under 2.5 | 48.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.4% | BTTS no | 47.6% |
| Faroe Islands 1+ | 81.9% | Faroe Islands 2+ | 50.9% |
| Kazakhstan 1+ | 63.9% | Kazakhstan 2+ | 27.2% |
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Faroe Islands have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Kazakhstan have allowed 1.35.
- At home Faroe Islands average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Faroe Islands have only 0 matches on record.
- Kazakhstan have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Faroe Islands have an estimated 53.5% win probability, against 24.0% for the draw and 22.6% for Kazakhstan. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for Faroe Islands and 1.02 for Kazakhstan.
Why Faroe Islands
Faroe Islands have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Kazakhstan have allowed 1.35. At home Faroe Islands average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 24.0%.
Why Kazakhstan can win
Kazakhstan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Faroe Islands have allowed 1.35. Away from home Kazakhstan average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Faroe Islands, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kazakhstan, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Faroe Islands: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kazakhstan: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Faroe Islands are the model's most likely outcome at 53.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.71–1.02 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.