FC Alashkert v Pyunik Yerevan — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ARM-Premier League · 2627

ARM-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

FC Alashkert

12:00 UTC

Pyunik Yerevan

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 240h before kick-off

FC Alashkert win

39.1%

model 37.6%

Draw

32.7%

model 33.3%

Pyunik Yerevan win

28.2%

model 29.1%

393328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 15.6%
1-0 14.4%
1-1 14.3%
0-1 12.0%
2-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	30.1%	Under 2.5	69.9%
BTTS yes	38.7%	BTTS no	61.3%
FC Alashkert 1+	64.6%	FC Alashkert 2+	27.9%
Pyunik Yerevan 1+	58.5%	Pyunik Yerevan 2+	22.0%

Expected goals 1.04 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 33%

58.2% fair odds 1.72

strong signal · 7646 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Pyunik Yerevan (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 78%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 13600 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Alashkert have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Pyunik Yerevan have allowed 1.35.
At home FC Alashkert average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
FC Alashkert have only 0 matches on record.
Pyunik Yerevan have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Alashkert have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 32.7% for the draw and 28.2% for Pyunik Yerevan. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.04 for FC Alashkert and 0.88 for Pyunik Yerevan.

Why FC Alashkert

FC Alashkert have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Pyunik Yerevan have allowed 1.35. At home FC Alashkert average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 32.7%. A combined 1.92 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.04 to 0.88.

Why Pyunik Yerevan can win

Pyunik Yerevan have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while FC Alashkert have allowed 1.35. Away from home Pyunik Yerevan average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Alashkert, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Pyunik Yerevan, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Alashkert: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Pyunik Yerevan: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

FC Alashkert are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 15.6%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	383329	1.04–0.88	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	313732	0.81–0.83	0-0 20%	23%	32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert to win	37.6%	37.7%	44.4%	0.85×	2.66
Draw	33.3%	31.5%	25.0%	1.26×	3.17
Pyunik Yerevan to win	29.1%	27.1%	30.6%	0.89×	3.69

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert & not both score	25.9%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.78
Pyunik Yerevan & not both score	19.8%	18.1%	16.0%	1.14×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	18.1%	17.7%	1.03×	5.52
Draw & not both score	15.6%	18.1%	7.3%	2.48×	5.52
FC Alashkert & both teams score	11.7%	12.7%	20.1%	0.63×	7.88
Pyunik Yerevan & both teams score	9.3%	7.7%	14.6%	0.52×	13.07

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert & under 3.5	32.0%	31.8%	30.3%	1.05×	3.15
Draw & under 2.5	29.9%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Draw & under 3.5	29.9%	26.4%	18.8%	1.41×	3.79
Pyunik Yerevan & under 3.5	25.3%	26.4%	21.6%	1.22×	3.79
FC Alashkert & over 1.5	23.2%	21.8%	34.1%	0.64×	4.58
FC Alashkert & under 2.5	22.3%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.64
Pyunik Yerevan & over 1.5	17.1%	17.7%	23.1%	0.77×	5.64
Pyunik Yerevan & under 2.5	17.7%	17.7%	12.2%	1.45×	5.64
FC Alashkert & over 2.5	15.3%	17.7%	26.9%	0.66×	5.64
Draw & under 1.5	15.6%	17.7%	7.3%	2.43×	5.64
FC Alashkert & under 1.5	14.4%	12.4%	10.4%	1.20×	8.05
Pyunik Yerevan & under 1.5	12.0%	12.4%	7.5%	1.65×	8.06
Pyunik Yerevan & over 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	18.4%	0.68×	8.06
FC Alashkert & over 3.5	5.6%	7.6%	14.2%	0.53×	13.21
Pyunik Yerevan & over 3.5	3.9%	4.4%	9.0%	0.49×	22.79
Draw & over 2.5	3.4%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.79
Draw & over 3.5	3.4%	4.4%	6.2%	0.71×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (1UP)	50.1%	54.1%	59.8%	0.90×	1.85
Pyunik Yerevan (1UP)	42.4%	42.4%	50.4%	0.84×	2.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (2UP)	37.6%	38.2%	45.2%	0.84×	2.62
Pyunik Yerevan (2UP)	29.1%	27.9%	34.2%	0.82×	3.59

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.3%	41.5%	32.7%	1.27×	2.41
FC Alashkert to win 2nd half	30.0%	28.4%	37.7%	0.75×	3.52
Pyunik Yerevan to win 2nd half	25.8%	28.3%	29.7%	0.95×	3.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.1%	90.5%	82.3%	1.10×	1.11
Pyunik Yerevan under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.0%	54.9%	46.6%	1.18×	1.82
Pyunik Yerevan over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	45.1%	53.4%	0.84×	2.22
Pyunik Yerevan over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.9%	9.5%	17.7%	0.54×	10.48

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.1%	86.5%	77.4%	1.12×	1.16
FC Alashkert under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.3%	58.4%	41.4%	1.41×	1.71
FC Alashkert over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.7%	41.6%	58.7%	0.71×	2.40
FC Alashkert over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.9%	13.5%	22.6%	0.60×	7.38

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (+2.5)	95.5%	96.6%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Pyunik Yerevan (+1.5)	84.9%	83.2%	77.7%	1.07×	1.20
FC Alashkert (+0.5)	70.9%	73.3%	69.4%	1.06×	1.36
Pyunik Yerevan (+0.5)	62.4%	62.7%	55.6%	1.13×	1.60
FC Alashkert (-0.5)	37.6%	37.3%	44.4%	0.84×	2.68
Pyunik Yerevan (-0.5)	29.1%	26.7%	30.6%	0.87×	3.74
FC Alashkert (-1.5)	15.1%	16.8%	22.3%	0.75×	5.96
FC Alashkert (-2.5)	4.5%	3.4%	9.9%	0.34×	29.59

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to concede	64.6%	65.0%	76.7%	0.85×	1.54
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet	35.4%	35.0%	23.3%	1.51×	2.85

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet in 1st half	64.0%	62.8%	51.8%	1.21×	1.59
Pyunik Yerevan to concede in 1st half	36.0%	37.3%	48.2%	0.77×	2.69

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet in 2nd half	55.3%	58.7%	41.4%	1.42×	1.70
Pyunik Yerevan to concede in 2nd half	44.7%	41.3%	58.7%	0.70×	2.42

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Pyunik Yerevan under 2.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	87.0%	1.06×	1.09
Pyunik Yerevan under 1.5 goals	78.0%	76.4%	66.3%	1.15×	1.31
Pyunik Yerevan over 0.5 goals	58.5%	58.9%	68.3%	0.86×	1.70
Pyunik Yerevan under 0.5 goals	41.5%	41.1%	31.7%	1.30×	2.43
Pyunik Yerevan over 1.5 goals	22.0%	23.6%	33.7%	0.70×	4.23
Pyunik Yerevan over 2.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	13.0%	0.61×	12.75
Pyunik Yerevan over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	37.15

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.2%	89.4%	1.06×	1.05
Pyunik Yerevan under 0.5 in 1st half	70.3%	68.3%	59.0%	1.16×	1.46
Pyunik Yerevan over 0.5 in 1st half	29.7%	31.7%	41.0%	0.77×	3.16
Pyunik Yerevan over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.8%	10.6%	0.46×	20.66

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan scores equally in both	49.6%	45.7%	40.6%	1.13×	2.19
Pyunik Yerevan scores more in 2nd half	31.4%	33.3%	36.5%	0.91×	3.00
Pyunik Yerevan scores more in 1st half	19.1%	17.3%	22.9%	0.75×	5.78

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (away no bet)	53.0%	52.4%	64.0%	0.82×	1.91
Draw (away no bet)	47.0%	47.6%	36.0%	1.32×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan even goals	58.6%	56.4%	55.7%	1.01×	1.77
Pyunik Yerevan odd goals	41.4%	43.6%	44.3%	0.99×	2.29

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.1%	90.9%	82.7%	1.10×	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.9%	9.1%	17.3%	0.53×	10.96

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	55.5%	59.6%	33.8%	1.76×	1.68
Not both halves under 1.5	44.5%	40.4%	66.2%	0.61×	2.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	38.2%	37.1%	58.6%	0.63×	2.70
FC Alashkert to score 2+ in a row	23.1%	21.7%	36.9%	0.59×	4.60
Pyunik Yerevan to score 2+ in a row	17.5%	17.0%	28.6%	0.59×	5.88
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.0%	12.8%	22.9%	0.56×	7.80
FC Alashkert to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	7.7%	14.2%	0.54×	12.99
Pyunik Yerevan to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	3.1%	9.1%	0.35×	31.75

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	15.6%	15.5%	7.3%	2.12×	6.45
1-0	14.4%	11.2%	10.4%	1.08×	8.91
1-1	14.3%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.91
0-1	12.0%	11.2%	7.5%	1.49×	8.91
0-2	5.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.45
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.45
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	7.2%	1.04×	13.45
2-1	7.0%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.45
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.34
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.35
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.34
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.35
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.34
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.35
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.89×	58.35
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.34
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.34
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.35
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	58.35
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.65×	58.35
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.35
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.35
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.35
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.62×	58.35
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.16×	58.35
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.35

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (2nd half DNB)	53.7%	51.4%	55.9%	0.92×	1.94
Pyunik Yerevan (2nd half DNB)	46.3%	48.6%	44.1%	1.10×	2.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert leading at HT (DNB)	57.2%	57.0%	56.7%	1.01×	1.75
Pyunik Yerevan leading at HT (DNB)	42.8%	43.0%	43.3%	0.99×	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert or draw (1X)	70.9%	72.9%	69.4%	1.05×	1.37
FC Alashkert or Pyunik Yerevan (12)	66.7%	68.5%	75.0%	0.91×	1.46
Pyunik Yerevan or draw (X2)	62.4%	62.3%	55.6%	1.12×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert or draw at HT	79.7%	76.9%	74.1%	1.04×	1.30
Pyunik Yerevan or draw at HT	72.9%	71.2%	66.2%	1.08×	1.40
FC Alashkert or Pyunik Yerevan at HT	47.3%	50.6%	59.7%	0.85×	1.98

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert or draw (1UP)	70.9%	78.8%	74.2%	1.06×	1.27
Pyunik Yerevan or draw (1UP)	62.4%	70.2%	63.9%	1.10×	1.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert or draw in 2nd half	74.2%	71.7%	70.3%	1.02×	1.39
Pyunik Yerevan or draw in 2nd half	70.0%	71.6%	62.3%	1.15×	1.40
FC Alashkert or Pyunik Yerevan in 2nd half	55.7%	58.5%	67.3%	0.87×	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.7%	73.6%	58.9%	1.25×	1.36
Neither half drawn	27.3%	26.4%	41.1%	0.64×	3.78

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (DNB)	56.3%	57.0%	59.2%	0.96×	1.76
Pyunik Yerevan (DNB)	43.7%	43.0%	40.8%	1.06×	2.32

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert to score first	45.7%	46.1%	51.2%	0.90×	2.17
Pyunik Yerevan to score first	38.7%	37.5%	42.9%	0.87×	2.67
No goal scored	15.6%	15.9%	5.9%	2.70×	6.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	61.3%	59.0%	47.6%	1.24×	1.70
Both teams to score	38.7%	41.0%	52.4%	0.78×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	55.6%	55.5%	37.1%	1.50×	1.80
Both score & over 2.5	24.4%	25.0%	40.9%	0.61×	3.99
Both score & under 2.5	14.3%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	5.7%	8.4%	10.6%	0.80×	11.86

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.9%	89.9%	86.0%	1.05×	1.11
Both teams to score 2+	6.1%	10.1%	14.0%	0.72×	9.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.4%	73.4%	70.2%	1.05×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	18.6%	26.6%	29.8%	0.89×	3.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	72.5%	65.3%	57.8%	1.13×	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	16.7%	18.4%	23.8%	0.77×	5.44
Both score 1st half only	8.9%	6.9%	12.5%	0.56×	14.39
Both score in both halves	2.0%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.2%	84.8%	81.5%	1.04×	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	10.8%	15.2%	18.5%	0.82×	6.57

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	62.5%	63.4%	41.1%	1.54×	1.58
A goal in each half	37.5%	36.6%	58.9%	0.62×	2.73

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	46.5%	45.4%	1.02×	2.15
0-1 goals	42.0%	43.6%	25.2%	1.73×	2.29
4-6 goals	12.5%	14.9%	27.0%	0.55×	6.71
7+ goals	0.4%	2.0%	2.4%	0.83×	49.81

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to score exactly 0	41.5%	39.4%	31.7%	1.24×	2.54
Pyunik Yerevan to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Pyunik Yerevan to score exactly 2	16.1%	18.2%	20.8%	0.88×	5.49
Pyunik Yerevan to score 3+	6.0%	8.6%	13.0%	0.66×	11.64

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.6%	33.1%	1.11×	2.73
FC Alashkert to score exactly 0	35.4%	36.6%	23.3%	1.57×	2.73
FC Alashkert to score exactly 2	19.1%	18.1%	24.0%	0.76×	5.51
FC Alashkert to score 3+	8.8%	8.9%	19.7%	0.45×	11.26

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.7%	49.4%	40.3%	1.22×	2.03
FC Alashkert leading at HT	27.1%	28.8%	33.8%	0.85×	3.48
Pyunik Yerevan leading at HT	20.3%	23.1%	25.9%	0.89×	4.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert -1: 2	62.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
FC Alashkert -1: X	22.5%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
FC Alashkert -1: 1	15.1%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (0:1)	62.4%	60.1%	55.6%	1.08×	1.67
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	23.6%	22.2%	1.06×	4.24
FC Alashkert (0:1)	15.1%	18.2%	22.3%	0.82×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (0:2)	84.9%	82.9%	77.7%	1.07×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.6%	11.4%	12.3%	0.92×	8.81
FC Alashkert (0:2)	4.5%	3.5%	9.9%	0.35×	28.44

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (0:3)	95.5%	96.7%	90.1%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.6%	5.9%	0.43×	39.16
FC Alashkert (0:3)	1.1%	2.6%	4.0%	0.63×	39.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (0:4)	98.9%	97.8%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.74
FC Alashkert (0:4)	0.2%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (1:0)	70.9%	72.3%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.3%	17.0%	1.02×	5.77
Pyunik Yerevan (1:0)	10.2%	12.5%	13.6%	0.93×	7.97

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert (2:0)	89.8%	88.1%	86.4%	1.02×	1.14
Draw (2:0)	7.6%	6.6%	8.1%	0.81×	15.11
Pyunik Yerevan (2:0)	2.6%	2.8%	5.4%	0.51×	35.91

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.2%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
Halves equal	32.4%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert to concede	58.5%	59.9%	68.3%	0.88×	1.67
FC Alashkert clean sheet	41.5%	40.1%	31.7%	1.27×	2.49

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert clean sheet in 1st half	70.3%	67.8%	59.0%	1.15×	1.48
FC Alashkert to concede in 1st half	29.7%	32.2%	41.0%	0.79×	3.11

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert clean sheet in 2nd half	59.0%	54.7%	46.6%	1.17×	1.83
FC Alashkert to concede in 2nd half	41.0%	45.3%	53.4%	0.85×	2.21

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert under 3.5 goals	97.9%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
FC Alashkert under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	80.3%	1.15×	1.08
FC Alashkert under 1.5 goals	72.1%	73.1%	56.3%	1.30×	1.37
FC Alashkert over 0.5 goals	64.6%	62.4%	76.7%	0.81×	1.60
FC Alashkert under 0.5 goals	35.4%	37.6%	23.3%	1.62×	2.66
FC Alashkert over 1.5 goals	27.9%	26.9%	43.7%	0.62×	3.71
FC Alashkert over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	19.7%	0.39×	13.06
FC Alashkert over 3.5 goals	2.1%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.43

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert under 1.5 in 1st half	92.6%	93.4%	85.9%	1.09×	1.07
FC Alashkert under 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	62.5%	51.8%	1.21×	1.60
FC Alashkert over 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	37.5%	48.2%	0.78×	2.67
FC Alashkert over 1.5 in 1st half	7.4%	6.6%	14.1%	0.47×	15.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert scores equally in both	45.4%	48.6%	37.1%	1.31×	2.06
FC Alashkert scores more in 2nd half	32.1%	32.2%	38.0%	0.85×	3.11
FC Alashkert scores more in 1st half	22.5%	23.2%	24.9%	0.93×	4.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.3%	52.0%	44.9%	1.16×	1.92
Pyunik Yerevan (home no bet)	46.7%	48.0%	55.1%	0.87×	2.08

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert even goals	56.3%	55.6%	52.8%	1.05×	1.80
FC Alashkert odd goals	43.7%	44.4%	47.2%	0.94×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	45.2%	45.9%	29.3%	1.57×	2.18
HT 1-0	19.9%	19.9%	20.7%	0.96×	5.02
HT 0-1	15.7%	19.9%	16.3%	1.22×	5.04
HT 1-1	7.2%	8.0%	10.2%	0.78×	12.55
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.5%	7.1%	0.35×	40.38
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.5%	4.9%	0.51×	40.46
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.5%	3.3%	0.75×	40.51
Any other HT score	1.6%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.51
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.53
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.2%	21.0%	14.1%	1.48×	4.77
FC Alashkert at HT / FC Alashkert at FT	20.9%	20.9%	25.8%	0.81×	4.79
Draw at HT / FC Alashkert at FT	15.3%	17.3%	14.7%	1.18×	5.78
Pyunik Yerevan at HT / Pyunik Yerevan at FT	14.6%	12.0%	17.4%	0.69×	8.31
Draw at HT / Pyunik Yerevan at FT	13.1%	12.0%	11.6%	1.04×	8.32
FC Alashkert at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.6%	5.1%	0.71×	27.50
Pyunik Yerevan at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.6%	5.6%	0.65×	27.52
FC Alashkert at HT / Pyunik Yerevan at FT	1.4%	3.6%	3.0%	1.22×	27.60
Pyunik Yerevan at HT / FC Alashkert at FT	1.4%	3.6%	2.9%	1.25×	27.60

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert to score last	45.8%	46.2%	51.4%	0.90×	2.17
Pyunik Yerevan to score last	38.7%	38.5%	42.7%	0.90×	2.60
No goal scored	15.6%	13.7%	5.9%	2.32×	7.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.4%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
FC Alashkert to lead by 1 at any time	50.1%	51.7%	59.8%	0.86×	1.93
Pyunik Yerevan to lead by 1 at any time	42.4%	41.8%	50.4%	0.83×	2.39
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	32.2%	31.7%	48.2%	0.66×	3.16
FC Alashkert to lead by 2 at any time	18.8%	17.6%	28.2%	0.62×	5.67
Pyunik Yerevan to lead by 2 at any time	13.4%	11.0%	20.3%	0.54×	9.05
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.6%	7.4%	19.5%	0.38×	13.45
FC Alashkert to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	7.4%	12.1%	0.61×	13.54
Pyunik Yerevan to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	2.6%	7.4%	0.36×	38.10

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.0%	82.1%	86.4%	0.95×	1.22
1-4 goals	79.9%	77.9%	78.0%	1.00×	1.28
1-3 goals	71.6%	72.2%	63.3%	1.14×	1.39
2-6 goals	57.7%	58.9%	72.4%	0.81×	1.70
2-5 goals	56.7%	58.9%	68.5%	0.86×	1.70
1-2 goals	54.3%	52.9%	41.2%	1.28×	1.89
2-4 goals	53.5%	52.9%	60.1%	0.88×	1.89
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
3-6 goals	29.8%	28.5%	49.0%	0.58×	3.51
3-5 goals	28.7%	28.5%	45.1%	0.63×	3.51
3-4 goals	25.6%	28.5%	36.8%	0.78×	3.51
4-6 goals	12.5%	13.5%	27.0%	0.50×	7.42
4-5 goals	11.5%	13.5%	23.0%	0.59×	7.42
5-6 goals	4.2%	2.3%	12.3%	0.18×	44.20
7+ goals	0.4%	2.3%	2.4%	0.93×	44.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Alashkert never behind	42.1%	47.1%	49.6%	0.95×	2.12
Pyunik Yerevan never behind	34.3%	36.8%	40.2%	0.92×	2.72

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.9%	50.1%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.1%	49.9%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.4%	60.5%	53.7%	1.13×	1.65
Odd goals in 1st half	39.6%	39.5%	46.3%	0.85×	2.54

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.9%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.1%	48.7%	48.9%	1.00×	2.05

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.6%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Under 4.5 goals	95.4%	96.0%	85.3%	1.13×	1.04
Under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.8%	70.6%	1.24×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.4%	81.6%	92.7%	0.88×	1.23
Under 2.5 goals	69.9%	67.7%	48.5%	1.39×	1.48
Over 1.5 goals	58.0%	57.8%	74.8%	0.77×	1.73
Under 1.5 goals	42.0%	42.2%	25.2%	1.68×	2.37
Over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.3%	51.5%	0.63×	3.09
Under 0.5 goals	15.6%	18.4%	7.3%	2.51×	5.44
Over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.2%	29.4%	0.41×	8.21
Over 4.5 goals	4.6%	4.0%	14.7%	0.27×	25.18
Over 5.5 goals	1.4%	4.0%	6.3%	0.63×	25.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.6%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.0%	97.3%	82.8%	1.18×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	84.5%	81.5%	62.3%	1.31×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.2%	58.2%	32.9%	1.77×	1.72
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.8%	41.8%	67.1%	0.62×	2.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	15.5%	18.5%	37.7%	0.49×	5.40
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.0%	2.7%	17.2%	0.16×	36.67
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.4%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.71
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.73

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.3%	97.2%	88.4%	1.10×	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.8%	83.0%	66.3%	1.25×	1.20
Over 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	51.1%	70.7%	0.72×	1.96
Under 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	48.9%	29.3%	1.67×	2.05
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.2%	17.0%	33.7%	0.50×	5.90
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.7%	2.8%	11.6%	0.24×	35.48

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.6%	85.3%	77.5%	1.10×	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.9%	67.0%	50.2%	1.33×	1.49
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.1%	66.8%	82.3%	0.81×	1.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.9%	33.2%	17.7%	1.87×	3.02
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.1%	33.0%	49.8%	0.66×	3.03
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.4%	14.7%	22.5%	0.65×	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan not to score in both halves	87.8%	85.6%	77.6%	1.10×	1.17
FC Alashkert not to score in both halves	83.9%	81.3%	70.5%	1.15×	1.23
FC Alashkert to score in both halves	16.1%	18.7%	29.5%	0.63×	5.35
Pyunik Yerevan to score in both halves	12.2%	14.4%	22.4%	0.64×	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	38.7%	39.4%	52.4%	0.75×	2.54
Only FC Alashkert scores	25.9%	25.4%	24.4%	1.04×	3.93
Only Pyunik Yerevan scores	19.8%	16.9%	16.0%	1.06×	5.93
Neither team scores	15.6%	16.9%	7.3%	2.31×	5.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.9%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	26.4%	25.0%	17.9%	1.40×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	17.3%	17.6%	22.1%	0.80×	5.68
Exactly 0 goals	15.6%	17.6%	7.3%	2.41×	5.68
Exactly 4 goals	8.3%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	3.2%	4.0%	8.4%	0.48×	24.74
6 or more goals	1.4%	4.0%	6.3%	0.64×	24.75

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	45.2%	45.9%	29.3%	1.57×	2.18
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	36.9%	37.0%	1.00×	2.71
2 goals in 1st half	14.5%	11.5%	22.2%	0.52×	8.73
3+ goals in 1st half	4.7%	2.8%	11.6%	0.24×	35.48

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	38.7%	32.5%	1.19×	2.58
No goals in 2nd half	32.9%	34.3%	17.7%	1.94×	2.91
2+ goals in 2nd half	31.1%	34.3%	49.8%	0.69×	2.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan not to win both halves	94.7%	92.7%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
FC Alashkert not to win both halves	91.8%	92.6%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
FC Alashkert to win both halves	8.2%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.50
Pyunik Yerevan to win both halves	5.3%	7.3%	8.2%	0.90×	13.61

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to win neither half	59.3%	58.2%	52.6%	1.11×	1.72
FC Alashkert to win neither half	51.2%	52.9%	41.7%	1.27×	1.89
FC Alashkert to win either half	48.8%	47.1%	58.3%	0.81×	2.13
Pyunik Yerevan to win either half	40.7%	41.8%	47.4%	0.88×	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan not to win to nil	80.2%	82.9%	84.0%	0.99×	1.21
FC Alashkert not to win to nil	74.1%	74.9%	75.6%	0.99×	1.34
FC Alashkert to win to nil	25.9%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.98
Pyunik Yerevan to win to nil	19.8%	17.1%	16.0%	1.07×	5.86

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	33.3%	29.2%	25.0%	1.17×	3.42
FC Alashkert by 1	22.5%	23.4%	22.2%	1.06×	4.27
Pyunik Yerevan by 1	18.9%	17.2%	17.0%	1.01×	5.80
FC Alashkert by 2	10.6%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.45
Pyunik Yerevan by 2	7.6%	7.3%	8.1%	0.89×	13.77
FC Alashkert by 3+	4.5%	3.0%	9.9%	0.30×	33.44
Pyunik Yerevan by 3+	2.6%	3.0%	5.4%	0.55×	33.46