FC Andorra v Real Sociedad II — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

FC Andorra

1–3

12:00 UTC

Real Sociedad II

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 24h before kick-off

FC Andorra win

56.9%

model 56.4%

Draw

21.6%

model 21.5%

Real Sociedad II win

21.6%

model 22.1%

572222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (320 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.0%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.3%
2-0 8.8%
3-1 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.0%	Under 2.5	41.0%
BTTS yes	57.6%	BTTS no	42.4%
FC Andorra 1+	85.5%	FC Andorra 2+	57.6%
Real Sociedad II 1+	67.6%	Real Sociedad II 2+	31.1%

Expected goals 1.93 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

FC Andorra over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 42%

57.9% fair odds 1.73

strong signal · 8772 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Andorra or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Andorra carry the stronger rating, 1495 Elo against 1441.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Andorra have an estimated 56.9% win probability, against 21.6% for Real Sociedad II and 21.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.93 for FC Andorra and 1.13 for Real Sociedad II.

Why FC Andorra

FC Andorra carry the stronger rating, 1495 Elo against 1441.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Real Sociedad II can win

Nothing in the data singles out Real Sociedad II.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Andorra, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Real Sociedad II, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Andorra: 65% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 6.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad II: 45% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Andorra's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

FC Andorra are the model's most likely outcome at 56.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.0%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	562222	1.93–1.13	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
ai-blend-oos	602119	1.98–1.03	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	492329	1.76–1.30	1-1 10%	59%	60%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	502327	1.80–1.26	1-1 11%	59%	60%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to win	48.5%	47.6%	45.5%	1.05×	2.10
Real Sociedad II to win	28.6%	27.7%	28.0%	0.99×	3.61
Draw	22.8%	24.6%	26.6%	0.92×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra & both teams score	25.8%	25.4%	22.0%	1.16×	3.93
FC Andorra & not both score	22.8%	21.8%	23.6%	0.92×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.55
Real Sociedad II & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.55
Real Sociedad II & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	9.1%	0.54×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra & over 1.5	40.1%	40.0%	32.6%	1.23×	2.50
FC Andorra & over 2.5	32.8%	31.0%	26.3%	1.18×	3.22
FC Andorra & under 3.5	29.4%	25.9%	32.2%	0.80×	3.85
Real Sociedad II & over 1.5	22.3%	21.6%	19.4%	1.11×	4.63
FC Andorra & over 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	13.3%	1.35×	5.57
Real Sociedad II & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.6%	0.91×	5.57
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	17.5%	1.02×	5.57
Real Sociedad II & over 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
FC Andorra & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	14.9%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.78
Real Sociedad II & under 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	11.6%	1.11×	7.78
Real Sociedad II & over 3.5	9.7%	8.0%	8.5%	0.94×	12.57
FC Andorra & under 1.5	8.5%	8.0%	13.0%	0.61×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	8.0%	8.0%	6.4%	1.24×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	8.0%	8.0%	6.4%	1.24×	12.57
Real Sociedad II & under 1.5	6.3%	8.0%	8.7%	0.91×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	4.4%	4.9%	9.1%	0.53×	20.57

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (1UP)	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Real Sociedad II (1UP)	47.9%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (2UP)	48.5%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Real Sociedad II (2UP)	28.6%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to win 2nd half	39.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	32.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Real Sociedad II to win 2nd half	27.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
FC Andorra over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
FC Andorra under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
FC Andorra over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (+2.5)	88.4%	88.4%	92.3%	0.96×	1.13
Real Sociedad II (+1.5)	73.8%	73.7%	80.5%	0.92×	1.36
FC Andorra (+0.5)	71.4%	73.7%	72.0%	1.02×	1.36
Real Sociedad II (+0.5)	51.5%	52.1%	54.5%	0.95×	1.92
FC Andorra (-0.5)	48.5%	47.9%	45.5%	1.05×	2.09
Real Sociedad II (-0.5)	28.6%	26.3%	28.0%	0.94×	3.80
FC Andorra (-1.5)	26.2%	26.3%	19.5%	1.35×	3.80
FC Andorra (-2.5)	11.6%	11.6%	7.7%	1.52×	8.59

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede	82.8%	81.4%	77.5%	1.05×	1.23
Real Sociedad II clean sheet	17.2%	18.6%	22.5%	0.83×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 1st half	46.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Real Sociedad II to concede in 1st half	53.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede in 2nd half	63.4%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 2nd half	36.6%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 6.5 corners	92.7%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Real Sociedad II under 5.5 corners	86.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Real Sociedad II under 4.5 corners	75.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 corners	60.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 corners	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 corners	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 corners	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad II over 4.5 corners	24.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Real Sociedad II over 5.5 corners	14.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Real Sociedad II over 6.5 corners	7.3%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.4%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.9%	89.2%	0.99×	1.14
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 goals	72.8%	71.9%	67.3%	1.07×	1.39
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.5%	69.4%	0.91×	1.58
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 goals	37.4%	36.5%	30.6%	1.19×	2.74
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 goals	27.2%	28.1%	32.7%	0.86×	3.56
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.1%	10.8%	1.12×	8.25
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.6%	3.0%	0.85×	38.79

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II scores equally in both	39.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Real Sociedad II scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Real Sociedad II scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (away no bet)	68.0%	66.6%	63.1%	1.05×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	32.0%	33.4%	36.9%	0.91×	2.99

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II even goals	53.7%	52.8%	54.7%	0.96×	1.90
Real Sociedad II odd goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.0%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
FC Andorra to score 2+ in a row	43.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Real Sociedad II to score 2+ in a row	27.2%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
FC Andorra to score 3+ in a row	16.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.72

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra corners (+3.5)	96.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
FC Andorra corners (+2.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Andorra corners (+1.5)	88.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Real Sociedad II corners (+3.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Andorra corners (-1.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad II corners (+2.5)	50.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Andorra corners (-2.5)	49.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Andorra corners (-3.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad II corners (+1.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad II corners (-1.5)	11.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Real Sociedad II corners (-2.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Real Sociedad II corners (-3.5)	3.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.61

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	66.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	33.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.5%	11.4%	11.2%	1.01×	8.80
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.53
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	10.1%	0.73×	13.52
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.53
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.53
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.53
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	5.7%	1.30×	13.53
3-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.5%	1.64×	13.53
0-0	4.4%	1.7%	9.1%	0.19×	57.66
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	57.66
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.38×	57.67
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.36×	57.68
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.49×	57.66
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	57.67
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.67
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.36×	57.68
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	57.66
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.66
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.36×	57.67
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	8.25×	57.68
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.50×	57.67
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.92×	57.67
4-2	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.50×	57.67
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.50×	57.68
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.25×	57.68
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	57.66

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (2nd half DNB)	59.1%	60.8%	—	—	1.65
Real Sociedad II (2nd half DNB)	40.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra leading at HT (DNB)	62.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Real Sociedad II leading at HT (DNB)	37.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra or Real Sociedad II (12)	77.2%	75.4%	73.4%	1.03×	1.33
FC Andorra or draw (1X)	71.4%	72.3%	72.0%	1.00×	1.38
Real Sociedad II or draw (X2)	51.5%	52.4%	54.5%	0.96×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra or draw at HT	77.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Real Sociedad II or draw at HT	62.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Andorra or Real Sociedad II at HT	60.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra or draw (1UP)	71.4%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Real Sociedad II or draw (1UP)	51.5%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra or draw in 2nd half	72.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
FC Andorra or Real Sociedad II in 2nd half	67.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Real Sociedad II or draw in 2nd half	60.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (DNB)	62.9%	62.9%	61.9%	1.02×	1.59
Real Sociedad II (DNB)	37.1%	37.1%	38.1%	0.97×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to score first	55.0%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Real Sociedad II to score first	40.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.1%	56.5%	54.0%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.9%	43.5%	46.0%	0.94×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.6%	44.3%	42.9%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.4%	34.3%	39.8%	0.86×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	12.3%	11.2%	1.09×	8.16
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	6.3%	1.33×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	82.5%	85.6%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.71

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.1%	41.9%	41.4%	1.01×	2.39
4-6 goals	33.0%	30.9%	26.6%	1.16×	3.24
0-1 goals	19.2%	20.2%	30.7%	0.66×	4.94
7+ goals	3.7%	1.9%	1.6%	1.18×	53.85

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.8%	36.9%	0.97×	2.80
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 0	27.2%	27.6%	32.7%	0.84×	3.62
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.5%	19.9%	1.13×	4.45
Real Sociedad II to score 3+	14.3%	13.0%	10.8%	1.20×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to score exactly 1	30.2%	32.6%	35.6%	0.92×	3.07
FC Andorra to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.2%	25.0%	1.05×	3.82
FC Andorra to score 3+	25.9%	26.2%	17.1%	1.53×	3.82
FC Andorra to score exactly 0	17.2%	19.2%	22.5%	0.85×	5.22

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
FC Andorra leading at HT	37.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Real Sociedad II leading at HT	22.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra -1: 2	51.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
FC Andorra -1: 1	26.2%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
FC Andorra -1: X	22.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:1)	51.5%	51.3%	54.5%	0.94×	1.95
FC Andorra (0:1)	26.2%	27.1%	19.5%	1.39×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	24.4%	26.1%	0.94×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:2)	73.8%	75.9%	80.5%	0.94×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.7%	10.9%	12.0%	0.91×	9.22
FC Andorra (0:2)	11.6%	10.8%	7.7%	1.41×	9.23

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:3)	88.4%	90.5%	92.3%	0.98×	1.11
Draw (0:3)	7.3%	5.9%	5.4%	1.10×	16.93
FC Andorra (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.28

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (0:4)	95.8%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.53
FC Andorra (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.69

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (1:0)	71.4%	72.6%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.5%	17.1%	18.0%	0.95×	5.86
Real Sociedad II (1:0)	12.1%	12.7%	10.2%	1.25×	7.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra (2:0)	87.9%	88.3%	89.8%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.0%	6.6%	7.0%	0.93×	15.26
Real Sociedad II (2:0)	4.1%	2.4%	3.3%	0.74×	41.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to concede	72.8%	73.2%	67.3%	1.09×	1.37
FC Andorra clean sheet	27.2%	26.8%	32.7%	0.82×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
FC Andorra to concede in 1st half	40.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to concede in 2nd half	54.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
FC Andorra clean sheet in 2nd half	45.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra over 2.5 corners	88.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Andorra over 3.5 corners	78.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Andorra over 4.5 corners	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Andorra under 6.5 corners	61.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Andorra over 5.5 corners	51.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Andorra under 5.5 corners	48.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Andorra over 6.5 corners	38.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Andorra under 4.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Andorra under 3.5 corners	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Andorra under 2.5 corners	11.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra under 3.5 goals	89.7%	87.2%	93.7%	0.93×	1.15
FC Andorra over 0.5 goals	82.8%	81.9%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
FC Andorra under 2.5 goals	74.1%	74.3%	82.9%	0.90×	1.35
FC Andorra over 1.5 goals	52.6%	52.8%	42.0%	1.26×	1.90
FC Andorra under 1.5 goals	47.4%	47.2%	58.0%	0.81×	2.12
FC Andorra over 2.5 goals	25.9%	25.7%	17.1%	1.50×	3.89
FC Andorra under 0.5 goals	17.2%	18.1%	22.5%	0.80×	5.54
FC Andorra over 3.5 goals	10.3%	12.8%	6.3%	2.03×	7.83

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Andorra under 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Andorra over 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
FC Andorra over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra scores more in 2nd half	40.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
FC Andorra scores equally in both	32.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
FC Andorra scores more in 1st half	26.8%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (home no bet)	55.6%	56.1%	51.3%	1.09×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.4%	44.0%	48.7%	0.90×	2.28

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra even goals	51.5%	50.4%	51.8%	0.97×	1.98
FC Andorra odd goals	48.5%	49.6%	48.2%	1.03×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.8%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	21.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	8.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.63

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra at HT / FC Andorra at FT	29.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Draw at HT / FC Andorra at FT	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Real Sociedad II at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	11.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
FC Andorra at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Real Sociedad II at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Real Sociedad II at HT / FC Andorra at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
FC Andorra at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to score last	55.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Real Sociedad II to score last	40.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.22

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Andorra to lead by 1 at any time	64.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Real Sociedad II to lead by 1 at any time	47.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
FC Andorra to lead by 2 at any time	33.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Real Sociedad II to lead by 2 at any time	18.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
FC Andorra to lead by 3 at any time	14.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Real Sociedad II to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra most corners	72.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Real Sociedad II most corners	18.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.24
Corners level	9.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.1%	78.5%	67.9%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.0%	78.5%	78.0%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.3%	64.3%	1.12×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.2%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.9%	59.3%	62.9%	0.94×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.4%	59.3%	47.6%	1.25×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.1%	53.4%	44.0%	1.21×	1.87
2-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	41.4%	1.05×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.3%	36.2%	1.08×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.5%	39.3%	41.9%	0.94×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.0%	35.3%	26.6%	1.33×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.7%	30.6%	23.0%	1.33×	3.27
5-6 goals	15.9%	18.8%	11.5%	1.65×	5.31
7+ goals	3.7%	2.6%	1.6%	1.63×	38.91

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra never behind	47.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Real Sociedad II never behind	30.8%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	51.0%	48.4%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.0%	51.6%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.6%	95.4%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	94.9%	0.97×	1.09
Over 1.5 goals	80.8%	82.2%	69.3%	1.19×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.4%	82.2%	87.1%	0.94×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.3%	62.0%	72.0%	0.86×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	59.1%	58.5%	49.1%	1.19×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.9%	41.5%	50.9%	0.82×	2.41
Over 3.5 goals	36.7%	38.0%	28.0%	1.36×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	19.6%	17.8%	12.9%	1.38×	5.60
Under 1.5 goals	19.2%	17.8%	30.7%	0.58×	5.60
Over 5.5 goals	9.1%	7.8%	5.1%	1.51×	12.83
Under 0.5 goals	4.4%	4.6%	9.1%	0.50×	21.74

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.1%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.9%	86.6%	94.4%	0.92×	1.15
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.4%	75.9%	84.8%	0.90×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.5%	75.9%	61.5%	1.23×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.7%	52.4%	64.5%	0.81×	1.91
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.3%	47.6%	35.5%	1.34×	2.10
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.5%	24.1%	38.5%	0.63×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.6%	24.1%	15.2%	1.58×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.1%	13.4%	5.6%	2.40×	7.48
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.9%	2.8%	1.6%	1.74×	35.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.05

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
FC Andorra not to score in both halves	66.3%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
FC Andorra to score in both halves	33.7%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Real Sociedad II to score in both halves	22.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.1%	60.2%	54.0%	1.12×	1.66
Only FC Andorra scores	22.8%	22.0%	23.6%	0.93×	4.54
Only Real Sociedad II scores	12.7%	11.1%	13.4%	0.83×	9.01
Neither team scores	4.4%	4.6%	9.1%	0.51×	21.59

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.4%	21.1%	1.06×	4.46
Exactly 2 goals	21.7%	22.4%	20.4%	1.10×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	17.2%	17.5%	15.2%	1.15×	5.70
Exactly 1 goals	14.8%	12.1%	21.6%	0.56×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	10.5%	12.0%	7.9%	1.53×	8.30
6 or more goals	9.1%	7.8%	5.1%	1.51×	12.85
Exactly 0 goals	4.4%	4.5%	9.1%	0.49×	22.22

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	27.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	13.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	16.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II not to win both halves	93.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
FC Andorra not to win both halves	85.1%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
FC Andorra to win both halves	14.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Real Sociedad II to win both halves	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Andorra to win either half	62.4%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Real Sociedad II to win neither half	55.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Real Sociedad II to win either half	44.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
FC Andorra to win neither half	37.6%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II not to win to nil	87.3%	87.9%	86.6%	1.02×	1.14
FC Andorra not to win to nil	77.2%	78.4%	76.4%	1.03×	1.28
FC Andorra to win to nil	22.8%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Real Sociedad II to win to nil	12.7%	12.1%	13.4%	0.90×	8.29

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.8%	24.2%	26.6%	0.91×	4.14
FC Andorra by 1	22.3%	24.2%	26.1%	0.93×	4.14
Real Sociedad II by 1	16.5%	16.9%	18.0%	0.94×	5.92
FC Andorra by 2	14.7%	11.7%	12.0%	0.98×	8.52
FC Andorra by 3+	11.6%	11.7%	7.7%	1.53×	8.53
Real Sociedad II by 2	8.0%	7.3%	7.0%	1.03×	13.76
Real Sociedad II by 3+	4.1%	2.8%	3.3%	0.86×	35.57

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.