FC Cajamarca v Alianza Atlético — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Cajamarca

20:00 UTC

Alianza Atlético

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 297h before kick-off

FC Cajamarca win

45.3%

model 44.0%

Draw

23.8%

model 22.8%

Alianza Atlético win

30.9%

model 33.2%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.0%
1-0 8.0%
1-2 7.7%
0-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.9%	Under 2.5	40.1%
BTTS yes	61.3%	BTTS no	38.7%
FC Cajamarca 1+	81.3%	FC Cajamarca 2+	49.9%
Alianza Atlético 1+	76.0%	Alianza Atlético 2+	41.7%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Over 1.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 73%

81.1% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 1833 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.4% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1174 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Cajamarca.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Cajamarca have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Alianza Atlético and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for FC Cajamarca and 1.43 for Alianza Atlético.

Why FC Cajamarca

Nothing in the data singles out FC Cajamarca.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.67 to 1.43. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Alianza Atlético can win

Alianza Atlético carry the stronger rating, 1562 Elo against 1446. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Cajamarca, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza Atlético, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Cajamarca: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza Atlético: 39% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Cajamarca are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442333	1.67–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412236	1.72–1.60	1-1 10%	64%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to win	41.5%	42.9%	49.8%	0.86×	2.33
Alianza Atlético to win	36.4%	36.3%	25.4%	1.43×	2.75
Draw	22.1%	24.5%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca & both teams score	24.4%	21.8%	23.6%	0.93×	4.59
Alianza Atlético & both teams score	21.7%	21.8%	13.2%	1.65×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
FC Cajamarca & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.57
Alianza Atlético & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.2%	4.9%	7.8%	0.63×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca & over 1.5	34.8%	30.8%	38.0%	0.81×	3.25
Alianza Atlético & over 1.5	30.2%	30.7%	17.4%	1.77×	3.25
FC Cajamarca & over 2.5	29.5%	26.1%	30.8%	0.85×	3.84
Alianza Atlético & over 2.5	25.5%	26.0%	14.5%	1.80×	3.84
FC Cajamarca & under 3.5	23.7%	21.6%	33.7%	0.64×	4.63
Alianza Atlético & under 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	19.4%	1.11×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.04×	5.55
FC Cajamarca & over 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.55
Alianza Atlético & over 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	6.2%	2.92×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
FC Cajamarca & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Alianza Atlético & under 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	11.1%	1.16×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
Alianza Atlético & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.2%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (1UP)	60.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Alianza Atlético (1UP)	56.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (2UP)	41.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Atlético (2UP)	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to win 2nd half	35.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Alianza Atlético to win 2nd half	33.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
2nd half drawn	31.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.1%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.6%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.4%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.9%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.4%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.4%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (+2.5)	91.0%	92.1%	88.6%	1.04×	1.09
Alianza Atlético (+1.5)	78.7%	78.5%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
FC Cajamarca (+0.5)	63.6%	63.0%	74.6%	0.84×	1.59
Alianza Atlético (+0.5)	58.5%	57.1%	50.2%	1.14×	1.75
FC Cajamarca (-0.5)	41.5%	42.9%	49.8%	0.86×	2.33
Alianza Atlético (-0.5)	36.4%	37.0%	25.4%	1.46×	2.70
FC Cajamarca (-1.5)	21.3%	21.5%	24.6%	0.87×	4.65
FC Cajamarca (-2.5)	9.0%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede	82.0%	81.5%	80.1%	1.02×	1.23
Alianza Atlético clean sheet	18.0%	18.5%	19.9%	0.93×	5.39

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede in 1st half	52.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Alianza Atlético clean sheet in 1st half	47.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede in 2nd half	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Alianza Atlético clean sheet in 2nd half	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 6.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Alianza Atlético under 5.5 corners	79.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 corners	67.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Alianza Atlético under 4.5 corners	66.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 corners	50.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 corners	49.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Atlético over 4.5 corners	33.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 corners	32.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Alianza Atlético over 5.5 corners	20.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Alianza Atlético over 6.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 goals	79.7%	76.3%	65.9%	1.16×	1.31
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 goals	78.4%	76.3%	92.0%	0.83×	1.31
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 goals	52.6%	53.5%	71.6%	0.75×	1.87
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 goals	47.4%	46.5%	28.4%	1.63×	2.15
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 goals	21.6%	23.7%	8.0%	2.98×	4.21
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 goals	20.3%	23.7%	34.1%	0.70×	4.21
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	2.5%	3.02×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 in 1st half	86.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 in 1st half	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético scores more in 2nd half	41.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Alianza Atlético scores equally in both	34.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Alianza Atlético scores more in 1st half	23.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (away no bet)	65.2%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.8%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético even goals	52.1%	52.6%	56.9%	0.93×	1.90
Alianza Atlético odd goals	47.9%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Cajamarca to score 2+ in a row	40.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Alianza Atlético to score 2+ in a row	36.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
FC Cajamarca to score 3+ in a row	14.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Alianza Atlético to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca corners (+3.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Alianza Atlético corners (+3.5)	84.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Cajamarca corners (+2.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Alianza Atlético corners (+2.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Cajamarca corners (+1.5)	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Alianza Atlético corners (+1.5)	65.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Cajamarca corners (-1.5)	34.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Alianza Atlético corners (-1.5)	29.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Cajamarca corners (-2.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Alianza Atlético corners (-2.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
FC Cajamarca corners (-3.5)	15.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Alianza Atlético corners (-3.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	24.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
12+ corners	13.4%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	91.3%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	86.6%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 10.5 corners	80.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	19.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 11.5 corners	13.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.91
Over 12.5 corners	8.7%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.6%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
1-0	6.7%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-1	6.2%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
2-0	5.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	2.7%	2.72×	13.51
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
0-0	3.2%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.30
0-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
2-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.30
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.31
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.31
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.31
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (2nd half DNB)	50.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Alianza Atlético (2nd half DNB)	49.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca leading at HT (DNB)	54.9%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Alianza Atlético leading at HT (DNB)	45.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or Alianza Atlético (12)	77.9%	75.5%	75.0%	1.01×	1.32
FC Cajamarca or draw (1X)	63.6%	63.7%	74.6%	0.85×	1.57
Alianza Atlético or draw (X2)	58.5%	57.1%	50.2%	1.14×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or draw at HT	72.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Alianza Atlético or draw at HT	66.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
FC Cajamarca or Alianza Atlético at HT	61.5%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or draw (1UP)	63.6%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Alianza Atlético or draw (1UP)	58.5%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or Alianza Atlético in 2nd half	68.8%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
FC Cajamarca or draw in 2nd half	66.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Alianza Atlético or draw in 2nd half	65.0%	66.0%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	41.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (DNB)	53.3%	50.9%	66.3%	0.77×	1.96
Alianza Atlético (DNB)	46.7%	49.1%	33.7%	1.45×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score first	50.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Alianza Atlético to score first	46.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	3.2%	4.4%	—	—	22.92

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.0%	58.3%	53.8%	1.08×	1.71
Not both teams to score	35.0%	41.7%	46.2%	0.90×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.4%	47.4%	42.8%	1.11×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	26.1%	33.3%	37.7%	0.88×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	8.7%	0.95×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.7%	79.7%	85.7%	0.93×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.3%	20.3%	14.3%	1.42×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	36.2%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.7%	42.2%	44.2%	0.95×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.1%	35.0%	26.8%	1.31×	2.86
0-1 goals	16.1%	20.2%	27.5%	0.73×	4.95
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	1.8%	4.19×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 1	32.4%	33.8%	37.7%	0.90×	2.96
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 2	25.8%	27.4%	20.7%	1.33×	3.65
Alianza Atlético to score 3+	21.6%	22.3%	8.0%	2.79×	4.49
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 0	20.3%	22.3%	34.1%	0.65×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 1	30.8%	32.6%	33.0%	0.99×	3.07
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
FC Cajamarca to score 3+	24.7%	23.3%	22.5%	1.04×	4.29
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 0	18.0%	18.8%	19.9%	0.94×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.5%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
FC Cajamarca leading at HT	33.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Alianza Atlético leading at HT	27.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca -1: 2	58.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Cajamarca -1: 1	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
FC Cajamarca -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:1)	58.5%	55.9%	50.2%	1.11×	1.79
FC Cajamarca (0:1)	21.3%	24.2%	24.6%	0.98×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:2)	78.7%	79.4%	75.4%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	13.4%	0.82×	9.10
FC Cajamarca (0:2)	9.0%	7.7%	11.4%	0.67×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:3)	91.0%	92.7%	88.6%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	7.6%	0.76×	17.27
FC Cajamarca (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	4.0%	0.60×	42.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:4)	96.8%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.66
FC Cajamarca (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	81.80

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (1:0)	63.6%	65.3%	74.6%	0.87×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	18.8%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Alianza Atlético (1:0)	17.6%	17.1%	7.6%	2.25×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (2:0)	82.4%	84.6%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.3%	5.6%	1.83×	9.73
Alianza Atlético (2:0)	7.0%	6.4%	2.2%	2.94×	15.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.9%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede	79.7%	76.1%	65.9%	1.15×	1.31
FC Cajamarca clean sheet	20.3%	23.9%	34.1%	0.70×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 1st half	52.8%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
FC Cajamarca to concede in 1st half	47.2%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede in 2nd half	61.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 2nd half	38.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 6.5 corners	85.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Cajamarca under 5.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 corners	71.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Cajamarca under 4.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Cajamarca over 4.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 corners	28.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Cajamarca over 5.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Cajamarca over 6.5 corners	14.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.09
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 goals	82.0%	82.2%	80.1%	1.03×	1.22
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 goals	75.3%	77.7%	77.5%	1.00×	1.29
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals	51.2%	53.2%	47.3%	1.12×	1.88
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 goals	48.8%	46.8%	52.7%	0.89×	2.14
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 goals	24.7%	22.3%	22.5%	0.99×	4.49
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 goals	18.0%	17.8%	19.9%	0.89×	5.62
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	7.6%	1.03×	12.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 1st half	83.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 1st half	16.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca scores more in 2nd half	39.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Cajamarca scores equally in both	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
FC Cajamarca scores more in 1st half	26.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético (home no bet)	62.2%	60.0%	50.4%	1.19×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.8%	40.0%	49.6%	0.81×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca even goals	51.6%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
FC Cajamarca odd goals	48.4%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.2%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
HT 1-0	18.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	16.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 2-0	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.31

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Alianza Atlético at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	20.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	13.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Cajamarca at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
Alianza Atlético at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
FC Cajamarca at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Alianza Atlético at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score last	50.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Alianza Atlético to score last	46.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	3.2%	4.4%	—	—	22.92

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.8%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Cajamarca to lead by 1 at any time	60.2%	61.1%	—	—	1.64
Alianza Atlético to lead by 1 at any time	56.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Cajamarca to lead by 2 at any time	29.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Alianza Atlético to lead by 2 at any time	25.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
FC Cajamarca to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Alianza Atlético to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.94

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca most corners	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza Atlético most corners	40.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.9%	83.4%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.7%	78.7%	70.8%	1.11×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.8%	72.3%	78.1%	0.93×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-6 goals	59.1%	59.1%	49.6%	1.19×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.5%	53.2%	63.9%	0.83×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.7%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.1%	39.2%	26.8%	1.46×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.4%	35.2%	41.1%	0.86×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.4%	35.2%	23.4%	1.51×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.8%	18.8%	12.7%	1.49×	5.31
7+ goals	5.2%	8.9%	1.8%	4.90×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca never behind	40.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Alianza Atlético never behind	36.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	95.4%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	94.7%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.9%	82.3%	72.5%	1.14×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	76.0%	77.3%	85.7%	0.90×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.3%	61.7%	51.3%	1.20×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.8%	58.6%	71.6%	0.82×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.2%	41.4%	28.4%	1.45×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	38.3%	48.7%	0.79×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.0%	22.7%	14.3%	1.59×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	16.1%	17.7%	27.5%	0.64×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	5.3%	2.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.5%	92.4%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.5%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.0%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.7%	72.3%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.2%	51.9%	36.9%	1.41×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.8%	48.1%	63.1%	0.76×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.3%	27.7%	16.7%	1.66×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.0%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.5%	13.3%	5.8%	2.30×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.5%	7.6%	1.9%	4.04×	13.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.8%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético not to score in both halves	70.9%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
FC Cajamarca not to score in both halves	67.4%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
FC Cajamarca to score in both halves	32.6%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
Alianza Atlético to score in both halves	29.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.0%	59.7%	53.8%	1.11×	1.68
Only FC Cajamarca scores	17.0%	16.0%	26.4%	0.61×	6.24
Only Alianza Atlético scores	14.7%	11.0%	12.3%	0.90×	9.05
Neither team scores	3.2%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.59

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.6%	17.5%	21.4%	0.82×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.9%	12.1%	19.9%	0.61×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.26
6 or more goals	11.9%	12.1%	5.3%	2.31×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	3.2%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.9%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	23.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	16.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.5%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	14.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético not to win both halves	90.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Cajamarca not to win both halves	88.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Cajamarca to win both halves	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Alianza Atlético to win both halves	9.3%	5.9%	—	—	16.98

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to win either half	57.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Alianza Atlético to win either half	52.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Alianza Atlético to win neither half	47.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
FC Cajamarca to win neither half	43.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza Atlético not to win to nil	85.3%	88.1%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
FC Cajamarca not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	73.6%	1.13×	1.20
FC Cajamarca to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	26.4%	0.64×	5.91
Alianza Atlético to win to nil	14.7%	11.9%	12.3%	0.97×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.1%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
FC Cajamarca by 1	20.2%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Alianza Atlético by 1	18.8%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
FC Cajamarca by 2	12.3%	11.8%	13.4%	0.88×	8.51
Alianza Atlético by 2	10.6%	11.8%	5.6%	2.09×	8.51
FC Cajamarca by 3+	9.0%	7.2%	11.4%	0.63×	13.90
Alianza Atlético by 3+	7.0%	7.2%	2.2%	3.31×	13.91