FC Cajamarca v UTC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 27 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Cajamarca

18:00 UTC

UTC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 7h before kick-off

FC Cajamarca win

62.9%

model 64.3%

Draw

18.6%

model 18.3%

UTC win

18.5%

model 17.4%

631919

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.7%
2-0 8.8%
1-1 8.1%
1-0 8.0%
3-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.9%	Under 2.5	34.1%
BTTS yes	59.7%	BTTS no	40.3%
FC Cajamarca 1+	89.9%	FC Cajamarca 2+	66.7%
UTC 1+	66.8%	UTC 2+	30.2%

Expected goals 2.29 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

81/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 37%

55.8% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 764 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Cajamarca carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1319.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Cajamarca have an estimated 62.9% win probability, against 18.6% for the draw and 18.5% for UTC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.29 for FC Cajamarca and 1.10 for UTC.

Why FC Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca carry the stronger rating, 1446 Elo against 1319.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why UTC can win

Nothing in the data singles out UTC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Cajamarca, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for UTC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Cajamarca: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. UTC: 48% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 21.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Cajamarca's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Cajamarca are the model's most likely outcome at 62.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 81/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	641817	2.29–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	701614	2.68–1.13	2-1 9%	73%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to win	70.4%	73.6%	49.8%	1.48×	1.36
Draw	15.6%	19.4%	25.0%	0.77×	5.16
UTC to win	14.0%	13.5%	25.4%	0.53×	7.42

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca & both teams score	40.1%	40.0%	23.6%	1.70×	2.50
FC Cajamarca & not both score	30.2%	29.6%	26.4%	1.12×	3.38
Draw & both teams score	13.6%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
UTC & both teams score	9.1%	8.3%	13.2%	0.63×	11.99
UTC & not both score	4.9%	4.9%	12.3%	0.40×	20.47
Draw & not both score	1.9%	4.9%	7.8%	0.62×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca & over 2.5	56.3%	54.8%	30.8%	1.78×	1.82
FC Cajamarca & over 1.5	64.2%	54.8%	38.0%	1.44×	1.83
FC Cajamarca & over 3.5	40.2%	40.2%	16.3%	2.47×	2.49
FC Cajamarca & under 3.5	30.2%	30.7%	33.7%	0.91×	3.25
FC Cajamarca & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	19.2%	0.67×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
UTC & over 1.5	11.3%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
UTC & over 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.63
UTC & under 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	19.4%	0.41×	12.63
FC Cajamarca & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.63
UTC & over 3.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.2%	1.29×	12.63
UTC & under 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.82
UTC & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	8.2%	0.59×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	1.9%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (1UP)	82.0%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
UTC (1UP)	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (2UP)	70.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
UTC (2UP)	14.0%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to win 2nd half	57.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
2nd half drawn	25.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
UTC to win 2nd half	16.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
UTC under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
UTC over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
UTC over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	13.0%	—	—	7.69

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.1%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (+0.5)	86.0%	88.5%	74.6%	1.19×	1.13
UTC (+2.5)	70.4%	73.6%	88.6%	0.83×	1.36
FC Cajamarca (-0.5)	70.4%	73.6%	49.8%	1.48×	1.36
UTC (+1.5)	50.7%	52.4%	75.4%	0.70×	1.91
FC Cajamarca (-1.5)	49.3%	47.6%	24.6%	1.93×	2.10
UTC (+0.5)	29.6%	26.4%	50.2%	0.53×	3.79
FC Cajamarca (-2.5)	29.6%	26.4%	11.4%	2.31×	3.79
UTC (-0.5)	14.0%	11.5%	25.4%	0.46×	8.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to concede	93.1%	91.7%	80.1%	1.15×	1.09
UTC clean sheet	6.9%	8.3%	19.9%	0.42×	12.07

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to concede in 1st half	68.4%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
UTC clean sheet in 1st half	31.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.50

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to concede in 2nd half	78.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
UTC clean sheet in 2nd half	21.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 6.5 corners	83.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
UTC over 2.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
UTC under 5.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
UTC under 4.5 corners	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
UTC over 3.5 corners	56.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
UTC under 3.5 corners	43.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
UTC over 4.5 corners	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
UTC under 2.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
UTC over 5.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
UTC over 6.5 corners	16.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
UTC under 2.5 goals	89.3%	87.8%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
UTC under 1.5 goals	68.7%	68.0%	71.6%	0.95×	1.47
UTC over 0.5 goals	67.8%	68.0%	65.9%	1.03×	1.47
UTC under 0.5 goals	32.2%	32.0%	34.1%	0.94×	3.13
UTC over 1.5 goals	31.3%	32.0%	28.4%	1.12×	3.13
UTC over 2.5 goals	10.7%	12.2%	8.0%	1.53×	8.21
UTC over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
UTC under 0.5 in 1st half	63.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
UTC over 0.5 in 1st half	36.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
UTC over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC scores equally in both	42.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
UTC scores more in 2nd half	35.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
UTC scores more in 1st half	21.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (away no bet)	81.9%	82.7%	66.6%	1.24×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	18.1%	17.3%	33.4%	0.52×	5.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC even goals	55.2%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
UTC odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	69.1%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.4%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.6%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	75.8%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
FC Cajamarca to score 2+ in a row	66.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
FC Cajamarca to score 3+ in a row	37.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
UTC to score 2+ in a row	19.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
UTC to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.45

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca corners (+3.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
UTC corners (+3.5)	84.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Cajamarca corners (+2.5)	77.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
UTC corners (+2.5)	76.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Cajamarca corners (+1.5)	68.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
UTC corners (+1.5)	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Cajamarca corners (-1.5)	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
UTC corners (-1.5)	31.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Cajamarca corners (-2.5)	23.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
UTC corners (-2.5)	22.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Cajamarca corners (-3.5)	15.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
UTC corners (-3.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.4%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	81.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	12.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	13.8%	11.5%	2.7%	4.22×	8.71
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.51
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.51
3-0	7.1%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.51
3-1	8.0%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-0	6.2%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.51
1-1	6.4%	7.4%	11.2%	0.66×	13.51
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
4-1	5.4%	7.4%	2.5%	2.92×	13.51
4-0	4.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.29
0-0	1.9%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.31
0-1	2.8%	1.7%	8.2%	0.21×	58.30
0-2	1.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.32
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.16×	58.32
1-2	3.8%	1.7%	7.6%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
3-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.29
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.37×	58.32
4-2	3.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.73×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	9.47×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (2nd half DNB)	77.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
UTC (2nd half DNB)	22.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca leading at HT (DNB)	78.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
UTC leading at HT (DNB)	21.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or draw (1X)	86.0%	86.5%	74.6%	1.16×	1.16
FC Cajamarca or UTC (12)	84.4%	80.6%	75.0%	1.08×	1.24
UTC or draw (X2)	29.6%	26.4%	50.2%	0.53×	3.79

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or draw at HT	85.4%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
FC Cajamarca or UTC at HT	68.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
UTC or draw at HT	46.5%	51.2%	—	—	1.95

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or draw (1UP)	86.0%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
UTC or draw (1UP)	34.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca or draw in 2nd half	83.4%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
FC Cajamarca or UTC in 2nd half	74.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
UTC or draw in 2nd half	42.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	50.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	49.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (DNB)	83.4%	80.4%	66.3%	1.21×	1.24
UTC (DNB)	16.6%	19.6%	33.7%	0.58×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score first	68.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
UTC to score first	29.2%	28.1%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	1.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.9%	56.6%	53.8%	1.05×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.1%	43.4%	46.2%	0.94×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.5%	47.4%	42.8%	1.11×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	20.3%	27.8%	37.7%	0.74×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	16.8%	21.5%	8.7%	2.47×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	6.4%	8.3%	11.2%	0.74×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.6%	79.7%	85.7%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	23.4%	20.3%	14.3%	1.42×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.2%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Both score 1st half only	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	71.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
A half without a goal	29.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.8%	42.2%	26.8%	1.57×	2.37
2-3 goals	36.2%	35.0%	44.2%	0.79×	2.86
0-1 goals	10.9%	16.9%	27.5%	0.61×	5.91
7+ goals	9.1%	7.6%	1.8%	4.22×	13.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	37.7%	0.95×	2.78
UTC to score exactly 0	32.2%	33.8%	34.1%	0.99×	2.96
UTC to score exactly 2	20.7%	22.3%	20.7%	1.08×	4.49
UTC to score 3+	10.7%	12.9%	8.0%	1.62×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score 3+	50.1%	42.9%	22.5%	1.91×	2.33
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 1	18.4%	18.8%	33.0%	0.57×	5.32
FC Cajamarca to score exactly 0	6.9%	10.3%	19.9%	0.52×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca leading at HT	53.5%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Draw at HT	31.9%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
UTC leading at HT	14.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca -1: 1	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Cajamarca -1: 2	29.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
FC Cajamarca -1: X	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (0:1)	49.3%	46.1%	24.6%	1.87×	2.17
UTC (0:1)	29.6%	27.0%	50.2%	0.54×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.2%	25.4%	0.95×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (0:2)	50.7%	58.0%	75.4%	0.77×	1.72
FC Cajamarca (0:2)	29.6%	24.2%	11.4%	2.12×	4.13
Draw (0:2)	19.7%	15.3%	13.4%	1.14×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (0:3)	70.4%	77.5%	88.6%	0.88×	1.29
FC Cajamarca (0:3)	15.2%	16.1%	4.0%	4.05×	6.19
Draw (0:3)	14.4%	9.9%	7.6%	1.30×	10.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC (0:4)	84.8%	87.2%	96.0%	0.91×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	8.5%	4.7%	2.5%	1.84×	21.44
FC Cajamarca (0:4)	6.7%	4.6%	1.6%	2.84×	21.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (1:0)	86.0%	86.1%	74.6%	1.15×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.1%	6.9%	17.9%	0.39×	14.47
UTC (1:0)	5.0%	3.3%	7.6%	0.43×	30.36

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca (2:0)	95.0%	96.8%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	5.6%	0.41×	43.71
UTC (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	2.2%	1.05×	43.84

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.7%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to concede	67.8%	66.7%	65.9%	1.01×	1.50
FC Cajamarca clean sheet	32.2%	33.3%	34.1%	0.98×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 1st half	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
FC Cajamarca to concede in 1st half	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca clean sheet in 2nd half	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Cajamarca to concede in 2nd half	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca under 6.5 corners	82.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 corners	74.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Cajamarca under 5.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Cajamarca under 4.5 corners	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 corners	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 corners	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Cajamarca over 4.5 corners	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Cajamarca over 5.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 corners	25.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Cajamarca over 6.5 corners	17.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	80.1%	1.15×	1.08
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 goals	74.7%	74.2%	47.3%	1.57×	1.35
FC Cajamarca under 3.5 goals	71.9%	74.2%	92.4%	0.80×	1.35
FC Cajamarca over 2.5 goals	50.1%	53.2%	22.5%	2.37×	1.88
FC Cajamarca under 2.5 goals	49.9%	46.8%	77.5%	0.60×	2.14
FC Cajamarca over 3.5 goals	28.1%	25.8%	7.6%	3.39×	3.88
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 goals	25.3%	25.8%	52.7%	0.49×	3.88
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	19.9%	0.39×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca over 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
FC Cajamarca under 1.5 in 1st half	68.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
FC Cajamarca over 1.5 in 1st half	32.0%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
FC Cajamarca under 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca scores more in 2nd half	45.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Cajamarca scores more in 1st half	28.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
FC Cajamarca scores equally in both	25.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.6%	51.4%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
UTC (home no bet)	47.4%	48.6%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca even goals	50.2%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
FC Cajamarca odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	20.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 2-0	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Any other HT score	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-1	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.33

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	47.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Draw at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
UTC at HT / UTC at FT	7.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Draw at HT / UTC at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
FC Cajamarca at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
UTC at HT / FC Cajamarca at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
UTC at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
FC Cajamarca at HT / UTC at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to score last	68.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
UTC to score last	29.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
No goal scored	1.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Cajamarca to lead by 1 at any time	82.0%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	67.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
FC Cajamarca to lead by 2 at any time	57.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	36.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
UTC to lead by 1 at any time	34.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
FC Cajamarca to lead by 3 at any time	34.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
UTC to lead by 2 at any time	10.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
UTC to lead by 3 at any time	2.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca most corners	44.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
UTC most corners	43.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.0%	78.7%	70.8%	1.11×	1.27
1-5 goals	79.5%	78.7%	87.1%	0.90×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.3%	67.4%	1.07×	1.38
1-4 goals	64.7%	63.3%	78.1%	0.81×	1.58
3-6 goals	64.2%	63.3%	49.6%	1.28×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.7%	59.1%	58.3%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.2%	48.4%	63.9%	0.76×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.8%	43.6%	26.8%	1.63×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	37.1%	1.06×	2.55
2-3 goals	36.2%	39.2%	44.2%	0.89×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.3%	35.2%	23.4%	1.51×	2.84
1-2 goals	24.8%	24.5%	41.1%	0.59×	4.09
5-6 goals	24.3%	24.5%	12.7%	1.93×	4.09
7+ goals	9.1%	8.9%	1.8%	4.91×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca never behind	63.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
UTC never behind	16.1%	18.1%	—	—	5.52

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	92.2%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.1%	87.6%	72.5%	1.21×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	94.7%	0.87×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	51.3%	1.41×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.6%	66.3%	85.7%	0.77×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	52.9%	52.5%	28.4%	1.85×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	47.1%	47.5%	71.6%	0.66×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	33.4%	33.7%	14.3%	2.35×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	48.7%	0.56×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	5.3%	3.37×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.4%	27.5%	0.45×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.9%	86.8%	98.1%	0.88×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.1%	86.7%	65.1%	1.33×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	78.2%	75.9%	94.2%	0.81×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.5%	67.5%	36.9%	1.83×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	58.5%	55.8%	83.3%	0.67×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	41.5%	44.2%	16.7%	2.65×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.5%	32.5%	63.1%	0.51×	3.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	21.8%	24.1%	5.8%	4.17×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.9%	13.3%	34.9%	0.38×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.1%	13.2%	1.9%	7.06×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.0%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 1st half	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	62.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	37.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC not to score in both halves	82.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Cajamarca to score in both halves	53.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
FC Cajamarca not to score in both halves	46.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
UTC to score in both halves	18.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.9%	60.3%	53.8%	1.12×	1.66
Only FC Cajamarca scores	30.2%	33.2%	26.4%	1.26×	3.01
Only UTC scores	4.9%	4.6%	12.3%	0.38×	21.52
Neither team scores	1.9%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
6 or more goals	18.6%	17.5%	5.3%	3.32×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.8%	17.5%	21.4%	0.82×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.9%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.0%	7.6%	19.9%	0.38×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	1.9%	4.5%	7.8%	0.57×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.3%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
3+ goals in 1st half	21.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
No goals in 1st half	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
1 goal in 2nd half	24.5%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
No goals in 2nd half	10.9%	14.4%	—	—	6.97

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC not to win both halves	97.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Cajamarca not to win both halves	69.2%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
FC Cajamarca to win both halves	30.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
UTC to win both halves	2.4%	2.8%	—	—	36.24

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca to win either half	80.4%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
UTC to win neither half	71.2%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
UTC to win either half	28.8%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
FC Cajamarca to win neither half	19.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
UTC not to win to nil	95.1%	96.1%	87.7%	1.10×	1.04
FC Cajamarca not to win to nil	69.8%	69.7%	73.6%	0.95×	1.43
FC Cajamarca to win to nil	30.2%	30.3%	26.4%	1.14×	3.30
UTC to win to nil	4.9%	3.9%	12.3%	0.32×	25.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cajamarca by 3+	29.6%	27.9%	11.4%	2.44×	3.59
FC Cajamarca by 1	21.1%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
FC Cajamarca by 2	19.7%	17.1%	13.4%	1.27×	5.86
Draw	15.6%	17.0%	25.0%	0.68×	5.87
UTC by 1	9.1%	7.2%	17.9%	0.40×	13.90
UTC by 2	3.5%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	36.86
UTC by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	2.2%	1.25×	36.93