FC Cologne v RasenBallsport Leipzig — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 December 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627
Bundesliga
xG Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyFC Cologne win
27.7%
model 29.6%
Draw
22.9%
model 20.5%
RasenBallsport Leipzig win
49.3%
model 49.9%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-2 8.5%
- 1-1 7.7%
- 2-2 7.0%
- 2-1 6.4%
- 1-3 6.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 74.0% | Under 2.5 | 26.0% |
| BTTS yes | 72.0% | BTTS no | 28.0% |
| FC Cologne 1+ | 81.1% | FC Cologne 2+ | 49.6% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig 1+ | 88.8% | RasenBallsport Leipzig 2+ | 64.2% |
Expected goals 1.67 – 2.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
88/100
Data quality
90/100
Model agreement
93%
★ Best pick
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 goals
Away goals O/U · usually 43%
63.9% fair odds 1.57
strong signal · 1002 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT · usually 85%
83.7% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- RasenBallsport Leipzig carry the stronger rating, 1611 Elo against 1430.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have created 2.41 xG a match over their last five while FC Cologne have allowed 1.86.
- Away from home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 1.24 xG a match.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
RasenBallsport Leipzig have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.7% for FC Cologne and 22.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for FC Cologne and 2.19 for RasenBallsport Leipzig.
Why FC Cologne
FC Cologne have created 1.91 xG a match over their last five while RasenBallsport Leipzig have allowed 2.13. At home FC Cologne average 2.09 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: RasenBallsport Leipzig were missing 1.55 expected goal involvements a match against 1.24.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why RasenBallsport Leipzig can win
RasenBallsport Leipzig carry the stronger rating, 1611 Elo against 1430. RasenBallsport Leipzig have created 2.41 xG a match over their last five while FC Cologne have allowed 1.86. Away from home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 1.24 xG a match.
Key players
FC Cologne's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ragnar Ache (0.41), Said El Mala (0.40), Thijs Dallinga (0.39). RasenBallsport Leipzig's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Christoph Baumgartner (0.54), Yan Diomande (0.52), Rômulo (0.52).
Availability
2 of FC Cologne's top three contributors did not start their last match. 3 of RasenBallsport Leipzig's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of RasenBallsport Leipzig's last eleven are new to the club this window.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
FC Cologne: 50% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.44 xG a match from set pieces. RasenBallsport Leipzig: 54% possession, 16.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.51 xG a match from set pieces. FC Cologne's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
RasenBallsport Leipzig are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 8.5%. Confidence 88/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
FC Cologne are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.1 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.4 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
LDLLWLDLWL last 10
scored 13
from 19.1 xG
conceded 23
from 18.6 xG
RasenBallsport Leipzig have scored 23 from 24.1 expected and conceded 21 from 21.3 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.
WLWLWLWLWL last 10
scored 23
from 24.1 xG
conceded 21
from 21.3 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.67–2.19 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.84–2.02 | 1-2 8% | 74% | 73% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to win | 39.9% | 36.4% | 42.1% | 0.87× | 2.75 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win | 38.9% | 36.4% | 33.4% | 1.09× | 2.75 |
| Draw | 21.2% | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.99× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne & both teams score | 27.2% | 25.2% | 22.3% | 1.13× | 3.97 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & both teams score | 26.6% | 25.2% | 18.4% | 1.37× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 19.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.95× | 5.57 |
| FC Cologne & not both score | 12.7% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 0.67× | 7.54 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & not both score | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 0.88× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 0.83× | 20.63 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne & over 1.5 | 35.7% | 34.9% | 35.8% | 0.98× | 2.87 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 1.5 | 34.8% | 30.8% | 27.5% | 1.12× | 3.25 |
| FC Cologne & over 2.5 | 31.7% | 30.8% | 29.9% | 1.03× | 3.25 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 2.5 | 30.9% | 30.8% | 23.4% | 1.32× | 3.25 |
| FC Cologne & over 3.5 | 21.5% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 1.06× | 4.63 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 3.5 | 20.9% | 21.6% | 14.1% | 1.54× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 19.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.95× | 5.56 |
| FC Cologne & under 3.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 0.82× | 5.56 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 3.5 | 18.1% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 1.32× | 7.79 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 1.32× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 0.85× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 0.85× | 7.79 |
| FC Cologne & under 2.5 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 0.65× | 12.63 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 2.5 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 0.78× | 12.63 |
| FC Cologne & under 1.5 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 0.75× | 20.81 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 1.5 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 0.80× | 20.81 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 0.82× | 20.82 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (1UP) | 61.1% | 62.7% | 60.1% | 1.04× | 1.59 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (1UP) | 60.3% | 62.7% | 52.2% | 1.20× | 1.60 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (2UP) | 39.9% | 37.6% | 45.4% | 0.83× | 2.66 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (2UP) | 38.9% | 37.5% | 36.4% | 1.03× | 2.67 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to win 2nd half | 42.8% | 41.9% | 37.5% | 1.12× | 2.39 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win 2nd half | 29.8% | 25.8% | 29.1% | 0.89× | 3.87 |
| 2nd half drawn | 27.4% | 25.8% | 33.6% | 0.77× | 3.88 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 2nd half | 71.3% | 75.2% | 79.5% | 0.95× | 1.33 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 2nd half | 65.4% | 70.0% | 56.5% | 1.24× | 1.43 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 2nd half | 34.6% | 30.0% | 43.5% | 0.69× | 3.33 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 2nd half | 28.7% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 1.21× | 4.03 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne over 0.5 in 2nd half | 73.6% | 74.0% | 63.1% | 1.17× | 1.35 |
| FC Cologne under 1.5 in 2nd half | 61.6% | 63.2% | 74.4% | 0.85× | 1.58 |
| FC Cologne over 1.5 in 2nd half | 38.4% | 36.8% | 25.6% | 1.44× | 2.71 |
| FC Cologne under 0.5 in 2nd half | 26.4% | 26.0% | 36.9% | 0.70× | 3.85 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (+2.5) | 90.3% | 92.1% | 88.0% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (+1.5) | 78.4% | 78.5% | 75.4% | 1.04× | 1.27 |
| FC Cologne (+0.5) | 61.1% | 62.9% | 66.6% | 0.94× | 1.59 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (+0.5) | 60.1% | 62.9% | 57.9% | 1.09× | 1.59 |
| FC Cologne (-0.5) | 39.9% | 37.1% | 42.1% | 0.88× | 2.70 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (-0.5) | 38.9% | 37.1% | 33.4% | 1.11× | 2.70 |
| FC Cologne (-1.5) | 21.6% | 21.5% | 24.6% | 0.88× | 4.65 |
| FC Cologne (-2.5) | 9.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 0.66× | 12.66 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede | 85.5% | 86.2% | 79.2% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet | 14.5% | 13.8% | 20.8% | 0.66× | 7.27 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 1st half | 54.9% | 50.6% | 48.1% | 1.05× | 1.98 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 1st half | 45.1% | 49.4% | 51.9% | 0.95× | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 2nd half | 73.6% | 71.0% | 63.1% | 1.13× | 1.41 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 2nd half | 26.4% | 29.0% | 36.9% | 0.79× | 3.45 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 2.5 corners | 81.8% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 6.5 corners | 74.1% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 3.5 corners | 67.6% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 5.5 corners | 62.1% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 4.5 corners | 52.2% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 4.5 corners | 47.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 5.5 corners | 37.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 3.5 corners | 32.4% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 6.5 corners | 25.9% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 2.5 corners | 18.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 3.5 goals | 87.4% | 87.8% | 92.7% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 goals | 85.1% | 87.8% | 74.4% | 1.18× | 1.14 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 2.5 goals | 70.2% | 71.9% | 79.2% | 0.91× | 1.39 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 goals | 56.8% | 59.4% | 42.8% | 1.39× | 1.68 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 goals | 43.2% | 40.6% | 57.2% | 0.71× | 2.46 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 2.5 goals | 29.8% | 28.1% | 20.8% | 1.35× | 3.55 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 goals | 14.9% | 12.2% | 25.6% | 0.48× | 8.19 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 3.5 goals | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 1.66× | 8.20 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 1st half | 79.3% | 76.1% | 85.8% | 0.89× | 1.31 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 1st half | 57.0% | 61.9% | 45.6% | 1.36× | 1.61 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 1st half | 43.0% | 38.1% | 54.4% | 0.70× | 2.63 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 1st half | 20.7% | 23.9% | 14.2% | 1.68× | 4.18 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig scores more in 2nd half | 40.1% | 43.3% | 36.4% | 1.19× | 2.31 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig scores equally in both | 31.5% | 33.6% | 39.6% | 0.85× | 2.98 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig scores more in 1st half | 28.4% | 26.3% | 24.1% | 1.09× | 3.80 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (away no bet) | 65.3% | 66.3% | 63.0% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 34.7% | 33.7% | 37.0% | 0.91× | 2.97 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig even goals | 51.1% | 52.6% | 53.6% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig odd goals | 48.9% | 47.4% | 46.4% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 70.8% | 76.4% | 75.3% | 1.02× | 1.31 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 29.2% | 23.6% | 24.7% | 0.95× | 4.24 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 82.1% | 78.5% | 72.3% | 1.09× | 1.27 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 17.9% | 21.5% | 27.7% | 0.77× | 4.66 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 72.8% | 72.1% | 66.4% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| FC Cologne to score 2+ in a row | 44.3% | 38.9% | 42.6% | 0.91× | 2.57 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 2+ in a row | 43.5% | 38.8% | 34.3% | 1.13× | 2.58 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 32.2% | 29.2% | 29.2% | 1.00× | 3.43 |
| FC Cologne to score 3+ in a row | 17.0% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 0.91× | 6.15 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+ in a row | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 1.32× | 6.16 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne corners (+3.5) | 90.8% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Cologne corners (+2.5) | 86.2% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| FC Cologne corners (+1.5) | 80.2% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (+3.5) | 63.6% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| FC Cologne corners (-1.5) | 54.9% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (+2.5) | 54.6% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| FC Cologne corners (-2.5) | 45.5% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (+1.5) | 45.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| FC Cologne corners (-3.5) | 36.4% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (-1.5) | 19.8% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (-2.5) | 13.8% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig corners (-3.5) | 9.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 52.1% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| 9-11 corners | 26.5% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
| 0-8 corners | 21.4% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 85.6% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 78.6% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 70.3% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 61.3% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 57.0% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 52.1% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 47.9% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 43.0% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 38.7% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 29.7% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 21.4% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 14.4% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.91 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.27× | 13.50 |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 0.79× | 13.50 |
| 1-2 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.10× | 13.50 |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.50 |
| 2-2 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.10× | 13.50 |
| 1-3 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.29 |
| 3-1 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 58.29 |
| 0-0 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 58.31 |
| 0-1 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 58.30 |
| 0-2 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.40× | 58.30 |
| 0-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.60× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.31 |
| 1-0 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 0.27× | 58.30 |
| 1-4 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.04× | 58.31 |
| 2-0 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 0.29× | 58.30 |
| 2-3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.29 |
| 2-4 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.64× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.30 |
| 3-2 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.29 |
| 3-3 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.60× | 58.30 |
| 3-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.04× | 58.31 |
| 4-0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.82× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.64× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.64× | 58.31 |
| 4-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 3.82× | 58.32 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (2nd half DNB) | 59.0% | 59.7% | 56.3% | 1.06× | 1.67 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (2nd half DNB) | 41.0% | 40.3% | 43.7% | 0.92× | 2.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT (DNB) | 61.5% | 65.5% | 44.4% | 1.47× | 1.53 |
| FC Cologne leading at HT (DNB) | 38.5% | 34.5% | 55.6% | 0.62× | 2.90 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne or RasenBallsport Leipzig (12) | 78.8% | 75.6% | 75.3% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| FC Cologne or draw (1X) | 61.1% | 63.6% | 66.6% | 0.96× | 1.57 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (X2) | 60.1% | 63.6% | 57.9% | 1.10× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw at HT | 75.8% | 79.0% | 63.3% | 1.25× | 1.27 |
| FC Cologne or RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT | 62.9% | 61.6% | 66.0% | 0.93× | 1.62 |
| FC Cologne or draw at HT | 61.4% | 61.6% | 70.6% | 0.87× | 1.62 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne or draw (1UP) | 61.1% | 71.5% | 73.8% | 0.97× | 1.40 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (1UP) | 60.3% | 71.5% | 64.6% | 1.11× | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne or RasenBallsport Leipzig in 2nd half | 72.6% | 74.2% | 66.4% | 1.12× | 1.35 |
| FC Cologne or draw in 2nd half | 70.2% | 74.2% | 70.9% | 1.05× | 1.35 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw in 2nd half | 57.2% | 58.1% | 62.5% | 0.93× | 1.72 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 54.4% | 50.2% | 54.0% | 0.93× | 1.99 |
| Neither half drawn | 45.6% | 49.8% | 46.0% | 1.08× | 2.01 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (DNB) | 50.6% | 50.9% | 55.8% | 0.91× | 1.97 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (DNB) | 49.4% | 49.1% | 44.2% | 1.11× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to score first | 49.3% | 46.1% | 51.1% | 0.90× | 2.17 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score first | 48.6% | 46.1% | 43.2% | 1.07× | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 0.73× | 23.59 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 72.8% | 62.6% | 59.4% | 1.05× | 1.60 |
| Not both teams to score | 27.2% | 37.4% | 40.6% | 0.92× | 2.67 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 64.9% | 50.6% | 50.2% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 18.4% | 21.6% | 28.0% | 0.77× | 4.64 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 0.65× | 12.06 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 0.88× | 12.06 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 67.3% | 71.2% | 79.3% | 0.90× | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 32.7% | 28.8% | 20.7% | 1.39× | 3.48 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 51.8% | 51.7% | 65.1% | 0.80× | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 48.2% | 48.3% | 34.9% | 1.38× | 2.07 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 38.5% | 44.5% | 51.3% | 0.87× | 2.25 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 35.8% | 43.2% | 28.3% | 1.53× | 2.31 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 0.77× | 9.35 |
| Both score in both halves | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.58× | 9.36 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 74.3% | 79.8% | 79.5% | 1.00× | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 25.7% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 0.98× | 4.95 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 69.4% | 66.6% | 67.5% | 0.99× | 1.50 |
| A half without a goal | 30.6% | 33.4% | 32.5% | 1.03× | 3.00 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 44.0% | 42.1% | 39.7% | 1.06× | 2.37 |
| 2-3 goals | 36.2% | 35.1% | 38.3% | 0.92× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 10.4% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 0.94× | 5.93 |
| 7+ goals | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.76× | 13.07 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+ | 29.8% | 27.4% | 20.8% | 1.32× | 3.65 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 1 | 28.3% | 27.4% | 31.7% | 0.86× | 3.65 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 22.2% | 1.24× | 3.65 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 0 | 14.9% | 12.9% | 25.6% | 0.50× | 7.75 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to score 3+ | 30.5% | 32.5% | 27.5% | 1.18× | 3.07 |
| FC Cologne to score exactly 1 | 28.0% | 26.6% | 28.7% | 0.92× | 3.77 |
| FC Cologne to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.5% | 23.2% | 1.14× | 3.77 |
| FC Cologne to score exactly 0 | 14.5% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 0.69× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT | 38.6% | 38.4% | 29.4% | 1.31× | 2.60 |
| Draw at HT | 37.1% | 38.4% | 34.0% | 1.13× | 2.60 |
| FC Cologne leading at HT | 24.2% | 21.0% | 36.7% | 0.57× | 4.76 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne -1: 2 | 60.1% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| FC Cologne -1: 1 | 21.6% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| FC Cologne -1: X | 18.3% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:1) | 60.1% | 61.3% | 57.9% | 1.06× | 1.63 |
| FC Cologne (0:1) | 21.6% | 24.2% | 24.6% | 0.99× | 4.13 |
| Draw (0:1) | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 1.01× | 5.61 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:2) | 78.4% | 79.4% | 75.4% | 1.05× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 0.86× | 9.10 |
| FC Cologne (0:2) | 9.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 0.64× | 13.02 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:3) | 90.3% | 92.7% | 88.0% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.17× | 17.23 |
| FC Cologne (0:3) | 3.7% | 2.4% | 7.2% | 0.33× | 42.03 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:4) | 96.3% | 98.1% | 92.8% | 1.06× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.5% | 1.2% | 4.9% | 0.25× | 81.82 |
| FC Cologne (0:4) | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.51× | 81.97 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (1:0) | 61.1% | 65.3% | 66.6% | 0.98× | 1.53 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (1:0) | 20.9% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 1.28× | 4.61 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 1.03× | 5.85 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne (2:0) | 79.1% | 80.5% | 83.1% | 0.97× | 1.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 1.04× | 9.73 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (2:0) | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 0.89× | 15.66 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 58.6% | 60.0% | 47.4% | 1.27× | 1.67 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 22.3% | 24.3% | 25.9% | 0.94× | 4.11 |
| Halves equal | 19.1% | 19.8% | 26.8% | 0.74× | 5.06 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to concede | 85.1% | 85.4% | 74.4% | 1.15× | 1.17 |
| FC Cologne clean sheet | 14.9% | 14.6% | 25.6% | 0.57× | 6.85 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to concede in 1st half | 57.0% | 61.9% | 45.6% | 1.36× | 1.61 |
| FC Cologne clean sheet in 1st half | 43.0% | 38.1% | 54.4% | 0.70× | 2.63 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to concede in 2nd half | 65.4% | 67.0% | 56.5% | 1.18× | 1.49 |
| FC Cologne clean sheet in 2nd half | 34.6% | 33.0% | 43.5% | 0.76× | 3.03 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne over 2.5 corners | 93.3% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Cologne over 3.5 corners | 86.0% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| FC Cologne over 4.5 corners | 76.1% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| FC Cologne over 5.5 corners | 64.6% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| FC Cologne over 6.5 corners | 52.6% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| FC Cologne under 6.5 corners | 47.4% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| FC Cologne under 5.5 corners | 35.4% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| FC Cologne under 4.5 corners | 23.9% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| FC Cologne under 3.5 corners | 14.0% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.26 |
| FC Cologne under 2.5 corners | 6.7% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.29 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne under 3.5 goals | 87.0% | 87.3% | 88.3% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| FC Cologne over 0.5 goals | 85.5% | 87.2% | 79.2% | 1.10× | 1.15 |
| FC Cologne under 2.5 goals | 69.5% | 68.0% | 72.5% | 0.94× | 1.47 |
| FC Cologne over 1.5 goals | 57.5% | 58.6% | 50.6% | 1.16× | 1.71 |
| FC Cologne under 1.5 goals | 42.5% | 41.4% | 49.4% | 0.84× | 2.42 |
| FC Cologne over 2.5 goals | 30.5% | 32.0% | 27.5% | 1.16× | 3.12 |
| FC Cologne under 0.5 goals | 14.5% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 0.61× | 7.84 |
| FC Cologne over 3.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 1.09× | 7.85 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne under 1.5 in 1st half | 87.8% | 90.2% | 80.5% | 1.12× | 1.11 |
| FC Cologne under 0.5 in 1st half | 54.9% | 50.4% | 48.1% | 1.05× | 1.98 |
| FC Cologne over 0.5 in 1st half | 45.1% | 49.6% | 51.9% | 0.96× | 2.02 |
| FC Cologne over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.2% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 0.50× | 10.22 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne scores more in 2nd half | 54.6% | 58.8% | 38.2% | 1.54× | 1.70 |
| FC Cologne scores equally in both | 28.6% | 27.8% | 36.7% | 0.76× | 3.59 |
| FC Cologne scores more in 1st half | 16.8% | 15.0% | 25.2% | 0.60× | 6.66 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig (home no bet) | 64.8% | 60.1% | 57.5% | 1.05× | 1.67 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 35.2% | 39.9% | 42.5% | 0.94× | 2.50 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne even goals | 51.1% | 50.7% | 52.7% | 0.96× | 1.97 |
| FC Cologne odd goals | 48.9% | 49.3% | 47.3% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 23.6% | 24.4% | 23.1% | 1.06× | 4.09 |
| HT 0-1 | 19.9% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 1.12× | 5.37 |
| HT 1-0 | 14.2% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 0.58× | 9.06 |
| HT 1-1 | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 1.13× | 9.08 |
| HT 0-2 | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 0.96× | 14.47 |
| Any other HT score | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 1.00× | 14.48 |
| HT 1-2 | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.00× | 14.52 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.3% | 2.4% | 9.4% | 0.25× | 42.00 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 0.57× | 42.04 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.76× | 42.18 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT | 25.6% | 27.1% | 20.4% | 1.33× | 3.69 |
| FC Cologne at HT / FC Cologne at FT | 18.2% | 16.7% | 28.2% | 0.59× | 5.98 |
| Draw at HT / FC Cologne at FT | 15.9% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 1.53× | 5.99 |
| Draw at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 1.30× | 7.92 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 0.93× | 7.92 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Draw at FT | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 1.00× | 16.62 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / FC Cologne at FT | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.82× | 16.67 |
| FC Cologne at HT / Draw at FT | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 0.67× | 28.63 |
| FC Cologne at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 0.97× | 28.68 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to score last | 49.2% | 46.6% | 49.9% | 0.93× | 2.15 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score last | 48.6% | 46.5% | 44.4% | 1.05× | 2.15 |
| No goal scored | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 0.73× | 23.59 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 97.8% | 95.7% | 94.2% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| FC Cologne to lead by 1 at any time | 61.1% | 61.3% | 60.1% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 60.8% | 61.3% | 55.6% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 1 at any time | 60.3% | 61.3% | 52.2% | 1.17× | 1.63 |
| FC Cologne to lead by 2 at any time | 31.2% | 29.8% | 33.0% | 0.90× | 3.36 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 2 at any time | 30.4% | 29.8% | 23.4% | 1.27× | 3.36 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 26.3% | 25.5% | 25.5% | 1.00× | 3.92 |
| FC Cologne to lead by 3 at any time | 13.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 0.67× | 9.54 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 3 at any time | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 1.06× | 9.55 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne most corners | 64.2% | 60.6% | — | — | 1.65 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig most corners | 27.3% | 31.1% | — | — | 3.21 |
| Corners level | 8.6% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.97 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 80.2% | 83.4% | 77.8% | 1.07× | 1.20 |
| 1-5 goals | 78.9% | 78.7% | 82.9% | 0.95× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.6% | 72.4% | 70.8% | 1.02× | 1.38 |
| 3-6 goals | 64.3% | 63.3% | 58.5% | 1.08× | 1.58 |
| 1-4 goals | 63.9% | 63.3% | 72.0% | 0.88× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 55.6% | 59.1% | 59.9% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.7% | 53.2% | 51.5% | 1.03× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 44.4% | 43.6% | 50.4% | 0.86× | 2.29 |
| 4-6 goals | 44.0% | 43.6% | 39.7% | 1.10× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.8% | 39.2% | 40.6% | 0.97× | 2.55 |
| 2-3 goals | 36.2% | 39.2% | 38.3% | 1.02× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 34.4% | 35.2% | 32.6% | 1.08× | 2.84 |
| 5-6 goals | 24.5% | 24.5% | 18.1% | 1.35× | 4.08 |
| 1-2 goals | 24.1% | 24.5% | 31.6% | 0.78× | 4.08 |
| 7+ goals | 9.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.05× | 11.25 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne never behind | 37.6% | 44.0% | 47.8% | 0.92× | 2.27 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig never behind | 36.8% | 44.0% | 39.9% | 1.10× | 2.27 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.0% | 50.9% | 45.7% | 1.12× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 50.0% | 49.1% | 54.3% | 0.90× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.8% | 51.6% | 52.5% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.2% | 48.4% | 47.5% | 1.02× | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.4% | 51.9% | 53.1% | 0.98× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.6% | 48.1% | 46.9% | 1.03× | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97.8% | 95.4% | 94.2% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.6% | 87.6% | 82.0% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 81.0% | 82.3% | 88.6% | 0.93× | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.7% | 72.5% | 62.7% | 1.16× | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 66.1% | 66.3% | 77.7% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.4% | 52.5% | 43.9% | 1.20× | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46.6% | 47.5% | 56.1% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 33.9% | 33.7% | 22.3% | 1.51× | 2.97 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26.3% | 27.5% | 37.3% | 0.74× | 3.63 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 19.0% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 1.56× | 5.65 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10.4% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 0.69× | 8.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 0.78× | 21.88 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 89.6% | 86.7% | 95.3% | 0.91× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 87.6% | 86.7% | 77.7% | 1.12× | 1.15 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 77.7% | 75.9% | 87.2% | 0.87× | 1.32 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 67.0% | 67.4% | 54.1% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 57.9% | 55.8% | 71.6% | 0.78× | 1.79 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 42.1% | 44.2% | 28.4% | 1.56× | 2.26 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 33.0% | 32.6% | 45.9% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 22.3% | 24.1% | 12.8% | 1.89× | 4.15 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 12.4% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 0.60× | 7.53 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 10.4% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 2.84× | 7.54 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 82.3% | 85.8% | 84.6% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 76.4% | 78.1% | 76.9% | 1.02× | 1.28 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 57.7% | 63.6% | 58.6% | 1.09× | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 42.3% | 36.4% | 41.4% | 0.88× | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 23.6% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 0.95× | 4.57 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 17.7% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 0.92× | 7.04 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 90.9% | 89.6% | 84.7% | 1.06× | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 69.0% | 68.8% | 55.6% | 1.24× | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 57.1% | 54.9% | 73.0% | 0.75× | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 42.9% | 45.1% | 27.0% | 1.67× | 2.22 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 31.0% | 31.2% | 44.4% | 0.70× | 3.20 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 0.68× | 9.60 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne not to score in both halves | 66.8% | 69.8% | 64.2% | 1.09× | 1.43 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig not to score in both halves | 62.7% | 63.7% | 72.3% | 0.88× | 1.57 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to score in both halves | 37.3% | 36.3% | 27.7% | 1.31× | 2.75 |
| FC Cologne to score in both halves | 33.2% | 30.2% | 35.8% | 0.84× | 3.31 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 72.8% | 66.3% | 59.4% | 1.12× | 1.51 |
| Only FC Cologne scores | 12.7% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 0.55× | 9.06 |
| Only RasenBallsport Leipzig scores | 12.3% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 0.73× | 9.06 |
| Neither team scores | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 0.79× | 21.75 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.3% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 1.19× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.5% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 0.80× | 5.73 |
| 6 or more goals | 19.0% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 1.53× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 15.9% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 0.90× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 1.10× | 8.24 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 0.62× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 0.76× | 22.41 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 34.1% | 35.9% | 35.7% | 1.01× | 2.79 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 24.6% | 21.5% | 26.1% | 0.83× | 4.64 |
| No goals in 1st half | 23.6% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 0.93× | 4.64 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 1.01× | 6.39 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 69.0% | 62.0% | 55.6% | 1.12× | 1.61 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 21.9% | 22.7% | 29.2% | 0.78× | 4.40 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 0.69× | 9.45 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne not to win both halves | 89.6% | 88.0% | 84.0% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win both halves | 88.5% | 87.9% | 90.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win both halves | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 1.32× | 8.27 |
| FC Cologne to win both halves | 10.4% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 0.75× | 8.30 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win either half | 56.9% | 59.0% | 49.3% | 1.20× | 1.69 |
| FC Cologne to win either half | 56.7% | 59.0% | 58.2% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| FC Cologne to win neither half | 43.3% | 41.0% | 41.8% | 0.98× | 2.44 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win neither half | 43.1% | 41.0% | 50.7% | 0.81× | 2.44 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win to nil | 87.7% | 88.1% | 84.9% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| FC Cologne not to win to nil | 87.3% | 88.1% | 80.1% | 1.10× | 1.14 |
| FC Cologne to win to nil | 12.7% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 0.60× | 8.41 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig to win to nil | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 0.79× | 8.41 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% | 24.1% | 24.7% | 0.98× | 4.15 |
| FC Cologne by 1 | 18.3% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 0.97× | 5.87 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig by 1 | 18.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 1.03× | 5.87 |
| FC Cologne by 2 | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 0.92× | 8.51 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig by 2 | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 1.19× | 8.51 |
| FC Cologne by 3+ | 9.7% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 0.60× | 13.90 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig by 3+ | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 1.00× | 13.90 |