FC Cologne v Schalke 04 — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

FC Cologne

09:30

Schalke 04

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 1,134h before kick-off

FC Cologne win

63.5%

model 68.0%

Draw

18.2%

model 16.0%

Schalke 04 win

18.2%

model 16.0%

641818

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 8.2%
3-1 7.8%
2-0 6.0%
1-1 5.8%
3-0 5.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	79.2%	Under 2.5	20.8%
BTTS yes	70.3%	BTTS no	29.7%
FC Cologne 1+	94.2%	FC Cologne 2+	77.6%
Schalke 04 1+	74.6%	Schalke 04 2+	39.8%

Expected goals 2.85 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

90/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 in 2nd half

Over/Under 2HT · usually 27%

52.0% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1127 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Cologne or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP · usually 74%

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

At home FC Cologne average 2.50 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Cologne have an estimated 63.5% win probability, against 18.2% for Schalke 04 and 18.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.85 for FC Cologne and 1.37 for Schalke 04.

Why FC Cologne

At home FC Cologne average 2.50 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Schalke 04 can win

Schalke 04 carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1444. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: FC Cologne were missing 1.10 expected goal involvements a match against 0.30.

Key players

FC Cologne's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Said El Mala (0.47), Ragnar Ache (0.43), Jakub Kaminski (0.35). Schalke 04's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Moussa Sylla (0.48), Dejan Ljubicic (0.20), Junior Adamu (0.20).

Availability

2 of FC Cologne's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of FC Cologne's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Cologne: 42% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.39 xG a match from set pieces. Schalke 04: 46% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

FC Cologne are the model's most likely outcome at 63.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 8.2%. Confidence 90/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

FC Cologne are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DDWDLDLLWL last 10 scored 18 from 22.3 xG conceded 25 from 19.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	681616	2.85–1.37	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	741412	2.93–1.16	2-1 8%	77%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to win	79.2%	78.4%	41.6%	1.88×	1.28
Draw	11.0%	13.3%	24.8%	0.53×	7.54
Schalke 04 to win	9.8%	8.3%	33.7%	0.25×	12.02

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne & both teams score	55.8%	50.3%	22.2%	2.27×	1.99
FC Cologne & not both score	23.3%	21.9%	19.6%	1.12×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	10.5%	13.3%	19.1%	0.69×	7.55
Schalke 04 & both teams score	8.1%	8.4%	18.4%	0.46×	11.93
Schalke 04 & not both score	1.7%	4.8%	15.5%	0.31×	20.63
Draw & not both score	0.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.83×	20.67

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne & over 1.5	77.1%	74.6%	35.4%	2.10×	1.34
FC Cologne & over 2.5	73.2%	67.2%	29.4%	2.28×	1.49
FC Cologne & over 3.5	62.6%	54.7%	20.3%	2.70×	1.83
FC Cologne & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	21.5%	0.84×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	10.5%	12.9%	19.1%	0.67×	7.77
Schalke 04 & over 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	27.8%	0.28×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.70
Schalke 04 & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	23.6%	0.33×	12.69
FC Cologne & under 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	12.3%	0.64×	12.70
Schalke 04 & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.70
Draw & under 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	15.5%	0.31×	20.94
Draw & under 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	15.5%	0.31×	20.94
Schalke 04 & under 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	19.8%	0.24×	20.94
FC Cologne & under 1.5	2.1%	4.8%	6.3%	0.75×	20.95
Schalke 04 & under 2.5	1.3%	4.8%	10.3%	0.46×	20.95
Draw & under 1.5	0.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.96
Schalke 04 & under 1.5	0.8%	4.8%	6.0%	0.79×	20.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (1UP)	89.3%	90.2%	59.6%	1.51×	1.11
Schalke 04 (1UP)	34.1%	33.0%	52.9%	0.62×	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (2UP)	79.2%	77.0%	45.0%	1.71×	1.30
Schalke 04 (2UP)	10.5%	13.1%	36.6%	0.36×	7.65

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to win 2nd half	75.2%	76.8%	37.1%	2.07×	1.30
2nd half drawn	15.4%	18.8%	33.4%	0.56×	5.32
Schalke 04 to win 2nd half	9.4%	8.2%	29.6%	0.28×	12.23

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (+0.5)	90.2%	92.1%	66.3%	1.39×	1.09
FC Cologne (-0.5)	79.2%	78.4%	41.6%	1.89×	1.28
FC Cologne (-1.5)	63.3%	62.9%	24.7%	2.55×	1.59
Schalke 04 (+2.5)	54.8%	52.4%	88.3%	0.59×	1.91
FC Cologne (-2.5)	45.2%	47.6%	11.7%	4.07×	2.10
Schalke 04 (+1.5)	36.7%	37.1%	75.3%	0.49×	2.70
Schalke 04 (+0.5)	20.8%	21.6%	58.4%	0.37×	4.64
Schalke 04 (-0.5)	9.8%	7.9%	33.7%	0.24×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede	97.7%	96.5%	78.8%	1.23×	1.04
Schalke 04 clean sheet	2.3%	3.5%	21.2%	0.16×	28.78

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to concede in 1st half	71.5%	77.4%	51.8%	1.49×	1.29
Schalke 04 clean sheet in 1st half	28.5%	22.6%	48.2%	0.47×	4.43

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 6.5 corners	86.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Schalke 04 under 5.5 corners	77.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Schalke 04 over 2.5 corners	69.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Schalke 04 under 4.5 corners	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Schalke 04 over 3.5 corners	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Schalke 04 under 3.5 corners	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Schalke 04 over 4.5 corners	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Schalke 04 under 2.5 corners	30.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Schalke 04 over 5.5 corners	22.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Schalke 04 over 6.5 corners	13.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 3.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Schalke 04 under 2.5 goals	82.6%	81.4%	79.0%	1.03×	1.23
Schalke 04 over 0.5 goals	76.1%	76.2%	74.7%	1.02×	1.31
Schalke 04 under 1.5 goals	58.1%	59.5%	57.1%	1.04×	1.68
Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals	41.9%	40.5%	42.9%	0.94×	2.47
Schalke 04 under 0.5 goals	23.9%	23.8%	25.3%	0.94×	4.21
Schalke 04 over 2.5 goals	17.4%	18.6%	21.0%	0.88×	5.38
Schalke 04 over 3.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	7.4%	1.03×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 under 1.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.0%	85.7%	1.04×	1.12
Schalke 04 under 0.5 in 1st half	51.8%	56.1%	54.4%	1.03×	1.78
Schalke 04 over 0.5 in 1st half	48.2%	43.9%	45.6%	0.96×	2.28
Schalke 04 over 1.5 in 1st half	14.1%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.06

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (away no bet)	87.8%	84.7%	62.6%	1.35×	1.18
Draw (away no bet)	12.2%	15.3%	37.4%	0.41×	6.54

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 even goals	52.9%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.89
Schalke 04 odd goals	47.1%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	52.1%	55.0%	75.8%	0.73×	1.82
Both halves over 1.5 goals	47.9%	45.0%	24.2%	1.86×	2.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	93.1%	94.2%	72.3%	1.30×	1.06
Both halves under 1.5 goals	6.9%	5.8%	27.7%	0.21×	17.13

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	88.6%	90.1%	66.9%	1.35×	1.11
FC Cologne to score 2+ in a row	81.8%	80.3%	42.3%	1.90×	1.25
Either team to score 3+ in a row	59.1%	55.3%	29.5%	1.87×	1.81
FC Cologne to score 3+ in a row	55.4%	55.1%	17.6%	3.13×	1.82
Schalke 04 to score 2+ in a row	23.9%	19.6%	34.7%	0.56×	5.11
Schalke 04 to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.6%	12.8%	0.44×	17.85

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne corners (+3.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Cologne corners (+2.5)	88.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Cologne corners (+1.5)	82.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Schalke 04 corners (+3.5)	65.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Schalke 04 corners (+2.5)	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Cologne corners (-1.5)	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Schalke 04 corners (+1.5)	45.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
FC Cologne corners (-2.5)	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Cologne corners (-3.5)	34.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Schalke 04 corners (-1.5)	17.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Schalke 04 corners (-2.5)	11.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Schalke 04 corners (-3.5)	7.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
12+ corners	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	39.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	31.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	29.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	33.1%	23.8%	5.4%	4.43×	4.20
3-1	7.1%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.48
4-1	6.8%	7.4%	2.2%	3.35×	13.48
2-1	5.6%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.48
3-2	5.1%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.48
3-0	5.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.46
4-0	4.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.46
4-2	4.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.46
0-0	0.5%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.49
0-1	0.8%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.49
0-2	0.6%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.49
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
1-0	2.1%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.48
1-1	3.0%	1.7%	9.8%	0.17×	58.47
1-2	2.1%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.48
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.48
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.49
2-0	3.9%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.47
2-2	4.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.47
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
3-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
4-3	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.80×	58.48
4-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne leading at HT (DNB)	72.3%	71.6%	55.5%	1.29×	1.40
Schalke 04 leading at HT (DNB)	27.7%	28.4%	44.5%	0.64×	3.52

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw (1X)	90.2%	91.7%	66.3%	1.38×	1.09
FC Cologne or Schalke 04 (12)	89.0%	86.7%	75.2%	1.15×	1.15
Schalke 04 or draw (X2)	20.8%	21.6%	58.4%	0.37×	4.63

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw at HT	80.5%	84.3%	70.7%	1.19×	1.19
FC Cologne or Schalke 04 at HT	70.3%	74.2%	65.8%	1.13×	1.35
Schalke 04 or draw at HT	49.2%	52.3%	63.4%	0.83×	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw (1UP)	90.2%	92.9%	73.5%	1.26×	1.08
Schalke 04 or draw (1UP)	34.1%	39.1%	65.1%	0.60×	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw in 2nd half	90.6%	91.8%	70.4%	1.31×	1.09
FC Cologne or Schalke 04 in 2nd half	84.6%	81.2%	66.6%	1.22×	1.23
Schalke 04 or draw in 2nd half	24.8%	23.2%	62.9%	0.37×	4.30

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	59.4%	58.1%	46.3%	1.26×	1.72
A half drawn	40.6%	41.9%	53.7%	0.78×	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (DNB)	89.0%	87.3%	55.3%	1.58×	1.15
Schalke 04 (DNB)	11.0%	12.7%	44.7%	0.28×	7.87

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to score first	72.2%	74.9%	50.7%	1.48×	1.34
Schalke 04 to score first	27.3%	28.2%	43.6%	0.65×	3.55
No goal scored	0.5%	4.2%	5.9%	0.71×	23.87

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	74.4%	62.5%	59.3%	1.05×	1.60
Not both teams to score	25.6%	37.5%	40.7%	0.92×	2.67

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	71.4%	59.7%	49.7%	1.20×	1.67
Not both score & over 2.5	17.7%	21.7%	12.7%	1.72×	4.60
Not both score & under 2.5	7.9%	8.4%	28.2%	0.30×	11.96
Both score & under 2.5	3.0%	4.6%	9.8%	0.47×	21.88

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	62.7%	69.8%	79.7%	0.88×	1.43
Both teams to score 2+	37.3%	30.2%	20.3%	1.49×	3.32

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	50.4%	52.5%	65.6%	0.80×	1.91
Both teams to score in 2nd half	49.6%	47.5%	34.4%	1.38×	2.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	33.0%	26.8%	51.7%	0.52×	3.73
Both score 2nd half only	32.5%	26.7%	27.7%	0.96×	3.74
Both score 1st half only	17.4%	15.6%	14.1%	1.11×	6.40
Both score in both halves	17.1%	15.6%	6.8%	2.29×	6.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	65.5%	68.8%	79.2%	0.87×	1.45
Both teams to score by HT	34.5%	31.2%	20.8%	1.50×	3.21

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	82.1%	80.5%	66.9%	1.20×	1.24
A half without a goal	17.9%	19.5%	33.1%	0.59×	5.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	50.2%	40.9%	39.9%	1.03×	2.44
7+ goals	26.0%	26.4%	3.8%	6.96×	3.78
2-3 goals	20.4%	22.8%	38.8%	0.59×	4.39
0-1 goals	3.4%	1.8%	17.9%	0.10×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 to score exactly 1	34.2%	33.8%	32.0%	1.06×	2.96
Schalke 04 to score exactly 2	24.5%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46
Schalke 04 to score exactly 0	23.9%	22.4%	25.3%	0.89×	4.46
Schalke 04 to score 3+	17.4%	19.6%	21.0%	0.93×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to score 3+	72.6%	65.7%	27.4%	2.40×	1.52
FC Cologne to score exactly 2	16.5%	18.9%	22.6%	0.84×	5.29
FC Cologne to score exactly 1	8.7%	10.3%	29.1%	0.35×	9.71
FC Cologne to score exactly 0	2.3%	6.1%	21.2%	0.29×	16.38

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne leading at HT	50.8%	47.7%	36.6%	1.30×	2.10
Draw at HT	29.7%	25.8%	34.2%	0.75×	3.88
Schalke 04 leading at HT	19.5%	15.7%	29.3%	0.53×	6.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne -1: 1	63.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Cologne -1: 2	20.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
FC Cologne -1: X	15.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (0:1)	63.3%	61.5%	24.7%	2.49×	1.63
Schalke 04 (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	58.4%	0.42×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	15.9%	17.8%	17.1%	1.04×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (0:2)	45.2%	51.1%	11.7%	4.37×	1.96
Schalke 04 (0:2)	36.7%	38.7%	75.3%	0.51×	2.58
Draw (0:2)	18.1%	15.3%	13.1%	1.16×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (0:3)	54.8%	48.8%	88.3%	0.55×	2.05
FC Cologne (0:3)	28.5%	23.6%	6.8%	3.47×	4.24
Draw (0:3)	16.7%	16.1%	5.1%	3.17×	6.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 (0:4)	71.5%	77.2%	93.2%	0.83×	1.30
FC Cologne (0:4)	15.7%	10.3%	1.7%	5.93×	9.69
Draw (0:4)	12.8%	9.6%	5.2%	1.83×	10.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (1:0)	90.2%	92.5%	66.3%	1.40×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.0%	6.9%	16.5%	0.42×	14.46
Schalke 04 (1:0)	3.8%	3.2%	17.4%	0.18×	31.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (2:0)	96.2%	96.9%	82.6%	1.17×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	10.0%	0.23×	44.21
Schalke 04 (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	44.30

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	64.6%	64.6%	46.9%	1.38×	1.55
1st half highest scoring	20.1%	24.0%	26.3%	0.91×	4.16
Halves equal	15.3%	18.1%	26.9%	0.67×	5.53

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to concede	76.1%	75.9%	74.7%	1.02×	1.32
FC Cologne clean sheet	23.9%	24.1%	25.3%	0.95×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne clean sheet in 1st half	51.8%	56.1%	54.4%	1.03×	1.78
FC Cologne to concede in 1st half	48.2%	43.9%	45.6%	0.96×	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne over 2.5 corners	87.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Cologne over 3.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Cologne over 4.5 corners	64.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Cologne under 6.5 corners	60.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Cologne over 5.5 corners	51.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
FC Cologne under 5.5 corners	48.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Cologne over 6.5 corners	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Cologne under 4.5 corners	35.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Cologne under 3.5 corners	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Cologne under 2.5 corners	12.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne over 0.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	78.8%	1.22×	1.04
FC Cologne over 1.5 goals	89.0%	87.3%	49.8%	1.75×	1.15
FC Cologne over 2.5 goals	72.6%	74.2%	27.4%	2.71×	1.35
FC Cologne over 3.5 goals	51.8%	53.2%	11.4%	4.67×	1.88
FC Cologne under 3.5 goals	48.2%	46.8%	88.6%	0.53×	2.14
FC Cologne under 2.5 goals	27.4%	25.8%	72.6%	0.36×	3.87
FC Cologne under 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.7%	50.2%	0.25×	7.86
FC Cologne under 0.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	21.2%	0.17×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne over 0.5 in 1st half	71.5%	79.7%	51.8%	1.54×	1.25
FC Cologne under 1.5 in 1st half	64.3%	64.8%	80.8%	0.80×	1.54
FC Cologne over 1.5 in 1st half	35.7%	35.2%	19.2%	1.83×	2.84
FC Cologne under 0.5 in 1st half	28.5%	20.3%	48.2%	0.42×	4.94

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.9%	51.6%	42.4%	1.22×	1.94
Schalke 04 (home no bet)	47.1%	48.4%	57.6%	0.84×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne even goals	50.1%	50.6%	52.5%	0.96×	1.98
FC Cologne odd goals	49.9%	49.4%	47.5%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	18.5%	18.8%	19.3%	0.97×	5.33
Any other HT score	15.8%	18.7%	6.7%	2.81×	5.35
HT 0-0	14.8%	11.0%	23.3%	0.47×	9.13
HT 1-1	12.2%	10.9%	9.8%	1.11×	9.16
HT 2-0	11.6%	10.9%	9.5%	1.15×	9.16
HT 0-1	9.7%	7.1%	16.5%	0.43×	14.01
HT 2-1	7.7%	7.1%	4.3%	1.66×	14.04
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.3%	3.5%	0.66×	43.32
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.38
HT 2-2	2.5%	2.3%	1.3%	1.82×	43.43

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne at HT / FC Cologne at FT	47.8%	44.8%	28.1%	1.60×	2.23
Draw at HT / FC Cologne at FT	22.3%	21.8%	10.6%	2.05×	4.59
Schalke 04 at HT / FC Cologne at FT	9.0%	6.0%	3.3%	1.81×	16.62
Schalke 04 at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	6.2%	6.0%	20.3%	0.30×	16.70
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	13.9%	0.25×	28.78
Schalke 04 at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.80
Draw at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	2.8%	3.5%	10.0%	0.35×	28.85
FC Cologne at HT / Draw at FT	2.2%	3.5%	5.1%	0.68×	28.88
FC Cologne at HT / Schalke 04 at FT	0.8%	3.5%	3.8%	0.91×	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to score last	72.0%	72.4%	49.8%	1.45×	1.38
Schalke 04 to score last	27.5%	27.0%	44.5%	0.61×	3.71
No goal scored	0.5%	4.2%	5.9%	0.71×	23.87

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.5%	95.7%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
FC Cologne to lead by 1 at any time	89.3%	90.9%	59.6%	1.53×	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	80.9%	86.9%	55.9%	1.55×	1.15
FC Cologne to lead by 2 at any time	72.0%	74.2%	33.1%	2.24×	1.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	54.4%	50.7%	25.7%	1.98×	1.97
FC Cologne to lead by 3 at any time	51.6%	50.7%	15.5%	3.26×	1.97
Schalke 04 to lead by 1 at any time	34.1%	29.5%	52.9%	0.56×	3.40
Schalke 04 to lead by 2 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	23.6%	0.44×	9.59
Schalke 04 to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	10.3%	0.16×	61.48

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne most corners	65.1%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Schalke 04 most corners	25.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	9.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	70.6%	72.4%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
3-6 goals	63.1%	63.4%	58.5%	1.08×	1.58
1-5 goals	58.0%	59.2%	83.2%	0.71×	1.69
2-5 goals	55.2%	59.2%	71.2%	0.83×	1.69
4-6 goals	50.2%	53.2%	39.9%	1.33×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.7%	48.7%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06
1-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	72.3%	0.60×	2.30
2-4 goals	37.4%	39.1%	60.3%	0.65×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.7%	35.4%	32.6%	1.09×	2.83
5-6 goals	33.2%	35.4%	18.4%	1.93×	2.83
3-4 goals	30.0%	30.3%	40.3%	0.75×	3.31
7+ goals	26.0%	30.2%	3.8%	7.96×	3.31
1-3 goals	23.3%	24.5%	50.8%	0.48×	4.09
2-3 goals	20.4%	24.5%	38.8%	0.63×	4.09
1-2 goals	10.3%	14.9%	32.1%	0.46×	6.73

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne never behind	65.4%	69.9%	47.1%	1.48×	1.43
Schalke 04 never behind	10.2%	12.3%	40.4%	0.31×	8.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.8%	44.8%	1.14×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.2%	55.2%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.1%	51.6%	52.6%	0.98×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.9%	48.4%	47.4%	1.02×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	52.9%	0.98×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	47.1%	1.02×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.5%	95.5%	94.1%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	96.6%	95.5%	82.1%	1.16×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	89.1%	87.7%	62.2%	1.41×	1.14
Over 3.5 goals	76.2%	77.3%	43.5%	1.78×	1.29
Over 4.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	22.0%	2.68×	1.70
Under 5.5 goals	58.6%	58.8%	88.9%	0.66×	1.70
Over 5.5 goals	41.4%	41.2%	11.1%	3.72×	2.43
Under 4.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	78.0%	0.53×	2.43
Under 3.5 goals	23.8%	22.7%	56.5%	0.40×	4.41
Under 2.5 goals	10.9%	12.3%	37.8%	0.33×	8.10
Under 1.5 goals	3.4%	4.5%	17.9%	0.25×	22.21
Under 0.5 goals	0.5%	4.5%	5.9%	0.77×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	96.3%	97.2%	77.7%	1.25×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	87.5%	86.7%	53.5%	1.62×	1.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.3%	72.6%	28.0%	2.59×	1.38
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	69.3%	67.4%	95.9%	0.70×	1.48
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	50.4%	51.8%	12.4%	4.17×	1.93
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	49.6%	48.2%	87.6%	0.55×	2.07
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	30.7%	32.6%	4.1%	7.95×	3.07
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.7%	27.4%	72.0%	0.38×	3.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	12.5%	13.3%	46.5%	0.29×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	3.7%	2.8%	22.3%	0.12×	36.11

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	85.2%	88.9%	76.7%	1.16×	1.13
Under 2.5 in 1st half	70.0%	71.1%	84.8%	0.84×	1.41
Over 1.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.7%	41.2%	1.52×	1.60
Under 1.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.3%	58.8%	0.63×	2.68
Over 2.5 in 1st half	30.0%	28.9%	15.2%	1.90×	3.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	14.8%	11.1%	23.3%	0.48×	9.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	96.3%	96.4%	84.3%	1.14×	1.04
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	84.0%	82.9%	55.3%	1.50×	1.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	61.8%	26.6%	2.32×	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	38.2%	73.4%	0.52×	2.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	16.0%	17.1%	44.7%	0.38×	5.84
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	3.7%	3.6%	15.7%	0.23×	27.71

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to score in both halves	74.0%	73.9%	72.4%	1.02×	1.35
FC Cologne to score in both halves	65.8%	70.4%	35.2%	2.00×	1.42
FC Cologne not to score in both halves	34.2%	29.7%	64.8%	0.46×	3.37
Schalke 04 to score in both halves	26.0%	26.1%	27.6%	0.95×	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	74.4%	66.7%	59.3%	1.12×	1.50
Only FC Cologne scores	23.3%	22.3%	19.6%	1.14×	4.48
Only Schalke 04 scores	1.7%	4.6%	15.5%	0.29×	21.92
Neither team scores	0.5%	4.6%	5.9%	0.78×	21.97

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	41.4%	38.7%	11.1%	3.49×	2.58
Exactly 5 goals	17.7%	17.4%	11.1%	1.57×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.4%	21.7%	0.80×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	13.0%	12.1%	18.8%	0.64×	8.27
Exactly 2 goals	7.5%	7.6%	20.1%	0.38×	13.09
Exactly 1 goals	2.9%	4.4%	12.2%	0.36×	22.67
Exactly 0 goals	0.5%	4.4%	5.9%	0.75×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	84.0%	84.0%	55.3%	1.52×	1.19
1 goal in 2nd half	12.3%	14.4%	29.2%	0.49×	6.93
No goals in 2nd half	3.7%	3.6%	15.7%	0.23×	27.71

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win both halves	98.2%	97.3%	90.5%	1.07×	1.03
FC Cologne not to win both halves	61.8%	67.8%	84.2%	0.81×	1.48
FC Cologne to win both halves	38.2%	32.2%	15.8%	2.03×	3.10
Schalke 04 to win both halves	1.8%	2.7%	9.5%	0.29×	36.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to win either half	87.8%	92.2%	57.8%	1.59×	1.08
Schalke 04 to win neither half	73.0%	73.0%	50.6%	1.44×	1.37
Schalke 04 to win either half	27.0%	27.0%	49.4%	0.55×	3.70
FC Cologne to win neither half	12.2%	7.8%	42.2%	0.18×	12.84

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Schalke 04 not to win to nil	98.3%	96.2%	84.5%	1.14×	1.04
FC Cologne not to win to nil	76.7%	78.0%	80.4%	0.97×	1.28
FC Cologne to win to nil	23.3%	22.0%	19.6%	1.12×	4.55
Schalke 04 to win to nil	1.7%	3.8%	15.5%	0.24×	26.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne by 3+	45.2%	47.0%	11.7%	4.02×	2.13
FC Cologne by 2	18.1%	16.9%	13.1%	1.29×	5.91
FC Cologne by 1	15.9%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.91
Draw	11.0%	11.8%	24.8%	0.47×	8.48
Schalke 04 by 1	6.0%	7.3%	16.5%	0.44×	13.79
Schalke 04 by 2	2.6%	2.7%	10.0%	0.27×	37.00
Schalke 04 by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	7.6%	0.36×	37.04