FC Dallas v Columbus Crew — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 29 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Dallas

00:30 UTC

Columbus Crew

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 62h before kick-off

FC Dallas win

55.5%

model 55.1%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.1%

Columbus Crew win

22.2%

model 22.9%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-0 7.5%
1-0 6.7%
3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.3%	Under 2.5	34.7%
BTTS yes	63.8%	BTTS no	36.2%
FC Dallas 1+	87.5%	FC Dallas 2+	61.4%
Columbus Crew 1+	72.4%	Columbus Crew 2+	36.9%

Expected goals 2.08 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

57/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

FC Dallas (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 385 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Dallas carry the stronger rating, 1572 Elo against 1402.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Dallas have an estimated 55.5% win probability, against 22.2% for Columbus Crew and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.08 for FC Dallas and 1.29 for Columbus Crew.

Why FC Dallas

FC Dallas carry the stronger rating, 1572 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Columbus Crew can win

Nothing in the data singles out Columbus Crew.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Dallas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Columbus Crew, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Dallas: 42% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Columbus Crew: 60% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Dallas are the model's most likely outcome at 55.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552223	2.08–1.29	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	621919	2.43–1.29	2-1 9%	72%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to win	62.1%	58.2%	45.3%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	19.3%	19.4%	24.8%	0.78×	5.15
Columbus Crew to win	18.6%	19.4%	30.0%	0.65×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas & both teams score	37.4%	33.3%	24.4%	1.37×	3.00
FC Dallas & not both score	24.7%	21.8%	21.1%	1.03×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	16.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Columbus Crew & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	18.0%	0.74×	7.54
Columbus Crew & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	12.1%	0.69×	12.01
Draw & not both score	2.8%	4.9%	5.8%	0.85×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas & over 1.5	56.6%	54.8%	37.2%	1.47×	1.83
FC Dallas & over 2.5	49.5%	45.1%	31.0%	1.45×	2.22
FC Dallas & over 3.5	34.4%	30.8%	17.0%	1.81×	3.25
FC Dallas & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	16.5%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Columbus Crew & over 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Columbus Crew & over 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
FC Dallas & under 2.5	12.6%	12.8%	14.4%	0.89×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Columbus Crew & under 3.5	10.5%	12.8%	18.8%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Columbus Crew & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
FC Dallas & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Columbus Crew & under 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.84×	20.82
Columbus Crew & under 1.5	2.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (1UP)	76.6%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Columbus Crew (1UP)	40.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (2UP)	62.1%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Columbus Crew (2UP)	18.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to win 2nd half	51.3%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	27.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Columbus Crew to win 2nd half	20.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Columbus Crew over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Columbus Crew under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Columbus Crew over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
FC Dallas under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
FC Dallas over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
FC Dallas under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (+0.5)	81.4%	82.6%	70.0%	1.18×	1.21
Columbus Crew (+2.5)	77.2%	78.5%	89.4%	0.88×	1.27
FC Dallas (-0.5)	62.1%	62.9%	45.3%	1.39×	1.59
Columbus Crew (+1.5)	58.9%	57.1%	76.8%	0.74×	1.75
FC Dallas (-1.5)	41.1%	42.9%	23.2%	1.85×	2.33
Columbus Crew (+0.5)	37.9%	37.1%	54.7%	0.68×	2.70
FC Dallas (-2.5)	22.8%	21.5%	10.6%	2.03×	4.65
Columbus Crew (-0.5)	18.6%	17.4%	30.0%	0.58×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede	91.2%	91.6%	82.3%	1.11×	1.09
Columbus Crew clean sheet	8.8%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.93

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede in 1st half	64.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Columbus Crew clean sheet in 1st half	35.1%	35.2%	—	—	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede in 2nd half	75.0%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Columbus Crew clean sheet in 2nd half	25.0%	28.3%	—	—	3.54

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew over 2.5 corners	85.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Columbus Crew over 3.5 corners	72.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Columbus Crew under 6.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Columbus Crew over 4.5 corners	58.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Columbus Crew under 5.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Columbus Crew over 5.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Columbus Crew under 4.5 corners	41.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Columbus Crew over 6.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Columbus Crew under 3.5 corners	27.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Columbus Crew under 2.5 corners	15.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Columbus Crew under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.8%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Columbus Crew over 0.5 goals	72.5%	71.8%	73.3%	0.98×	1.39
Columbus Crew under 1.5 goals	63.0%	63.2%	61.2%	1.03×	1.58
Columbus Crew over 1.5 goals	37.0%	36.8%	38.8%	0.95×	2.72
Columbus Crew under 0.5 goals	27.5%	28.2%	26.7%	1.05×	3.55
Columbus Crew over 2.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	16.7%	0.73×	8.19
Columbus Crew over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Columbus Crew under 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Columbus Crew over 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Columbus Crew over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.27

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew scores equally in both	39.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Columbus Crew scores more in 2nd half	38.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Columbus Crew scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (away no bet)	76.3%	73.4%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.7%	26.6%	35.4%	0.75×	3.76

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew even goals	53.8%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Columbus Crew odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.6%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	29.4%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.6%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
FC Dallas to score 2+ in a row	60.2%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
FC Dallas to score 3+ in a row	30.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Columbus Crew to score 2+ in a row	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Columbus Crew to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.5%	—	—	18.28

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew corners (+3.5)	92.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Columbus Crew corners (+2.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Columbus Crew corners (+1.5)	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Dallas corners (+3.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Dallas corners (+2.5)	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Columbus Crew corners (-1.5)	50.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Dallas corners (+1.5)	49.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Columbus Crew corners (-2.5)	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Columbus Crew corners (-3.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Dallas corners (-1.5)	19.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
FC Dallas corners (-2.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Dallas corners (-3.5)	7.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.8%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.2%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.9%	11.5%	4.7%	2.42×	8.72
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-1	8.0%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	4.8%	1.53×	13.51
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
3-0	5.8%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.51
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.29
3-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-0	2.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.30
0-1	2.7%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.30
4-1	4.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.29
4-2	2.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.30
4-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (2nd half DNB)	71.1%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Columbus Crew (2nd half DNB)	28.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas leading at HT (DNB)	72.8%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Columbus Crew leading at HT (DNB)	27.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw (1X)	81.4%	80.6%	70.0%	1.15×	1.24
FC Dallas or Columbus Crew (12)	80.7%	80.6%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
Columbus Crew or draw (X2)	37.9%	41.8%	54.7%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw at HT	82.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
FC Dallas or Columbus Crew at HT	65.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Columbus Crew or draw at HT	52.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw (1UP)	81.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Columbus Crew or draw (1UP)	40.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw in 2nd half	79.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
FC Dallas or Columbus Crew in 2nd half	72.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Columbus Crew or draw in 2nd half	48.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	48.0%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	52.0%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (DNB)	77.0%	74.7%	60.2%	1.24×	1.34
Columbus Crew (DNB)	23.0%	25.3%	39.8%	0.64×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score first	63.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Columbus Crew to score first	33.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	2.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.99

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.5%	58.4%	61.3%	0.95×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.5%	41.6%	38.7%	1.08×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.5%	47.5%	51.1%	0.93×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	20.2%	27.8%	29.5%	0.94×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	13.3%	12.4%	9.2%	1.34×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	10.4%	0.80×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.2%	80.6%	79.5%	1.01×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.8%	19.4%	20.5%	0.95×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Both score 2nd half only	30.0%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Both score 1st half only	15.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Both score in both halves	10.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
A half without a goal	29.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	42.7%	42.2%	33.0%	1.28×	2.37
2-3 goals	38.0%	35.0%	43.0%	0.82×	2.86
0-1 goals	11.0%	16.9%	20.2%	0.84×	5.91
7+ goals	8.3%	7.6%	4.1%	1.88×	13.09

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Columbus Crew to score exactly 0	27.5%	27.4%	26.7%	1.03×	3.65
Columbus Crew to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Columbus Crew to score 3+	14.1%	12.9%	16.7%	0.77×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score 3+	43.8%	35.2%	25.0%	1.41×	2.84
FC Dallas to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
FC Dallas to score exactly 1	21.4%	23.3%	31.1%	0.75×	4.29
FC Dallas to score exactly 0	8.8%	10.4%	17.7%	0.59×	9.65

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas leading at HT	48.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	34.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Columbus Crew leading at HT	17.9%	16.0%	—	—	6.26

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas -1: 1	41.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
FC Dallas -1: 2	37.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
FC Dallas -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (0:1)	41.1%	42.5%	23.2%	1.83×	2.35
Columbus Crew (0:1)	37.9%	37.4%	54.7%	0.68×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:2)	58.9%	63.4%	76.8%	0.83×	1.58
FC Dallas (0:2)	22.8%	20.3%	10.6%	1.92×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	18.3%	15.2%	12.7%	1.20×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:3)	77.2%	80.6%	89.4%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	9.9%	6.7%	1.49×	10.12
FC Dallas (0:3)	10.8%	9.9%	4.1%	2.43×	10.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:4)	89.2%	92.1%	95.9%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.4%	4.6%	2.0%	2.28×	21.61
FC Dallas (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	81.42

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (1:0)	81.4%	81.4%	70.0%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.0%	12.7%	17.1%	0.74×	7.88
Columbus Crew (1:0)	7.6%	6.9%	13.0%	0.53×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (2:0)	92.4%	94.0%	87.0%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.1%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.68
Columbus Crew (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to concede	72.5%	73.0%	73.3%	1.00×	1.37
FC Dallas clean sheet	27.5%	27.0%	26.7%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas clean sheet in 1st half	59.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Dallas to concede in 1st half	40.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to concede in 2nd half	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Dallas clean sheet in 2nd half	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas under 6.5 corners	86.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Dallas under 5.5 corners	78.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Dallas over 2.5 corners	68.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Dallas under 4.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Dallas over 3.5 corners	50.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Dallas under 3.5 corners	49.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Dallas over 4.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
FC Dallas under 2.5 corners	31.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Dallas over 5.5 corners	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Dallas over 6.5 corners	13.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.2%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
FC Dallas under 3.5 goals	77.3%	77.8%	90.6%	0.86×	1.29
FC Dallas over 1.5 goals	69.8%	68.0%	51.3%	1.32×	1.47
FC Dallas under 2.5 goals	56.2%	58.6%	75.0%	0.78×	1.71
FC Dallas over 2.5 goals	43.8%	41.4%	25.0%	1.65×	2.42
FC Dallas under 1.5 goals	30.2%	32.0%	48.7%	0.66×	3.12
FC Dallas over 3.5 goals	22.7%	22.2%	9.4%	2.38×	4.50
FC Dallas under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.8%	17.7%	0.44×	12.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas under 1.5 in 1st half	71.9%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
FC Dallas over 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
FC Dallas under 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
FC Dallas over 1.5 in 1st half	28.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.80

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas scores more in 2nd half	44.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
FC Dallas scores more in 1st half	28.4%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
FC Dallas scores equally in both	27.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.0%	51.4%	45.3%	1.14×	1.95
Columbus Crew (home no bet)	49.0%	48.6%	54.7%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas even goals	50.4%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
FC Dallas odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 0-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-1	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.30

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas at HT / FC Dallas at FT	41.0%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / FC Dallas at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.41
Columbus Crew at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
Draw at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	6.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
FC Dallas at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Columbus Crew at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Columbus Crew at HT / FC Dallas at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
FC Dallas at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score last	63.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Columbus Crew to score last	33.7%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	2.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.99

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Dallas to lead by 1 at any time	76.6%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.2%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
FC Dallas to lead by 2 at any time	49.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Columbus Crew to lead by 1 at any time	40.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
FC Dallas to lead by 3 at any time	27.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Columbus Crew to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Columbus Crew to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.30

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew most corners	61.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
FC Dallas most corners	28.4%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.7%	83.4%	75.9%	1.10×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.9%	78.7%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.3%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.5%	68.8%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.5%	63.3%	56.3%	1.13×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.1%	58.7%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	49.4%	1.08×	1.88
1-3 goals	46.2%	48.4%	57.4%	0.84×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.7%	43.6%	33.0%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.29
2-3 goals	38.0%	39.2%	43.0%	0.91×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.8%	35.2%	26.2%	1.35×	2.84
1-2 goals	25.4%	30.2%	34.2%	0.88×	3.31
5-6 goals	23.4%	24.5%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
7+ goals	8.3%	8.9%	4.1%	2.19×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas never behind	56.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Columbus Crew never behind	20.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	94.3%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	79.8%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.7%	82.3%	89.1%	0.92×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	71.8%	72.5%	60.2%	1.20×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	68.3%	66.3%	78.8%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	51.0%	52.5%	37.0%	1.42×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	49.0%	47.5%	63.0%	0.75×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	31.7%	33.7%	21.2%	1.59×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	28.2%	27.5%	39.8%	0.69×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	17.3%	17.7%	10.9%	1.62×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	20.2%	0.61×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.80×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.9%	92.4%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.7%	86.7%	74.9%	1.16×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	79.8%	75.9%	87.8%	0.86×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.4%	61.9%	48.2%	1.29×	1.61
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	60.7%	61.9%	74.8%	0.83×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	39.3%	38.1%	25.2%	1.51×	2.63
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.6%	38.1%	51.8%	0.73×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	20.2%	24.1%	12.2%	1.98×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.3%	13.3%	25.1%	0.53×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.1%	7.6%	4.4%	1.74×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.7%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.3%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.59
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
FC Dallas not to score in both halves	51.4%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
FC Dallas to score in both halves	48.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Columbus Crew to score in both halves	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.5%	59.8%	61.3%	0.97×	1.67
Only FC Dallas scores	24.7%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.49
Only Columbus Crew scores	6.0%	7.1%	12.1%	0.59×	14.02
Neither team scores	2.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.81×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.8%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.5%	15.9%	1.10×	5.73
6 or more goals	17.3%	17.5%	10.9%	1.60×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.2%	17.5%	19.7%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.4%	12.1%	10.4%	1.17×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	8.2%	7.6%	14.5%	0.52×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	2.8%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	25.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
No goals in 1st half	21.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	20.7%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
No goals in 2nd half	11.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Dallas not to win both halves	75.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
FC Dallas to win both halves	24.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Columbus Crew to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to win either half	74.6%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
Columbus Crew to win neither half	65.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Columbus Crew to win either half	35.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
FC Dallas to win neither half	25.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to win to nil	94.0%	92.1%	87.9%	1.05×	1.09
FC Dallas not to win to nil	75.3%	78.1%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
FC Dallas to win to nil	24.7%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Columbus Crew to win to nil	6.0%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.68

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas by 3+	22.8%	24.1%	10.6%	2.28×	4.15
FC Dallas by 1	21.0%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Draw	19.3%	17.0%	24.8%	0.69×	5.87
FC Dallas by 2	18.3%	17.0%	12.7%	1.34×	5.87
Columbus Crew by 1	11.0%	11.8%	17.1%	0.69×	8.51
Columbus Crew by 2	5.1%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.92
Columbus Crew by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.90