FC Den Bosch v FC Dordrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 3 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

FC Den Bosch

18:00 UTC

FC Dordrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 582h before kick-off

FC Den Bosch win

42.5%

model 42.5%

Draw

21.5%

model 22.2%

FC Dordrecht win

36.0%

model 35.3%

432136

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (554 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.5%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.8%
2-2 6.9%
1-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.8%	Under 2.5	35.2%
BTTS yes	65.4%	BTTS no	34.6%
FC Den Bosch 1+	82.7%	FC Den Bosch 2+	52.3%
FC Dordrecht 1+	79.5%	FC Dordrecht 2+	47.0%

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.58. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 78%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2374 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Den Bosch (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 85%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 382 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Den Bosch have an estimated 42.5% win probability, against 36.0% for FC Dordrecht and 21.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.75 for FC Den Bosch and 1.58 for FC Dordrecht.

Why FC Den Bosch

Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.75 to 1.58. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Dordrecht can win

They have had 30 days' rest to FC Den Bosch's 26.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Den Bosch: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Den Bosch's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

FC Den Bosch are the model's most likely outcome at 42.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432235	1.75–1.58	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402238	1.75–1.72	1-1 9%	67%	68%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win	42.5%	43.9%	44.4%	0.99×	2.28
FC Dordrecht to win	35.3%	37.2%	33.4%	1.11×	2.69
Draw	22.2%	22.2%	22.3%	0.99×	4.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & both teams score	25.2%	26.1%	21.7%	1.20×	3.83
FC Dordrecht & both teams score	21.3%	22.7%	19.6%	1.16×	4.41
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	17.8%	17.6%	1.01×	5.61
FC Den Bosch & not both score	17.3%	17.8%	22.8%	0.78×	5.62
FC Dordrecht & not both score	14.1%	12.1%	13.9%	0.87×	8.24
Draw & not both score	3.2%	3.6%	4.8%	0.75×	27.71

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & over 1.5	35.9%	37.6%	36.8%	1.02×	2.66
FC Den Bosch & over 2.5	30.5%	33.0%	30.6%	1.08×	3.03
FC Dordrecht & over 1.5	29.4%	25.6%	27.2%	0.94×	3.91
FC Dordrecht & over 2.5	24.9%	21.5%	23.6%	0.91×	4.65
FC Den Bosch & under 3.5	23.9%	21.5%	25.8%	0.83×	4.65
FC Dordrecht & under 3.5	20.6%	21.5%	19.7%	1.09×	4.66
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	17.6%	17.6%	1.00×	5.68
FC Den Bosch & over 3.5	18.6%	17.6%	18.7%	0.94×	5.68
FC Dordrecht & over 3.5	14.8%	12.7%	13.8%	0.92×	7.87
Draw & under 2.5	12.8%	12.7%	14.3%	0.89×	7.88
Draw & under 3.5	12.8%	12.7%	14.3%	0.89×	7.88
FC Den Bosch & under 2.5	12.0%	12.7%	13.9%	0.91×	7.88
FC Dordrecht & under 2.5	10.4%	12.7%	9.9%	1.28×	7.88
Draw & over 2.5	9.4%	7.5%	8.2%	0.92×	13.33
Draw & over 3.5	9.4%	7.5%	8.2%	0.92×	13.33
FC Den Bosch & under 1.5	6.6%	7.5%	7.7%	0.97×	13.34
FC Dordrecht & under 1.5	5.9%	7.5%	6.3%	1.18×	13.35
Draw & under 1.5	3.2%	4.5%	4.8%	0.92×	22.36

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1UP)	61.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
FC Dordrecht (1UP)	55.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2UP)	42.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
FC Dordrecht (2UP)	35.3%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half	35.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half	33.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
2nd half drawn	31.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.49

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.2%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.8%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (+2.5)	90.4%	92.3%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
FC Dordrecht (+1.5)	77.8%	78.8%	75.6%	1.04×	1.27
FC Den Bosch (+0.5)	64.7%	64.0%	66.6%	0.96×	1.56
FC Dordrecht (+0.5)	57.5%	56.9%	55.6%	1.02×	1.76
FC Den Bosch (-0.5)	42.5%	43.1%	44.4%	0.97×	2.32
FC Dordrecht (-0.5)	35.3%	36.0%	33.4%	1.08×	2.78
FC Den Bosch (-1.5)	22.2%	21.2%	24.4%	0.87×	4.71
FC Den Bosch (-2.5)	9.6%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.95

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede	82.7%	84.7%	81.4%	1.04×	1.18
FC Dordrecht clean sheet	17.3%	15.3%	18.6%	0.82×	6.55

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half	53.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half	47.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede in 2nd half	63.2%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	36.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners	88.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners	76.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners	65.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners	51.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners	34.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners	23.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners	11.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals	92.4%	92.8%	93.1%	1.00×	1.08
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals	79.5%	75.5%	72.5%	1.04×	1.33
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals	78.8%	75.4%	81.5%	0.93×	1.33
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals	53.0%	52.0%	58.2%	0.89×	1.92
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals	47.0%	48.0%	41.8%	1.15×	2.09
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals	21.2%	24.6%	18.5%	1.33×	4.07
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals	20.5%	24.5%	27.5%	0.89×	4.08
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals	7.6%	7.2%	6.9%	1.04×	13.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	86.7%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	13.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
FC Dordrecht scores equally in both	34.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
FC Dordrecht scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (away no bet)	65.7%	72.0%	66.5%	1.08×	1.39
Draw (away no bet)	34.3%	28.0%	33.5%	0.84×	3.57

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht even goals	52.1%	52.2%	57.1%	0.91×	1.92
FC Dordrecht odd goals	47.9%	47.8%	42.9%	1.11×	2.09

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.9%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row	41.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row	35.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	17.8%	—	—	5.63
FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5)	83.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5)	78.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5)	68.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5)	61.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5)	39.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5)	31.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5)	21.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5)	16.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	49.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	22.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	85.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 8.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	69.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	40.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	14.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.5%	7.3%	9.6%	0.76×	13.76
2-1	8.7%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.76
1-2	7.8%	7.3%	7.4%	0.98×	13.76
2-2	6.9%	7.3%	6.7%	1.08×	13.77
1-0	6.6%	7.3%	7.7%	0.94×	13.77
0-1	5.9%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.77
2-0	5.5%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.77
Any other score	5.5%	7.3%	4.7%	1.54×	13.77
3-1	5.1%	7.3%	4.7%	1.54×	13.77
0-2	4.5%	1.8%	3.7%	0.49×	55.40
1-3	4.1%	1.8%	3.7%	0.48×	55.41
3-2	4.0%	1.8%	4.2%	0.43×	55.41
0-0	3.2%	1.8%	4.8%	0.37×	55.43
2-3	3.6%	1.8%	3.5%	0.52×	55.42
3-0	3.2%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.43
0-3	2.4%	1.8%	2.6%	0.69×	55.45
1-4	1.6%	1.8%	2.2%	0.81×	55.47
2-4	1.4%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.47
3-3	2.1%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	55.46
4-0	1.4%	1.8%	3.5%	0.52×	55.47
4-1	2.2%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.45
4-2	1.8%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.46
0-4	0.9%	1.8%	1.2%	1.45×	55.49
3-4	0.8%	1.8%	1.2%	1.45×	55.49
4-3	0.9%	1.8%	0.5%	3.63×	55.49
4-4	0.4%	1.8%	0.1%	14.52×	55.50

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2nd half DNB)	51.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
FC Dordrecht (2nd half DNB)	48.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB)	55.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB)	44.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or FC Dordrecht (12)	77.8%	77.8%	77.7%	1.00×	1.29
FC Den Bosch or draw (1X)	64.7%	62.8%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
FC Dordrecht or draw (X2)	57.5%	56.1%	55.6%	1.01×	1.78

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw at HT	72.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
FC Dordrecht or draw at HT	65.5%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
FC Den Bosch or FC Dordrecht at HT	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP)	64.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP)	57.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or FC Dordrecht in 2nd half	68.9%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half	66.9%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half	64.2%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (DNB)	54.6%	53.2%	57.1%	0.93×	1.88
FC Dordrecht (DNB)	45.4%	46.8%	42.9%	1.09×	2.14

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score first	50.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
FC Dordrecht to score first	45.9%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	3.2%	4.0%	—	—	25.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.4%	60.3%	58.7%	1.03×	1.66
Not both teams to score	34.6%	39.7%	41.3%	0.96×	2.52

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.8%	52.3%	49.3%	1.06×	1.91
Not both score & under 2.5	25.7%	31.3%	28.4%	1.10×	3.20
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.7%	9.6%	0.91×	11.52
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.7%	13.0%	0.67×	11.53

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.4%	82.8%	79.0%	1.05×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	24.6%	17.2%	21.0%	0.82×	5.83

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.7%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.2%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Both score 2nd half only	29.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.03
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	18.0%	—	—	5.55
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.5%	—	—	15.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	24.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
A half without a goal	35.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.5%	43.1%	41.1%	1.05×	2.32
4-6 goals	37.5%	35.4%	37.3%	0.95×	2.82
0-1 goals	15.7%	20.5%	18.6%	1.10×	4.87
7+ goals	5.3%	5.3%	3.2%	1.65×	18.75

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1	32.5%	33.1%	30.8%	1.07×	3.02
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2	25.7%	27.0%	23.4%	1.15×	3.70
FC Dordrecht to score 3+	21.2%	24.0%	18.5%	1.30×	4.16
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0	20.5%	24.0%	27.5%	0.87×	4.16

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1	30.4%	30.4%	30.4%	1.00×	3.29
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2	26.6%	27.1%	25.8%	1.05×	3.70
FC Den Bosch to score 3+	25.7%	27.0%	25.4%	1.06×	3.70
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0	17.3%	18.5%	18.6%	0.99×	5.41

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
FC Den Bosch leading at HT	34.5%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
FC Dordrecht leading at HT	27.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.48

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch -1: 2	57.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
FC Den Bosch -1: 1	22.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
FC Den Bosch -1: X	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:1)	57.5%	55.1%	55.6%	0.99×	1.81
FC Den Bosch (0:1)	22.2%	24.5%	24.4%	1.00×	4.08
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.5%	20.1%	1.22×	4.09

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:2)	77.8%	77.5%	75.6%	1.03×	1.29
Draw (0:2)	12.7%	11.6%	12.7%	0.92×	8.62
FC Den Bosch (0:2)	9.6%	7.2%	11.9%	0.60×	13.89

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:3)	90.4%	92.5%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	6.8%	5.7%	1.19×	14.74
FC Den Bosch (0:3)	3.4%	2.3%	6.3%	0.37×	43.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:4)	96.6%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	80.90
FC Den Bosch (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1:0)	64.7%	64.9%	66.6%	0.97×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	16.4%	18.1%	0.91×	6.08
FC Dordrecht (1:0)	17.0%	16.4%	15.4%	1.07×	6.10

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2:0)	83.0%	84.4%	84.6%	1.00×	1.19
Draw (2:0)	10.3%	11.9%	8.8%	1.35×	8.41
FC Dordrecht (2:0)	6.7%	6.5%	6.7%	0.97×	15.38

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.9%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	21.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede	79.5%	77.5%	72.5%	1.07×	1.29
FC Den Bosch clean sheet	20.5%	22.5%	27.5%	0.82×	4.45

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half	53.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half	46.9%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede in 2nd half	61.3%	60.8%	—	—	1.64
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 2nd half	38.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners	90.3%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners	80.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners	59.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners	40.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners	19.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners	9.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals	89.9%	87.8%	89.8%	0.98×	1.14
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals	82.7%	82.5%	81.4%	1.01×	1.21
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals	74.3%	72.8%	74.6%	0.98×	1.37
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals	52.3%	53.0%	51.1%	1.04×	1.89
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals	47.7%	47.0%	48.9%	0.96×	2.13
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals	25.7%	27.2%	25.4%	1.07×	3.68
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals	17.3%	17.5%	18.6%	0.94×	5.72
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals	10.1%	12.2%	10.2%	1.19×	8.23

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half	82.5%	80.4%	—	—	1.24
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half	17.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch scores more in 2nd half	40.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
FC Den Bosch scores equally in both	33.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
FC Den Bosch scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (home no bet)	61.5%	61.1%	59.9%	1.02×	1.64
Draw (home no bet)	38.5%	38.9%	40.1%	0.97×	2.57

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch even goals	51.5%	50.2%	51.7%	0.97×	1.99
FC Den Bosch odd goals	48.5%	49.8%	48.3%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.40
HT 1-0	18.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.28
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.2%	—	—	8.94
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	6.7%	7.7%	—	—	13.01
HT 0-2	5.0%	7.7%	—	—	13.03
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.74
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.78
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	25.7%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	13.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.37
Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	12.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.37
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.5%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.30
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.37
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	2.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.38

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score last	50.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
FC Dordrecht to score last	45.9%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
No goal scored	3.2%	4.0%	—	—	25.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.8%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time	61.2%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time	55.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.8%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time	30.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time	24.8%	19.9%	—	—	5.03
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.8%	19.8%	—	—	5.05
FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time	12.5%	11.4%	—	—	8.81
FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch most corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Dordrecht most corners	41.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	81.6%	86.2%	0.95×	1.23
2-6 goals	78.9%	78.9%	78.3%	1.01×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.4%	73.6%	74.1%	0.99×	1.36
2-5 goals	72.1%	73.6%	72.5%	1.02×	1.36
2-4 goals	59.9%	58.9%	60.3%	0.98×	1.70
3-6 goals	59.5%	58.9%	59.1%	1.00×	1.70
1-3 goals	54.0%	52.4%	54.8%	0.96×	1.91
3-5 goals	52.6%	52.4%	53.2%	0.98×	1.91
2-3 goals	41.5%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.5%	38.9%	37.3%	1.04×	2.57
1-2 goals	32.0%	34.0%	33.1%	1.03×	2.94
4-5 goals	30.6%	34.0%	31.5%	1.08×	2.94
5-6 goals	19.1%	18.2%	18.1%	1.00×	5.51
7+ goals	5.3%	8.8%	3.2%	2.72×	11.41

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch never behind	41.5%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
FC Dordrecht never behind	35.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.2%	49.6%	1.01×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.8%	50.4%	0.99×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	95.7%	95.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.8%	88.8%	90.9%	0.98×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	84.3%	81.0%	81.4%	1.00×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	75.6%	78.1%	78.8%	0.99×	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	64.8%	61.8%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.2%	57.5%	59.6%	0.97×	1.74
Over 3.5 goals	42.8%	42.5%	40.4%	1.05×	2.36
Under 2.5 goals	35.2%	38.2%	37.8%	1.01×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.4%	21.9%	21.2%	1.03×	4.56
Under 1.5 goals	15.7%	19.0%	18.6%	1.02×	5.28
Over 5.5 goals	12.2%	11.2%	9.1%	1.24×	8.90
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	4.3%	4.8%	0.89×	23.12

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.3%	92.9%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.1%	88.2%	89.7%	0.98×	1.13
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.5%	80.5%	77.0%	1.05×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.1%	72.1%	73.7%	0.98×	1.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.9%	53.0%	51.7%	1.03×	1.89
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.1%	47.0%	48.3%	0.97×	2.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.9%	27.9%	26.3%	1.06×	3.58
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.5%	19.5%	23.0%	0.85×	5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.9%	11.8%	10.3%	1.15×	8.45
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.7%	7.1%	3.4%	2.08×	14.01

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.7%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.7%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.3%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves	71.2%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves	66.5%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
FC Den Bosch to score in both halves	33.5%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
FC Dordrecht to score in both halves	28.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.4%	63.4%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
Only FC Den Bosch scores	17.3%	16.2%	22.8%	0.71×	6.17
Only FC Dordrecht scores	14.1%	10.9%	13.9%	0.78×	9.17
Neither team scores	3.2%	3.8%	4.8%	0.79×	26.18

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Exactly 2 goals	19.5%	18.6%	19.4%	0.96×	5.38
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	18.6%	19.4%	0.96×	5.38
Exactly 1 goals	12.5%	12.3%	13.9%	0.89×	8.11
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
6 or more goals	12.2%	12.3%	9.1%	1.36×	8.11
Exactly 0 goals	3.2%	4.3%	4.8%	0.89×	23.11

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goals in 1st half	24.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
2 goals in 1st half	24.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
3+ goals in 1st half	16.4%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
1 goal in 2nd half	28.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 2nd half	14.1%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win both halves	91.0%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
FC Den Bosch not to win both halves	87.7%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
FC Den Bosch to win both halves	12.3%	12.4%	—	—	8.05
FC Dordrecht to win both halves	9.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win either half	58.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
FC Dordrecht to win either half	51.4%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
FC Dordrecht to win neither half	48.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
FC Den Bosch to win neither half	42.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win to nil	85.9%	88.1%	86.1%	1.02×	1.14
FC Den Bosch not to win to nil	82.7%	83.5%	77.2%	1.08×	1.20
FC Den Bosch to win to nil	17.3%	16.5%	22.8%	0.72×	6.05
FC Dordrecht to win to nil	14.1%	11.9%	13.9%	0.85×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.2%	23.9%	22.3%	1.07×	4.19
FC Den Bosch by 1	20.3%	23.9%	20.1%	1.19×	4.19
FC Dordrecht by 1	18.3%	17.1%	18.1%	0.94×	5.86
FC Den Bosch by 2	12.7%	11.7%	12.7%	0.93×	8.53
FC Dordrecht by 2	10.3%	11.7%	8.8%	1.33×	8.55
FC Den Bosch by 3+	9.6%	7.1%	11.9%	0.59×	14.18
FC Dordrecht by 3+	6.7%	7.0%	6.7%	1.05×	14.24