FC Den Bosch v Jong Ajax — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 4 December 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Den Bosch

19:00 UTC

Jong Ajax

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 1,040h before kick-off

FC Den Bosch win

55.6%

model 55.4%

Draw

22.2%

model 20.3%

Jong Ajax win

22.3%

model 24.4%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.5%
1-1 8.6%
2-0 7.0%
1-0 7.0%
3-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.1%	Under 2.5	32.9%
BTTS yes	64.7%	BTTS no	35.3%
FC Den Bosch 1+	87.9%	FC Den Bosch 2+	62.4%
Jong Ajax 1+	73.9%	Jong Ajax 2+	38.9%

Expected goals 2.11 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

FC Den Bosch (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

57.0% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Den Bosch carry the stronger rating, 1400 Elo against 1307.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Den Bosch have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.3% for Jong Ajax and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.11 for FC Den Bosch and 1.34 for Jong Ajax.

Why FC Den Bosch

FC Den Bosch carry the stronger rating, 1400 Elo against 1307.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Jong Ajax can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jong Ajax.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jong Ajax, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Den Bosch: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong Ajax: 52% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Den Bosch's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Den Bosch are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552024	2.11–1.35	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	582022	2.19–1.29	2-1 10%	68%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win	58.1%	54.0%	44.5%	1.21×	1.85
Jong Ajax to win	22.3%	24.4%	33.5%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	19.7%	19.4%	22.1%	0.88×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & both teams score	33.4%	29.6%	22.0%	1.35×	3.38
FC Den Bosch & not both score	24.7%	21.8%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	16.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Jong Ajax & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	19.7%	0.68×	7.53
Jong Ajax & not both score	8.4%	8.3%	14.0%	0.59×	12.01
Draw & not both score	2.8%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & over 1.5	51.1%	48.8%	37.0%	1.32×	2.05
FC Den Bosch & over 2.5	43.7%	40.3%	30.8%	1.31×	2.48
FC Den Bosch & under 3.5	29.3%	26.1%	25.7%	1.02×	3.84
FC Den Bosch & over 3.5	28.8%	26.1%	18.9%	1.38×	3.84
Jong Ajax & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	27.4%	0.66×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Jong Ajax & over 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
FC Den Bosch & under 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
Jong Ajax & under 3.5	13.6%	12.8%	19.8%	0.65×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	11.2%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	11.2%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Jong Ajax & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
FC Den Bosch & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Jong Ajax & under 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
Jong Ajax & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.3%	0.77×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1UP)	73.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Jong Ajax (1UP)	43.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2UP)	58.1%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Jong Ajax (2UP)	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half	47.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	29.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Jong Ajax to win 2nd half	23.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Jong Ajax over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Jong Ajax under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Jong Ajax over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (+2.5)	81.5%	82.5%	88.2%	0.94×	1.21
FC Den Bosch (+0.5)	77.7%	78.5%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Jong Ajax (+1.5)	64.2%	63.0%	75.6%	0.83×	1.59
FC Den Bosch (-0.5)	58.1%	57.0%	44.5%	1.28×	1.75
Jong Ajax (+0.5)	41.9%	43.0%	55.5%	0.77×	2.33
FC Den Bosch (-1.5)	35.8%	37.0%	24.4%	1.52×	2.70
Jong Ajax (-0.5)	22.3%	21.5%	33.5%	0.64×	4.65
FC Den Bosch (-2.5)	18.5%	17.5%	11.8%	1.48×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede	88.8%	86.3%	81.3%	1.06×	1.16
Jong Ajax clean sheet	11.2%	13.7%	18.7%	0.73×	7.32

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede in 1st half	61.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Jong Ajax clean sheet in 1st half	39.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede in 2nd half	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Jong Ajax clean sheet in 2nd half	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax over 2.5 corners	79.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Jong Ajax under 6.5 corners	79.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Jong Ajax under 5.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Jong Ajax over 3.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Jong Ajax under 4.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Jong Ajax over 4.5 corners	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Jong Ajax under 3.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong Ajax over 5.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Jong Ajax over 6.5 corners	20.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Jong Ajax under 2.5 corners	20.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Jong Ajax under 2.5 goals	85.9%	87.8%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Jong Ajax over 0.5 goals	72.6%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Jong Ajax under 1.5 goals	62.9%	63.2%	58.0%	1.09×	1.58
Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals	37.1%	36.8%	42.0%	0.88×	2.72
Jong Ajax under 0.5 goals	27.4%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.56
Jong Ajax over 2.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	18.6%	0.66×	8.19
Jong Ajax over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Jong Ajax under 0.5 in 1st half	59.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Jong Ajax over 0.5 in 1st half	40.4%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Jong Ajax over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	6.2%	—	—	16.19

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax scores equally in both	39.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Jong Ajax scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Jong Ajax scores more in 1st half	22.2%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (away no bet)	74.7%	68.5%	66.8%	1.03×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.3%	31.5%	33.2%	0.95×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax even goals	53.8%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
Jong Ajax odd goals	46.2%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.3%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.0%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.0%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row	54.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row	25.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Jong Ajax to score 2+ in a row	25.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Jong Ajax to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.6%	—	—	18.02

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5)	84.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Jong Ajax corners (+3.5)	60.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5)	59.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Jong Ajax corners (+2.5)	50.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5)	49.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Jong Ajax corners (+1.5)	40.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5)	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong Ajax corners (-1.5)	15.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Jong Ajax corners (-2.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Jong Ajax corners (-3.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	50.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	28.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	22.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	85.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Over 8.5 corners	78.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	69.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	50.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 12.5 corners	40.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	30.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	22.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	14.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.90

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
1-0	7.0%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	7.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
Any other score	8.1%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.50
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-0	5.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.51
0-0	2.8%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-1	4.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-2	4.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.30
4-1	3.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	2.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2nd half DNB)	67.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Jong Ajax (2nd half DNB)	32.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB)	69.4%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Jong Ajax leading at HT (DNB)	30.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or Jong Ajax (12)	80.3%	80.6%	77.9%	1.03×	1.24
FC Den Bosch or draw (1X)	77.7%	75.6%	66.5%	1.14×	1.32
Jong Ajax or draw (X2)	41.9%	46.0%	55.5%	0.83×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw at HT	80.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Den Bosch or Jong Ajax at HT	64.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Jong Ajax or draw at HT	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP)	77.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Jong Ajax or draw (1UP)	43.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half	76.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
FC Den Bosch or Jong Ajax in 2nd half	70.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Jong Ajax or draw in 2nd half	52.5%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.0%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	45.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (DNB)	72.3%	71.5%	57.0%	1.25×	1.40
Jong Ajax (DNB)	27.7%	28.5%	43.0%	0.66×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score first	61.1%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Jong Ajax to score first	36.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	2.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.1%	56.7%	58.8%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.9%	43.3%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.7%	47.5%	49.5%	0.96×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	24.0%	27.8%	28.3%	0.98×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	13.0%	0.95×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.2%	79.6%	79.0%	1.01×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.8%	20.4%	21.0%	0.97×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.6%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.4%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.4%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.6%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.5%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	33.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.0%	35.2%	41.0%	0.86×	2.85
4-6 goals	39.6%	35.2%	37.6%	0.94×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.1%	16.9%	18.4%	0.92×	5.91
7+ goals	6.4%	7.6%	3.2%	2.38×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.9%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
Jong Ajax to score exactly 0	27.4%	27.4%	27.3%	1.00×	3.65
Jong Ajax to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.48
Jong Ajax to score 3+	14.1%	12.9%	18.6%	0.70×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score 3+	37.4%	35.6%	25.6%	1.39×	2.81
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1	24.5%	23.3%	30.2%	0.77×	4.29
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0	11.2%	14.3%	18.7%	0.77×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch leading at HT	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	35.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Jong Ajax leading at HT	19.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch -1: 2	41.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Den Bosch -1: 1	35.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
FC Den Bosch -1: X	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:1)	41.9%	42.6%	55.5%	0.77×	2.35
FC Den Bosch (0:1)	35.8%	37.3%	24.4%	1.53×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:2)	64.2%	67.2%	75.6%	0.89×	1.49
FC Den Bosch (0:2)	18.5%	15.3%	11.8%	1.30×	6.54
Draw (0:2)	17.3%	15.3%	12.8%	1.20×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:3)	81.5%	85.3%	88.2%	0.97×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.5%	9.9%	5.7%	1.76×	10.08
FC Den Bosch (0:3)	8.0%	5.8%	6.3%	0.93×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:4)	92.0%	94.5%	93.7%	1.01×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.1%	4.6%	4.3%	1.07×	21.82
FC Den Bosch (0:4)	3.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.77

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1:0)	77.7%	78.7%	66.5%	1.18×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.3%	12.7%	18.2%	0.70×	7.87
Jong Ajax (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	15.5%	0.45×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2:0)	91.0%	94.0%	84.5%	1.11×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.0%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.70
Jong Ajax (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede	72.6%	73.2%	72.7%	1.01×	1.37
FC Den Bosch clean sheet	27.4%	26.8%	27.3%	0.98×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half	59.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half	40.4%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede in 2nd half	54.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 2nd half	46.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners	94.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners	87.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners	78.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners	66.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners	33.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners	21.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners	12.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.27
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners	5.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals	88.8%	87.3%	81.3%	1.07×	1.15
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals	82.2%	82.2%	89.9%	0.91×	1.22
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals	64.3%	63.6%	51.2%	1.24×	1.57
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals	62.6%	63.6%	74.4%	0.85×	1.57
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals	37.4%	36.4%	25.6%	1.43×	2.75
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals	35.7%	36.4%	48.8%	0.75×	2.75
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals	17.8%	17.8%	10.1%	1.77×	5.62
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals	11.2%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half	75.7%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half	61.0%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half	39.0%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half	24.3%	22.8%	—	—	4.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch scores more in 2nd half	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
FC Den Bosch scores equally in both	28.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59
FC Den Bosch scores more in 1st half	27.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (home no bet)	53.1%	51.4%	60.3%	0.85×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	46.9%	48.6%	39.7%	1.22×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch even goals	50.6%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
FC Den Bosch odd goals	49.4%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 2-0	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
Any other HT score	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	37.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	17.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Jong Ajax at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	11.6%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	8.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Jong Ajax at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.60
Jong Ajax at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
FC Den Bosch at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score last	61.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Jong Ajax to score last	36.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	2.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.49

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time	73.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Jong Ajax to lead by 1 at any time	43.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Jong Ajax to lead by 2 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Jong Ajax to lead by 3 at any time	4.6%	1.7%	—	—	60.28

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch most corners	69.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Jong Ajax most corners	22.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	8.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.2%	83.4%	86.4%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.1%	72.4%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
3-6 goals	61.2%	63.3%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.8%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.6%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.3%	53.2%	54.7%	0.97×	1.88
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.30
2-3 goals	40.0%	39.2%	41.0%	0.96×	2.55
4-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.0%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.6%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.7%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.09
7+ goals	6.4%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch never behind	54.0%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Jong Ajax never behind	24.1%	24.7%	—	—	4.04

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.2%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.0%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.9%	87.6%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.9%	72.5%	78.7%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.6%	66.3%	62.4%	1.06×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.1%	52.5%	59.3%	0.89×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	45.9%	47.5%	40.7%	1.17×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.4%	33.7%	37.6%	0.90×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.1%	27.5%	21.3%	1.30×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.1%	12.4%	18.4%	0.67×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	14.0%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	2.8%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.1%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.9%	81.1%	89.8%	0.90×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.8%	81.1%	77.2%	1.05×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.6%	67.4%	73.6%	0.92×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.6%	55.8%	52.0%	1.07×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.4%	44.2%	48.0%	0.92×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.4%	32.6%	26.4%	1.23×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.2%	18.9%	22.8%	0.83×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.1%	18.9%	10.2%	1.85×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.9%	7.6%	3.4%	2.24×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.8%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.2%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to score in both halves	78.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves	56.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
FC Den Bosch to score in both halves	43.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Jong Ajax to score in both halves	21.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.1%	60.3%	58.8%	1.03×	1.66
Only FC Den Bosch scores	24.7%	22.3%	22.6%	0.99×	4.49
Only Jong Ajax scores	8.4%	7.1%	14.0%	0.51×	14.03
Neither team scores	2.8%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.73

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.8%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.3%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.0%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	11.3%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	2.8%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.0%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
No goals in 1st half	23.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	27.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	13.1%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to win both halves	95.5%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
FC Den Bosch not to win both halves	78.9%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
FC Den Bosch to win both halves	21.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Jong Ajax to win both halves	4.5%	2.9%	—	—	34.93

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win either half	70.9%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Jong Ajax to win neither half	61.7%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Jong Ajax to win either half	38.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
FC Den Bosch to win neither half	29.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to win to nil	91.6%	92.1%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
FC Den Bosch not to win to nil	75.3%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
FC Den Bosch to win to nil	24.7%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
Jong Ajax to win to nil	8.4%	7.9%	14.0%	0.57×	12.64

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch by 1	22.3%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
Draw	19.7%	17.1%	22.1%	0.77×	5.86
FC Den Bosch by 3+	18.5%	17.1%	11.8%	1.45×	5.87
FC Den Bosch by 2	17.3%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.87
Jong Ajax by 1	13.3%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.51
Jong Ajax by 2	6.0%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
Jong Ajax by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.81