FC Den Bosch v MVV Maastricht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Den Bosch

18:00 UTC

MVV Maastricht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 55h before kick-off

FC Den Bosch win

49.3%

model 48.4%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.0%

MVV Maastricht win

27.8%

model 29.6%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 7.5%
1-2 7.0%
2-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.0%	Under 2.5	37.0%
BTTS yes	63.1%	BTTS no	36.9%
FC Den Bosch 1+	84.2%	FC Den Bosch 2+	55.1%
MVV Maastricht 1+	75.3%	MVV Maastricht 2+	40.8%

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.40. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

65/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

FC Den Bosch or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 67%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Den Bosch have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.8% for MVV Maastricht and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for FC Den Bosch and 1.40 for MVV Maastricht.

Why FC Den Bosch

Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why MVV Maastricht can win

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for MVV Maastricht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Den Bosch: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. MVV Maastricht: 53% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Den Bosch are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 65/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482230	1.85–1.40	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482230	1.87–1.44	1-1 9%	64%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win	48.1%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11
MVV Maastricht to win	30.1%	30.4%	33.5%	0.91×	3.29
Draw	21.8%	24.4%	22.1%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & both teams score	27.8%	25.2%	22.0%	1.15×	3.97
FC Den Bosch & not both score	20.3%	21.8%	22.6%	0.96×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
MVV Maastricht & both teams score	18.1%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.57
MVV Maastricht & not both score	12.1%	13.3%	14.0%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & over 1.5	41.0%	40.2%	37.0%	1.09×	2.49
FC Den Bosch & over 2.5	34.6%	30.8%	30.8%	1.00×	3.25
FC Den Bosch & under 3.5	26.7%	26.1%	25.7%	1.01×	3.84
MVV Maastricht & over 1.5	24.6%	21.6%	27.4%	0.79×	4.63
FC Den Bosch & over 3.5	21.4%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.63
MVV Maastricht & over 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
MVV Maastricht & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
FC Den Bosch & under 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.8%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
MVV Maastricht & over 3.5	11.9%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
MVV Maastricht & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
FC Den Bosch & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
MVV Maastricht & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1UP)	65.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
MVV Maastricht (1UP)	50.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2UP)	48.1%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
MVV Maastricht (2UP)	30.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half	39.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
MVV Maastricht to win 2nd half	29.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
MVV Maastricht over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
MVV Maastricht under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
MVV Maastricht over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht (+2.5)	87.9%	88.5%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
MVV Maastricht (+1.5)	73.4%	73.7%	75.6%	0.97×	1.36
FC Den Bosch (+0.5)	69.9%	68.7%	66.5%	1.03×	1.46
MVV Maastricht (+0.5)	51.9%	52.4%	55.5%	0.94×	1.91
FC Den Bosch (-0.5)	48.1%	47.6%	44.5%	1.07×	2.10
MVV Maastricht (-0.5)	30.1%	31.3%	33.5%	0.93×	3.19
FC Den Bosch (-1.5)	26.6%	26.3%	24.4%	1.08×	3.80
FC Den Bosch (-2.5)	12.1%	11.5%	11.8%	0.98×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht to concede	84.6%	81.6%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
MVV Maastricht clean sheet	15.4%	18.4%	18.7%	0.99×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht to concede in 1st half	55.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
MVV Maastricht clean sheet in 1st half	44.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht to concede in 2nd half	65.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
MVV Maastricht clean sheet in 2nd half	34.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht under 6.5 corners	83.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
MVV Maastricht over 2.5 corners	75.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
MVV Maastricht under 5.5 corners	73.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
MVV Maastricht under 4.5 corners	58.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
MVV Maastricht over 3.5 corners	58.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
MVV Maastricht under 3.5 corners	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
MVV Maastricht over 4.5 corners	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
MVV Maastricht over 5.5 corners	27.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
MVV Maastricht under 2.5 corners	24.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
MVV Maastricht over 6.5 corners	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
MVV Maastricht under 2.5 goals	82.3%	81.5%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
MVV Maastricht over 0.5 goals	76.4%	76.2%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
MVV Maastricht under 1.5 goals	57.7%	59.4%	58.0%	1.02×	1.68
MVV Maastricht over 1.5 goals	42.3%	40.6%	42.0%	0.97×	2.46
MVV Maastricht under 0.5 goals	23.6%	23.8%	27.3%	0.87×	4.21
MVV Maastricht over 2.5 goals	17.7%	18.5%	18.6%	1.00×	5.39
MVV Maastricht over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
MVV Maastricht under 0.5 in 1st half	56.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
MVV Maastricht over 0.5 in 1st half	43.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
MVV Maastricht over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
MVV Maastricht scores equally in both	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
MVV Maastricht scores more in 1st half	23.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (away no bet)	68.8%	66.4%	66.8%	0.99×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.2%	33.6%	33.2%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht even goals	52.8%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
MVV Maastricht odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.8%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.5%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row	45.3%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
MVV Maastricht to score 2+ in a row	30.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
MVV Maastricht to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5)	94.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5)	91.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5)	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
MVV Maastricht corners (+3.5)	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5)	51.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
MVV Maastricht corners (+2.5)	48.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5)	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
MVV Maastricht corners (+1.5)	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
MVV Maastricht corners (-1.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
MVV Maastricht corners (-2.5)	8.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
MVV Maastricht corners (-3.5)	5.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	25.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	64.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	54.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	35.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	17.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-1	5.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.51
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	2.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2nd half DNB)	57.8%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
MVV Maastricht (2nd half DNB)	42.2%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB)	61.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
MVV Maastricht leading at HT (DNB)	38.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or MVV Maastricht (12)	78.2%	75.6%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
FC Den Bosch or draw (1X)	69.9%	69.6%	66.5%	1.05×	1.44
MVV Maastricht or draw (X2)	51.9%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw at HT	75.9%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
MVV Maastricht or draw at HT	62.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch or MVV Maastricht at HT	61.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP)	69.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
MVV Maastricht or draw (1UP)	51.9%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
FC Den Bosch or MVV Maastricht in 2nd half	69.0%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
MVV Maastricht or draw in 2nd half	60.2%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.7%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (DNB)	61.5%	62.7%	57.0%	1.10×	1.60
MVV Maastricht (DNB)	38.5%	37.3%	43.0%	0.87×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score first	54.6%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
MVV Maastricht to score first	42.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.3%	56.7%	58.8%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.7%	43.3%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.8%	47.3%	49.5%	0.96×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	26.1%	33.3%	28.3%	1.18×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.4%	79.6%	79.0%	1.01×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.6%	20.4%	21.0%	0.97×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.1%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.60

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.8%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.9%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	36.1%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.7%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.1%	35.1%	37.6%	0.93×	2.85
0-1 goals	16.0%	20.2%	18.4%	1.10×	4.95
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	3.2%	2.37×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
MVV Maastricht to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.48
MVV Maastricht to score exactly 0	23.6%	22.3%	27.3%	0.82×	4.48
MVV Maastricht to score 3+	17.7%	19.6%	18.6%	1.06×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score 3+	28.9%	26.6%	25.6%	1.04×	3.77
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1	28.8%	26.6%	30.2%	0.88×	3.77
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0	15.4%	18.8%	18.7%	1.00×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
FC Den Bosch leading at HT	37.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
MVV Maastricht leading at HT	24.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch -1: 2	51.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Den Bosch -1: 1	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Den Bosch -1: X	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht (0:1)	51.9%	51.3%	55.5%	0.92×	1.95
FC Den Bosch (0:1)	26.6%	27.0%	24.4%	1.11×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	21.5%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht (0:2)	73.4%	75.7%	75.6%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.4%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.09
FC Den Bosch (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	11.8%	0.93×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht (0:3)	87.9%	90.6%	88.2%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	5.7%	1.03×	17.21
FC Den Bosch (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht (0:4)	95.4%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.75
FC Den Bosch (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1:0)	69.9%	70.2%	66.5%	1.06×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.7%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.85
MVV Maastricht (1:0)	13.5%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2:0)	86.5%	88.5%	84.5%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.6%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.67
MVV Maastricht (2:0)	4.9%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.53

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede	76.4%	76.1%	72.7%	1.05×	1.32
FC Den Bosch clean sheet	23.6%	23.9%	27.3%	0.88×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half	56.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half	43.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede in 2nd half	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 2nd half	42.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners	94.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners	86.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners	64.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners	47.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners	35.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners	13.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners	6.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals	87.9%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals	84.6%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals	71.1%	74.2%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals	55.9%	58.6%	51.2%	1.14×	1.71
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals	44.1%	41.4%	48.8%	0.85×	2.41
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals	28.9%	25.8%	25.6%	1.01×	3.88
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals	15.4%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.63
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals	12.1%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half	80.7%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half	19.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch scores more in 2nd half	41.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
FC Den Bosch scores equally in both	31.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
FC Den Bosch scores more in 1st half	27.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht (home no bet)	58.0%	56.4%	60.3%	0.94×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.0%	43.6%	39.7%	1.10×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch even goals	51.2%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
FC Den Bosch odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
HT 1-0	20.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	14.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 2-0	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 0-2	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	29.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
MVV Maastricht at HT / MVV Maastricht at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / MVV Maastricht at FT	11.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
MVV Maastricht at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
MVV Maastricht at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
FC Den Bosch at HT / MVV Maastricht at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.67

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score last	54.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
MVV Maastricht to score last	42.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time	65.4%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
MVV Maastricht to lead by 1 at any time	50.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
MVV Maastricht to lead by 2 at any time	20.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
MVV Maastricht to lead by 3 at any time	7.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch most corners	71.2%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
MVV Maastricht most corners	20.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Corners level	8.3%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.4%	86.4%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.7%	72.4%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.0%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-6 goals	59.2%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.4%	53.2%	54.7%	0.97×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.7%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.1%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.3%	35.2%	32.9%	1.07×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.4%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.8%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	5.2%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch never behind	46.3%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
MVV Maastricht never behind	31.3%	36.2%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.0%	82.3%	81.6%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	76.0%	77.3%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.4%	61.7%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	59.3%	0.99×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	40.7%	1.02×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.6%	38.3%	37.6%	1.02×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.0%	22.7%	21.3%	1.07×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	16.0%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.5%	86.7%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.1%	81.1%	77.2%	1.05×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.6%	72.4%	73.6%	0.98×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.3%	51.9%	52.0%	1.00×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.7%	48.1%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.4%	27.6%	26.4%	1.05×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.9%	18.9%	22.8%	0.83×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.5%	13.3%	10.2%	1.30×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.6%	3.4%	2.24×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.8%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.8%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.2%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.2%	14.1%	—	—	7.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves	63.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
FC Den Bosch to score in both halves	36.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
MVV Maastricht to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.3%	60.3%	58.8%	1.03×	1.66
Only FC Den Bosch scores	20.3%	22.2%	22.6%	0.98×	4.50
Only MVV Maastricht scores	12.1%	11.0%	14.0%	0.79×	9.06
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.6%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.7%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	11.9%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
2 goals in 1st half	23.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
3+ goals in 1st half	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.5%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	14.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht not to win both halves	93.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Den Bosch not to win both halves	85.0%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
FC Den Bosch to win both halves	15.0%	16.0%	—	—	6.26
MVV Maastricht to win both halves	7.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.02

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win either half	62.7%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
MVV Maastricht to win neither half	53.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
MVV Maastricht to win either half	46.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
FC Den Bosch to win neither half	37.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
MVV Maastricht not to win to nil	87.9%	88.1%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
FC Den Bosch not to win to nil	79.7%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
FC Den Bosch to win to nil	20.3%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
MVV Maastricht to win to nil	12.1%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	21.8%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
FC Den Bosch by 1	21.5%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
MVV Maastricht by 1	16.7%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
FC Den Bosch by 2	14.4%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.50
FC Den Bosch by 3+	12.1%	11.8%	11.8%	1.00×	8.51
MVV Maastricht by 2	8.6%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.90
MVV Maastricht by 3+	4.9%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.75