FC Dordrecht v Almere City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 25 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

FC Dordrecht

19:00 UTC

Almere City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 419h before kick-off

FC Dordrecht win

27.2%

model 26.8%

Draw

21.8%

model 21.3%

Almere City win

51.0%

model 52.0%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (419 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.5%
1-1 9.3%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 7.0%
2-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.5%	Under 2.5	35.5%
BTTS yes	63.6%	BTTS no	36.4%
FC Dordrecht 1+	74.3%	FC Dordrecht 2+	39.4%
Almere City 1+	86.0%	Almere City 2+	58.5%

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Almere City (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 33%

51.6% fair odds 1.94

strong signal · 1020 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 394 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1394.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Almere City have an estimated 51.0% win probability, against 27.2% for FC Dordrecht and 21.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.36 for FC Dordrecht and 1.97 for Almere City.

Why FC Dordrecht

Nothing in the data singles out FC Dordrecht.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Almere City can win

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1394. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Almere City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Almere City: 44% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Almere City are the model's most likely outcome at 51.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.4%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	272152	1.36–1.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262153	1.32–1.96	1-2 10%	64%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win	52.0%	51.8%	33.4%	1.55×	1.93
FC Dordrecht to win	26.8%	27.6%	44.4%	0.62×	3.63
Draw	21.3%	22.1%	22.3%	0.99×	4.53

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City & both teams score	29.5%	26.4%	19.6%	1.35×	3.79
Almere City & not both score	22.4%	22.6%	13.9%	1.63×	4.42
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.8%	17.6%	1.01×	5.63
FC Dordrecht & both teams score	16.1%	17.7%	21.7%	0.82×	5.64
FC Dordrecht & not both score	10.7%	12.1%	22.8%	0.53×	8.24
Draw & not both score	3.3%	3.6%	4.8%	0.75×	27.42

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City & over 1.5	44.6%	44.0%	27.2%	1.62×	2.27
Almere City & over 2.5	37.6%	37.5%	23.6%	1.59×	2.67
Almere City & under 3.5	28.4%	25.5%	19.7%	1.29×	3.92
Almere City & over 3.5	23.6%	21.5%	13.8%	1.56×	4.65
FC Dordrecht & over 1.5	21.6%	21.5%	36.8%	0.58×	4.65
FC Dordrecht & over 2.5	18.2%	17.6%	30.6%	0.57×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	17.6%	17.6%	1.00×	5.69
FC Dordrecht & under 3.5	16.6%	17.6%	25.8%	0.68×	5.70
Almere City & under 2.5	14.4%	12.7%	9.9%	1.28×	7.86
Draw & under 2.5	12.6%	12.7%	14.3%	0.89×	7.86
Draw & under 3.5	12.6%	12.7%	14.3%	0.89×	7.86
FC Dordrecht & over 3.5	10.2%	12.7%	18.7%	0.68×	7.87
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.5%	8.2%	0.91×	13.40
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.5%	8.2%	0.91×	13.40
FC Dordrecht & under 2.5	8.5%	7.5%	13.9%	0.54×	13.40
Almere City & under 1.5	7.4%	7.5%	6.3%	1.18×	13.41
FC Dordrecht & under 1.5	5.2%	7.5%	7.7%	0.97×	13.42
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.6%	4.8%	0.94×	21.97

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (1UP)	68.3%	72.2%	—	—	1.38
FC Dordrecht (1UP)	47.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2UP)	52.0%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
FC Dordrecht (2UP)	26.8%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win 2nd half	45.5%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
2nd half drawn	30.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half	24.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (+2.5)	96.1%	97.1%	88.1%	1.10×	1.03
Almere City (+1.5)	88.6%	89.0%	75.6%	1.18×	1.12
Almere City (+0.5)	73.2%	73.1%	55.6%	1.32×	1.37
Almere City (-0.5)	52.0%	51.6%	33.4%	1.55×	1.94
FC Dordrecht (+0.5)	48.0%	48.4%	66.6%	0.73×	2.07
FC Dordrecht (-0.5)	26.8%	26.9%	44.4%	0.61×	3.72
FC Dordrecht (-1.5)	11.4%	11.0%	24.4%	0.45×	9.11
FC Dordrecht (-2.5)	3.9%	2.9%	11.9%	0.24×	34.80

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede	74.3%	77.2%	81.4%	0.95×	1.30
Almere City clean sheet	25.7%	22.8%	18.6%	1.23×	4.38

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City clean sheet in 1st half	55.8%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Almere City to concede in 1st half	44.2%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 2.5 corners	84.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Almere City over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Almere City under 6.5 corners	71.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Almere City under 5.5 corners	58.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almere City over 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Almere City under 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almere City over 5.5 corners	41.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Almere City over 6.5 corners	28.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Almere City under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Almere City under 2.5 corners	15.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 3.5 goals	86.3%	88.9%	93.1%	0.96×	1.13
Almere City over 0.5 goals	86.0%	88.9%	72.5%	1.23×	1.13
Almere City under 2.5 goals	68.6%	67.3%	81.5%	0.83×	1.49
Almere City over 1.5 goals	58.5%	57.7%	41.8%	1.38×	1.73
Almere City under 1.5 goals	41.5%	42.3%	58.2%	0.73×	2.37
Almere City over 2.5 goals	31.4%	32.7%	18.5%	1.77×	3.06
Almere City under 0.5 goals	14.0%	11.1%	27.5%	0.40×	9.00
Almere City over 3.5 goals	13.7%	11.1%	6.9%	1.60×	9.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 1.5 in 1st half	81.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Almere City over 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Almere City under 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	48.9%	—	—	2.04
Almere City over 1.5 in 1st half	18.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (away no bet)	55.7%	58.8%	66.5%	0.88×	1.70
Draw (away no bet)	44.3%	41.2%	33.5%	1.23×	2.43

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City even goals	51.0%	52.4%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Almere City odd goals	49.0%	47.7%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.4%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Almere City to score 2+ in a row	48.3%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row	28.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Almere City to score 3+ in a row	20.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	7.3%	—	—	13.61

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5)	86.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5)	79.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Almere City corners (+3.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Almere City corners (+2.5)	68.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Almere City corners (+1.5)	58.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5)	41.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5)	31.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Almere City corners (-1.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Almere City corners (-2.5)	20.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Almere City corners (-3.5)	13.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	43.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	26.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	81.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	53.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	46.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	43.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	26.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	18.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.3%	7.3%	9.6%	0.76×	13.74
1-2	9.5%	7.3%	7.4%	0.98×	13.74
0-1	7.4%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.75
0-2	7.0%	7.3%	3.7%	1.95×	13.75
2-1	6.5%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.75
2-2	6.4%	7.3%	6.7%	1.09×	13.75
1-3	6.2%	7.3%	3.7%	1.95×	13.75
Any other score	6.1%	7.3%	4.7%	1.54×	13.75
1-0	5.2%	7.3%	7.7%	0.95×	13.76
0-3	4.6%	1.8%	2.6%	0.69×	55.39
2-3	4.2%	1.8%	3.5%	0.52×	55.40
0-0	3.3%	1.8%	4.8%	0.37×	55.43
1-4	3.0%	1.8%	2.2%	0.81×	55.43
2-0	3.3%	1.8%	6.3%	0.29×	55.43
3-1	3.0%	1.8%	4.7%	0.38×	55.43
3-2	2.9%	1.8%	4.2%	0.43×	55.44
0-4	2.2%	1.8%	1.2%	1.45×	55.45
2-4	2.1%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.46
3-0	1.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.47
3-3	1.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	55.46
3-4	0.9%	1.8%	1.2%	1.45×	55.49
4-0	0.5%	1.8%	3.5%	0.52×	55.50
4-1	1.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.48
4-2	1.0%	1.8%	1.5%	1.21×	55.48
4-3	0.6%	1.8%	0.5%	3.63×	55.49
4-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.1%	14.52×	55.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City leading at HT (DNB)	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB)	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or Almere City (12)	78.7%	77.9%	77.7%	1.00×	1.28
Almere City or draw (X2)	73.2%	72.4%	55.6%	1.30×	1.38
FC Dordrecht or draw (1X)	48.0%	48.2%	66.6%	0.72×	2.08

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw at HT	75.3%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
FC Dordrecht or draw at HT	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
FC Dordrecht or Almere City at HT	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw (1UP)	73.2%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP)	48.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw in 2nd half	75.7%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
FC Dordrecht or Almere City in 2nd half	69.8%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half	54.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (DNB)	66.0%	68.2%	42.9%	1.59×	1.47
FC Dordrecht (DNB)	34.0%	31.8%	57.1%	0.56×	3.14

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score first	57.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Dordrecht to score first	39.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goal scored	3.3%	4.0%	—	—	25.15

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.6%	57.6%	58.7%	0.98×	1.74
Not both teams to score	36.4%	42.4%	41.3%	1.03×	2.36

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	54.3%	47.2%	49.3%	0.96×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.2%	31.4%	28.4%	1.10×	3.19
Not both score & over 2.5	10.3%	11.7%	13.0%	0.90×	8.55
Both score & under 2.5	9.3%	8.7%	9.6%	0.92×	11.44

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.0%	83.5%	79.0%	1.06×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	23.0%	16.5%	21.0%	0.79×	6.07

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.8%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.2%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Both score 2nd half only	28.2%	24.8%	—	—	4.04
Both score 1st half only	15.0%	18.0%	—	—	5.54
Both score in both halves	9.0%	6.5%	—	—	15.28

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	24.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
A half without a goal	36.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.6%	43.1%	41.1%	1.05×	2.32
4-6 goals	37.2%	35.4%	37.3%	0.95×	2.83
0-1 goals	15.9%	20.6%	18.6%	1.11×	4.85
7+ goals	5.2%	5.3%	3.2%	1.65×	18.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score 3+	31.4%	33.2%	18.5%	1.80×	3.01
Almere City to score exactly 1	27.5%	27.1%	30.8%	0.88×	3.69
Almere City to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.1%	23.4%	1.15×	3.69
Almere City to score exactly 0	14.0%	13.5%	27.5%	0.49×	7.43

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1	34.9%	30.6%	30.4%	1.01×	3.27
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0	25.7%	27.0%	18.6%	1.45×	3.70
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2	23.7%	23.0%	25.8%	0.89×	4.35
FC Dordrecht to score 3+	15.6%	18.5%	25.4%	0.73×	5.42

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.71
Almere City leading at HT	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
FC Dordrecht leading at HT	24.7%	21.4%	—	—	4.68

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City -1: 1	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Almere City -1: 2	29.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Almere City -1: X	22.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:1)	73.2%	68.8%	55.6%	1.24×	1.45
Draw (0:1)	15.4%	18.2%	20.1%	0.91×	5.49
FC Dordrecht (0:1)	11.4%	10.6%	24.4%	0.43×	9.43

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:2)	88.6%	89.8%	75.6%	1.19×	1.11
Draw (0:2)	7.5%	7.2%	12.7%	0.57×	13.93
FC Dordrecht (0:2)	3.9%	3.0%	11.9%	0.26×	32.89

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:3)	96.1%	97.1%	88.1%	1.10×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	2.8%	2.3%	5.7%	0.41×	42.98
FC Dordrecht (0:3)	1.1%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.35

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	80.91
FC Dordrecht (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.22

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (1:0)	48.0%	46.4%	66.6%	0.70×	2.16
Almere City (1:0)	29.8%	28.9%	15.4%	1.88×	3.46
Draw (1:0)	22.1%	22.9%	18.1%	1.27×	4.36

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (2:0)	70.2%	74.0%	84.6%	0.87×	1.35
Draw (2:0)	15.6%	14.8%	8.8%	1.68×	6.74
Almere City (2:0)	14.2%	12.2%	6.7%	1.82×	8.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	21.5%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede	86.0%	88.3%	72.5%	1.22×	1.13
FC Dordrecht clean sheet	14.0%	11.7%	27.5%	0.43×	8.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half	54.5%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half	45.5%	48.9%	—	—	2.04

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners	89.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners	65.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners	61.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners	51.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners	48.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners	38.3%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners	34.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners	10.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.7%	89.8%	1.09×	1.02
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals	84.4%	82.5%	74.6%	1.11×	1.21
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals	74.3%	72.8%	81.4%	0.89×	1.37
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals	60.7%	62.6%	48.9%	1.28×	1.60
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals	39.3%	37.4%	51.1%	0.73×	2.67
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals	25.7%	27.2%	18.6%	1.46×	3.68
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals	15.6%	17.5%	25.4%	0.69×	5.71
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.3%	10.2%	0.23×	43.13

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	88.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	55.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	44.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	11.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.23

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (home no bet)	71.0%	67.9%	59.9%	1.13×	1.47
Draw (home no bet)	29.0%	32.1%	40.1%	0.80×	3.11

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht even goals	53.3%	50.3%	51.7%	0.97×	1.99
FC Dordrecht odd goals	46.7%	49.7%	48.3%	1.03×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
HT 0-1	20.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.43
HT 1-0	14.9%	11.2%	—	—	8.91
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.2%	—	—	8.94
HT 0-2	7.9%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	6.6%	7.7%	—	—	13.01
HT 1-2	4.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.74
HT 2-0	4.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.75
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.81
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City at HT / Almere City at FT	30.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Draw at HT / Almere City at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.37
Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	9.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Almere City at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
FC Dordrecht at HT / Almere City at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.34
Almere City at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	2.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.43

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score last	57.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
FC Dordrecht to score last	39.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	3.3%	4.0%	—	—	25.15

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Almere City to lead by 1 at any time	68.3%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.8%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time	47.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Almere City to lead by 2 at any time	38.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.4%	19.8%	—	—	5.05
FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time	18.2%	17.7%	—	—	5.66
Almere City to lead by 3 at any time	17.6%	17.7%	—	—	5.66
FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	7.0%	—	—	14.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht most corners	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Almere City most corners	37.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.7%	81.6%	86.2%	0.95×	1.23
2-6 goals	78.9%	78.9%	78.3%	1.01×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.6%	73.6%	74.1%	0.99×	1.36
2-5 goals	72.1%	73.6%	72.5%	1.02×	1.36
2-4 goals	60.0%	58.8%	60.3%	0.98×	1.70
3-6 goals	59.3%	58.8%	59.1%	1.00×	1.70
1-3 goals	54.2%	52.4%	54.8%	0.95×	1.91
3-5 goals	52.5%	52.3%	53.2%	0.98×	1.91
2-3 goals	41.6%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.2%	38.8%	37.3%	1.04×	2.58
1-2 goals	32.2%	34.1%	33.1%	1.03×	2.93
4-5 goals	30.5%	34.1%	31.5%	1.08×	2.94
5-6 goals	18.9%	18.1%	18.1%	1.00×	5.51
7+ goals	5.2%	8.7%	3.2%	2.71×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City never behind	49.5%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
FC Dordrecht never behind	28.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.1%	49.6%	1.01×	1.99
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.9%	50.4%	0.99×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.6%	95.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.0%	88.8%	90.9%	0.98×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	84.1%	81.0%	81.4%	1.00×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	75.9%	78.2%	78.8%	0.99×	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	64.5%	61.6%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.5%	57.7%	59.6%	0.97×	1.73
Over 3.5 goals	42.5%	42.3%	40.4%	1.05×	2.37
Under 2.5 goals	35.5%	38.4%	37.8%	1.01×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	24.2%	21.8%	21.2%	1.03×	4.59
Under 1.5 goals	15.9%	19.0%	18.6%	1.02×	5.27
Over 5.5 goals	12.0%	11.2%	9.1%	1.24×	8.91
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.4%	4.8%	0.90×	22.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.8%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.4%	88.1%	89.7%	0.98×	1.14
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.2%	80.6%	77.0%	1.05×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.4%	72.0%	73.7%	0.98×	1.39
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.5%	53.2%	51.7%	1.03×	1.88
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.5%	46.8%	48.3%	0.97×	2.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.6%	28.0%	26.3%	1.07×	3.57
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.8%	19.4%	23.0%	0.84×	5.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.6%	11.9%	10.3%	1.16×	8.38
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.2%	3.4%	2.11×	13.83

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.0%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves	76.2%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Almere City not to score in both halves	62.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Almere City to score in both halves	37.7%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
FC Dordrecht to score in both halves	23.8%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.6%	58.3%	58.7%	0.99×	1.72
Only Almere City scores	22.4%	22.8%	13.9%	1.64×	4.38
Only FC Dordrecht scores	10.7%	10.8%	22.8%	0.47×	9.29
Neither team scores	3.3%	3.9%	4.8%	0.80×	25.86

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	21.5%	21.8%	0.99×	4.64
Exactly 2 goals	19.6%	18.6%	19.4%	0.96×	5.38
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	18.6%	19.4%	0.96×	5.38
Exactly 1 goals	12.6%	12.4%	13.9%	0.89×	8.09
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.4%	12.3%	1.01×	8.09
6 or more goals	12.0%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.09
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	4.8%	0.90×	22.96

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
1 goal in 2nd half	27.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 2nd half	14.1%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win both halves	94.0%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
Almere City not to win both halves	83.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Almere City to win both halves	16.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.85
FC Dordrecht to win both halves	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win either half	65.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
FC Dordrecht to win neither half	57.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
FC Dordrecht to win either half	43.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
Almere City to win neither half	34.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win to nil	89.3%	88.3%	77.2%	1.14×	1.13
Almere City not to win to nil	77.6%	77.2%	86.1%	0.90×	1.30
Almere City to win to nil	22.4%	22.8%	13.9%	1.64×	4.38
FC Dordrecht to win to nil	10.7%	11.7%	22.8%	0.51×	8.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City by 1	22.1%	23.7%	18.1%	1.31×	4.21
Draw	21.3%	23.7%	22.3%	1.06×	4.22
Almere City by 2	15.6%	17.0%	8.8%	1.92×	5.90
FC Dordrecht by 1	15.4%	17.0%	20.1%	0.84×	5.90
Almere City by 3+	14.2%	11.9%	6.7%	1.77×	8.42
FC Dordrecht by 2	7.5%	7.1%	12.7%	0.56×	14.10
FC Dordrecht by 3+	3.9%	2.8%	11.9%	0.24×	35.21