FC Dordrecht v FC Den Bosch — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 18 December 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627
NED-Eerste Divisie
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 9.8%
- 2-1 8.7%
- 1-2 7.9%
- 1-0 6.9%
- 2-2 6.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 63.2% | Under 2.5 | 36.8% |
| BTTS yes | 64.2% | BTTS no | 35.8% |
| FC Dordrecht 1+ | 81.7% | FC Dordrecht 2+ | 50.6% |
| FC Den Bosch 1+ | 79.0% | FC Den Bosch 2+ | 46.2% |
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.56. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out FC Dordrecht.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
FC Dordrecht have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for FC Den Bosch and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for FC Dordrecht and 1.56 for FC Den Bosch.
Why FC Dordrecht
Nothing in the data singles out FC Dordrecht.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.70 to 1.56. Draws run at 22% in this competition.
Why FC Den Bosch can win
Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Den Bosch: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
FC Dordrecht are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.70–1.56 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.96–1.51 | 2-1 9% | 67% | 67% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to win | 48.4% | 47.4% | 44.5% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| FC Den Bosch to win | 30.3% | 30.4% | 33.5% | 0.91× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 21.2% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 1.11× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht & both teams score | 29.2% | 25.2% | 22.0% | 1.15× | 3.97 |
| FC Dordrecht & not both score | 19.2% | 18.0% | 22.6% | 0.80× | 5.56 |
| FC Den Bosch & both teams score | 19.0% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 0.91× | 5.56 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.03× | 5.56 |
| FC Den Bosch & not both score | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 0.95× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.01× | 20.61 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht & over 1.5 | 42.0% | 40.2% | 37.0% | 1.09× | 2.49 |
| FC Dordrecht & over 2.5 | 36.1% | 34.9% | 30.8% | 1.13× | 2.87 |
| FC Dordrecht & under 3.5 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 25.7% | 1.01× | 3.84 |
| FC Den Bosch & over 1.5 | 25.3% | 26.1% | 27.4% | 0.95× | 3.84 |
| FC Dordrecht & over 3.5 | 23.2% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 1.14× | 4.63 |
| FC Den Bosch & over 2.5 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 23.7% | 0.91× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.03× | 5.56 |
| FC Den Bosch & under 3.5 | 17.4% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 0.91× | 5.56 |
| FC Dordrecht & under 2.5 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 0.93× | 7.79 |
| FC Den Bosch & over 3.5 | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 0.92× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 0.91× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 0.91× | 7.79 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 0.98× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 0.98× | 12.63 |
| FC Den Bosch & under 2.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.80× | 12.63 |
| FC Dordrecht & under 1.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 1.04× | 12.63 |
| FC Den Bosch & under 1.5 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.26× | 12.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.00× | 20.82 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (1UP) | 66.3% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| FC Den Bosch (1UP) | 51.3% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (2UP) | 48.4% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| FC Den Bosch (2UP) | 30.3% | 30.3% | — | — | 3.30 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half | 40.3% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| 2nd half drawn | 30.2% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half | 29.5% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 2nd half | 76.9% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 2nd half | 59.7% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 2nd half | 40.3% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 2nd half | 23.1% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.74 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half | 69.3% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half | 67.2% | 70.6% | — | — | 1.42 |
| FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half | 32.8% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half | 30.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (+2.5) | 87.2% | 88.5% | 88.2% | 1.00× | 1.13 |
| FC Den Bosch (+1.5) | 72.7% | 73.7% | 75.6% | 0.97× | 1.36 |
| FC Dordrecht (+0.5) | 69.7% | 68.7% | 66.5% | 1.03× | 1.46 |
| FC Den Bosch (+0.5) | 51.6% | 52.4% | 55.5% | 0.94× | 1.91 |
| FC Dordrecht (-0.5) | 48.4% | 47.6% | 44.5% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| FC Den Bosch (-0.5) | 30.3% | 31.3% | 33.5% | 0.93× | 3.19 |
| FC Dordrecht (-1.5) | 27.3% | 26.3% | 24.4% | 1.08× | 3.80 |
| FC Dordrecht (-2.5) | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 0.98× | 8.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to concede | 85.9% | 86.3% | 81.3% | 1.06× | 1.16 |
| FC Den Bosch clean sheet | 14.1% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 0.74× | 7.28 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half | 56.9% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.75 |
| FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half | 43.1% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.33 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to concede in 2nd half | 67.2% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 2nd half | 32.8% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners | 83.4% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners | 73.7% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners | 69.4% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners | 61.3% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners | 53.7% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners | 46.3% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners | 38.7% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners | 30.6% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners | 26.3% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners | 16.6% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals | 93.3% | 92.3% | 93.0% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals | 80.5% | 81.4% | 81.5% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals | 78.0% | 76.3% | 72.7% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals | 55.3% | 59.4% | 58.0% | 1.02× | 1.68 |
| FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals | 44.7% | 40.6% | 42.0% | 0.97× | 2.46 |
| FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals | 22.0% | 23.7% | 27.3% | 0.87× | 4.21 |
| FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals | 19.5% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 1.00× | 5.39 |
| FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 1.09× | 13.06 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half | 87.6% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half | 54.6% | 55.8% | — | — | 1.79 |
| FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half | 45.4% | 44.2% | — | — | 2.26 |
| FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.4% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.24 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch scores more in 2nd half | 40.9% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
| FC Den Bosch scores equally in both | 35.9% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| FC Den Bosch scores more in 1st half | 23.3% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.52 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (away no bet) | 69.5% | 66.5% | 66.8% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 30.5% | 33.6% | 33.2% | 1.01× | 2.98 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch even goals | 52.4% | 52.6% | 57.0% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| FC Den Bosch odd goals | 47.6% | 47.4% | 43.0% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 74.5% | 76.9% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 25.5% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.33 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 76.8% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 23.2% | 27.6% | — | — | 3.62 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 68.2% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row | 47.1% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row | 32.5% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.43 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 28.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row | 19.4% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.14 |
| FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row | 10.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5) | 90.0% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5) | 84.9% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5) | 78.2% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5) | 68.6% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5) | 59.4% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5) | 50.6% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5) | 49.4% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5) | 40.6% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5) | 31.4% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5) | 21.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5) | 15.1% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5) | 10.0% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 48.8% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.5% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
| 0-8 corners | 22.7% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 84.9% | 80.7% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 77.3% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 68.4% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 60.6% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 58.7% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 51.2% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 48.8% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 41.3% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 39.4% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 31.6% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 22.7% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 15.1% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 0.78× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.51 |
| 1-2 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 0.99× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.12× | 13.51 |
| Any other score | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.59× | 13.51 |
| 0-1 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.18× | 13.51 |
| 1-0 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 0.97× | 13.51 |
| 2-0 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.18× | 13.51 |
| 3-1 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.51× | 13.51 |
| 0-0 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.36× | 58.30 |
| 0-2 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.30 |
| 0-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.66× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.32 |
| 1-3 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.47× | 58.30 |
| 1-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.78× | 58.31 |
| 2-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.30 |
| 2-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.16× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.30 |
| 3-2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.40× | 58.29 |
| 3-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.07× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.40× | 58.31 |
| 4-0 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.27× | 58.30 |
| 4-2 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.16× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.49× | 58.31 |
| 4-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.96× | 58.32 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (2nd half DNB) | 57.7% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| FC Den Bosch (2nd half DNB) | 42.3% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB) | 61.1% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.53 |
| FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB) | 38.9% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or FC Den Bosch (12) | 78.8% | 75.6% | 77.9% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| FC Dordrecht or draw (1X) | 69.7% | 69.6% | 66.5% | 1.05× | 1.44 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw (X2) | 51.6% | 52.6% | 55.5% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or draw at HT | 75.5% | 79.2% | — | — | 1.26 |
| FC Dordrecht or FC Den Bosch at HT | 63.0% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw at HT | 61.5% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP) | 69.7% | 76.4% | — | — | 1.31 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP) | 51.6% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half | 70.5% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| FC Dordrecht or FC Den Bosch in 2nd half | 69.8% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half | 59.7% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 56.4% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Neither half drawn | 43.6% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (DNB) | 61.5% | 62.7% | 57.0% | 1.10× | 1.60 |
| FC Den Bosch (DNB) | 38.5% | 37.3% | 43.0% | 0.87× | 2.68 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to score first | 54.8% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| FC Den Bosch to score first | 42.4% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 2.8% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.50 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 66.7% | 58.4% | 58.8% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Not both teams to score | 33.3% | 41.6% | 41.2% | 1.01× | 2.41 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 57.8% | 47.6% | 49.5% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 23.7% | 27.8% | 28.3% | 0.98× | 3.60 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.6% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 0.64× | 12.06 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 0.88× | 12.06 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 74.0% | 80.6% | 79.0% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 26.0% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 0.92× | 5.16 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 60.0% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 40.0% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 44.6% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 29.6% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.67 |
| Both score 1st half only | 15.4% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| Both score in both halves | 10.4% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 74.2% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 25.8% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.91 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 66.2% | 66.0% | — | — | 1.52 |
| A half without a goal | 33.8% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 40.1% | 42.1% | 41.0% | 1.03× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 39.4% | 35.1% | 37.6% | 0.94× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 14.2% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 0.92× | 5.91 |
| 7+ goals | 6.3% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.38× | 13.15 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1 | 33.3% | 33.8% | 30.8% | 1.10× | 2.96 |
| FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2 | 25.2% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 1.16× | 3.66 |
| FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0 | 22.0% | 22.3% | 27.3% | 0.82× | 4.49 |
| FC Den Bosch to score 3+ | 19.5% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 1.06× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to score 3+ | 31.2% | 32.5% | 25.6% | 1.27× | 3.07 |
| FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1 | 27.7% | 26.5% | 30.2% | 0.88× | 3.77 |
| FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2 | 27.1% | 26.5% | 25.8% | 1.03× | 3.77 |
| FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0 | 14.1% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 0.77× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht leading at HT | 38.5% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Draw at HT | 37.0% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| FC Den Bosch leading at HT | 24.5% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.80 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht -1: 2 | 51.6% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| FC Dordrecht -1: 1 | 27.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| FC Dordrecht -1: X | 21.1% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:1) | 51.6% | 51.3% | 55.5% | 0.92× | 1.95 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:1) | 27.3% | 27.0% | 24.4% | 1.11× | 3.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.1% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 1.20× | 4.13 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:2) | 72.7% | 75.7% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| Draw (0:2) | 14.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 0.86× | 9.09 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:2) | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 0.93× | 9.10 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:3) | 87.2% | 90.6% | 88.2% | 1.03× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.03× | 17.20 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:3) | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 0.93× | 17.25 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:4) | 95.0% | 94.6% | 93.7% | 1.01× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.3% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 0.28× | 81.73 |
| FC Dordrecht (0:4) | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.58× | 81.92 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (1:0) | 69.7% | 70.2% | 66.5% | 1.06× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 16.4% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 0.94× | 5.85 |
| FC Den Bosch (1:0) | 13.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 0.82× | 7.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht (2:0) | 86.1% | 88.5% | 84.5% | 1.05× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 0.72× | 15.67 |
| FC Den Bosch (2:0) | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 0.94× | 15.71 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 51.2% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.7% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Halves equal | 21.0% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to concede | 78.0% | 76.1% | 72.7% | 1.05× | 1.31 |
| FC Dordrecht clean sheet | 22.0% | 23.9% | 27.3% | 0.88× | 4.18 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half | 54.6% | 55.8% | — | — | 1.79 |
| FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half | 45.4% | 44.2% | — | — | 2.26 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to concede in 2nd half | 59.7% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 2nd half | 40.3% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners | 92.8% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners | 84.6% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners | 73.6% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners | 60.8% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners | 52.2% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners | 47.8% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners | 39.2% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners | 26.4% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.55 |
| FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners | 15.4% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
| FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners | 7.2% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.29 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals | 86.5% | 87.3% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals | 85.9% | 87.2% | 81.3% | 1.07× | 1.15 |
| FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 68.0% | 74.4% | 0.91× | 1.47 |
| FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals | 58.2% | 58.6% | 51.2% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals | 41.8% | 41.4% | 48.8% | 0.85× | 2.42 |
| FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals | 31.2% | 32.0% | 25.6% | 1.25× | 3.12 |
| FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals | 14.1% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 0.68× | 7.84 |
| FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 1.27× | 7.85 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half | 79.4% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.30 |
| FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half | 56.9% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half | 43.1% | 43.3% | — | — | 2.31 |
| FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half | 20.6% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.37 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht scores more in 2nd half | 41.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| FC Dordrecht scores equally in both | 30.9% | 33.1% | — | — | 3.02 |
| FC Dordrecht scores more in 1st half | 27.4% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (home no bet) | 58.8% | 56.5% | 60.3% | 0.94× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 41.2% | 43.6% | 39.7% | 1.10× | 2.30 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht even goals | 51.0% | 50.7% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| FC Dordrecht odd goals | 49.0% | 49.3% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 23.5% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.36 |
| HT 0-1 | 14.3% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.9% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
| HT 2-0 | 8.3% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.46 |
| Any other HT score | 7.6% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.47 |
| HT 2-1 | 5.0% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.51 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.3% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.01 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.06 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.5% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.20 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT | 30.0% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT | 16.4% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT | 15.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT | 11.1% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.91 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 10.8% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.91 |
| FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT | 5.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.66 |
| FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.61 |
| FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT | 3.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.67 |
| FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.68 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to score last | 54.8% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| FC Den Bosch to score last | 42.4% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 2.8% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.50 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 97.2% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time | 66.3% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 57.0% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time | 51.3% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time | 36.0% | 34.6% | — | — | 2.89 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 23.9% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.08 |
| FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time | 21.6% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time | 16.3% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.71 |
| FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time | 7.6% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.91 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht most corners | 60.6% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| FC Den Bosch most corners | 30.1% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 9.4% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.96 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 83.4% | 83.4% | 86.4% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 79.5% | 78.7% | 78.5% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.9% | 72.4% | 72.7% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 70.3% | 72.4% | 74.1% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| 3-6 goals | 61.1% | 63.3% | 59.3% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 58.9% | 59.1% | 60.4% | 0.98× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 53.5% | 53.2% | 53.6% | 0.99× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 51.5% | 53.2% | 54.7% | 0.97× | 1.88 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.5% | 43.6% | 41.3% | 1.06× | 2.30 |
| 2-3 goals | 40.1% | 43.6% | 41.0% | 1.06× | 2.30 |
| 4-6 goals | 39.4% | 39.2% | 37.6% | 1.04× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 31.9% | 35.2% | 31.8% | 1.11× | 2.84 |
| 1-2 goals | 29.8% | 30.2% | 32.9% | 0.92× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 20.6% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 1.35× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 6.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 2.78× | 11.27 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht never behind | 45.9% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| FC Den Bosch never behind | 31.0% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.4% | 50.9% | 49.6% | 1.03× | 1.96 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.6% | 49.1% | 50.4% | 0.97× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.7% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.3% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.7% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.3% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97.2% | 95.4% | 95.2% | 1.00× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 86.2% | 87.6% | 91.0% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% | 87.6% | 81.6% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 73.1% | 72.5% | 78.7% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.4% | 66.3% | 62.4% | 1.06× | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54.3% | 52.5% | 59.3% | 0.89× | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.7% | 47.5% | 40.7% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.6% | 33.7% | 37.6% | 0.90× | 2.97 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26.9% | 27.5% | 21.3% | 1.30× | 3.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14.2% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 0.67× | 8.06 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 1.38× | 8.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.95× | 21.88 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 93.2% | 92.4% | 96.6% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 84.1% | 81.1% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 82.6% | 81.1% | 77.2% | 1.05× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 66.9% | 67.4% | 73.6% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 58.3% | 55.8% | 52.0% | 1.07× | 1.79 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 41.7% | 44.2% | 48.0% | 0.92× | 2.26 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 33.1% | 32.6% | 26.4% | 1.23× | 3.07 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 17.4% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 0.83× | 5.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 15.9% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 1.85× | 5.30 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 6.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.24× | 13.16 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 82.2% | 85.8% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 76.5% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 57.6% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 42.4% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 23.5% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 17.8% | 14.2% | — | — | 7.03 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 86.9% | 85.5% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 67.0% | 68.8% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 59.9% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 40.1% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 33.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 13.1% | 14.5% | — | — | 6.88 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves | 72.9% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves | 61.8% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
| FC Dordrecht to score in both halves | 38.2% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| FC Den Bosch to score in both halves | 27.1% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 66.7% | 59.9% | 58.8% | 1.02× | 1.67 |
| Only FC Dordrecht scores | 19.2% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 0.71× | 6.24 |
| Only FC Den Bosch scores | 11.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 0.79× | 9.07 |
| Neither team scores | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.96× | 21.74 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.7% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 1.03× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.8% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 0.89× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 18.4% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 0.91× | 5.73 |
| 6 or more goals | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 1.35× | 8.24 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 0.98× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 0.88× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.93× | 22.40 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 34.2% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.79 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 24.6% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.65 |
| No goals in 1st half | 23.5% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.66 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 17.8% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.38 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 59.9% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 27.0% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.43 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 13.1% | 14.3% | — | — | 6.97 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch not to win both halves | 92.8% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| FC Dordrecht not to win both halves | 84.6% | 83.9% | — | — | 1.19 |
| FC Dordrecht to win both halves | 15.4% | 16.1% | — | — | 6.22 |
| FC Den Bosch to win both halves | 7.2% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.00 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dordrecht to win either half | 63.3% | 65.1% | — | — | 1.54 |
| FC Den Bosch to win neither half | 53.2% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| FC Den Bosch to win either half | 46.8% | 45.7% | — | — | 2.19 |
| FC Dordrecht to win neither half | 36.7% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch not to win to nil | 88.7% | 88.1% | 86.0% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| FC Dordrecht not to win to nil | 80.8% | 83.1% | 77.4% | 1.07× | 1.20 |
| FC Dordrecht to win to nil | 19.2% | 16.9% | 22.6% | 0.75× | 5.91 |
| FC Den Bosch to win to nil | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 0.85× | 8.42 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 1.09× | 4.15 |
| FC Dordrecht by 1 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 1.20× | 4.15 |
| FC Den Bosch by 1 | 16.4% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.94× | 5.87 |
| FC Dordrecht by 2 | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 0.92× | 8.50 |
| FC Dordrecht by 3+ | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 1.00× | 8.51 |
| FC Den Bosch by 2 | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 0.81× | 13.90 |
| FC Den Bosch by 3+ | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 1.06× | 13.92 |