FC Dordrecht v FC Emmen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 9 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

FC Dordrecht

18:00 UTC

FC Emmen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 812h before kick-off

FC Dordrecht win

43.1%

model 44.8%

Draw

23.9%

model 22.9%

FC Emmen win

33.0%

model 32.3%

432433

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
2-1 9.1%
1-0 8.7%
1-2 7.5%
0-1 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.8%	Under 2.5	42.2%
BTTS yes	59.5%	BTTS no	40.5%
FC Dordrecht 1+	80.7%	FC Dordrecht 2+	49.0%
FC Emmen 1+	74.3%	FC Emmen 2+	39.4%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Dordrecht.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Dordrecht have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for FC Emmen and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for FC Dordrecht and 1.36 for FC Emmen.

Why FC Dordrecht

Nothing in the data singles out FC Dordrecht.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Emmen can win

FC Emmen carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1394. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Emmen, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Emmen: 50% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Dordrecht are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	482329	1.73–1.29	1-1 11%	58%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to win	48.3%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11
FC Emmen to win	28.8%	27.9%	33.4%	0.83×	3.59
Draw	22.9%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.08

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht & both teams score	25.2%	25.1%	21.7%	1.16×	3.98
FC Dordrecht & not both score	23.1%	21.8%	22.8%	0.96×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	17.6%	1.02×	5.58
FC Emmen & both teams score	15.7%	17.9%	19.6%	0.91×	5.58
FC Emmen & not both score	13.2%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	4.8%	1.02×	20.33

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht & over 1.5	39.5%	34.9%	36.8%	0.95×	2.87
FC Dordrecht & over 2.5	32.1%	30.8%	30.6%	1.01×	3.24
FC Dordrecht & under 3.5	29.9%	26.0%	25.8%	1.01×	3.84
FC Emmen & over 1.5	22.2%	21.6%	27.2%	0.79×	4.63
FC Emmen & under 3.5	19.4%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
FC Emmen & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
FC Dordrecht & over 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
FC Dordrecht & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	14.3%	1.26×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	14.3%	1.26×	5.56
FC Emmen & under 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	9.9%	1.30×	7.76
FC Emmen & over 3.5	9.4%	7.9%	13.8%	0.57×	12.65
FC Dordrecht & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.2%	0.97×	12.65
FC Emmen & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	4.8%	0.99×	20.85

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (1UP)	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
FC Emmen (1UP)	47.8%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (2UP)	48.3%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
FC Emmen (2UP)	28.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half	39.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	32.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
FC Emmen to win 2nd half	27.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (+2.5)	88.8%	88.6%	88.1%	1.01×	1.13
FC Emmen (+1.5)	74.2%	73.8%	75.6%	0.98×	1.36
FC Dordrecht (+0.5)	71.2%	73.7%	66.6%	1.11×	1.36
FC Emmen (+0.5)	51.7%	52.4%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
FC Dordrecht (-0.5)	48.3%	47.6%	44.4%	1.07×	2.10
FC Emmen (-0.5)	28.8%	26.3%	33.4%	0.79×	3.81
FC Dordrecht (-1.5)	25.8%	26.2%	24.4%	1.07×	3.81
FC Dordrecht (-2.5)	11.2%	11.4%	11.9%	0.96×	8.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to concede	82.3%	81.3%	81.4%	1.00×	1.23
FC Emmen clean sheet	17.7%	18.7%	18.6%	1.00×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen clean sheet in 1st half	47.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Emmen to concede in 1st half	52.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen over 2.5 corners	83.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Emmen under 6.5 corners	74.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Emmen over 3.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Emmen under 5.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Emmen over 4.5 corners	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Emmen under 4.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Emmen over 5.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Emmen under 3.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
FC Emmen over 6.5 corners	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Emmen under 2.5 corners	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
FC Emmen under 2.5 goals	86.1%	87.8%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
FC Emmen over 0.5 goals	72.3%	71.9%	72.5%	0.99×	1.39
FC Emmen under 1.5 goals	63.2%	63.1%	58.2%	1.08×	1.59
FC Emmen over 1.5 goals	36.8%	36.9%	41.8%	0.88×	2.71
FC Emmen under 0.5 goals	27.7%	28.1%	27.5%	1.02×	3.55
FC Emmen over 2.5 goals	13.9%	12.2%	18.5%	0.66×	8.23
FC Emmen over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	6.9%	0.36×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 1.5 in 1st half	90.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Emmen under 0.5 in 1st half	59.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
FC Emmen over 0.5 in 1st half	40.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Emmen over 1.5 in 1st half	9.4%	5.9%	—	—	16.97

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (away no bet)	67.9%	66.4%	66.5%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.1%	33.6%	33.5%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen even goals	53.8%	52.8%	57.1%	0.93×	1.89
FC Emmen odd goals	46.2%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.2%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.8%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.1%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Emmen to score 2+ in a row	26.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row	16.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
FC Emmen to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.73

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5)	87.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Emmen corners (+3.5)	76.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Emmen corners (+2.5)	68.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Emmen corners (+1.5)	58.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5)	41.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5)	31.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
FC Emmen corners (-1.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5)	23.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Emmen corners (-2.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
FC Emmen corners (-3.5)	13.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	60.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	39.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.5%	11.4%	9.6%	1.20×	8.74
1-0	8.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.50
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.50
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.50
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.50
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.50
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.50
3-1	5.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.50
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.29
0-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.32
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.26×	58.31
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.46×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.82×	58.32
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.30

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB)	62.0%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
FC Emmen leading at HT (DNB)	38.0%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or FC Emmen (12)	77.1%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.33
FC Dordrecht or draw (1X)	71.2%	72.1%	66.6%	1.08×	1.39
FC Emmen or draw (X2)	51.7%	52.6%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or draw at HT	77.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Emmen or draw at HT	62.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Dordrecht or FC Emmen at HT	59.8%	57.0%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP)	71.2%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
FC Emmen or draw (1UP)	51.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half	72.4%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
FC Dordrecht or FC Emmen in 2nd half	67.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
FC Emmen or draw in 2nd half	60.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	39.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (DNB)	62.6%	62.8%	57.1%	1.10×	1.59
FC Emmen (DNB)	37.4%	37.2%	42.9%	0.87×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score first	54.8%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
FC Emmen to score first	40.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.2%	54.9%	58.7%	0.94×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.8%	45.1%	41.3%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.6%	44.2%	49.3%	0.90×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.4%	34.4%	28.4%	1.21×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.0%	82.8%	79.0%	1.05×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.0%	17.2%	21.0%	0.82×	5.82

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.5%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	7.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	41.1%	1.02×	2.38
4-6 goals	32.2%	30.7%	37.3%	0.82×	3.25
0-1 goals	20.0%	22.8%	18.6%	1.23×	4.39
7+ goals	3.4%	1.8%	3.2%	0.57×	54.54

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to score exactly 1	35.6%	36.0%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
FC Emmen to score exactly 0	27.7%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
FC Emmen to score exactly 2	22.8%	22.4%	23.4%	0.95×	4.47
FC Emmen to score 3+	13.9%	12.9%	18.5%	0.70×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1	30.6%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.07
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
FC Dordrecht to score 3+	25.1%	26.5%	25.4%	1.04×	3.78
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0	17.7%	18.9%	18.6%	1.02×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.2%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
FC Dordrecht leading at HT	37.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
FC Emmen leading at HT	22.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht -1: 2	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
FC Dordrecht -1: 1	25.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
FC Dordrecht -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (0:1)	51.7%	51.2%	55.6%	0.92×	1.95
FC Dordrecht (0:1)	25.8%	27.0%	24.4%	1.11×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	24.3%	20.1%	1.21×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (0:2)	74.2%	75.8%	75.6%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.6%	10.9%	12.7%	0.86×	9.15
FC Dordrecht (0:2)	11.2%	10.9%	11.9%	0.92×	9.17

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (0:3)	88.8%	90.9%	88.1%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	5.7%	1.01×	17.28
FC Dordrecht (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (0:4)	95.9%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	83.42
FC Dordrecht (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (1:0)	71.2%	72.5%	66.6%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.8%	17.0%	18.1%	0.94×	5.89
FC Emmen (1:0)	12.1%	12.8%	15.4%	0.83×	7.83

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (2:0)	87.9%	88.4%	84.6%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.0%	6.5%	8.8%	0.73×	15.49
FC Emmen (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	6.7%	0.34×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede	72.3%	73.1%	72.5%	1.01×	1.37
FC Dordrecht clean sheet	27.7%	26.9%	27.5%	0.98×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half	59.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half	40.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners	88.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners	63.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners	50.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners	49.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners	36.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners	35.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners	11.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals	90.2%	92.2%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals	82.3%	82.1%	81.4%	1.01×	1.22
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals	74.9%	74.3%	74.6%	1.00×	1.35
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals	51.7%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals	48.3%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals	25.1%	25.7%	25.4%	1.01×	3.88
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals	17.7%	17.9%	18.6%	0.96×	5.58
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals	9.8%	7.8%	10.2%	0.76×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	82.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	47.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	52.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	17.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (home no bet)	55.8%	56.6%	59.9%	0.94×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.2%	43.4%	40.1%	1.08×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht even goals	51.6%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
FC Dordrecht odd goals	48.4%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	10.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.63

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	29.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
FC Emmen at HT / FC Emmen at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Emmen at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
FC Emmen at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
FC Emmen at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Emmen at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score last	54.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Emmen to score last	40.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time	64.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Emmen to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time	33.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
FC Emmen to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
FC Emmen to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht most corners	52.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
FC Emmen most corners	37.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	86.2%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	76.7%	78.6%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.6%	78.6%	78.3%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.4%	72.4%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.8%	59.1%	54.8%	1.08×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.6%	53.2%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.5%	48.6%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	41.1%	0.95×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.4%	39.2%	33.1%	1.18×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.2%	35.3%	37.3%	0.95×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.1%	30.3%	31.5%	0.96×	3.30
5-6 goals	15.3%	18.7%	18.1%	1.03×	5.34
7+ goals	3.4%	2.6%	3.2%	0.79×	39.08

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht never behind	47.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
FC Emmen never behind	31.1%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.02×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	50.4%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.4%	92.2%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.2%	82.3%	78.8%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.0%	77.4%	81.4%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	64.3%	61.7%	59.6%	1.04×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.1%	58.7%	62.2%	0.94×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.9%	41.3%	37.8%	1.09×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.7%	38.3%	40.4%	0.95×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	20.0%	22.6%	18.6%	1.22×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	18.8%	17.7%	21.2%	0.83×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.6%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.87
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	4.8%	0.94×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.5%	92.4%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.4%	75.9%	73.7%	1.03×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.4%	72.5%	77.0%	0.94×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.1%	52.0%	48.3%	1.07×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.9%	48.0%	51.7%	0.93×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.6%	27.5%	23.0%	1.19×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.6%	24.1%	26.3%	0.92×	4.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.5%	7.6%	10.3%	0.74×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	3.4%	0.82×	35.82

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.07

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen not to score in both halves	78.4%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves	67.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
FC Dordrecht to score in both halves	32.9%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
FC Emmen to score in both halves	21.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.2%	58.5%	58.7%	1.00×	1.71
Only FC Dordrecht scores	23.1%	22.3%	22.8%	0.98×	4.49
Only FC Emmen scores	13.2%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.10
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.7%	4.8%	0.97×	21.41

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.8%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.4%	19.4%	0.90×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.5%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.28
6 or more goals	8.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	4.8%	0.92×	22.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.4%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
No goals in 2nd half	17.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen not to win both halves	93.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
FC Dordrecht not to win both halves	85.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
FC Dordrecht to win both halves	14.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
FC Emmen to win both halves	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to win either half	62.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
FC Emmen to win neither half	55.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
FC Emmen to win either half	44.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
FC Dordrecht to win neither half	38.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen not to win to nil	86.8%	88.1%	86.1%	1.02×	1.13
FC Dordrecht not to win to nil	76.9%	78.1%	77.2%	1.01×	1.28
FC Dordrecht to win to nil	23.1%	21.9%	22.8%	0.96×	4.56
FC Emmen to win to nil	13.2%	11.9%	13.9%	0.85×	8.44

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.9%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
FC Dordrecht by 1	22.5%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
FC Emmen by 1	16.8%	16.9%	18.1%	0.93×	5.91
FC Dordrecht by 2	14.6%	11.8%	12.7%	0.93×	8.49
FC Dordrecht by 3+	11.2%	11.8%	11.9%	0.99×	8.50
FC Emmen by 2	8.0%	7.2%	8.8%	0.82×	13.81
FC Emmen by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	6.7%	0.41×	36.63