FC Eindhoven v FC Dordrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

FC Eindhoven

2–1

18:00 UTC

FC Dordrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 6h before kick-off

FC Eindhoven win

40.4%

model 41.3%

Draw

23.0%

model 23.5%

FC Dordrecht win

36.6%

model 35.3%

402337

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,406 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.8%
2-1 8.8%
1-0 8.1%
1-2 8.0%
0-1 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.9%	Under 2.5	42.1%
BTTS yes	60.1%	BTTS no	39.9%
FC Eindhoven 1+	79.3%	FC Eindhoven 2+	46.7%
FC Dordrecht 1+	76.2%	FC Dordrecht 2+	42.1%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

FC Eindhoven to concede

Home clean sheet · usually 73%

77.1% fair odds 1.30

moderate signal · 3624 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Eindhoven (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 85%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4439 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Eindhoven.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Eindhoven have an estimated 40.4% win probability, against 36.6% for FC Dordrecht and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.57 for FC Eindhoven and 1.44 for FC Dordrecht.

Why FC Eindhoven

Nothing in the data singles out FC Eindhoven.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.57 to 1.44. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Dordrecht can win

FC Dordrecht carry the stronger rating, 1394 Elo against 1352. They have had 14 days' rest to FC Eindhoven's 4.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Eindhoven: 46% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

FC Eindhoven are the model's most likely outcome at 40.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	412335	1.58–1.44	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
ai-blend-oos	412435	1.50–1.36	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
dc-xg	412336	1.61–1.52	1-1 10%	60%	62%	Home ✓
dc-xg-oos	412237	1.65–1.55	1-1 10%	62%	63%	Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win	40.5%	42.9%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
FC Dordrecht to win	36.5%	36.2%	33.4%	1.08×	2.76
Draw	23.0%	24.6%	22.3%	1.10×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	22.6%	21.8%	21.7%	1.00×	4.59
FC Dordrecht & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	19.6%	1.11×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.55
FC Eindhoven & not both score	17.9%	18.0%	22.8%	0.79×	5.55
FC Dordrecht & not both score	16.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.55
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	4.8%	1.02×	20.35

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	33.1%	31.0%	36.8%	0.84×	3.22
FC Dordrecht & over 1.5	29.5%	25.9%	27.2%	0.96×	3.85
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	27.4%	25.9%	30.6%	0.85×	3.85
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	24.8%	21.6%	25.8%	0.84×	4.63
FC Dordrecht & over 2.5	24.4%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
FC Dordrecht & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	19.7%	1.10×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.57
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	14.3%	0.90×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	14.4%	12.9%	14.3%	0.90×	7.78
FC Dordrecht & over 3.5	13.7%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.78
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	13.1%	12.9%	13.9%	0.93×	7.78
FC Dordrecht & under 2.5	12.1%	12.9%	9.9%	1.30×	7.78
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	7.4%	8.0%	7.7%	1.03×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	8.0%	8.2%	0.97×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	8.0%	8.2%	0.97×	12.57
FC Dordrecht & under 1.5	7.0%	8.0%	6.3%	1.26×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.9%	4.8%	1.00×	20.58

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	58.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
FC Dordrecht (1UP)	55.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	40.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
FC Dordrecht (2UP)	36.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	34.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half	33.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
2nd half drawn	32.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.3%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (+2.5)	91.8%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
FC Dordrecht (+1.5)	79.9%	78.4%	75.6%	1.04×	1.28
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	63.5%	63.1%	66.6%	0.95×	1.59
FC Dordrecht (+0.5)	59.5%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.76
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	40.5%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.32
FC Dordrecht (-0.5)	36.5%	36.9%	33.4%	1.11×	2.71
FC Eindhoven (-1.5)	20.1%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.62
FC Eindhoven (-2.5)	8.2%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede	80.0%	78.8%	81.4%	0.97×	1.27
FC Dordrecht clean sheet	20.0%	21.2%	18.6%	1.14×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half	49.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half	50.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede in 2nd half	60.0%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	40.0%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners	88.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners	50.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners	49.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners	11.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.2%	93.1%	0.99×	1.09
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals	80.5%	81.2%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals	78.0%	76.1%	72.5%	1.05×	1.31
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals	55.3%	58.9%	58.2%	1.01×	1.70
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals	44.7%	41.1%	41.8%	0.98×	2.43
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals	22.0%	23.9%	27.5%	0.87×	4.19
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals	19.5%	18.8%	18.5%	1.01×	5.33
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.8%	6.9%	1.12×	12.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht scores more in 2nd half	40.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
FC Dordrecht scores equally in both	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Dordrecht scores more in 1st half	23.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (away no bet)	63.8%	62.0%	66.5%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.2%	38.0%	33.5%	1.14×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht even goals	52.4%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
FC Dordrecht odd goals	47.6%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.7%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.3%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.3%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	37.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row	34.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	13.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row	11.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5)	82.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5)	74.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	66.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5)	43.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5)	33.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5)	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	17.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	68.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	28.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.4%	9.6%	1.19×	8.80
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.53
0-1	7.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.53
1-0	7.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.53
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.53
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.53
0-2	5.0%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.53
2-0	5.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.53
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	57.66
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.67
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	57.67
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	57.66
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	57.67
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	57.66
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	57.67
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	57.66
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.66
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	57.66
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	57.67
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	57.68
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.50×	57.67
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	57.67
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	57.67
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	57.68
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.97×	57.68
Any other score	4.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.66

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	50.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
FC Dordrecht (2nd half DNB)	49.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	54.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB)	45.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or FC Dordrecht (12)	77.0%	75.4%	77.7%	0.97×	1.33
FC Eindhoven or draw (1X)	63.5%	63.8%	66.6%	0.96×	1.57
FC Dordrecht or draw (X2)	59.5%	57.1%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	72.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
FC Dordrecht or draw at HT	67.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
FC Eindhoven or FC Dordrecht at HT	60.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	63.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP)	59.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or FC Dordrecht in 2nd half	67.6%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	66.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	52.6%	50.0%	57.1%	0.88×	2.00
FC Dordrecht (DNB)	47.4%	50.0%	42.9%	1.16×	2.00

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score first	49.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
FC Dordrecht to score first	46.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.1%	56.6%	58.7%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.9%	43.4%	41.3%	1.05×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.7%	47.2%	49.3%	0.96×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.2%	33.4%	28.4%	1.17×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	9.6%	1.28×	8.16
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.4%	13.0%	0.64×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.6%	79.9%	79.0%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.4%	20.1%	21.0%	0.96×	4.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.3%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.8%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	27.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.4%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.8%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
A half without a goal	39.2%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	41.9%	41.1%	1.02×	2.39
4-6 goals	34.1%	30.9%	37.3%	0.83×	3.24
0-1 goals	18.5%	20.2%	18.6%	1.09×	4.95
7+ goals	4.0%	1.9%	3.2%	0.58×	53.82

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1	33.3%	33.7%	30.8%	1.09×	2.97
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2	25.2%	27.6%	23.4%	1.18×	3.63
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0	22.0%	22.5%	27.5%	0.82×	4.45
FC Dordrecht to score 3+	19.5%	19.5%	18.5%	1.06×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	32.2%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.06
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.2%	25.8%	1.01×	3.82
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	21.9%	23.3%	25.4%	0.92×	4.28
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	20.0%	23.3%	18.6%	1.25×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	32.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
FC Dordrecht leading at HT	27.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven -1: 2	59.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Eindhoven -1: X	20.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.23
FC Eindhoven -1: 1	20.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:1)	59.5%	55.7%	55.6%	1.00×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.4%	20.1%	1.21×	4.10
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	20.1%	24.4%	24.4%	1.00×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:2)	79.9%	79.6%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	10.8%	12.7%	0.86×	9.23
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	8.2%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:3)	91.8%	92.7%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.4%	5.9%	5.7%	1.03×	16.95
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.34

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.62
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	63.5%	65.3%	66.6%	0.98×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.2%	17.1%	18.1%	0.94×	5.85
FC Dordrecht (1:0)	17.3%	17.1%	15.4%	1.11×	5.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	82.7%	84.6%	84.6%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.4%	8.8%	1.18×	9.63
FC Dordrecht (2:0)	6.7%	6.5%	6.7%	0.98×	15.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	78.0%	76.3%	72.5%	1.05×	1.31
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	22.0%	23.7%	27.5%	0.86×	4.22

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	54.5%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	45.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	59.7%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	40.3%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	81.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	64.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	35.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	33.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	18.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	92.0%	92.1%	89.8%	1.03×	1.09
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	80.0%	77.4%	81.4%	0.95×	1.29
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	78.1%	77.4%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	52.2%	52.8%	48.9%	1.08×	1.90
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	47.8%	47.2%	51.1%	0.92×	2.12
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	21.9%	22.6%	25.4%	0.89×	4.43
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	20.0%	22.6%	18.6%	1.21×	4.43
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	8.0%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.70

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	84.7%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	49.9%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	50.1%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	15.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	39.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Eindhoven scores equally in both	34.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
FC Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	26.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (home no bet)	61.3%	59.9%	59.9%	1.00×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.7%	40.1%	40.1%	1.00×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	52.0%	50.4%	51.7%	0.97×	1.98
FC Eindhoven odd goals	48.0%	49.6%	48.3%	1.03×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	18.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	16.6%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	11.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.62

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.82

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score last	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
FC Dordrecht to score last	46.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	58.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time	55.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	27.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time	24.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht most corners	54.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
FC Eindhoven most corners	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	86.2%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.5%	78.3%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.3%	78.5%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.3%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.2%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.9%	59.3%	54.8%	1.08×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.4%	59.3%	59.1%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.7%	53.4%	53.2%	1.00×	1.87
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	41.1%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.3%	41.1%	0.96×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.5%	39.3%	33.1%	1.19×	2.55
4-6 goals	34.1%	35.3%	37.3%	0.95×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.4%	30.6%	31.5%	0.97×	3.27
5-6 goals	16.6%	18.8%	18.1%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.0%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	38.90

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven never behind	40.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
FC Dordrecht never behind	37.3%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	51.0%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.0%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	90.9%	1.01×	1.09
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	82.2%	81.4%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.4%	77.2%	78.8%	0.98×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	61.9%	62.0%	59.6%	1.04×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	60.4%	61.9%	62.2%	1.00×	1.61
Under 2.5 goals	39.6%	38.1%	37.8%	1.01×	2.63
Over 3.5 goals	38.1%	38.0%	40.4%	0.94×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	20.6%	22.8%	21.2%	1.07×	4.39
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.8%	18.6%	0.96×	5.61
Over 5.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.83
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.75

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.1%	86.6%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.6%	75.9%	77.0%	0.99×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.0%	75.9%	73.7%	1.03×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.0%	52.3%	48.3%	1.08×	1.91
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.0%	47.7%	51.7%	0.92×	2.10
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.0%	24.1%	26.3%	0.92×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.4%	24.1%	23.0%	1.05×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.9%	13.4%	10.3%	1.30×	7.48
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.9%	3.4%	0.83×	35.09

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.8%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.8%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.2%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.4%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.6%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves	72.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	70.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	30.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
FC Dordrecht to score in both halves	27.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.1%	60.3%	58.7%	1.03×	1.66
Only FC Eindhoven scores	17.9%	16.0%	22.8%	0.70×	6.25
Only FC Dordrecht scores	16.0%	16.0%	13.9%	1.15×	6.26
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.4%	21.8%	1.03×	4.46
Exactly 2 goals	21.1%	22.4%	19.4%	1.16×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.5%	19.4%	0.91×	5.70
Exactly 1 goals	14.4%	12.1%	13.9%	0.87×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	10.9%	12.0%	12.3%	0.98×	8.30
6 or more goals	9.7%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.85
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.23

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	27.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	14.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.6%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win both halves	90.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	88.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
FC Dordrecht to win both halves	9.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win either half	55.7%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
FC Dordrecht to win either half	51.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
FC Dordrecht to win neither half	48.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	44.3%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win to nil	84.0%	83.2%	86.1%	0.97×	1.20
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	82.1%	83.2%	77.2%	1.08×	1.20
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	17.9%	16.8%	22.8%	0.74×	5.94
FC Dordrecht to win to nil	16.0%	16.8%	13.9%	1.21×	5.94

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.0%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
FC Eindhoven by 1	20.4%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
FC Dordrecht by 1	19.2%	16.9%	18.1%	0.93×	5.92
FC Eindhoven by 2	12.0%	11.7%	12.7%	0.93×	8.53
FC Dordrecht by 2	10.6%	11.7%	8.8%	1.33×	8.53
FC Eindhoven by 3+	8.2%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.76
FC Dordrecht by 3+	6.7%	7.3%	6.7%	1.08×	13.77

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.