FC Eindhoven v FC Dordrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Eindhoven

14:00

FC Dordrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 130h before kick-off

FC Eindhoven win

39.0%

model 38.0%

Draw

22.0%

model 23.2%

FC Dordrecht win

39.1%

model 38.8%

392239

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%
0-1 8.1%
1-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.5%	Under 2.5	42.5%
BTTS yes	59.6%	BTTS no	40.4%
FC Eindhoven 1+	77.4%	FC Eindhoven 2+	43.7%
FC Dordrecht 1+	77.8%	FC Dordrecht 2+	44.4%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Dordrecht (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 76%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Dordrecht carry the stronger rating, 1394 Elo against 1351.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Dordrecht have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 39.0% for FC Eindhoven and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for FC Eindhoven and 1.50 for FC Dordrecht.

Why FC Eindhoven

Nothing in the data singles out FC Eindhoven.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.50. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Dordrecht can win

FC Dordrecht carry the stronger rating, 1394 Elo against 1351.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Eindhoven: 43% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Dordrecht are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382339	1.49–1.51	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	412237	1.66–1.55	1-1 10%	62%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win	41.0%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
FC Dordrecht to win	36.6%	36.4%	33.5%	1.09×	2.75
Draw	22.3%	24.4%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	23.4%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
FC Dordrecht & both teams score	21.1%	21.9%	19.7%	1.11×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
FC Eindhoven & not both score	17.6%	17.9%	22.9%	0.78×	5.58
FC Dordrecht & not both score	15.6%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.58
Draw & not both score	3.5%	4.9%	4.7%	1.03×	20.50

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	33.8%	30.9%	36.8%	0.84×	3.24
FC Dordrecht & over 1.5	29.8%	26.0%	27.2%	0.96×	3.84
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	28.3%	26.0%	30.6%	0.85×	3.84
FC Dordrecht & over 2.5	25.0%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	24.4%	21.6%	25.9%	0.84×	4.62
FC Dordrecht & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
FC Dordrecht & over 3.5	14.4%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	13.4%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.78
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	12.7%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.78
FC Dordrecht & under 2.5	11.7%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.69
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
FC Dordrecht & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	4.7%	1.01×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	59.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
FC Dordrecht (1UP)	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	41.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
FC Dordrecht (2UP)	36.6%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	34.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half	33.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
2nd half drawn	31.7%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (+2.5)	91.5%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
FC Dordrecht (+1.5)	79.4%	78.5%	75.6%	1.04×	1.27
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	63.4%	62.9%	66.5%	0.95×	1.59
FC Dordrecht (+0.5)	59.0%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	41.0%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
FC Dordrecht (-0.5)	36.6%	37.1%	33.5%	1.11×	2.69
FC Eindhoven (-1.5)	20.6%	21.5%	24.4%	0.88×	4.65
FC Eindhoven (-2.5)	8.5%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede	80.9%	81.3%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
FC Dordrecht clean sheet	19.1%	18.7%	18.5%	1.01×	5.33

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half	49.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half	50.9%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners	85.8%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners	73.1%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners	69.3%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners	58.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners	56.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners	43.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners	41.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners	30.7%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners	26.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners	14.2%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals	79.5%	76.2%	81.5%	0.94×	1.31
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals	78.8%	76.2%	72.5%	1.05×	1.31
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals	54.0%	53.7%	58.1%	0.92×	1.86
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals	46.0%	46.3%	41.9%	1.10×	2.16
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals	21.2%	23.8%	27.5%	0.86×	4.21
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals	20.5%	23.8%	18.5%	1.28×	4.21
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (away no bet)	64.7%	62.2%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.3%	37.8%	33.4%	1.13×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht even goals	52.2%	52.7%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
FC Dordrecht odd goals	47.8%	47.3%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.5%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.5%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.6%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	38.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row	35.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.8%	19.4%	—	—	5.16
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	13.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.35

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5)	83.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	81.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5)	76.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	73.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5)	67.4%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	64.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5)	36.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	32.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5)	26.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	23.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5)	18.8%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	16.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.4%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	31.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	30.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	68.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	62.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	57.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	47.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	42.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	31.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	28.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.6%	0.78×	13.46
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.46
0-1	6.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.46
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.46
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.46
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.46
2-0	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.46
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.56
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.56
Any other score	4.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.57
0-0	3.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.57
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.58
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.59
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.57
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.58
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.57
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.58
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.57
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.57
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.58
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.59
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.59
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.58
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.58
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.43×	58.59
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.72×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	54.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB)	45.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or FC Dordrecht (12)	77.7%	75.6%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
FC Eindhoven or draw (1X)	63.4%	63.6%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
FC Dordrecht or draw (X2)	59.0%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	72.4%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
FC Dordrecht or draw at HT	66.8%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
FC Eindhoven or FC Dordrecht at HT	60.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	63.4%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP)	59.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or FC Dordrecht in 2nd half	68.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	66.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half	65.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.1%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	52.8%	50.9%	57.0%	0.89×	1.96
FC Dordrecht (DNB)	47.2%	49.1%	43.0%	1.14×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score first	49.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
FC Dordrecht to score first	46.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.01

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.3%	56.5%	58.7%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.7%	43.5%	41.3%	1.05×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.4%	47.1%	49.3%	0.96×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	27.9%	33.6%	28.4%	1.19×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.3%	80.0%	79.0%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.7%	20.0%	21.0%	0.95×	5.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.1%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.4%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Both score 2nd half only	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Both score in both halves	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.5%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.45

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	37.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.5%	42.1%	41.2%	1.02×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.4%	35.0%	37.3%	0.94×	2.86
0-1 goals	17.5%	20.2%	18.5%	1.09×	4.94
7+ goals	4.5%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	54.96

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1	32.9%	33.9%	30.7%	1.10×	2.95
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	23.5%	1.16×	3.65
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0	21.2%	22.4%	27.5%	0.81×	4.47
FC Dordrecht to score 3+	20.5%	22.4%	18.5%	1.21×	4.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	31.6%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.5%	25.9%	1.02×	3.77
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	23.1%	23.3%	25.4%	0.92×	4.30
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	19.1%	18.9%	18.5%	1.02×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	33.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
FC Dordrecht leading at HT	27.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven -1: 2	59.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
FC Eindhoven -1: 1	20.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
FC Eindhoven -1: X	20.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:1)	59.0%	55.8%	55.6%	1.00×	1.79
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	20.6%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.3%	20.1%	1.21×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:2)	79.4%	79.5%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	12.6%	0.88×	9.09
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:3)	91.5%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	5.7%	1.01×	17.26
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	2.9%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:4)	97.1%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.23
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.38

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	63.4%	65.2%	66.5%	0.98×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.2%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
FC Dordrecht (1:0)	17.5%	17.0%	15.4%	1.10×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	82.5%	84.5%	84.6%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.4%	8.8%	1.18×	9.63
FC Dordrecht (2:0)	6.8%	6.5%	6.7%	0.96×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	78.8%	75.9%	72.5%	1.05×	1.32
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	21.2%	24.1%	27.5%	0.88×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	71.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	71.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	59.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	40.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	29.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	28.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	91.3%	92.2%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	80.9%	82.1%	81.5%	1.01×	1.22
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	76.9%	77.7%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	50.7%	53.3%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	49.3%	46.7%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	23.1%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.48
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	19.1%	17.9%	18.5%	0.96×	5.60
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	10.2%	0.76×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	49.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	50.9%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	15.2%	—	—	6.56

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (home no bet)	62.1%	60.1%	60.0%	1.00×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.9%	39.9%	40.0%	1.00×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	51.8%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
FC Eindhoven odd goals	48.2%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 1-0	18.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 2-0	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.11
Any other HT score	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 0-2	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-1	4.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.61
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.65
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.84

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	24.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	20.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	2.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.17

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score last	49.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
FC Dordrecht to score last	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
No goal scored	3.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.01

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	59.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time	55.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	28.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time	25.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.24

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht most corners	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
FC Eindhoven most corners	42.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	10.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.0%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.4%	72.4%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.4%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.5%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.7%	59.2%	59.1%	1.00×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.5%	59.2%	55.0%	1.08×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.6%	53.1%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.5%	43.6%	41.2%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	35.4%	39.2%	37.3%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.3%	35.4%	33.2%	1.07×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.3%	30.2%	31.5%	0.96×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.6%	18.6%	18.2%	1.02×	5.37
7+ goals	4.5%	2.5%	3.2%	0.79×	39.37

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven never behind	40.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
FC Dordrecht never behind	37.1%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.5%	95.5%	95.3%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.4%	87.7%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.5%	82.4%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	77.9%	77.4%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.2%	61.8%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.1%	61.7%	59.6%	1.04×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.9%	38.3%	40.4%	0.95×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	37.8%	38.2%	37.8%	1.01×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	22.1%	22.6%	21.3%	1.06×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.6%	18.5%	0.95×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	9.1%	1.36×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	3.5%	4.5%	4.7%	0.95×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.0%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.0%	75.9%	77.0%	0.99×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.1%	72.6%	73.7%	0.99×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.4%	51.8%	51.7%	1.00×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.6%	48.2%	48.3%	1.00×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.9%	27.4%	26.3%	1.04×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.0%	24.1%	23.0%	1.05×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.0%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.80×	36.30

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.9%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.7%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.1%	13.5%	—	—	7.44

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves	72.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	68.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	31.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
FC Dordrecht to score in both halves	28.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.3%	60.3%	58.7%	1.03×	1.66
Only FC Eindhoven scores	17.6%	16.1%	22.9%	0.70×	6.20
Only FC Dordrecht scores	15.6%	16.1%	13.9%	1.16×	6.21
Neither team scores	3.5%	4.6%	4.7%	0.97×	21.74

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.3%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.9%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	13.9%	0.87×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	11.5%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.29
6 or more goals	10.6%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	3.5%	4.4%	4.7%	0.94×	22.62

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	29.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
No goals in 2nd half	15.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win both halves	90.7%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	88.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	11.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.41
FC Dordrecht to win both halves	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win either half	56.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
FC Dordrecht to win either half	52.2%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
FC Dordrecht to win neither half	47.8%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	43.7%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht not to win to nil	84.4%	83.0%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	82.4%	83.0%	77.1%	1.08×	1.21
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	17.6%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.87
FC Dordrecht to win to nil	15.6%	17.0%	13.9%	1.22×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.3%	24.1%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
FC Eindhoven by 1	20.4%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
FC Dordrecht by 1	19.2%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.90
FC Eindhoven by 2	12.1%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.46
FC Dordrecht by 2	10.6%	11.8%	8.8%	1.34×	8.47
FC Eindhoven by 3+	8.5%	7.2%	11.9%	0.61×	13.80
FC Dordrecht by 3+	6.8%	7.2%	6.7%	1.08×	13.81