FC Eindhoven v Jong Ajax — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 6 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Eindhoven

19:00 UTC

Jong Ajax

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 368h before kick-off

FC Eindhoven win

48.2%

model 46.9%

Draw

22.6%

model 22.9%

Jong Ajax win

29.2%

model 30.1%

482329

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 7.2%
2-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.4%	Under 2.5	41.6%
BTTS yes	59.7%	BTTS no	40.3%
FC Eindhoven 1+	81.9%	FC Eindhoven 2+	51.0%
Jong Ajax 1+	73.4%	Jong Ajax 2+	38.1%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

59/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 81%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1368 Elo against 1307.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Eindhoven have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for Jong Ajax and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for FC Eindhoven and 1.32 for Jong Ajax.

Why FC Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1368 Elo against 1307.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Jong Ajax can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jong Ajax.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jong Ajax, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Eindhoven: 47% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong Ajax: 52% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Eindhoven are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 59/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472330	1.71–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502228	1.82–1.31	1-1 10%	60%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win	49.6%	47.4%	44.5%	1.07×	2.11
Jong Ajax to win	28.1%	27.9%	33.5%	0.83×	3.58
Draw	22.3%	24.4%	22.1%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	26.7%	25.2%	22.0%	1.14×	3.97
FC Eindhoven & not both score	22.9%	21.8%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
Jong Ajax & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.57
Jong Ajax & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	14.0%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	41.3%	40.3%	37.0%	1.09×	2.48
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	34.1%	30.8%	30.8%	1.00×	3.25
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	29.4%	26.1%	25.7%	1.02×	3.84
Jong Ajax & over 1.5	22.0%	21.6%	27.4%	0.79×	4.63
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Jong Ajax & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Jong Ajax & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	13.8%	1.31×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.1%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Jong Ajax & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.80×	12.63
Jong Ajax & over 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.63
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	8.1%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.1%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Jong Ajax & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	65.8%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Jong Ajax (1UP)	47.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	49.6%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Jong Ajax (2UP)	28.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	40.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	32.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Jong Ajax to win 2nd half	27.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Jong Ajax over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Jong Ajax under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Jong Ajax over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	72.3%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	27.7%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (+2.5)	87.7%	88.5%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
Jong Ajax (+1.5)	72.8%	73.7%	75.6%	0.97×	1.36
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	71.9%	73.6%	66.5%	1.11×	1.36
Jong Ajax (+0.5)	50.4%	52.4%	55.5%	0.94×	1.91
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	49.6%	47.6%	44.5%	1.07×	2.10
Jong Ajax (-0.5)	28.1%	26.4%	33.5%	0.79×	3.80
FC Eindhoven (-1.5)	27.2%	26.3%	24.4%	1.08×	3.80
FC Eindhoven (-2.5)	12.3%	11.5%	11.8%	0.98×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede	83.7%	81.5%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
Jong Ajax clean sheet	16.3%	18.5%	18.7%	0.99×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede in 1st half	54.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Jong Ajax clean sheet in 1st half	45.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede in 2nd half	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Jong Ajax clean sheet in 2nd half	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax over 2.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Jong Ajax under 6.5 corners	78.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Jong Ajax under 5.5 corners	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Jong Ajax over 3.5 corners	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Jong Ajax under 4.5 corners	52.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Jong Ajax over 4.5 corners	48.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Jong Ajax under 3.5 corners	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong Ajax over 5.5 corners	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Jong Ajax over 6.5 corners	21.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Jong Ajax under 2.5 corners	20.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Jong Ajax under 2.5 goals	85.4%	87.8%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Jong Ajax over 0.5 goals	73.1%	71.9%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Jong Ajax under 1.5 goals	62.3%	63.2%	58.0%	1.09×	1.58
Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals	37.7%	36.8%	42.0%	0.88×	2.72
Jong Ajax under 0.5 goals	26.9%	28.1%	27.3%	1.03×	3.56
Jong Ajax over 2.5 goals	14.6%	12.2%	18.6%	0.66×	8.19
Jong Ajax over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 1.5 in 1st half	90.2%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Jong Ajax under 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Jong Ajax over 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Jong Ajax over 1.5 in 1st half	9.8%	6.2%	—	—	16.17

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax scores equally in both	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Jong Ajax scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Jong Ajax scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (away no bet)	69.0%	66.4%	66.8%	0.99×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.0%	33.6%	33.2%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax even goals	53.6%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
Jong Ajax odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.3%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.1%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	44.5%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
Jong Ajax to score 2+ in a row	27.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	17.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Jong Ajax to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	88.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	82.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Jong Ajax corners (+3.5)	76.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	74.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Jong Ajax corners (+2.5)	67.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Jong Ajax corners (+1.5)	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	32.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Jong Ajax corners (-1.5)	25.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	23.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Jong Ajax corners (-2.5)	17.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Jong Ajax corners (-3.5)	11.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	34.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	74.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	34.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	34.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	25.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.1%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.73
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.50
1-2	6.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
0-1	6.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.51
Any other score	4.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.29
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.30
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	4.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.29
3-2	3.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	59.9%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Jong Ajax (2nd half DNB)	40.1%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	62.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Jong Ajax leading at HT (DNB)	37.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or Jong Ajax (12)	77.7%	75.6%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
FC Eindhoven or draw (1X)	71.9%	72.1%	66.5%	1.08×	1.39
Jong Ajax or draw (X2)	50.4%	52.6%	55.5%	0.95×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	77.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Jong Ajax or draw at HT	61.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven or Jong Ajax at HT	60.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	71.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Jong Ajax or draw (1UP)	50.4%	58.5%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	72.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
FC Eindhoven or Jong Ajax in 2nd half	68.0%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Jong Ajax or draw in 2nd half	59.3%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.1%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.9%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	63.8%	62.7%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Jong Ajax (DNB)	36.2%	37.3%	43.0%	0.87×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score first	55.7%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Jong Ajax to score first	40.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.29

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.8%	56.6%	58.8%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.2%	43.4%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.7%	47.2%	49.5%	0.95×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.5%	33.4%	28.3%	1.18×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.1%	12.3%	9.5%	1.31×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	9.7%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.05

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.6%	79.7%	79.0%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.4%	20.3%	21.0%	0.97×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.7%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	7.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.9%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	39.1%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.4%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	34.1%	30.8%	37.6%	0.82×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.5%	20.2%	18.4%	1.10×	4.94
7+ goals	4.0%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
Jong Ajax to score exactly 0	26.9%	27.4%	27.3%	1.00×	3.65
Jong Ajax to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.48
Jong Ajax to score 3+	14.6%	12.9%	18.6%	0.70×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	29.6%	26.6%	30.2%	0.88×	3.77
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	27.3%	26.5%	25.6%	1.04×	3.77
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	26.8%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	16.3%	18.8%	18.7%	1.00×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	38.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Jong Ajax leading at HT	22.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven -1: 2	50.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Eindhoven -1: 1	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Eindhoven -1: X	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:1)	50.4%	51.2%	55.5%	0.92×	1.95
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	27.2%	27.0%	24.4%	1.11×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:2)	72.8%	75.7%	75.6%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.0%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.09
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	12.3%	11.0%	11.8%	0.93×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:3)	87.7%	90.6%	88.2%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.8%	5.7%	1.03×	17.20
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:4)	95.4%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.75
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.94

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	71.9%	72.4%	66.5%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.3%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.85
Jong Ajax (1:0)	11.8%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	88.2%	88.5%	84.5%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.8%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.68
Jong Ajax (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.58

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	73.1%	73.2%	72.7%	1.01×	1.37
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	26.9%	26.8%	27.3%	0.98×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	59.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	40.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	54.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	45.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	87.4%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	66.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	53.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	46.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	38.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	12.6%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	88.9%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	83.7%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	54.2%	53.2%	51.2%	1.04×	1.88
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.8%	48.8%	0.96×	2.14
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	25.6%	1.01×	3.88
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	16.3%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.62
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	11.1%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	81.6%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	54.2%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	45.8%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	18.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.12

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	40.7%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
FC Eindhoven scores equally in both	32.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
FC Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	26.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (home no bet)	55.8%	56.4%	60.3%	0.94×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.2%	43.6%	39.7%	1.10×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	51.3%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
FC Eindhoven odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.1%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	14.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-1	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 2-0	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	30.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Jong Ajax at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Jong Ajax at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
Jong Ajax at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
FC Eindhoven at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score last	55.7%	56.4%	—	—	1.78
Jong Ajax to score last	40.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.29

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	65.8%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Jong Ajax to lead by 1 at any time	47.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Jong Ajax to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Jong Ajax to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven most corners	54.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Jong Ajax most corners	35.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.3%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.9%	59.1%	54.7%	1.08×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.4%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.7%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.5%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
4-6 goals	34.1%	35.2%	37.6%	0.94×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.4%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.6%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.0%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven never behind	48.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Jong Ajax never behind	30.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	82.3%	81.6%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.4%	77.3%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.9%	61.7%	59.3%	1.04×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.5%	61.7%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.5%	38.3%	37.6%	1.02×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.1%	38.3%	40.7%	0.94×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.6%	22.7%	21.3%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.1%	86.7%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.6%	75.9%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.0%	72.4%	73.6%	0.98×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.9%	51.9%	48.0%	1.08×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.1%	48.1%	52.0%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.0%	27.6%	26.4%	1.05×	3.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.4%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.9%	13.3%	10.2%	1.30×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.53

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.0%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.5%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.5%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to score in both halves	77.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	65.1%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	34.9%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Jong Ajax to score in both halves	22.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.8%	60.3%	58.8%	1.02×	1.66
Only FC Eindhoven scores	22.9%	22.3%	22.6%	0.98×	4.49
Only Jong Ajax scores	12.3%	11.0%	14.0%	0.79×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.1%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.4%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.9%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.7%	7.6%	9.0%	0.85×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	23.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	16.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to win both halves	93.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	84.5%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	15.5%	16.0%	—	—	6.25
Jong Ajax to win both halves	6.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to win either half	63.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Jong Ajax to win neither half	56.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Jong Ajax to win either half	43.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	36.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to win to nil	87.7%	88.1%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	77.1%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	22.9%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
Jong Ajax to win to nil	12.3%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven by 1	22.4%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.15
Draw	22.3%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
Jong Ajax by 1	16.3%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
FC Eindhoven by 2	15.0%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.50
FC Eindhoven by 3+	12.3%	11.8%	11.8%	1.00×	8.51
Jong Ajax by 2	7.8%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
Jong Ajax by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.78