FC Eindhoven v RKC Waalwijk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Eindhoven

15:30 UTC

RKC Waalwijk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 725h before kick-off

FC Eindhoven win

27.8%

model 29.6%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.6%

RKC Waalwijk win

49.2%

model 47.8%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.4%
0-1 8.3%
2-1 7.1%
0-2 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.8%	Under 2.5	40.2%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
FC Eindhoven 1+	73.8%	FC Eindhoven 2+	38.7%
RKC Waalwijk 1+	82.8%	RKC Waalwijk 2+	52.5%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.76. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

RKC Waalwijk or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 56%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 79%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 264 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1368.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RKC Waalwijk have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for FC Eindhoven and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for FC Eindhoven and 1.76 for RKC Waalwijk.

Why FC Eindhoven

Nothing in the data singles out FC Eindhoven.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why RKC Waalwijk can win

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1511 Elo against 1368.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for RKC Waalwijk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Eindhoven: 47% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RKC Waalwijk: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

RKC Waalwijk are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302348	1.34–1.76	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312347	1.37–1.74	1-1 10%	60%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win	46.6%	47.4%	33.5%	1.41×	2.11
FC Eindhoven to win	30.8%	30.4%	44.5%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	22.6%	24.4%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & both teams score	25.4%	25.2%	19.7%	1.28×	3.97
RKC Waalwijk & not both score	21.2%	21.8%	14.0%	1.56×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.57
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.57
FC Eindhoven & not both score	13.4%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.53
Draw & not both score	4.1%	4.9%	4.8%	1.01×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk & over 1.5	38.5%	34.9%	27.4%	1.27×	2.87
RKC Waalwijk & over 2.5	31.8%	30.8%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
RKC Waalwijk & under 3.5	28.0%	26.1%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	24.3%	21.6%	37.0%	0.58×	4.63
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	30.8%	0.70×	4.63
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	25.7%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & over 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & under 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	10.0%	1.29×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	10.6%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	18.9%	0.68×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
RKC Waalwijk & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1UP)	63.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	50.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2UP)	46.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	30.8%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win 2nd half	41.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	31.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	26.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (+2.5)	95.2%	96.3%	88.2%	1.09×	1.04
RKC Waalwijk (+1.5)	86.5%	88.5%	75.6%	1.17×	1.13
RKC Waalwijk (+0.5)	69.2%	68.7%	55.5%	1.24×	1.46
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	53.4%	52.4%	66.5%	0.79×	1.91
RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)	46.6%	47.6%	33.5%	1.42×	2.10
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	30.8%	31.3%	44.5%	0.70×	3.19
FC Eindhoven (-1.5)	13.5%	11.5%	24.4%	0.47×	8.66
FC Eindhoven (-2.5)	4.8%	3.7%	11.8%	0.31×	27.00

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede	74.7%	76.7%	81.3%	0.94×	1.30
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet	25.3%	23.3%	18.7%	1.25×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 1st half	55.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 1st half	44.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 2nd half	54.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 2nd half	45.7%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk under 6.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk under 5.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 corners	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
RKC Waalwijk under 4.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
RKC Waalwijk over 4.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 corners	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
RKC Waalwijk over 5.5 corners	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 corners	20.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
RKC Waalwijk over 6.5 corners	20.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 goals	82.5%	81.5%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 goals	74.6%	71.9%	81.5%	0.88×	1.39
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.5%	42.0%	1.27×	1.87
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.5%	58.0%	0.80×	2.15
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 goals	25.4%	28.1%	18.6%	1.52×	3.56
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 goals	17.5%	18.5%	27.3%	0.68×	5.39
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 1st half	84.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 1st half	50.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 1st half	49.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 1st half	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 2nd half	43.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
RKC Waalwijk scores equally in both	32.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
RKC Waalwijk scores more in 1st half	24.0%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (away no bet)	57.6%	57.4%	66.8%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.4%	42.6%	33.2%	1.28×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk even goals	51.5%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
RKC Waalwijk odd goals	48.5%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.1%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.6%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
RKC Waalwijk to score 2+ in a row	42.0%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	29.4%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.3%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	8.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.85

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
RKC Waalwijk corners (+3.5)	80.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	71.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RKC Waalwijk corners (+2.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
RKC Waalwijk corners (+1.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
RKC Waalwijk corners (-1.5)	28.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	19.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
RKC Waalwijk corners (-2.5)	19.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
RKC Waalwijk corners (-3.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	39.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	38.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	28.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.3%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	3.8%	1.94×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
1-0	6.5%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-3	5.4%	7.4%	3.7%	2.01×	13.51
2-2	6.4%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-0	4.1%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-3	3.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-4	2.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-0	4.2%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.30
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
Any other score	4.5%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2nd half DNB)	60.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
FC Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	39.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT (DNB)	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven or RKC Waalwijk (12)	77.4%	75.6%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
RKC Waalwijk or draw (X2)	69.2%	69.6%	55.5%	1.25×	1.44
FC Eindhoven or draw (1X)	53.4%	52.6%	66.5%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw at HT	73.3%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	66.7%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
FC Eindhoven or RKC Waalwijk at HT	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1UP)	69.2%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	53.4%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
FC Eindhoven or RKC Waalwijk in 2nd half	68.1%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	58.9%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (DNB)	60.2%	62.7%	43.0%	1.46×	1.60
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	39.8%	37.3%	57.0%	0.66×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score first	53.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
FC Eindhoven to score first	42.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.2%	56.6%	58.8%	0.96×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.8%	43.4%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.0%	47.2%	49.5%	0.95×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.5%	33.4%	28.3%	1.18×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.3%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.3%	79.7%	79.0%	1.01×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	20.7%	20.3%	21.0%	0.97×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.67

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.7%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.6%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	39.4%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.9%	30.8%	37.6%	0.82×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.6%	20.2%	18.4%	1.10×	4.94
7+ goals	4.0%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 1	30.5%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 2	26.6%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.66
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+	25.4%	27.4%	18.6%	1.47×	3.66
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 0	17.5%	19.6%	27.3%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.6%	30.2%	1.08×	3.07
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	25.3%	26.5%	18.7%	1.42×	3.77
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	23.9%	23.3%	25.8%	0.90×	4.29
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	16.0%	18.8%	25.6%	0.73×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT	33.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	26.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk -1: 1	53.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
RKC Waalwijk -1: 2	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
RKC Waalwijk -1: X	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:1)	69.2%	65.3%	55.5%	1.18×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.3%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.61
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	13.5%	13.7%	24.4%	0.56×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:2)	86.5%	87.1%	75.6%	1.15×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.7%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.03
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	4.8%	3.8%	11.8%	0.32×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:3)	95.2%	96.6%	88.2%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.04
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.99
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	53.4%	54.0%	66.5%	0.81×	1.85
RKC Waalwijk (1:0)	24.7%	21.7%	15.5%	1.40×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	21.8%	21.7%	18.2%	1.19×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	75.3%	80.4%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	14.0%	10.3%	8.8%	1.17×	9.70
RKC Waalwijk (2:0)	10.8%	10.3%	6.8%	1.52×	9.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	82.5%	80.9%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	17.5%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	50.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	49.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	64.8%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	35.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	84.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	72.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	70.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	60.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	40.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	29.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	27.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	15.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	89.9%	1.03×	1.08
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	74.4%	1.10×	1.22
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	74.7%	74.3%	81.3%	0.91×	1.35
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	60.1%	63.6%	48.8%	1.30×	1.57
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	39.9%	36.4%	51.2%	0.71×	2.74
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	25.3%	25.7%	18.7%	1.38×	3.89
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	25.6%	0.70×	5.62
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	10.1%	0.77×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	88.1%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	55.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	44.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	11.9%	9.8%	—	—	10.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven scores equally in both	38.4%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
FC Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
FC Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	25.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (home no bet)	67.3%	64.2%	60.3%	1.07×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.7%	35.8%	39.7%	0.90×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	53.2%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
FC Eindhoven odd goals	46.8%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
HT 0-1	19.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-0	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 0-2	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 1-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.02
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	26.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	17.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	16.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	11.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
FC Eindhoven at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
RKC Waalwijk at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score last	53.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
FC Eindhoven to score last	42.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.1%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.9%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 1 at any time	63.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	50.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 2 at any time	32.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	20.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 3 at any time	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.94

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven most corners	50.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
RKC Waalwijk most corners	38.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.4%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.5%	78.7%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.8%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.1%	59.1%	54.7%	1.08×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.3%	59.1%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.6%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.7%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.9%	35.2%	37.6%	0.94×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.3%	30.2%	31.8%	0.95×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.5%	18.8%	18.2%	1.04×	5.31
7+ goals	4.0%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.05

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk never behind	45.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
FC Eindhoven never behind	32.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.9%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	81.6%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.6%	77.3%	78.7%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	62.1%	61.7%	59.3%	1.04×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.2%	61.7%	62.4%	0.99×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.8%	38.3%	37.6%	1.02×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	37.9%	38.3%	40.7%	0.94×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.4%	22.7%	21.3%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	9.0%	0.86×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.1%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.8%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.2%	86.7%	89.8%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.4%	75.9%	77.2%	0.98×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.2%	75.9%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.2%	51.9%	48.0%	1.08×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.8%	48.1%	52.0%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.8%	24.1%	26.4%	0.92×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.6%	24.1%	22.8%	1.06×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.8%	13.3%	10.2%	1.30×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.2%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.3%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
RKC Waalwijk not to score in both halves	67.5%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
RKC Waalwijk to score in both halves	32.5%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	24.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.2%	60.3%	58.8%	1.02×	1.66
Only RKC Waalwijk scores	21.2%	22.2%	14.0%	1.59×	4.50
Only FC Eindhoven scores	13.4%	11.0%	22.6%	0.49×	9.06
Neither team scores	4.1%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.4%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.5%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.9%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.6%	7.6%	9.0%	0.85×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.1%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.5%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	22.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.4%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	15.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	92.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves	86.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
RKC Waalwijk to win both halves	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	7.1%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to win either half	60.8%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	53.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
FC Eindhoven to win either half	46.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
RKC Waalwijk to win neither half	39.2%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	86.6%	88.1%	77.4%	1.14×	1.14
RKC Waalwijk not to win to nil	78.8%	78.1%	86.0%	0.91×	1.28
RKC Waalwijk to win to nil	21.2%	21.9%	14.0%	1.56×	4.57
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	13.4%	11.9%	22.6%	0.53×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.6%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
RKC Waalwijk by 1	21.8%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.15
FC Eindhoven by 1	17.3%	17.0%	20.1%	0.85×	5.87
RKC Waalwijk by 2	14.0%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.50
RKC Waalwijk by 3+	10.8%	11.8%	6.8%	1.74×	8.51
FC Eindhoven by 2	8.7%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.90
FC Eindhoven by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	11.8%	0.23×	36.76