FC Emmen v FC Den Bosch — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 30 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627
NED-Eerste Divisie
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 9.2%
- 2-1 8.8%
- 1-2 7.5%
- 2-2 6.9%
- 1-0 6.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 65.8% | Under 2.5 | 34.2% |
| BTTS yes | 65.8% | BTTS no | 34.2% |
| FC Emmen 1+ | 84.0% | FC Emmen 2+ | 54.7% |
| FC Den Bosch 1+ | 78.9% | FC Den Bosch 2+ | 46.0% |
Expected goals 1.83 – 1.56. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
FC Emmen have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for FC Den Bosch and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.83 for FC Emmen and 1.55 for FC Den Bosch.
Why FC Emmen
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.
Why FC Den Bosch can win
Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for FC Emmen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
FC Emmen: 50% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Den Bosch: 49% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Emmen's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
FC Emmen are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.2%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.73–1.70 | 1-1 9% | 66% | 67% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen to win | 39.8% | 36.4% | 44.4% | 0.82× | 2.74 |
| FC Den Bosch to win | 38.5% | 36.4% | 33.5% | 1.09× | 2.75 |
| Draw | 21.6% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 1.10× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen & both teams score | 24.3% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 1.01× | 4.57 |
| FC Den Bosch & both teams score | 23.6% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 1.11× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.8% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| FC Emmen & not both score | 15.5% | 17.9% | 22.9% | 0.78× | 5.58 |
| FC Den Bosch & not both score | 15.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 0.95× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.03× | 20.60 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen & over 1.5 | 33.7% | 30.9% | 36.8% | 0.84× | 3.24 |
| FC Den Bosch & over 1.5 | 32.5% | 30.9% | 27.2% | 1.13× | 3.24 |
| FC Emmen & over 2.5 | 28.9% | 26.0% | 30.6% | 0.85× | 3.84 |
| FC Den Bosch & over 2.5 | 27.9% | 26.0% | 23.6% | 1.10× | 3.84 |
| FC Emmen & under 3.5 | 22.0% | 21.7% | 25.9% | 0.84× | 4.62 |
| FC Den Bosch & under 3.5 | 21.4% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 1.09× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.8% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 1.02× | 5.56 |
| FC Emmen & over 3.5 | 17.8% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 0.96× | 5.56 |
| FC Den Bosch & over 3.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 1.30× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 0.91× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 0.91× | 7.77 |
| FC Emmen & under 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 0.92× | 7.77 |
| FC Den Bosch & under 2.5 | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 1.29× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.96× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 0.96× | 12.69 |
| FC Emmen & under 1.5 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 1.02× | 12.70 |
| FC Den Bosch & under 1.5 | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.01× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen (1UP) | 59.3% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| FC Den Bosch (1UP) | 58.3% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen (2UP) | 39.8% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| FC Den Bosch (2UP) | 38.5% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half | 35.6% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| FC Emmen to win 2nd half | 33.9% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| 2nd half drawn | 30.5% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (+2.5) | 91.4% | 92.1% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| FC Den Bosch (+1.5) | 79.7% | 78.5% | 75.6% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| FC Emmen (+0.5) | 61.5% | 62.9% | 66.5% | 0.95× | 1.59 |
| FC Den Bosch (+0.5) | 60.2% | 62.9% | 55.6% | 1.13× | 1.59 |
| FC Emmen (-0.5) | 39.8% | 37.1% | 44.4% | 0.84× | 2.70 |
| FC Den Bosch (-0.5) | 38.5% | 37.1% | 33.5% | 1.11× | 2.70 |
| FC Emmen (-1.5) | 20.3% | 21.5% | 24.4% | 0.88× | 4.64 |
| FC Emmen (-2.5) | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 0.66× | 12.62 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to concede | 82.2% | 81.3% | 81.5% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| FC Den Bosch clean sheet | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 1.01× | 5.35 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half | 47.6% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half | 52.4% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners | 81.2% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners | 76.9% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners | 66.1% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners | 65.0% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners | 50.1% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners | 49.9% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners | 35.0% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners | 33.9% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners | 23.1% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners | 18.8% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.3% | 93.0% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals | 81.7% | 81.4% | 72.5% | 1.12× | 1.23 |
| FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals | 75.8% | 76.2% | 81.5% | 0.94× | 1.31 |
| FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals | 50.5% | 53.7% | 41.9% | 1.28× | 1.86 |
| FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals | 49.5% | 46.3% | 58.1% | 0.80× | 2.16 |
| FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals | 24.2% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 1.28× | 4.21 |
| FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals | 18.3% | 18.6% | 27.5% | 0.68× | 5.38 |
| FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 1.10× | 13.02 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.2% | 88.9% | — | — | 1.13 |
| FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half | 50.7% | 56.1% | — | — | 1.78 |
| FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half | 49.3% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
| FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.8% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.03 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen (away no bet) | 64.8% | 62.1% | 66.6% | 0.93× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 35.2% | 37.9% | 33.4% | 1.13× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch even goals | 51.7% | 52.8% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.89 |
| FC Den Bosch odd goals | 48.3% | 47.2% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 75.3% | 82.0% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 24.7% | 18.0% | — | — | 5.57 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 76.1% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 23.9% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 67.1% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| FC Emmen to score 2+ in a row | 39.8% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row | 38.8% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 27.4% | 25.0% | — | — | 3.99 |
| FC Emmen to score 3+ in a row | 14.4% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.18 |
| FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row | 13.7% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.19 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen corners (+3.5) | 91.0% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Emmen corners (+2.5) | 86.0% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| FC Emmen corners (+1.5) | 79.5% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5) | 68.0% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5) | 58.5% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| FC Emmen corners (-1.5) | 51.6% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5) | 48.4% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| FC Emmen corners (-2.5) | 41.5% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| FC Emmen corners (-3.5) | 32.0% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5) | 20.5% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5) | 14.0% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5) | 9.0% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 45.1% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.4% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 0-8 corners | 25.5% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 82.8% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 74.5% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65.1% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 64.2% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 55.0% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 54.9% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 45.1% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 45.0% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 35.8% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 34.9% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 25.5% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 17.2% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.77× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 0.99× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.92× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.10× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.57× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.46 |
| 2-0 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.46 |
| 3-1 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 0.37× | 58.46 |
| 0-0 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 0.36× | 58.47 |
| 0-3 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.65× | 58.47 |
| 0-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.37× | 58.48 |
| 1-3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 0.46× | 58.46 |
| 1-4 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.76× | 58.48 |
| 2-3 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.47 |
| 2-4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.48 |
| 3-0 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 0.40× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.37× | 58.48 |
| 4-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.25× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.44× | 58.48 |
| 4-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 13.75× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen leading at HT (DNB) | 53.1% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB) | 46.9% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch (12) | 78.4% | 75.6% | 77.7% | 0.97× | 1.32 |
| FC Emmen or draw (1X) | 61.5% | 63.6% | 66.5% | 0.96× | 1.57 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw (X2) | 60.2% | 63.6% | 55.6% | 1.14× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen or draw at HT | 70.8% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw at HT | 67.0% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch at HT | 62.2% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen or draw (1UP) | 61.5% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP) | 60.2% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch in 2nd half | 69.5% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half | 66.1% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| FC Emmen or draw in 2nd half | 64.4% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 57.3% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 42.7% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen (DNB) | 50.8% | 50.9% | 57.0% | 0.89× | 1.97 |
| FC Den Bosch (DNB) | 49.2% | 49.1% | 43.0% | 1.14× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen to score first | 49.0% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| FC Den Bosch to score first | 48.2% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| No goal scored | 2.8% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.48 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 66.7% | 58.2% | 58.7% | 0.99× | 1.72 |
| Not both teams to score | 33.3% | 41.8% | 41.3% | 1.01× | 2.39 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 57.6% | 47.2% | 49.3% | 0.96× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 24.5% | 27.8% | 28.4% | 0.98× | 3.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 0.87× | 11.95 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 0.64× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 74.0% | 80.6% | 79.0% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 26.0% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 0.92× | 5.16 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 60.2% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 39.8% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 44.8% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 29.5% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
| Both score 1st half only | 15.4% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.44 |
| Both score in both halves | 10.3% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 74.3% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 25.7% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.01 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 65.4% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| A half without a goal | 34.6% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 40.4% | 42.1% | 41.2% | 1.02× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 38.7% | 35.1% | 37.3% | 0.94× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 14.9% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 0.92× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 5.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.34× | 13.22 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1 | 31.1% | 33.8% | 30.7% | 1.10× | 2.96 |
| FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 27.4% | 23.5% | 1.17× | 3.65 |
| FC Den Bosch to score 3+ | 24.2% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 1.21× | 4.46 |
| FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0 | 18.3% | 19.6% | 27.5% | 0.71× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen to score exactly 1 | 30.7% | 32.6% | 30.5% | 1.07× | 3.06 |
| FC Emmen to score exactly 2 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 1.03× | 3.77 |
| FC Emmen to score 3+ | 25.0% | 23.3% | 25.4% | 0.92× | 4.30 |
| FC Emmen to score exactly 0 | 17.8% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 1.02× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 37.8% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| FC Emmen leading at HT | 33.0% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
| FC Den Bosch leading at HT | 29.2% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen -1: 2 | 60.2% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| FC Emmen -1: 1 | 20.3% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| FC Emmen -1: X | 19.5% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:1) | 60.2% | 61.4% | 55.6% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| FC Emmen (0:1) | 20.3% | 24.3% | 24.4% | 1.00× | 4.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.5% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 0.88× | 5.62 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:2) | 79.7% | 79.5% | 75.6% | 1.05× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 0.87× | 9.12 |
| FC Emmen (0:2) | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 0.65× | 12.94 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:3) | 91.4% | 92.6% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.19 |
| FC Emmen (0:3) | 3.0% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 0.37× | 42.13 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (0:4) | 97.0% | 98.1% | 93.7% | 1.05× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.1% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 0.28× | 83.43 |
| FC Emmen (0:4) | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.57× | 83.58 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen (1:0) | 61.5% | 65.0% | 66.5% | 0.98× | 1.54 |
| FC Den Bosch (1:0) | 19.4% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 1.11× | 5.87 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 0.94× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen (2:0) | 80.6% | 84.5% | 84.6% | 1.00× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 1.17× | 9.64 |
| FC Den Bosch (2:0) | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 0.96× | 15.48 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 51.5% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.6% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 21.0% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen to concede | 81.7% | 80.8% | 72.5% | 1.11× | 1.24 |
| FC Emmen clean sheet | 18.3% | 19.2% | 27.5% | 0.70× | 5.20 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen clean sheet in 1st half | 50.7% | 56.1% | — | — | 1.78 |
| FC Emmen to concede in 1st half | 49.3% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen over 2.5 corners | 92.2% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| FC Emmen over 3.5 corners | 83.7% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| FC Emmen over 4.5 corners | 72.2% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| FC Emmen over 5.5 corners | 59.2% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| FC Emmen under 6.5 corners | 53.9% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| FC Emmen over 6.5 corners | 46.1% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| FC Emmen under 5.5 corners | 40.8% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| FC Emmen under 4.5 corners | 27.8% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| FC Emmen under 3.5 corners | 16.3% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
| FC Emmen under 2.5 corners | 7.8% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.37 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen under 3.5 goals | 90.3% | 92.2% | 89.8% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| FC Emmen over 0.5 goals | 82.2% | 82.1% | 81.5% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| FC Emmen under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 77.7% | 74.6% | 1.04× | 1.29 |
| FC Emmen over 1.5 goals | 51.5% | 53.2% | 51.1% | 1.04× | 1.88 |
| FC Emmen under 1.5 goals | 48.5% | 46.8% | 48.9% | 0.96× | 2.14 |
| FC Emmen over 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 22.3% | 25.4% | 0.88× | 4.49 |
| FC Emmen under 0.5 goals | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 0.97× | 5.59 |
| FC Emmen over 3.5 goals | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.89 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.9% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| FC Emmen under 0.5 in 1st half | 47.6% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| FC Emmen over 0.5 in 1st half | 52.4% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| FC Emmen over 1.5 in 1st half | 17.1% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.36 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch (home no bet) | 64.1% | 60.2% | 60.0% | 1.00× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 35.9% | 39.8% | 40.0% | 1.00× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen even goals | 51.6% | 50.6% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| FC Emmen odd goals | 48.4% | 49.4% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 24.1% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.0% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.5% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
| HT 1-1 | 12.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
| Any other HT score | 7.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.05 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.6% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.07 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.28 |
| HT 1-2 | 4.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.31 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.50 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen at HT / FC Emmen at FT | 23.9% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.58 |
| FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT | 21.4% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT | 13.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / FC Emmen at FT | 13.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 11.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| FC Emmen at HT / Draw at FT | 5.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| FC Emmen at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT | 3.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Emmen at FT | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen to score last | 49.0% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| FC Den Bosch to score last | 48.2% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| No goal scored | 2.8% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.48 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 97.2% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| FC Emmen to lead by 1 at any time | 59.3% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time | 58.3% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 55.8% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| FC Emmen to lead by 2 at any time | 28.7% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time | 27.6% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.4% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| FC Emmen to lead by 3 at any time | 11.5% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.57 |
| FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time | 10.9% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen most corners | 61.8% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| FC Den Bosch most corners | 28.7% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Corners level | 9.5% | 8.5% | — | — | 11.80 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 84.0% | 83.5% | 86.3% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 79.2% | 78.6% | 78.4% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.9% | 72.4% | 72.5% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 71.2% | 72.4% | 74.1% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| 3-6 goals | 60.5% | 63.4% | 59.1% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.1% | 59.2% | 60.3% | 0.98× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 53.2% | 53.2% | 53.2% | 1.00× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 52.6% | 53.2% | 55.0% | 0.97× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 40.4% | 43.6% | 41.2% | 1.06× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.5% | 43.6% | 41.0% | 1.06× | 2.30 |
| 4-6 goals | 38.7% | 39.2% | 37.3% | 1.05× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 31.4% | 35.4% | 31.5% | 1.12× | 2.83 |
| 1-2 goals | 30.7% | 35.4% | 33.2% | 1.06× | 2.83 |
| 5-6 goals | 20.1% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 1.35× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 5.9% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 2.70× | 11.46 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen never behind | 38.9% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
| FC Den Bosch never behind | 37.9% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.1% | 50.8% | 49.5% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.9% | 49.2% | 50.5% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.8% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.2% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.6% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.4% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97.2% | 95.5% | 95.3% | 1.00× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 86.8% | 87.6% | 90.9% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% | 87.6% | 81.5% | 1.08× | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74.0% | 72.5% | 78.7% | 0.92× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.5% | 66.2% | 62.2% | 1.06× | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55.3% | 58.8% | 59.6% | 0.99× | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.7% | 41.2% | 40.4% | 1.02× | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.5% | 33.8% | 37.8% | 0.89× | 2.96 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26.0% | 27.5% | 21.3% | 1.29× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14.9% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 0.67× | 8.09 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.36× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.95× | 22.22 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 93.6% | 92.5% | 96.6% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 84.8% | 81.1% | 89.7% | 0.90× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 81.7% | 81.0% | 77.0% | 1.05× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 68.0% | 67.4% | 73.7% | 0.91× | 1.48 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 57.1% | 55.4% | 51.7% | 1.07× | 1.80 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 42.9% | 44.6% | 48.3% | 0.92× | 2.24 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 32.0% | 32.6% | 26.3% | 1.24× | 3.07 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 18.3% | 19.0% | 23.0% | 0.83× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 15.2% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 1.83× | 5.29 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 6.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 2.19× | 13.27 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 82.8% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 75.9% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 58.5% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 41.5% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 24.1% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.70 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 17.2% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.27 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 86.7% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 67.6% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 59.3% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 40.7% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 32.4% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 13.3% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.81 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves | 68.5% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| FC Emmen not to score in both halves | 67.2% | 70.4% | — | — | 1.42 |
| FC Emmen to score in both halves | 32.8% | 29.6% | — | — | 3.38 |
| FC Den Bosch to score in both halves | 31.5% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 66.7% | 59.5% | 58.7% | 1.01× | 1.68 |
| Only FC Emmen scores | 15.5% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 0.70× | 6.22 |
| Only FC Den Bosch scores | 15.0% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 0.79× | 9.13 |
| Neither team scores | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 0.97× | 21.87 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.8% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 1.03× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 18.6% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 0.90× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.7% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 0.90× | 5.74 |
| 6 or more goals | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 1.33× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 0.98× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 0.87× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 0.93× | 22.68 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 59.3% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 27.4% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 13.3% | 14.5% | — | — | 6.90 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch not to win both halves | 89.7% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| FC Emmen not to win both halves | 88.9% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| FC Emmen to win both halves | 11.1% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.30 |
| FC Den Bosch to win both halves | 10.3% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.32 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen to win either half | 55.8% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| FC Den Bosch to win either half | 54.5% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| FC Den Bosch to win neither half | 45.5% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| FC Emmen to win neither half | 44.2% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Den Bosch not to win to nil | 85.0% | 88.2% | 86.1% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| FC Emmen not to win to nil | 84.5% | 83.0% | 77.1% | 1.08× | 1.20 |
| FC Emmen to win to nil | 15.5% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 0.74× | 5.90 |
| FC Den Bosch to win to nil | 15.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 0.85× | 8.48 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 21.6% | 24.1% | 22.3% | 1.08× | 4.14 |
| FC Emmen by 1 | 19.5% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 0.84× | 5.91 |
| FC Den Bosch by 1 | 19.2% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 0.93× | 5.91 |
| FC Emmen by 2 | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 0.94× | 8.48 |
| FC Den Bosch by 2 | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 1.34× | 8.48 |
| FC Emmen by 3+ | 8.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 0.61× | 13.78 |
| FC Den Bosch by 3+ | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 1.08× | 13.78 |