FC Emmen v FC Den Bosch — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Emmen

19:00 UTC

FC Den Bosch

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 128h before kick-off

FC Emmen win

45.3%

model 43.5%

Draw

23.8%

model 21.9%

FC Den Bosch win

31.0%

model 34.6%

452431

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.3%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.7%
2-2 6.9%
1-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.9%	Under 2.5	34.1%
BTTS yes	66.2%	BTTS no	33.8%
FC Emmen 1+	83.5%	FC Emmen 2+	53.8%
FC Den Bosch 1+	79.6%	FC Den Bosch 2+	47.2%

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.59. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

63/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners

Away corners O/U

81.4% fair odds 1.23

moderate signal · 10339 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Emmen have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 31.0% for FC Den Bosch and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.80 for FC Emmen and 1.59 for FC Den Bosch.

Why FC Emmen

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.80 to 1.59. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Den Bosch can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Den Bosch.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Emmen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Emmen: 55% possession, 21.4 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Den Bosch: 50% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Emmen's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Emmen are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%. Confidence 63/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432235	1.80–1.59	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402238	1.74–1.68	1-1 9%	66%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to win	40.1%	42.9%	44.5%	0.96×	2.33
FC Den Bosch to win	38.0%	36.4%	33.5%	1.08×	2.75
Draw	21.9%	24.5%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen & both teams score	24.5%	21.8%	22.0%	0.99×	4.59
FC Den Bosch & both teams score	23.3%	21.8%	19.7%	1.11×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
FC Emmen & not both score	15.6%	18.0%	22.6%	0.79×	5.57
FC Den Bosch & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	14.0%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	3.0%	4.9%	4.8%	1.02×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen & over 1.5	34.1%	30.8%	37.0%	0.83×	3.25
FC Den Bosch & over 1.5	32.1%	30.8%	27.4%	1.12×	3.25
FC Emmen & over 2.5	29.2%	26.1%	30.8%	0.85×	3.84
FC Den Bosch & over 2.5	27.5%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
FC Emmen & under 3.5	22.1%	21.6%	25.7%	0.84×	4.63
FC Den Bosch & under 3.5	21.1%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.55
FC Emmen & over 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.55
FC Den Bosch & over 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	13.9%	1.30×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
FC Emmen & under 2.5	10.9%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
FC Den Bosch & under 2.5	10.5%	12.8%	10.0%	1.29×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.62
Draw & over 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.62
FC Emmen & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
FC Den Bosch & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (1UP)	59.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
FC Den Bosch (1UP)	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (2UP)	40.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Den Bosch (2UP)	38.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Emmen to win 2nd half	34.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
2nd half drawn	30.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
FC Emmen over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
FC Emmen under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.2%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
FC Emmen over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (+2.5)	91.3%	92.1%	88.2%	1.04×	1.09
FC Den Bosch (+1.5)	79.4%	78.5%	75.6%	1.04×	1.27
FC Emmen (+0.5)	62.0%	62.9%	66.5%	0.95×	1.59
FC Den Bosch (+0.5)	59.9%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75
FC Emmen (-0.5)	40.1%	42.9%	44.5%	0.97×	2.33
FC Den Bosch (-0.5)	38.0%	37.1%	33.5%	1.11×	2.70
FC Emmen (-1.5)	20.6%	21.5%	24.4%	0.88×	4.65
FC Emmen (-2.5)	8.7%	7.9%	11.8%	0.67×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede	82.4%	81.5%	81.3%	1.00×	1.23
FC Den Bosch clean sheet	17.6%	18.5%	18.7%	0.99×	5.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half	52.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half	47.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede in 2nd half	62.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 2nd half	37.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners	67.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners	63.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners	51.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners	49.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners	36.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners	32.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals	81.4%	81.5%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals	76.2%	76.2%	81.5%	0.94×	1.31
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals	50.2%	53.5%	42.0%	1.27×	1.87
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals	49.8%	46.5%	58.0%	0.80×	2.15
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals	23.8%	23.8%	18.6%	1.28×	4.21
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals	18.6%	18.5%	27.3%	0.68×	5.41
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half	85.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half	14.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch scores more in 2nd half	42.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
FC Den Bosch scores equally in both	33.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
FC Den Bosch scores more in 1st half	23.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (away no bet)	64.7%	62.0%	66.8%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.3%	38.0%	33.2%	1.15×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch even goals	51.7%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
FC Den Bosch odd goals	48.3%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.1%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Emmen to score 2+ in a row	40.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
FC Emmen to score 3+ in a row	14.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row	13.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen corners (+3.5)	91.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Emmen corners (+2.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Emmen corners (+1.5)	80.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5)	66.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5)	57.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Emmen corners (-1.5)	52.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5)	47.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Emmen corners (-2.5)	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
FC Emmen corners (-3.5)	33.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5)	20.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5)	8.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	23.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	15.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.2%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	8.3%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
2-2	7.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-1	5.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.51
1-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
Any other score	5.9%	7.4%	4.7%	1.59×	13.51
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.29
0-0	3.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
0-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.29
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-3	4.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-3	3.9%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.31
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2nd half DNB)	50.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
FC Emmen (2nd half DNB)	49.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen leading at HT (DNB)	53.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB)	46.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch (12)	78.1%	75.5%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
FC Emmen or draw (1X)	62.0%	63.6%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
FC Den Bosch or draw (X2)	59.9%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen or draw at HT	71.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
FC Den Bosch or draw at HT	66.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch at HT	62.2%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen or draw (1UP)	62.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP)	59.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch in 2nd half	69.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half	65.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
FC Emmen or draw in 2nd half	64.8%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (DNB)	51.4%	50.9%	57.0%	0.89×	1.97
FC Den Bosch (DNB)	48.6%	49.1%	43.0%	1.14×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to score first	49.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
FC Den Bosch to score first	47.8%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	3.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.97

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.7%	58.4%	58.8%	0.99×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.3%	41.6%	41.2%	1.01×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.5%	47.5%	49.5%	0.96×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.4%	27.9%	28.3%	0.99×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.0%	80.5%	79.0%	1.02×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.0%	19.5%	21.0%	0.93×	5.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Both score 2nd half only	29.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Both score in both halves	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.3%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.7%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.4%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
A half without a goal	34.6%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	40.6%	42.2%	41.0%	1.03×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.7%	35.0%	37.6%	0.93×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.8%	17.0%	18.4%	0.92×	5.89
7+ goals	5.9%	7.6%	3.2%	2.38×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1	31.3%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
FC Den Bosch to score 3+	23.8%	22.3%	18.6%	1.20×	4.49
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0	18.6%	19.5%	27.3%	0.72×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to score exactly 1	30.6%	32.6%	30.2%	1.08×	3.07
FC Emmen to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	25.8%	1.03×	3.77
FC Emmen to score 3+	25.2%	26.5%	25.6%	1.04×	3.77
FC Emmen to score exactly 0	17.6%	18.8%	18.7%	1.01×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.8%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
FC Emmen leading at HT	33.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
FC Den Bosch leading at HT	28.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen -1: 2	59.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Emmen -1: 1	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
FC Emmen -1: X	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:1)	59.9%	55.9%	55.5%	1.01×	1.79
FC Emmen (0:1)	20.6%	24.2%	24.4%	0.99×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	19.5%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:2)	79.4%	79.4%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	11.9%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.10
FC Emmen (0:2)	8.7%	7.7%	11.8%	0.65×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:3)	91.3%	92.7%	88.2%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.27
FC Emmen (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (0:4)	96.9%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	81.66
FC Emmen (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.80

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (1:0)	62.0%	65.3%	66.5%	0.98×	1.53
FC Den Bosch (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	15.5%	1.11×	5.85
Draw (1:0)	18.9%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (2:0)	80.9%	84.6%	84.5%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.2%	10.3%	8.8%	1.16×	9.73
FC Den Bosch (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	6.8%	0.95×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to concede	81.4%	80.9%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
FC Emmen clean sheet	18.6%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen clean sheet in 1st half	51.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
FC Emmen to concede in 1st half	49.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to concede in 2nd half	63.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
FC Emmen clean sheet in 2nd half	36.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen over 2.5 corners	92.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Emmen over 3.5 corners	85.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Emmen over 4.5 corners	74.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Emmen over 5.5 corners	61.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Emmen under 6.5 corners	51.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Emmen over 6.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Emmen under 5.5 corners	38.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Emmen under 4.5 corners	25.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Emmen under 3.5 corners	15.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
FC Emmen under 2.5 corners	7.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 3.5 goals	90.2%	92.2%	89.9%	1.03×	1.09
FC Emmen over 0.5 goals	82.4%	82.2%	81.3%	1.01×	1.22
FC Emmen under 2.5 goals	74.8%	74.2%	74.4%	1.00×	1.35
FC Emmen over 1.5 goals	51.8%	53.2%	51.2%	1.04×	1.88
FC Emmen under 1.5 goals	48.3%	46.8%	48.8%	0.96×	2.14
FC Emmen over 2.5 goals	25.2%	25.8%	25.6%	1.01×	3.88
FC Emmen under 0.5 goals	17.6%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.62
FC Emmen over 3.5 goals	9.8%	7.8%	10.1%	0.77×	12.81

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 1.5 in 1st half	82.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
FC Emmen over 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Emmen under 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
FC Emmen over 1.5 in 1st half	17.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
FC Emmen scores equally in both	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Emmen scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (home no bet)	63.4%	60.0%	60.3%	1.00×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.6%	40.0%	39.7%	1.01×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen even goals	51.6%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
FC Emmen odd goals	48.4%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	16.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
Any other HT score	7.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 2-0	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 1-2	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.30

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen at HT / FC Emmen at FT	24.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	21.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Emmen at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Emmen at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.53
FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
FC Emmen at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Emmen at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to score last	49.2%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
FC Den Bosch to score last	47.8%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	3.0%	4.4%	—	—	22.97

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Emmen to lead by 1 at any time	59.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time	57.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
FC Emmen to lead by 2 at any time	29.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time	27.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
FC Emmen to lead by 3 at any time	11.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time	10.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.46

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen most corners	62.8%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
FC Den Bosch most corners	28.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.2%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.4%	86.4%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.3%	78.7%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.0%	72.3%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.1%	72.3%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.5%	63.3%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.3%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.5%	53.2%	54.7%	0.97×	1.88
2-3 goals	40.6%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	41.3%	1.06×	2.29
4-6 goals	38.7%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.4%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
1-2 goals	30.7%	35.2%	32.9%	1.07×	2.84
5-6 goals	20.0%	24.4%	18.2%	1.34×	4.09
7+ goals	5.9%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen never behind	39.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
FC Den Bosch never behind	37.5%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	78.7%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.4%	66.3%	62.4%	1.06×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.4%	58.6%	59.3%	0.99×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.6%	41.4%	40.7%	1.02×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.6%	33.7%	37.6%	0.90×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	21.3%	1.29×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	18.4%	0.67×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	9.0%	1.38×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.6%	92.4%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.9%	81.1%	89.8%	0.90×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.8%	81.1%	77.2%	1.05×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.1%	67.5%	73.6%	0.92×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.0%	55.8%	52.0%	1.07×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.0%	44.2%	48.0%	0.92×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.9%	32.5%	26.4%	1.23×	3.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.2%	18.9%	22.8%	0.83×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.1%	18.9%	10.2%	1.85×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.4%	7.6%	3.4%	2.24×	13.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.9%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.9%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.1%	14.3%	—	—	7.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves	68.8%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
FC Emmen not to score in both halves	67.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
FC Emmen to score in both halves	33.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
FC Den Bosch to score in both halves	31.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.7%	59.8%	58.8%	1.02×	1.67
Only FC Emmen scores	15.6%	16.0%	22.6%	0.71×	6.24
Only FC Den Bosch scores	14.7%	11.0%	14.0%	0.79×	9.06
Neither team scores	3.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.97×	21.60

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	18.8%	17.5%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	12.4%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	13.2%	12.1%	9.0%	1.35×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.8%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	3.0%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
No goals in 1st half	24.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	17.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.3%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	13.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch not to win both halves	89.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Emmen not to win both halves	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Emmen to win both halves	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
FC Den Bosch to win both halves	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to win either half	56.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
FC Den Bosch to win either half	54.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
FC Den Bosch to win neither half	46.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
FC Emmen to win neither half	43.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch not to win to nil	85.3%	88.1%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
FC Emmen not to win to nil	84.4%	83.1%	77.4%	1.07×	1.20
FC Emmen to win to nil	15.6%	16.9%	22.6%	0.75×	5.92
FC Den Bosch to win to nil	14.7%	11.9%	14.0%	0.85×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	21.9%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
FC Emmen by 1	19.5%	17.0%	20.1%	0.85×	5.87
FC Den Bosch by 1	18.9%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
FC Emmen by 2	11.9%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
FC Den Bosch by 2	11.2%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
FC Emmen by 3+	8.7%	7.2%	11.8%	0.61×	13.90
FC Den Bosch by 3+	7.9%	7.2%	6.8%	1.06×	13.91