FC Groningen v FC Twente — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

FC Groningen

10:15 UTC

FC Twente

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 2h before kick-off

FC Groningen win

26.6%

model 28.4%

Draw

26.6%

model 26.6%

FC Twente win

46.8%

model 45.0%

272747

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 7.3%
2-1 7.2%
0-2 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.8%	Under 2.5	43.2%
BTTS yes	60.2%	BTTS no	39.8%
FC Groningen 1+	72.6%	FC Groningen 2+	37.1%
FC Twente 1+	81.2%	FC Twente 2+	49.7%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

FC Twente (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 41%

68.1% fair odds 1.47

strong signal · 298 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Twente not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1664 Elo against 1546.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Twente have an estimated 46.8% win probability, against 26.6% for FC Groningen and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for FC Groningen and 1.67 for FC Twente.

Why FC Groningen

Nothing in the data singles out FC Groningen.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why FC Twente can win

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1664 Elo against 1546. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Groningen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Twente, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Groningen: 50% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Twente: 59% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 9.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Twente are the model's most likely outcome at 46.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262648	1.26–1.79	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292842	1.21–1.49	1-1 13%	51%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win	48.5%	49.3%	30.3%	1.63×	2.03
FC Groningen to win	25.8%	27.6%	44.6%	0.62×	3.63
Draw	25.7%	27.6%	25.3%	1.09×	3.63

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & both teams score	26.1%	26.3%	17.3%	1.52×	3.80
FC Twente & not both score	22.3%	22.6%	13.2%	1.72×	4.42
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	17.8%	21.9%	0.81×	5.63
FC Groningen & both teams score	15.0%	17.7%	21.3%	0.83×	5.64
FC Groningen & not both score	10.8%	12.1%	23.4%	0.52×	8.24
Draw & not both score	6.0%	7.3%	3.5%	2.07×	13.70

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & over 1.5	41.2%	43.9%	26.3%	1.67×	2.28
FC Twente & over 2.5	33.6%	33.2%	20.5%	1.62×	3.02
FC Twente & under 3.5	28.9%	25.5%	20.1%	1.27×	3.92
FC Groningen & over 1.5	21.1%	21.5%	36.4%	0.59×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	17.6%	21.9%	0.80×	5.69
FC Twente & over 3.5	19.6%	17.6%	10.4%	1.69×	5.69
Draw & under 2.5	17.9%	17.6%	15.0%	1.17×	5.69
Draw & under 3.5	17.9%	17.6%	15.0%	1.17×	5.69
FC Groningen & over 2.5	17.3%	17.6%	29.1%	0.60×	5.69
FC Groningen & under 3.5	16.9%	17.6%	27.6%	0.64×	5.69
FC Twente & under 2.5	14.8%	12.7%	10.0%	1.28×	7.86
FC Groningen & over 3.5	9.0%	7.5%	17.2%	0.44×	13.40
FC Groningen & under 2.5	8.5%	7.5%	15.6%	0.48×	13.40
Draw & over 2.5	7.8%	7.5%	10.4%	0.72×	13.41
Draw & over 3.5	7.8%	7.5%	10.4%	0.72×	13.41
FC Twente & under 1.5	7.3%	7.5%	4.1%	1.80×	13.41
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.5%	3.5%	2.12×	13.42
FC Groningen & under 1.5	4.8%	4.6%	8.3%	0.55×	21.90

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (1UP)	65.0%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
FC Groningen (1UP)	45.8%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2UP)	48.5%	49.6%	—	—	2.01
FC Groningen (2UP)	25.8%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win 2nd half	43.0%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2nd half drawn	33.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
FC Groningen to win 2nd half	23.9%	22.3%	—	—	4.47

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (+2.5)	96.3%	97.1%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
FC Twente (+1.5)	88.7%	89.0%	74.6%	1.19×	1.12
FC Twente (+0.5)	74.2%	73.1%	55.4%	1.32×	1.37
FC Groningen (+0.5)	51.5%	51.6%	69.7%	0.74×	1.94
FC Twente (-0.5)	48.5%	48.4%	30.3%	1.60×	2.07
FC Groningen (-0.5)	25.8%	26.9%	44.6%	0.60×	3.72
FC Groningen (-1.5)	11.3%	11.0%	25.4%	0.43×	9.12
FC Groningen (-2.5)	3.7%	2.9%	13.3%	0.22×	34.90

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede	71.7%	77.0%	83.5%	0.92×	1.30
FC Twente clean sheet	28.3%	23.1%	16.5%	1.39×	4.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente clean sheet in 1st half	58.1%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
FC Twente to concede in 1st half	41.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 2.5 corners	79.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Twente under 6.5 corners	76.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Twente under 5.5 corners	65.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
FC Twente over 3.5 corners	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente under 4.5 corners	51.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
FC Twente over 4.5 corners	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Twente under 3.5 corners	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Twente over 5.5 corners	34.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
FC Twente over 6.5 corners	23.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
FC Twente under 2.5 corners	20.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 3.5 goals	89.4%	89.0%	94.3%	0.94×	1.12
FC Twente over 0.5 goals	83.2%	82.3%	73.2%	1.12×	1.22
FC Twente under 2.5 goals	73.5%	72.0%	85.0%	0.85×	1.39
FC Twente over 1.5 goals	53.3%	52.0%	41.8%	1.24×	1.92
FC Twente under 1.5 goals	46.7%	48.0%	58.2%	0.83×	2.08
FC Twente over 2.5 goals	26.5%	28.0%	15.0%	1.87×	3.57
FC Twente under 0.5 goals	16.8%	17.7%	26.8%	0.66×	5.63
FC Twente over 3.5 goals	10.6%	11.0%	5.7%	1.94×	9.10

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 1st half	83.9%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Twente over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Twente under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
FC Twente over 1.5 in 1st half	16.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (away no bet)	50.2%	51.1%	63.8%	0.80×	1.96
Draw (away no bet)	49.8%	48.9%	36.2%	1.35×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente even goals	51.4%	52.4%	57.4%	0.91×	1.91
FC Twente odd goals	48.6%	47.6%	42.6%	1.12×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.1%	18.4%	—	—	5.44

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.7%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
FC Twente to score 2+ in a row	43.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
FC Groningen to score 2+ in a row	26.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
FC Twente to score 3+ in a row	17.5%	17.8%	—	—	5.61
FC Groningen to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Twente corners (+3.5)	79.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Groningen corners (+2.5)	78.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Twente corners (+2.5)	71.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Groningen corners (+1.5)	69.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Twente corners (+1.5)	61.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Groningen corners (-1.5)	38.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
FC Twente corners (-1.5)	30.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
FC Groningen corners (-2.5)	28.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
FC Twente corners (-2.5)	21.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
FC Groningen corners (-3.5)	20.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
FC Twente corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.8%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	31.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	28.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.6%	11.6%	1.00×	8.63
1-2	9.6%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.74
0-2	7.6%	7.3%	6.0%	1.22×	13.74
0-1	7.3%	7.3%	4.1%	1.76×	13.75
2-1	6.8%	7.3%	8.0%	0.91×	13.75
0-0	6.0%	7.3%	3.5%	2.06×	13.75
2-2	6.0%	7.3%	8.6%	0.85×	13.75
1-3	5.7%	7.3%	2.6%	2.79×	13.75
0-3	4.5%	1.8%	2.3%	0.79×	55.40
1-0	4.8%	1.8%	8.3%	0.22×	55.39
2-0	3.8%	1.8%	7.5%	0.24×	55.41
Any other score	4.4%	1.8%	6.6%	0.27×	55.40
1-4	2.5%	1.8%	2.1%	0.84×	55.45
2-3	3.6%	1.8%	2.5%	0.74×	55.42
3-1	2.8%	1.8%	3.7%	0.49×	55.44
3-2	2.5%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.45
0-4	2.0%	1.8%	0.9%	1.96×	55.46
2-4	1.6%	1.8%	0.5%	3.92×	55.47
3-0	1.6%	1.8%	4.3%	0.42×	55.47
3-3	1.5%	1.8%	2.0%	0.91×	55.47
3-4	0.7%	1.8%	0.6%	2.94×	55.49
4-0	0.5%	1.8%	1.8%	0.98×	55.50
4-1	0.9%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	55.49
4-2	0.8%	1.8%	1.2%	1.47×	55.49
4-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.6%	2.94×	55.50
4-4	0.2%	1.8%	0.2%	11.77×	55.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente leading at HT (DNB)	59.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
FC Groningen leading at HT (DNB)	40.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or FC Twente (12)	74.3%	72.4%	74.7%	0.97×	1.38
FC Twente or draw (X2)	74.2%	72.4%	55.4%	1.31×	1.38
FC Groningen or draw (1X)	51.5%	50.7%	69.7%	0.73×	1.97

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw at HT	75.9%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
FC Groningen or draw at HT	65.2%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
FC Groningen or FC Twente at HT	59.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw (1UP)	74.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
FC Groningen or draw (1UP)	51.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw in 2nd half	76.1%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
FC Groningen or FC Twente in 2nd half	66.9%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
FC Groningen or draw in 2nd half	57.0%	60.5%	—	—	1.65

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (DNB)	65.2%	68.1%	40.5%	1.68×	1.47
FC Groningen (DNB)	34.8%	31.9%	59.5%	0.54×	3.13

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score first	55.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Groningen to score first	38.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goal scored	6.0%	6.2%	—	—	16.08

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.9%	57.3%	60.2%	0.95×	1.75
Not both teams to score	39.1%	42.7%	39.8%	1.07×	2.34

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.9%	45.4%	48.7%	0.93×	2.20
Not both score & under 2.5	29.4%	31.6%	28.8%	1.10×	3.17
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	11.7%	11.6%	1.01×	8.53
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.8%	11.2%	0.78×	11.43

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.9%	81.2%	80.6%	1.01×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	19.1%	18.8%	19.4%	0.97×	5.31

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.9%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.1%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.9%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	11.6%	—	—	8.62
Both score in both halves	7.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.41

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.4%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	21.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
A half without a goal	39.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.7%	45.9%	46.9%	0.98×	2.18
4-6 goals	32.7%	31.6%	33.7%	0.94×	3.16
0-1 goals	18.0%	20.7%	15.6%	1.33×	4.82
7+ goals	3.6%	2.0%	4.1%	0.48×	50.86

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score exactly 1	30.0%	27.2%	31.5%	0.86×	3.68
FC Twente to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.1%	27.0%	1.00×	3.70
FC Twente to score 3+	26.5%	27.1%	15.0%	1.80×	3.70
FC Twente to score exactly 0	16.8%	18.3%	26.8%	0.68×	5.45

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score exactly 1	35.7%	36.0%	33.1%	1.09×	2.78
FC Groningen to score exactly 0	28.3%	27.1%	16.5%	1.64×	3.69
FC Groningen to score exactly 2	22.5%	23.0%	27.0%	0.85×	4.36
FC Groningen to score 3+	13.4%	13.5%	23.7%	0.57×	7.41

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
FC Twente leading at HT	34.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
FC Groningen leading at HT	24.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente -1: 1	51.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
FC Twente -1: 2	27.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
FC Twente -1: X	21.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:1)	74.2%	68.9%	55.4%	1.24×	1.45
Draw (0:1)	14.6%	10.8%	19.3%	0.56×	9.29
FC Groningen (0:1)	11.3%	10.6%	25.4%	0.42×	9.44

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:2)	88.7%	89.8%	74.6%	1.20×	1.11
Draw (0:2)	7.6%	7.2%	12.3%	0.59×	13.92
FC Groningen (0:2)	3.7%	3.0%	13.3%	0.23×	32.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:3)	96.3%	97.1%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.3%	7.8%	0.30×	43.00
FC Groningen (0:3)	1.0%	2.3%	5.7%	0.41×	43.38

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	94.3%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	80.95
FC Groningen (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.24

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (1:0)	51.5%	48.5%	69.7%	0.70×	2.06
FC Twente (1:0)	27.3%	28.6%	15.6%	1.83×	3.49
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	22.9%	14.9%	1.54×	4.37

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (2:0)	72.7%	74.5%	84.4%	0.88×	1.34
Draw (2:0)	15.1%	14.8%	8.9%	1.67×	6.76
FC Twente (2:0)	12.2%	12.1%	6.9%	1.75×	8.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Halves equal	25.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to concede	83.2%	84.8%	73.2%	1.16×	1.18
FC Groningen clean sheet	16.8%	15.2%	26.8%	0.57×	6.59

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to concede in 1st half	51.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Groningen clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen over 2.5 corners	83.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
FC Groningen under 6.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Groningen over 3.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Groningen under 5.5 corners	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Groningen over 4.5 corners	55.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
FC Groningen under 4.5 corners	45.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Groningen over 5.5 corners	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Groningen under 3.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
FC Groningen over 6.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Groningen under 2.5 corners	16.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 3.5 goals	96.1%	97.7%	89.1%	1.10×	1.02
FC Groningen under 2.5 goals	86.6%	87.8%	76.3%	1.15×	1.14
FC Groningen over 0.5 goals	71.7%	72.7%	83.5%	0.87×	1.38
FC Groningen under 1.5 goals	64.1%	62.7%	49.5%	1.27×	1.60
FC Groningen over 1.5 goals	35.9%	37.3%	50.5%	0.74×	2.68
FC Groningen under 0.5 goals	28.3%	27.3%	16.5%	1.65×	3.66
FC Groningen over 2.5 goals	13.4%	12.2%	23.7%	0.52×	8.18
FC Groningen over 3.5 goals	3.9%	2.3%	10.9%	0.21×	43.67

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Groningen under 0.5 in 1st half	58.1%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
FC Groningen over 0.5 in 1st half	41.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
FC Groningen over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (home no bet)	65.4%	68.0%	54.5%	1.25×	1.47
Draw (home no bet)	34.6%	32.0%	45.5%	0.70×	3.13

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen even goals	54.0%	50.3%	51.1%	0.98×	1.99
FC Groningen odd goals	46.0%	49.7%	48.9%	1.02×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
HT 0-1	20.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.43
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.2%	—	—	8.95
HT 0-2	7.3%	7.7%	—	—	13.00
Any other HT score	5.3%	7.7%	—	—	13.03
HT 2-0	4.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.76
HT 1-2	3.9%	2.5%	—	—	39.78
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.83
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.94

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente at HT / FC Twente at FT	28.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Draw at HT / FC Twente at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
FC Groningen at HT / FC Groningen at FT	14.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Draw at HT / FC Groningen at FT	9.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.17
FC Groningen at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
FC Twente at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.30
FC Groningen at HT / FC Twente at FT	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.36
FC Twente at HT / FC Groningen at FT	1.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.43

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score last	55.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
FC Groningen to score last	38.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	6.0%	6.2%	—	—	16.08

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
FC Twente to lead by 1 at any time	65.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
FC Groningen to lead by 1 at any time	45.8%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
FC Twente to lead by 2 at any time	34.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.3%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
FC Groningen to lead by 2 at any time	17.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.66
FC Twente to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.68
FC Groningen to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.28

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen most corners	49.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
FC Twente most corners	40.3%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.8%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.4%	78.9%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.8%	73.7%	75.8%	0.97×	1.36
2-5 goals	73.1%	73.6%	75.5%	0.98×	1.36
2-4 goals	62.7%	62.3%	63.7%	0.98×	1.61
1-3 goals	57.7%	58.8%	59.0%	1.00×	1.70
3-6 goals	55.1%	58.7%	55.7%	1.05×	1.70
3-5 goals	49.9%	48.0%	50.8%	0.94×	2.08
2-3 goals	45.7%	48.0%	46.9%	1.02×	2.08
3-4 goals	39.5%	38.9%	39.1%	1.00×	2.57
1-2 goals	35.3%	38.8%	36.9%	1.05×	2.58
4-6 goals	32.7%	34.1%	33.7%	1.01×	2.93
4-5 goals	27.5%	30.5%	28.8%	1.06×	3.28
5-6 goals	15.7%	18.1%	16.8%	1.07×	5.54
7+ goals	3.6%	2.0%	4.1%	0.49×	48.92

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente never behind	48.2%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
FC Groningen never behind	29.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	50.1%	49.0%	1.02×	2.00
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.9%	51.0%	0.98×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	93.0%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.1%	92.9%	91.0%	1.02×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.0%	81.0%	84.4%	0.96×	1.24
Under 4.5 goals	80.8%	80.9%	79.2%	1.02×	1.24
Under 3.5 goals	63.7%	61.6%	62.3%	0.99×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.7%	57.8%	59.7%	0.97×	1.73
Under 2.5 goals	41.3%	42.2%	40.3%	1.05×	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	36.3%	38.4%	37.7%	1.02×	2.60
Over 4.5 goals	19.2%	19.1%	20.8%	0.92×	5.24
Under 1.5 goals	18.0%	19.0%	15.6%	1.22×	5.25
Over 5.5 goals	8.9%	7.1%	9.0%	0.78×	14.15
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.0%	3.5%	2.00×	14.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.1%	92.7%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.8%	76.5%	75.0%	1.02×	1.31
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.5%	76.5%	79.3%	0.96×	1.31
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.2%	53.1%	51.7%	1.03×	1.88
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.8%	46.9%	48.3%	0.97×	2.13
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.5%	23.5%	20.7%	1.14×	4.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.2%	23.5%	25.0%	0.94×	4.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.9%	7.3%	10.2%	0.72×	13.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.8%	4.3%	0.64×	35.87

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.3%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.0%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.7%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.9%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	23.7%	—	—	4.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.1%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen not to score in both halves	78.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
FC Twente not to score in both halves	66.5%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
FC Twente to score in both halves	33.5%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
FC Groningen to score in both halves	21.5%	21.9%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.9%	57.9%	60.2%	0.96×	1.73
Only FC Twente scores	22.3%	22.8%	13.2%	1.73×	4.38
Only FC Groningen scores	10.8%	10.8%	23.4%	0.46×	9.29
Neither team scores	6.0%	6.6%	3.5%	1.88×	15.08

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.3%	21.6%	24.8%	0.87×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	21.5%	22.2%	0.97×	4.64
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	18.6%	17.0%	1.09×	5.39
Exactly 1 goals	12.0%	12.4%	12.3%	1.01×	8.09
Exactly 5 goals	10.4%	12.3%	11.9%	1.03×	8.10
6 or more goals	8.9%	7.6%	9.0%	0.84×	13.12
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	3.5%	2.16×	13.16

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
1 goal in 2nd half	29.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 2nd half	17.1%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen not to win both halves	94.1%	93.4%	—	—	1.07
FC Twente not to win both halves	84.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
FC Twente to win both halves	15.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88
FC Groningen to win both halves	5.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win either half	62.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
FC Groningen to win neither half	57.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
FC Groningen to win either half	42.1%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
FC Twente to win neither half	37.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen not to win to nil	89.2%	88.3%	76.6%	1.15×	1.13
FC Twente not to win to nil	77.7%	77.2%	86.8%	0.89×	1.30
FC Twente to win to nil	22.3%	22.8%	13.2%	1.73×	4.38
FC Groningen to win to nil	10.8%	11.7%	23.4%	0.50×	8.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.7%	28.0%	25.3%	1.11×	3.57
FC Twente by 1	21.1%	23.7%	14.9%	1.60×	4.22
FC Twente by 2	15.1%	16.9%	8.9%	1.91×	5.90
FC Groningen by 1	14.6%	11.9%	19.3%	0.62×	8.42
FC Twente by 3+	12.2%	11.9%	6.9%	1.72×	8.44
FC Groningen by 2	7.6%	7.1%	12.3%	0.58×	14.10
FC Groningen by 3+	3.7%	2.8%	13.3%	0.21×	35.24