FC Groningen v sc Heerenveen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Groningen

20:00 UTC

sc Heerenveen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 705h before kick-off

FC Groningen win

47.0%

model 46.5%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.6%

sc Heerenveen win

26.5%

model 27.9%

472627

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
2-1 9.4%
1-2 7.1%
2-0 7.0%
1-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.8%	Under 2.5	40.2%
BTTS yes	62.2%	BTTS no	37.8%
FC Groningen 1+	82.8%	FC Groningen 2+	52.6%
sc Heerenveen 1+	73.6%	sc Heerenveen 2+	38.4%

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

FC Groningen or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 70%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

moderate signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 80%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 264 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Groningen.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Groningen have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for sc Heerenveen and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.76 for FC Groningen and 1.33 for sc Heerenveen.

Why FC Groningen

Nothing in the data singles out FC Groningen.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why sc Heerenveen can win

Nothing in the data singles out sc Heerenveen.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Groningen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for sc Heerenveen, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Groningen: 50% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. sc Heerenveen: 55% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Groningen are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462628	1.76–1.33	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462727	1.61–1.20	1-1 13%	53%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to win	45.5%	47.3%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11
sc Heerenveen to win	27.3%	27.9%	30.1%	0.93×	3.58
Draw	27.2%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen & both teams score	22.7%	21.8%	21.2%	1.03×	4.58
FC Groningen & not both score	22.8%	21.8%	23.4%	0.93×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	17.2%	0.77×	7.53
sc Heerenveen & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen & over 1.5	37.1%	34.9%	36.2%	0.96×	2.87
FC Groningen & under 3.5	29.7%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
FC Groningen & over 2.5	29.3%	26.1%	28.9%	0.90×	3.84
sc Heerenveen & over 1.5	21.3%	21.6%	26.2%	0.83×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	15.1%	1.43×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	15.1%	1.43×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & over 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
FC Groningen & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	15.7%	1.15×	5.56
FC Groningen & over 3.5	15.8%	18.0%	17.0%	1.06×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & under 2.5	10.3%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
FC Groningen & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
sc Heerenveen & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	10.4%	0.77×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
sc Heerenveen & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	4.1%	1.93×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (1UP)	61.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
sc Heerenveen (1UP)	46.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (2UP)	45.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
sc Heerenveen (2UP)	27.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	35.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
sc Heerenveen to win 2nd half	26.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
FC Groningen over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
FC Groningen under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
FC Groningen over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (+2.5)	90.0%	88.5%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
sc Heerenveen (+1.5)	75.8%	78.5%	74.7%	1.05×	1.27
FC Groningen (+0.5)	72.7%	73.7%	69.9%	1.05×	1.36
sc Heerenveen (+0.5)	54.5%	52.4%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
FC Groningen (-0.5)	45.5%	47.6%	44.4%	1.07×	2.10
sc Heerenveen (-0.5)	27.3%	26.3%	30.1%	0.87×	3.80
FC Groningen (-1.5)	24.2%	21.5%	25.3%	0.85×	4.65
FC Groningen (-2.5)	10.0%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede	80.0%	78.8%	83.6%	0.94×	1.27
sc Heerenveen clean sheet	20.1%	21.2%	16.4%	1.29×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen clean sheet in 1st half	50.1%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
sc Heerenveen to concede in 1st half	49.9%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede in 2nd half	60.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
sc Heerenveen clean sheet in 2nd half	40.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 6.5 corners	79.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
sc Heerenveen over 2.5 corners	77.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
sc Heerenveen under 5.5 corners	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
sc Heerenveen over 3.5 corners	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
sc Heerenveen under 4.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
sc Heerenveen over 4.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
sc Heerenveen under 3.5 corners	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
sc Heerenveen over 5.5 corners	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
sc Heerenveen under 2.5 corners	22.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
sc Heerenveen over 6.5 corners	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
sc Heerenveen under 2.5 goals	87.9%	87.8%	84.9%	1.03×	1.14
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 goals	66.2%	68.0%	58.1%	1.17×	1.47
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 goals	33.8%	32.0%	41.9%	0.77×	3.12
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	26.8%	1.19×	3.13
sc Heerenveen over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.2%	15.1%	0.81×	8.20
sc Heerenveen over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen scores equally in both	41.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
sc Heerenveen scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
sc Heerenveen scores more in 1st half	21.7%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (away no bet)	62.6%	61.9%	63.5%	0.98×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.4%	38.1%	36.5%	1.04×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen even goals	54.5%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
sc Heerenveen odd goals	45.5%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
FC Groningen to score 2+ in a row	39.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
sc Heerenveen to score 2+ in a row	24.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
FC Groningen to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
sc Heerenveen to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.6%	—	—	18.01

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen corners (+3.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Groningen corners (+2.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Groningen corners (+1.5)	78.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
sc Heerenveen corners (+3.5)	68.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
sc Heerenveen corners (+2.5)	59.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Groningen corners (-1.5)	50.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
sc Heerenveen corners (+1.5)	49.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Groningen corners (-2.5)	40.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Groningen corners (-3.5)	31.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
sc Heerenveen corners (-1.5)	21.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
sc Heerenveen corners (-2.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
sc Heerenveen corners (-3.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
1-0	8.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.50
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.50
0-0	7.3%	7.4%	3.5%	2.12×	13.50
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-0	7.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.51
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-1	5.0%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.29
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (2nd half DNB)	58.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
sc Heerenveen (2nd half DNB)	41.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen leading at HT (DNB)	61.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
sc Heerenveen leading at HT (DNB)	38.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or sc Heerenveen (12)	72.8%	72.1%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
FC Groningen or draw (1X)	72.7%	72.1%	69.9%	1.03×	1.39
sc Heerenveen or draw (X2)	54.5%	52.7%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw at HT	78.0%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
sc Heerenveen or draw at HT	64.6%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
FC Groningen or sc Heerenveen at HT	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw (1UP)	72.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
sc Heerenveen or draw (1UP)	54.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen or draw in 2nd half	73.3%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
FC Groningen or sc Heerenveen in 2nd half	64.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
sc Heerenveen or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (DNB)	62.5%	62.7%	59.6%	1.05×	1.60
sc Heerenveen (DNB)	37.5%	37.3%	40.4%	0.92×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score first	53.0%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
sc Heerenveen to score first	39.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.2%	55.0%	60.3%	0.91×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.8%	45.0%	39.7%	1.13×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.3%	41.6%	48.7%	0.85×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.8%	34.5%	28.8%	1.20×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.9%	82.6%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.1%	17.4%	19.6%	0.89×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.8%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.2%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.4%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	47.2%	46.7%	1.01×	2.12
4-6 goals	28.5%	26.6%	33.8%	0.79×	3.76
0-1 goals	21.7%	22.9%	15.7%	1.46×	4.37
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 0	30.1%	33.8%	26.8%	1.26×	2.96
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.3%	26.9%	0.83×	4.49
sc Heerenveen to score 3+	12.1%	12.9%	15.1%	0.85×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score exactly 1	32.2%	32.6%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
FC Groningen to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
FC Groningen to score 3+	21.8%	23.3%	23.7%	0.98×	4.29
FC Groningen to score exactly 0	20.1%	23.3%	16.4%	1.42×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Groningen leading at HT	35.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
sc Heerenveen leading at HT	22.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.79

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen -1: 2	54.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
FC Groningen -1: 1	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
FC Groningen -1: X	21.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:1)	54.5%	51.3%	55.6%	0.92×	1.95
FC Groningen (0:1)	24.2%	24.2%	25.3%	0.96×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	21.3%	24.2%	19.3%	1.25×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:2)	75.8%	79.3%	74.7%	1.06×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.2%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.09
FC Groningen (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:3)	90.0%	90.7%	86.8%	1.05×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	7.8%	0.75×	17.22
FC Groningen (0:3)	3.4%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:4)	96.6%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.83
FC Groningen (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.00

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (1:0)	72.7%	72.4%	69.9%	1.04×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.6%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.85
sc Heerenveen (1:0)	11.7%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen (2:0)	88.3%	88.5%	84.5%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.68
sc Heerenveen (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to concede	69.9%	66.7%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
FC Groningen clean sheet	30.1%	33.3%	26.8%	1.24×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen clean sheet in 1st half	61.9%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
FC Groningen to concede in 1st half	38.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to concede in 2nd half	51.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
FC Groningen clean sheet in 2nd half	48.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen over 2.5 corners	89.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Groningen over 3.5 corners	79.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Groningen over 4.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Groningen under 6.5 corners	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Groningen over 5.5 corners	53.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Groningen under 5.5 corners	46.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Groningen over 6.5 corners	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Groningen under 4.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Groningen under 3.5 corners	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Groningen under 2.5 corners	10.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 3.5 goals	92.0%	92.2%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
FC Groningen over 0.5 goals	80.0%	77.8%	83.6%	0.93×	1.29
FC Groningen under 2.5 goals	78.2%	77.7%	76.3%	1.02×	1.29
FC Groningen under 1.5 goals	52.3%	53.2%	49.5%	1.08×	1.88
FC Groningen over 1.5 goals	47.7%	46.8%	50.5%	0.93×	2.14
FC Groningen over 2.5 goals	21.8%	22.3%	23.7%	0.94×	4.49
FC Groningen under 0.5 goals	20.1%	22.3%	16.4%	1.35×	4.49
FC Groningen over 3.5 goals	8.0%	7.8%	10.8%	0.72×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen under 1.5 in 1st half	84.7%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
FC Groningen under 0.5 in 1st half	50.1%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
FC Groningen over 0.5 in 1st half	49.9%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
FC Groningen over 1.5 in 1st half	15.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen scores more in 2nd half	39.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
FC Groningen scores equally in both	34.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
FC Groningen scores more in 1st half	26.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (home no bet)	50.0%	51.3%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	50.0%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen even goals	52.0%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
FC Groningen odd goals	48.0%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 2-0	7.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen at HT / FC Groningen at FT	27.6%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / FC Groningen at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
sc Heerenveen at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	14.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	10.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
FC Groningen at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
sc Heerenveen at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.58
sc Heerenveen at HT / FC Groningen at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
FC Groningen at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to score last	53.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
sc Heerenveen to score last	39.6%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Groningen to lead by 1 at any time	61.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
sc Heerenveen to lead by 1 at any time	46.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
FC Groningen to lead by 2 at any time	30.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
sc Heerenveen to lead by 2 at any time	17.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
FC Groningen to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
sc Heerenveen to lead by 3 at any time	5.2%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen most corners	60.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
sc Heerenveen most corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.3%	78.7%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.8%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.0%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.7%	63.3%	58.9%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.8%	53.2%	55.7%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.5%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.7%	48.5%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.4%	39.2%	37.0%	1.06×	2.55
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.5%	30.2%	33.8%	0.89×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.4%	24.5%	28.8%	0.85×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.9%	14.8%	16.9%	0.88×	6.75
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen never behind	46.7%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
sc Heerenveen never behind	30.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.3%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.7%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.6%	82.3%	79.1%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	84.3%	0.92×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.0%	66.3%	62.3%	1.07×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.2%	52.5%	59.7%	0.88×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	46.8%	47.5%	40.3%	1.18×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.0%	33.7%	37.7%	0.89×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	15.7%	1.45×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.4%	17.7%	20.9%	0.85×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.8%	92.4%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.8%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.1%	72.4%	79.2%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.1%	61.9%	51.7%	1.20×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.9%	38.1%	48.3%	0.79×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.9%	27.6%	20.8%	1.33×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.2%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.2%	7.6%	10.3%	0.73×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	4.3%	0.65×	35.58

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	20.6%	—	—	4.85
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen not to score in both halves	80.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Groningen not to score in both halves	70.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
FC Groningen to score in both halves	29.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
sc Heerenveen to score in both halves	19.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.2%	58.6%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Only FC Groningen scores	22.8%	22.3%	23.4%	0.95×	4.49
Only sc Heerenveen scores	12.7%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.3%	7.1%	3.5%	2.03×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.1%	24.9%	24.8%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.4%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	11.9%	0.64×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.3%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	31.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	19.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen not to win both halves	94.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Groningen not to win both halves	86.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
FC Groningen to win both halves	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
sc Heerenveen to win both halves	6.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Groningen to win either half	59.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
sc Heerenveen to win neither half	57.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
sc Heerenveen to win either half	42.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
FC Groningen to win neither half	40.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen not to win to nil	87.3%	88.1%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
FC Groningen not to win to nil	77.2%	78.1%	76.6%	1.02×	1.28
FC Groningen to win to nil	22.8%	21.9%	23.4%	0.93×	4.57
sc Heerenveen to win to nil	12.7%	11.9%	13.1%	0.91×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.2%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
FC Groningen by 1	21.3%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
sc Heerenveen by 1	15.6%	17.0%	14.8%	1.15×	5.87
FC Groningen by 2	14.2%	11.8%	12.2%	0.97×	8.50
FC Groningen by 3+	10.0%	11.7%	13.2%	0.89×	8.51
sc Heerenveen by 2	7.9%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
sc Heerenveen by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.79