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FC Heidenheim v Hoffenheim — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 27 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

0–0
1.58 – 0.69 xG
Shots
17 – 12
On target
3 – 4
Shots in box
10 – 4
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.29 – 0.05
Goals − xG
-2.01 – -0.70
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.11.72.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'
FC Heidenheim 2.01 xGHoffenheim 0.70 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Valentin Gendrey 6' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marvin Pieringer 7' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Patrick Mainka 11' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Benedikt Gimber 14' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Florian Grillitsch 16' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Niklas Dorsch 18' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Marvin Pieringer 26' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Tom Bischof 26' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Paul Wanner 36' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Jonas Föhrenbach 43' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Adam Hlozek 45' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Léo Scienza 46' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Florian Grillitsch 47' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 50' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Marius Bülter 50' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Tom Bischof 50' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 56' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 58' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Léo Scienza 59' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jan Schöppner 70' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Breunig 70' — Saved Shot (0.65 xG, Open Play)Paul Wanner 70' — Missed Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Léo Scienza 71' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Paul Wanner 79' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Sirlord Conteh 80' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Mërgim Berisha 81' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jonas Föhrenbach 84' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Patrick Mainka 87' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mërgim Berisha 92' — Saved Shot (0.24 xG, Open Play)
FC Heidenheim attacking right Hoffenheim attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Hoffenheim Valentin Gendrey 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
7' FC Heidenheim Marvin Pieringer 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Omar Traoré
11' FC Heidenheim Patrick Mainka 0.06 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Marvin Pieringer
14' FC Heidenheim Benedikt Gimber 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Léo Scienza
16' Hoffenheim Florian Grillitsch 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Tom Bischof
18' FC Heidenheim Niklas Dorsch 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
26' FC Heidenheim Marvin Pieringer 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jonas Föhrenbach
26' Hoffenheim Tom Bischof 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Stanley N'Soki
36' FC Heidenheim Paul Wanner 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonas Föhrenbach
43' FC Heidenheim Jonas Föhrenbach 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Léo Scienza
45' Hoffenheim Adam Hlozek 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Tom Bischof
46' FC Heidenheim Léo Scienza 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Marvin Pieringer
47' Hoffenheim Florian Grillitsch 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tom Bischof
50' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
50' Hoffenheim Marius Bülter 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Adam Hlozek
50' Hoffenheim Tom Bischof 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
56' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Valentin Gendrey
58' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tom Bischof
59' FC Heidenheim Léo Scienza 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
70' FC Heidenheim Jan Schöppner 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Patrick Mainka
70' FC Heidenheim Maximilian Breunig 0.65 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jan Schöppner
70' FC Heidenheim Paul Wanner 0.50 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
71' FC Heidenheim Léo Scienza 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Paul Wanner
79' FC Heidenheim Paul Wanner 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
80' FC Heidenheim Sirlord Conteh 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
81' Hoffenheim Mërgim Berisha 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
84' FC Heidenheim Jonas Föhrenbach 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
87' FC Heidenheim Patrick Mainka 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
92' Hoffenheim Mërgim Berisha 0.24 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Adam Hlozek

Players

Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Andrej Kramaric AMC 90 0 0 3 0 0.12 0.00 0.17
Adam Hlozek FW 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.35 0.46
Anton Stach DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Akpoguma DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Oliver Baumann GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Alexander Prass ML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Tom Bischof MC 86 0 0 2 4 0.07 0.14 0.15
Stanley N'Soki DC 86 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Marius Bülter FW 69 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.16
Florian Grillitsch MC 60 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.07
Valentin Gendrey MR 60 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.02 0.04
Umut Tohumcu Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Pavel Kaderábek Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Mërgim Berisha Sub 21 0 0 2 0 0.26 0.00 0.26
Diadie Samassékou Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arthur Chaves Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

FC Heidenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jan Schöppner MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.13 0.65 0.79
Léo Scienza FWL 90 0 0 3 2 0.09 0.09 0.15
Patrick Mainka DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.09 0.13 0.17
Benedikt Gimber DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.00
Jonas Föhrenbach DL 90 0 0 2 2 0.04 0.16 0.16
Lennard Maloney MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Müller GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Omar Traoré DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.18
Paul Wanner FWR 86 0 0 3 1 0.67 0.02 0.67
Marvin Pieringer FW 72 0 0 2 2 0.12 0.08 0.13
Niklas Dorsch MC 72 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.10
Maximilian Breunig Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.65 0.00 0.79
Sirlord Conteh Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.27
Adrian Beck Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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