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FC Heidenheim v Union Berlin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 11 January 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

FC Heidenheim
2–0
1.76 – 1.03 xG
Union Berlin
Shots
16 – 10
On target
8 – 6
Shots in box
10 – 5
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.36 – 0.60
Goals − xG
+0.22 – -1.03
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.52.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Frans Krätzig 16' — goalAdrian Beck 82' — goal
FC Heidenheim 1.78 xGUnion Berlin 1.03 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Benedict Hollerbach 5' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jordan Siebatcheu 7' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 10' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Diogo Leite 11' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Robert Skov 15' — Saved Shot (0.53 xG, From Corner)Frans Krätzig 16' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Patrick Mainka 20' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Paul Wanner 24' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Woo-Yeong Jeong 34' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Paul Wanner 38' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Benedict Hollerbach 39' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Jan Schöppner 43' — Saved Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Budu Zivzivadze 44' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Jan Schöppner 44' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Omar Traoré 50' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Jonas Föhrenbach 54' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jan Schöppner 55' — Missed Shot (0.26 xG, Open Play)Tim Skarke 55' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Robert Skov 70' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marnon Busch 73' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Budu Zivzivadze 78' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yorbe Vertessen 80' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Adrian Beck 82' — Goal (0.32 xG, Open Play)Budu Zivzivadze 82' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Adrian Beck 87' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Sirlord Conteh 92' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)
FC Heidenheim attacking right Union Berlin attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jordan Siebatcheu
7' Union Berlin Jordan Siebatcheu 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
10' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Danilho Doekhi
11' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.07 From Corner — Saved Shot —
15' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.53 From Corner — Saved Shot Christopher Trimmel
16' FC Heidenheim Frans Krätzig 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Goal Léo Scienza
20' FC Heidenheim Patrick Mainka 0.09 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Léo Scienza
24' FC Heidenheim Paul Wanner 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
34' Union Berlin Woo-Yeong Jeong 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
38' FC Heidenheim Paul Wanner 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot —
39' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jordan Siebatcheu
43' FC Heidenheim Jan Schöppner 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Omar Traoré
44' FC Heidenheim Budu Zivzivadze 0.10 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Frans Krätzig
44' FC Heidenheim Jan Schöppner 0.06 From Corner — Missed Shot Niklas Dorsch
50' FC Heidenheim Omar Traoré 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sirlord Conteh
54' FC Heidenheim Jonas Föhrenbach 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
55' FC Heidenheim Jan Schöppner 0.26 Open Play — Missed Shot Omar Traoré
55' Union Berlin Tim Skarke 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Aljoscha Kemlein
70' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kevin Vogt
73' FC Heidenheim Marnon Busch 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Budu Zivzivadze
78' FC Heidenheim Budu Zivzivadze 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Omar Traoré
80' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Andrej Ilic
82' FC Heidenheim Adrian Beck 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
82' FC Heidenheim Budu Zivzivadze 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Sirlord Conteh
87' FC Heidenheim Adrian Beck 0.07 Open Play — Missed Shot Marnon Busch
92' FC Heidenheim Sirlord Conteh 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Adrian Beck

Players

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Robert Skov MR 90 0 0 2 0 0.55 0.00 0.02
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.04
Alexander Schwolow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christopher Trimmel DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.53 0.19
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.15
Aljoscha Kemlein MC 77 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.10
Benedict Hollerbach FW 64 0 0 3 0 0.21 0.00 0.21
Jordan Siebatcheu FW 64 0 0 1 2 0.09 0.10 0.11
Janik Haberer MC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Woo-Yeong Jeong ML 50 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Tim Skarke Sub 40 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Tom Rothe DL 36 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Kevin Vogt Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.04
Lucas Tousart Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Andrej Ilic Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Yorbe Vertessen Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02

FC Heidenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jan Schöppner DMC 90 0 0 3 0 0.45 0.00 0.57
Budu Zivzivadze FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.24 0.03 0.17
Patrick Mainka DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.19
Omar Traoré DR 90 0 0 1 3 0.09 0.44 0.53
Jonas Föhrenbach DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.32
Kevin Müller GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.39
Niklas Dorsch DMC 89 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.14
Frans Krätzig AML 77 1 0 1 1 0.30 0.10 0.44
Paul Wanner AMC 77 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.69
Benedikt Gimber DC 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Sirlord Conteh Sub 63 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.18 0.44
Léo Scienza AMR 27 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.39 0.30
Tim Siersleben Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Adrian Beck Sub 13 1 0 2 1 0.40 0.05 0.53
Marnon Busch Sub 13 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.07 0.11
Luca Kerber Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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