FC Juarez v Tigres UANL — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

FC Juarez

03:00 UTC

Tigres UANL

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 259h before kick-off

FC Juarez win

21.5%

model 20.4%

Draw

21.6%

model 23.4%

Tigres UANL win

56.9%

model 56.2%

222257

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (315 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.9%
0-2 8.7%
0-1 8.0%
1-3 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.1%	Under 2.5	39.9%
BTTS yes	59.2%	BTTS no	40.8%
FC Juarez 1+	67.7%	FC Juarez 2+	31.2%
Tigres UANL 1+	86.2%	Tigres UANL 2+	58.8%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.98. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

36/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Tigres UANL (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 29%

58.3% fair odds 1.71

strong signal · 11306 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 83%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 6846 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Tigres UANL carry the stronger rating, 1544 Elo against 1367.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Tigres UANL have an estimated 56.9% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 21.5% for FC Juarez. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for FC Juarez and 1.98 for Tigres UANL.

Why FC Juarez

Nothing in the data singles out FC Juarez.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Tigres UANL can win

Tigres UANL carry the stronger rating, 1544 Elo against 1367.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Juarez, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tigres UANL, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Juarez: 37% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 20.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tigres UANL: 54% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Tigres UANL are the model's most likely outcome at 56.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 36/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	202356	1.13–1.98	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262648	1.17–1.68	1-1 12%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to win	56.2%	58.2%	29.3%	1.99×	1.72
Draw	23.4%	23.6%	23.8%	0.99×	4.23
FC Juarez to win	20.4%	23.6%	47.1%	0.50×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL & both teams score	29.2%	26.5%	17.8%	1.49×	3.78
Tigres UANL & not both score	27.0%	26.5%	11.7%	2.26×	3.78
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.1%	17.4%	1.04×	5.52
FC Juarez & both teams score	12.0%	12.7%	24.5%	0.52×	7.88
FC Juarez & not both score	8.5%	7.6%	22.7%	0.34×	13.07
Draw & not both score	5.3%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.08

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL & over 1.5	48.2%	46.3%	23.4%	1.98×	2.16
Tigres UANL & over 2.5	39.5%	36.6%	19.9%	1.84×	2.74
Tigres UANL & under 3.5	32.4%	31.8%	19.7%	1.61×	3.15
Tigres UANL & over 3.5	23.8%	21.8%	9.8%	2.24×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	17.7%	17.4%	1.02×	5.64
Tigres UANL & under 2.5	16.7%	17.7%	9.6%	1.85×	5.64
FC Juarez & over 1.5	16.3%	17.7%	37.3%	0.48×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	16.2%	17.7%	17.9%	0.99×	5.64
Draw & under 3.5	16.2%	17.7%	17.9%	0.99×	5.64
FC Juarez & under 3.5	13.7%	12.4%	30.9%	0.40×	8.05
FC Juarez & over 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	30.4%	0.41×	8.06
FC Juarez & under 2.5	7.0%	7.6%	16.9%	0.45×	13.21
FC Juarez & over 3.5	6.7%	7.6%	16.3%	0.46×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	7.2%	7.6%	6.0%	1.25×	13.21
Draw & over 3.5	7.2%	7.6%	6.0%	1.25×	13.21
Tigres UANL & under 1.5	8.0%	7.6%	6.0%	1.25×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	5.3%	7.6%	6.6%	1.15×	13.21
FC Juarez & under 1.5	4.2%	4.4%	9.9%	0.44×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (1UP)	70.8%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
FC Juarez (1UP)	40.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (2UP)	56.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
FC Juarez (2UP)	20.4%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to win 2nd half	48.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
2nd half drawn	31.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
FC Juarez to win 2nd half	19.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (+2.5)	97.6%	96.6%	90.9%	1.06×	1.04
Tigres UANL (+1.5)	91.9%	92.3%	77.1%	1.20×	1.08
Tigres UANL (+0.5)	79.6%	78.0%	52.9%	1.47×	1.28
Tigres UANL (-0.5)	56.2%	58.3%	29.3%	1.99×	1.71
FC Juarez (+0.5)	43.8%	41.7%	70.7%	0.59×	2.40
FC Juarez (-0.5)	20.4%	22.0%	47.1%	0.47×	4.55
FC Juarez (-1.5)	8.1%	7.7%	22.9%	0.34×	12.97
FC Juarez (-2.5)	2.4%	3.4%	9.1%	0.37×	29.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to concede	67.7%	71.2%	81.9%	0.87×	1.40
Tigres UANL clean sheet	32.3%	28.8%	18.1%	1.59×	3.48

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Tigres UANL to concede in 1st half	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL over 2.5 corners	87.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tigres UANL over 3.5 corners	76.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Tigres UANL over 4.5 corners	63.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tigres UANL under 6.5 corners	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tigres UANL over 5.5 corners	50.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Tigres UANL under 5.5 corners	49.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Tigres UANL over 6.5 corners	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tigres UANL under 4.5 corners	36.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Tigres UANL under 3.5 corners	23.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Tigres UANL under 2.5 corners	12.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL over 0.5 goals	86.2%	87.1%	70.9%	1.23×	1.15
Tigres UANL under 3.5 goals	86.1%	87.1%	95.9%	0.91×	1.15
Tigres UANL under 2.5 goals	68.2%	67.5%	86.7%	0.78×	1.48
Tigres UANL over 1.5 goals	58.8%	58.9%	35.2%	1.67×	1.70
Tigres UANL under 1.5 goals	41.2%	41.1%	64.8%	0.63×	2.43
Tigres UANL over 2.5 goals	31.8%	32.5%	13.3%	2.44×	3.08
Tigres UANL over 3.5 goals	13.9%	12.9%	4.1%	3.15×	7.76
Tigres UANL under 0.5 goals	13.8%	12.9%	29.1%	0.44×	7.76

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL under 1.5 in 1st half	81.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Tigres UANL over 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Tigres UANL under 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Tigres UANL over 1.5 in 1st half	18.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.3%	52.4%	33.6%	1.56×	1.91
FC Juarez (away no bet)	46.7%	47.6%	66.4%	0.72×	2.10

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL even goals	51.0%	53.6%	54.4%	0.99×	1.87
Tigres UANL odd goals	49.0%	46.4%	45.6%	1.02×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.0%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.9%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Tigres UANL to score 2+ in a row	50.1%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Tigres UANL to score 3+ in a row	22.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
FC Juarez to score 2+ in a row	21.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
FC Juarez to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	7.7%	—	—	13.02

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL corners (+3.5)	91.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Tigres UANL corners (+2.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Tigres UANL corners (+1.5)	80.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Juarez corners (+3.5)	67.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Juarez corners (+2.5)	58.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tigres UANL corners (-1.5)	51.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
FC Juarez corners (+1.5)	48.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Tigres UANL corners (-2.5)	41.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tigres UANL corners (-3.5)	32.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
FC Juarez corners (-1.5)	20.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
FC Juarez corners (-2.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
FC Juarez corners (-3.5)	8.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.95
12+ corners	33.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	38.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	25.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.9%	11.2%	11.5%	0.97×	8.91
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.45
0-0	5.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.45
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.45
0-2	8.7%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.45
0-3	5.8%	7.4%	1.6%	4.65×	13.45
1-3	6.5%	7.4%	2.5%	2.99×	13.45
2-1	5.6%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.45
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.45
Any other score	5.6%	7.4%	3.2%	2.33×	13.45
0-4	2.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.34
1-0	4.2%	1.7%	9.9%	0.17×	58.34
1-4	3.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.34
2-0	2.8%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.34
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.34
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.34
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.35
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.34
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.34
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.34
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.35
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.35
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.35
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.35
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.35
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.82×	58.35

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL leading at HT (DNB)	65.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
FC Juarez leading at HT (DNB)	34.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL or draw (X2)	79.6%	76.4%	52.9%	1.44×	1.31
FC Juarez or Tigres UANL (12)	76.6%	76.4%	76.2%	1.00×	1.31
FC Juarez or draw (1X)	43.8%	41.8%	70.7%	0.59×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL or draw at HT	79.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
FC Juarez or draw at HT	60.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
FC Juarez or Tigres UANL at HT	60.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL or draw (1UP)	79.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
FC Juarez or draw (1UP)	43.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL or draw in 2nd half	80.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
FC Juarez or Tigres UANL in 2nd half	68.6%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
FC Juarez or draw in 2nd half	51.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Neither half drawn	42.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (DNB)	73.3%	72.6%	38.4%	1.89×	1.38
FC Juarez (DNB)	26.7%	27.4%	61.6%	0.45×	3.64

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to score first	60.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
FC Juarez to score first	34.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
No goal scored	5.3%	6.3%	—	—	15.76

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.2%	55.4%	59.3%	0.93×	1.81
Not both teams to score	40.8%	44.6%	40.7%	1.10×	2.24

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.4%	45.1%	48.0%	0.94×	2.22
Not both score & under 2.5	29.1%	31.4%	32.7%	0.96×	3.18
Not both score & over 2.5	11.7%	11.9%	8.2%	1.46×	8.41
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	11.9%	11.5%	1.03×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.6%	83.0%	82.6%	1.01×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	18.4%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.7%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.3%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	26.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.87
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Both score in both halves	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.49

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	21.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
A half without a goal	39.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.29
4-6 goals	33.8%	31.2%	29.1%	1.07×	3.21
0-1 goals	17.5%	19.1%	22.2%	0.86×	5.24
7+ goals	3.9%	2.0%	2.8%	0.71×	49.69

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to score 3+	31.8%	32.3%	13.3%	2.43×	3.09
Tigres UANL to score exactly 1	27.3%	27.4%	35.9%	0.76×	3.65
Tigres UANL to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	22.0%	1.24×	3.65
Tigres UANL to score exactly 0	13.8%	13.0%	29.1%	0.45×	7.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.6%	33.4%	1.10×	2.73
FC Juarez to score exactly 0	32.3%	32.2%	18.1%	1.78×	3.10
FC Juarez to score exactly 2	20.6%	22.9%	26.6%	0.86×	4.38
FC Juarez to score 3+	10.6%	13.3%	22.2%	0.60×	7.54

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Tigres UANL leading at HT	39.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
FC Juarez leading at HT	20.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL -1: 1	43.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Tigres UANL -1: 2	33.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Tigres UANL -1: X	22.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:1)	79.6%	76.9%	52.9%	1.45×	1.30
Draw (0:1)	12.4%	13.1%	24.3%	0.54×	7.62
FC Juarez (0:1)	8.1%	8.6%	22.9%	0.38×	11.59

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:2)	91.9%	91.4%	77.1%	1.19×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	5.7%	7.7%	14.0%	0.55×	12.98
FC Juarez (0:2)	2.4%	3.5%	9.1%	0.39×	28.51

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:3)	97.6%	96.7%	90.9%	1.06×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.6%	6.0%	0.42×	39.18
FC Juarez (0:3)	0.6%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (0:4)	99.4%	97.8%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
FC Juarez (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	1.6%	0.88×	70.77
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.4%	1.8%	0.80×	70.76

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (1:0)	43.8%	42.9%	70.7%	0.61×	2.33
Tigres UANL (1:0)	33.9%	28.7%	10.5%	2.74×	3.49
Draw (1:0)	22.3%	22.1%	19.0%	1.16×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez (2:0)	66.1%	71.1%	89.5%	0.79×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	17.4%	15.1%	7.3%	2.08×	6.61
Tigres UANL (2:0)	16.5%	15.1%	3.4%	4.48×	6.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to concede	86.2%	86.8%	70.9%	1.22×	1.15
FC Juarez clean sheet	13.8%	13.2%	29.1%	0.45×	7.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez to concede in 1st half	54.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Juarez clean sheet in 1st half	45.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 6.5 corners	83.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Juarez under 5.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Juarez over 2.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Juarez under 4.5 corners	61.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Juarez over 3.5 corners	54.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Juarez under 3.5 corners	45.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Juarez over 4.5 corners	38.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Juarez under 2.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Juarez over 5.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Juarez over 6.5 corners	16.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 3.5 goals	97.2%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
FC Juarez under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.3%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
FC Juarez under 1.5 goals	68.8%	68.3%	51.3%	1.33×	1.46
FC Juarez over 0.5 goals	67.7%	68.3%	81.9%	0.83×	1.46
FC Juarez under 0.5 goals	32.3%	31.7%	18.1%	1.75×	3.15
FC Juarez over 1.5 goals	31.2%	31.7%	48.7%	0.65×	3.15
FC Juarez over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.7%	22.2%	0.57×	7.88
FC Juarez over 3.5 goals	2.8%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
FC Juarez under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Juarez over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
FC Juarez over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.99

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL (home no bet)	70.6%	70.0%	55.2%	1.27×	1.43
Draw (home no bet)	29.4%	30.0%	44.8%	0.67×	3.34

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez even goals	55.2%	55.6%	49.9%	1.11×	1.80
FC Juarez odd goals	44.8%	44.4%	50.1%	0.89×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.0%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
HT 0-1	21.9%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
HT 1-0	13.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	8.7%	8.0%	—	—	12.53
Any other HT score	5.9%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.39
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.43
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.5%	—	—	40.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL at HT / Tigres UANL at FT	33.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Draw at HT / Tigres UANL at FT	19.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
FC Juarez at HT / FC Juarez at FT	11.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Draw at HT / FC Juarez at FT	7.5%	6.5%	—	—	15.47
FC Juarez at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.4%	—	—	15.51
Tigres UANL at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.6%	—	—	27.51
FC Juarez at HT / Tigres UANL at FT	3.8%	3.6%	—	—	27.53
Tigres UANL at HT / FC Juarez at FT	1.5%	3.6%	—	—	27.59

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to score last	60.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
FC Juarez to score last	34.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
No goal scored	5.3%	6.3%	—	—	15.76

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.7%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Tigres UANL to lead by 1 at any time	70.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Tigres UANL to lead by 2 at any time	41.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
FC Juarez to lead by 1 at any time	40.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Tigres UANL to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
FC Juarez to lead by 2 at any time	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
FC Juarez to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	2.6%	—	—	38.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL most corners	62.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
FC Juarez most corners	28.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.1%	86.5%	1.01×	1.15
2-6 goals	78.6%	77.9%	75.1%	1.04×	1.28
1-4 goals	74.3%	72.2%	75.8%	0.95×	1.39
2-5 goals	73.0%	72.2%	70.9%	1.02×	1.39
2-4 goals	62.2%	62.7%	60.2%	1.04×	1.60
1-3 goals	56.9%	58.9%	61.8%	0.95×	1.70
3-6 goals	56.2%	58.9%	53.3%	1.11×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.6%	52.9%	49.0%	1.08×	1.89
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.0%	38.4%	1.02×	2.56
1-2 goals	34.6%	34.7%	37.7%	0.92×	2.88
4-6 goals	33.8%	34.7%	29.1%	1.19×	2.88
4-5 goals	28.2%	28.5%	24.9%	1.15×	3.51
5-6 goals	16.4%	18.9%	15.1%	1.25×	5.30
7+ goals	3.9%	2.3%	2.8%	0.80×	44.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL never behind	54.4%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
FC Juarez never behind	23.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	51.8%	50.1%	47.4%	1.06×	2.00
Odd number of goals	48.2%	49.9%	52.6%	0.95×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.5%	81.6%	77.8%	1.05×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	79.7%	77.0%	82.2%	0.94×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	62.3%	62.0%	68.2%	0.91×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	60.1%	62.0%	56.0%	1.11×	1.61
Under 2.5 goals	39.9%	38.0%	44.1%	0.86×	2.63
Over 3.5 goals	37.7%	38.0%	31.8%	1.20×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	20.3%	23.0%	17.8%	1.30×	4.34
Under 1.5 goals	17.5%	18.4%	22.2%	0.83×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	6.6%	1.18×	12.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.9%	97.3%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.3%	86.6%	92.0%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.5%	76.0%	71.6%	1.06×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.4%	75.9%	79.3%	0.96×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.4%	52.0%	58.1%	0.90×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.6%	48.0%	41.9%	1.15×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.6%	24.1%	20.7%	1.16×	4.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.5%	24.0%	28.4%	0.85×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.7%	13.4%	8.0%	1.68×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.1%	2.7%	3.0%	0.92×	36.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.2%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.3%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.8%	11.7%	—	—	8.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez not to score in both halves	81.7%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Tigres UANL not to score in both halves	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Tigres UANL to score in both halves	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Juarez to score in both halves	18.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.2%	57.9%	59.3%	0.98×	1.73
Only Tigres UANL scores	27.0%	25.4%	11.7%	2.17×	3.93
Only FC Juarez scores	8.5%	7.1%	22.7%	0.31×	14.09
Neither team scores	5.3%	7.1%	6.6%	1.08×	14.10

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.4%	22.3%	22.0%	1.01×	4.49
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.3%	24.3%	0.92×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	17.4%	17.6%	14.2%	1.24×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	12.1%	12.3%	15.8%	0.78×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	10.8%	12.3%	10.8%	1.13×	8.15
6 or more goals	9.5%	7.8%	7.1%	1.09×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	5.3%	7.8%	6.6%	1.18×	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.0%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
1 goal in 2nd half	28.7%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goals in 2nd half	16.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez not to win both halves	95.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Tigres UANL not to win both halves	80.5%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
Tigres UANL to win both halves	19.5%	18.2%	—	—	5.50
FC Juarez to win both halves	4.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigres UANL to win either half	68.8%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
FC Juarez to win neither half	63.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Juarez to win either half	36.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Tigres UANL to win neither half	31.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Juarez not to win to nil	91.5%	92.3%	77.3%	1.20×	1.08
Tigres UANL not to win to nil	73.0%	74.8%	88.3%	0.85×	1.34
Tigres UANL to win to nil	27.0%	25.2%	11.7%	2.15×	3.98
FC Juarez to win to nil	8.5%	7.7%	22.7%	0.34×	13.07

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.4%	23.4%	23.8%	0.98×	4.27
Tigres UANL by 1	22.3%	23.4%	19.0%	1.23×	4.27
Tigres UANL by 2	17.4%	17.2%	7.3%	2.37×	5.80
Tigres UANL by 3+	16.5%	17.2%	3.4%	5.11×	5.80
FC Juarez by 1	12.4%	11.8%	24.3%	0.49×	8.45
FC Juarez by 2	5.7%	7.3%	14.0%	0.52×	13.77
FC Juarez by 3+	2.4%	3.0%	9.1%	0.33×	33.46