FC Tokyo v Kyoto Sanga — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

FC Tokyo

10:30 UTC

Kyoto Sanga

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 3h before kick-off

FC Tokyo win

57.8%

model 56.6%

Draw

21.1%

model 22.5%

Kyoto Sanga win

21.1%

model 20.9%

582121

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 10.6%
1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.7%
3-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.5%	Under 2.5	45.5%
BTTS yes	53.7%	BTTS no	46.3%
FC Tokyo 1+	84.1%	FC Tokyo 2+	54.8%
Kyoto Sanga 1+	64.0%	Kyoto Sanga 2+	27.2%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 39%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 779 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1461.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Tokyo have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 21.1% for the draw and 21.1% for Kyoto Sanga. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for FC Tokyo and 1.02 for Kyoto Sanga.

Why FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1461.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kyoto Sanga can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kyoto Sanga.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Tokyo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kyoto Sanga, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Tokyo: 51% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kyoto Sanga: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Tokyo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Tokyo are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 10.6%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552322	1.79–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532324	1.76–1.09	1-1 11%	54%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win	53.1%	51.4%	42.9%	1.20×	1.94
Kyoto Sanga to win	23.7%	24.5%	31.0%	0.79×	4.09
Draw	23.2%	24.4%	26.3%	0.93×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & not both score	27.8%	25.2%	25.0%	1.01×	3.97
FC Tokyo & both teams score	25.2%	25.2%	18.0%	1.40×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	17.9%	19.3%	0.93×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	13.4%	0.99×	7.55
Kyoto Sanga & not both score	11.6%	13.3%	17.7%	0.75×	7.55
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.4%	7.1%	1.18×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & over 1.5	42.8%	40.3%	30.2%	1.33×	2.48
FC Tokyo & under 3.5	34.2%	30.9%	33.1%	0.93×	3.24
FC Tokyo & over 2.5	33.9%	30.9%	23.1%	1.34×	3.24
FC Tokyo & under 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
FC Tokyo & over 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	10.0%	1.80×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	21.2%	0.85×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & over 2.5	13.8%	12.9%	17.9%	0.72×	7.77
FC Tokyo & under 1.5	10.3%	12.9%	12.8%	1.00×	7.77
Kyoto Sanga & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Kyoto Sanga & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Kyoto Sanga & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (1UP)	67.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Kyoto Sanga (1UP)	41.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2UP)	53.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Kyoto Sanga (2UP)	23.7%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win 2nd half	42.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	33.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Kyoto Sanga to win 2nd half	23.4%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (+2.5)	86.9%	88.5%	93.8%	0.94×	1.13
FC Tokyo (+0.5)	76.3%	78.4%	69.0%	1.14×	1.28
Kyoto Sanga (+1.5)	70.7%	73.7%	82.0%	0.90×	1.36
FC Tokyo (-0.5)	53.1%	52.3%	42.9%	1.22×	1.91
Kyoto Sanga (+0.5)	46.9%	47.7%	57.1%	0.83×	2.10
FC Tokyo (-1.5)	29.4%	26.3%	18.0%	1.46×	3.80
Kyoto Sanga (-0.5)	23.7%	21.6%	31.0%	0.70×	4.64
FC Tokyo (-2.5)	13.1%	11.5%	6.2%	1.86×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede	82.8%	81.3%	75.3%	1.08×	1.23
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet	17.2%	18.7%	24.7%	0.76×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet in 1st half	46.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Kyoto Sanga to concede in 1st half	53.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 6.5 corners	86.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Kyoto Sanga under 5.5 corners	77.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 corners	71.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Kyoto Sanga under 4.5 corners	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Kyoto Sanga over 4.5 corners	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 corners	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Kyoto Sanga over 5.5 corners	22.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Kyoto Sanga over 6.5 corners	13.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 goals	70.1%	71.9%	68.2%	1.05×	1.39
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 goals	66.5%	67.9%	68.0%	1.00×	1.47
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 goals	33.5%	32.1%	32.0%	1.00×	3.12
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals	29.9%	28.1%	31.8%	0.88×	3.56
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.02
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.60×	40.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.21

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (away no bet)	69.5%	66.4%	62.0%	1.07×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.5%	33.6%	38.0%	0.88×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga even goals	55.6%	56.8%	54.4%	1.04×	1.76
Kyoto Sanga odd goals	44.4%	43.2%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.4%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.6%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.7%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.0%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
FC Tokyo to score 2+ in a row	44.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Kyoto Sanga to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
FC Tokyo to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo corners (+3.5)	93.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Tokyo corners (+2.5)	89.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Tokyo corners (+1.5)	83.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga corners (+3.5)	67.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Kyoto Sanga corners (+2.5)	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Tokyo corners (-1.5)	53.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Kyoto Sanga corners (+1.5)	46.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
FC Tokyo corners (-2.5)	42.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Tokyo corners (-3.5)	32.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Kyoto Sanga corners (-1.5)	17.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Kyoto Sanga corners (-2.5)	10.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Kyoto Sanga corners (-3.5)	6.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	30.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	27.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.0%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
1-0	10.3%	11.5%	12.8%	0.89×	8.73
2-0	8.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
0-1	6.4%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	3.6%	2.04×	13.48
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	3.0%	2.47×	13.48
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.49
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.49
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.47
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.49
4-0	2.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.48
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.48
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
Any other score	3.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo leading at HT (DNB)	67.1%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT (DNB)	32.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.75

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or Kyoto Sanga (12)	76.8%	75.6%	73.7%	1.02×	1.32
FC Tokyo or draw (1X)	76.3%	75.5%	69.0%	1.10×	1.32
Kyoto Sanga or draw (X2)	46.9%	48.6%	57.1%	0.85×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw at HT	80.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Kyoto Sanga or draw at HT	60.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Tokyo or Kyoto Sanga at HT	58.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw (1UP)	76.3%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1UP)	46.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw in 2nd half	76.6%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
FC Tokyo or Kyoto Sanga in 2nd half	66.3%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Kyoto Sanga or draw in 2nd half	57.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (DNB)	69.1%	67.2%	58.0%	1.16×	1.49
Kyoto Sanga (DNB)	30.9%	32.8%	42.0%	0.78×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score first	58.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Kyoto Sanga to score first	36.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.9%	51.4%	50.5%	1.02×	1.94
Not both teams to score	45.1%	48.6%	49.5%	0.98×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.0%	41.6%	37.2%	1.12×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	34.7%	34.3%	40.0%	0.86×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	9.7%	1.28×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	83.1%	86.2%	0.96×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	16.9%	13.8%	1.23×	5.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.5%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.7%	47.4%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.3%	26.5%	21.0%	1.26×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.4%	22.8%	29.6%	0.77×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	2.5%	0.72×	54.53

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 0	33.5%	33.8%	32.0%	1.06×	2.96
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 2	20.0%	22.4%	19.8%	1.13×	4.46
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+	9.8%	8.5%	12.2%	0.70×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.6%	36.4%	0.90×	3.06
FC Tokyo to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
FC Tokyo to score 3+	25.8%	26.5%	14.9%	1.78×	3.77
FC Tokyo to score exactly 0	17.2%	18.9%	24.7%	0.77×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.33
FC Tokyo leading at HT	39.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT	19.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo -1: 2	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Tokyo -1: 1	29.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Tokyo -1: X	23.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:1)	46.9%	45.9%	57.1%	0.80×	2.18
FC Tokyo (0:1)	29.4%	27.0%	18.0%	1.50×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	23.7%	24.3%	25.0%	0.97×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:2)	70.7%	75.6%	82.0%	0.92×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.2%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.55
FC Tokyo (0:2)	13.1%	11.0%	6.2%	1.78×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:3)	86.9%	90.8%	93.8%	0.97×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.3%	5.8%	4.3%	1.37×	17.15
FC Tokyo (0:3)	4.8%	2.4%	2.1%	1.16×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:4)	95.2%	98.1%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.36
FC Tokyo (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	0.8%	1.51×	83.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (1:0)	76.3%	78.4%	69.0%	1.14×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.8%	12.8%	19.3%	0.66×	7.80
Kyoto Sanga (1:0)	8.9%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2:0)	91.1%	93.9%	88.1%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.4%	6.0%	1.07×	15.51
Kyoto Sanga (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to concede	66.5%	66.5%	68.0%	0.98×	1.50
FC Tokyo clean sheet	33.5%	33.5%	32.0%	1.05×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 1st half	64.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
FC Tokyo to concede in 1st half	35.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo over 2.5 corners	89.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Tokyo over 3.5 corners	78.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Tokyo over 4.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Tokyo under 6.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Tokyo over 5.5 corners	51.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
FC Tokyo under 5.5 corners	48.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Tokyo over 6.5 corners	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Tokyo under 4.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
FC Tokyo under 3.5 corners	21.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Tokyo under 2.5 corners	10.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 3.5 goals	89.8%	87.3%	94.9%	0.92×	1.15
FC Tokyo over 0.5 goals	82.8%	82.1%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
FC Tokyo under 2.5 goals	74.2%	74.2%	85.1%	0.87×	1.35
FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals	52.5%	53.2%	39.1%	1.36×	1.88
FC Tokyo under 1.5 goals	47.5%	46.8%	60.9%	0.77×	2.14
FC Tokyo over 2.5 goals	25.8%	25.8%	14.9%	1.74×	3.88
FC Tokyo under 0.5 goals	17.2%	17.9%	24.7%	0.72×	5.59
FC Tokyo over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	5.1%	2.51×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 1st half	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 1st half	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (home no bet)	50.5%	51.6%	54.1%	0.95×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.5%	48.4%	45.9%	1.06×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo even goals	51.5%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.98
FC Tokyo odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	22.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	13.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
Any other HT score	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.64

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	32.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
FC Tokyo at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Kyoto Sanga at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
FC Tokyo at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score last	58.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Kyoto Sanga to score last	36.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Tokyo to lead by 1 at any time	67.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 1 at any time	41.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
FC Tokyo to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
FC Tokyo to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 2 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	60.65

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo most corners	64.8%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Kyoto Sanga most corners	25.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.6%	81.8%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.0%	72.4%	68.0%	1.06×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.7%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.4%	63.4%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.7%	53.2%	44.3%	1.20×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.3%	48.7%	41.3%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.7%	48.7%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.1%	43.6%	46.4%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	38.2%	39.1%	35.6%	1.10×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.3%	30.3%	21.0%	1.44×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.0%	30.2%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.4%	14.9%	8.9%	1.68×	6.72
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	2.5%	1.01×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo never behind	52.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Kyoto Sanga never behind	27.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	46.8%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	53.2%	0.92×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.5%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.9%	82.4%	88.8%	0.93×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.7%	77.3%	70.4%	1.10×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.0%	66.2%	76.6%	0.86×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.3%	52.5%	46.7%	1.12×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.7%	47.5%	53.3%	0.89×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.0%	33.8%	23.4%	1.44×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	29.6%	0.77×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.1%	17.6%	11.2%	1.57×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.5%	1.40×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.3%	92.5%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.9%	81.1%	87.2%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.8%	72.6%	61.2%	1.19×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.8%	55.5%	69.5%	0.80×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.2%	44.5%	30.5%	1.46×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.2%	27.4%	38.8%	0.71×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.1%	18.9%	12.8%	1.48×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.7%	7.5%	5.9%	1.28×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	2.6%	1.06×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to score in both halves	82.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo not to score in both halves	66.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
FC Tokyo to score in both halves	33.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Kyoto Sanga to score in both halves	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.9%	54.0%	50.5%	1.07×	1.85
Only FC Tokyo scores	27.8%	26.1%	25.0%	1.05×	3.83
Only Kyoto Sanga scores	11.6%	10.9%	17.7%	0.62×	9.15
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.3%	22.6%	23.9%	0.95×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.7%	17.4%	22.6%	0.77×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.4%	12.3%	1.41×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.1%	7.6%	5.9%	1.31×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.0%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	19.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win both halves	95.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Tokyo not to win both halves	83.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo to win both halves	16.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Kyoto Sanga to win both halves	4.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win either half	65.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Kyoto Sanga to win neither half	61.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Kyoto Sanga to win either half	38.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
FC Tokyo to win neither half	34.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win to nil	88.4%	88.2%	82.3%	1.07×	1.13
FC Tokyo not to win to nil	72.2%	75.3%	75.0%	1.00×	1.33
FC Tokyo to win to nil	27.8%	24.7%	25.0%	0.99×	4.04
Kyoto Sanga to win to nil	11.6%	11.8%	17.7%	0.66×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo by 1	23.7%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
Draw	23.2%	24.2%	26.3%	0.92×	4.14
FC Tokyo by 2	16.2%	16.9%	12.0%	1.41×	5.91
Kyoto Sanga by 1	14.8%	11.8%	19.3%	0.61×	8.48
FC Tokyo by 3+	13.1%	11.8%	6.2%	1.91×	8.48
Kyoto Sanga by 2	6.3%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.79
Kyoto Sanga by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.01