FC Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Tokyo

07:00 UTC

Mito Hollyhock

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 20h before kick-off

FC Tokyo win

57.9%

model 58.9%

Draw

23.0%

model 21.9%

Mito Hollyhock win

19.1%

model 19.2%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 11.3%
1-1 10.4%
2-0 10.3%
2-1 9.9%
3-0 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.5%	Under 2.5	46.5%
BTTS yes	51.8%	BTTS no	48.2%
FC Tokyo 1+	84.5%	FC Tokyo 2+	55.6%
Mito Hollyhock 1+	61.6%	Mito Hollyhock 2+	24.8%

Expected goals 1.86 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 39%

56.0% fair odds 1.79

strong signal · 925 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Mito Hollyhock not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1602 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Tokyo have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.1% for Mito Hollyhock. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.86 for FC Tokyo and 0.96 for Mito Hollyhock.

Why FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1602 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Mito Hollyhock can win

Nothing in the data singles out Mito Hollyhock.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Tokyo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Mito Hollyhock, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Tokyo: 51% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Mito Hollyhock: 39% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Tokyo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Tokyo are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 11.3%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	592219	1.86–0.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	592219	1.83–0.94	1-0 12%	52%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win	58.6%	54.0%	43.0%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	22.2%	24.4%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09
Mito Hollyhock to win	19.2%	19.4%	31.1%	0.62×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & not both score	33.1%	29.6%	25.0%	1.18×	3.38
FC Tokyo & both teams score	25.5%	25.2%	18.1%	1.39×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Mito Hollyhock & not both score	10.0%	8.3%	17.8%	0.47×	12.00
Mito Hollyhock & both teams score	9.2%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	7.0%	1.18×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & over 1.5	46.9%	45.1%	30.3%	1.49×	2.22
FC Tokyo & under 3.5	38.5%	34.9%	33.1%	1.05×	2.87
FC Tokyo & over 2.5	36.4%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
FC Tokyo & under 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	20.0%	1.08×	4.63
FC Tokyo & over 3.5	20.1%	21.6%	10.0%	2.16×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Mito Hollyhock & under 3.5	14.8%	12.8%	23.4%	0.55×	7.79
Mito Hollyhock & over 1.5	13.1%	12.8%	21.3%	0.60×	7.79
FC Tokyo & under 1.5	11.7%	12.8%	12.8%	1.00×	7.79
Mito Hollyhock & over 2.5	10.3%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
Mito Hollyhock & under 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Mito Hollyhock & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Mito Hollyhock & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (1UP)	70.9%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Mito Hollyhock (1UP)	36.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2UP)	58.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Mito Hollyhock (2UP)	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win 2nd half	46.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Mito Hollyhock to win 2nd half	19.7%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.0%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.9%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.0%	12.9%	—	—	7.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 2nd half	64.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 2nd half	35.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (+2.5)	84.2%	82.5%	93.8%	0.88×	1.21
FC Tokyo (+0.5)	80.8%	82.5%	68.9%	1.20×	1.21
Mito Hollyhock (+1.5)	66.2%	68.7%	81.9%	0.84×	1.46
FC Tokyo (-0.5)	58.6%	57.0%	43.0%	1.33×	1.75
Mito Hollyhock (+0.5)	41.4%	43.0%	57.0%	0.75×	2.33
FC Tokyo (-1.5)	33.8%	31.3%	18.1%	1.73×	3.19
Mito Hollyhock (-0.5)	19.2%	17.5%	31.1%	0.56×	5.72
FC Tokyo (-2.5)	15.8%	17.5%	6.3%	2.79×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to concede	84.0%	81.5%	75.3%	1.08×	1.23
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet	16.0%	18.5%	24.7%	0.75×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to concede in 1st half	54.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet in 1st half	45.5%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to concede in 2nd half	64.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet in 2nd half	35.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 6.5 corners	89.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Mito Hollyhock under 5.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Mito Hollyhock under 4.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Mito Hollyhock over 2.5 corners	67.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Mito Hollyhock under 3.5 corners	51.5%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Mito Hollyhock over 3.5 corners	48.5%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Mito Hollyhock under 2.5 corners	32.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Mito Hollyhock over 4.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Mito Hollyhock over 5.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Mito Hollyhock over 6.5 corners	10.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Mito Hollyhock under 2.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 goals	75.8%	76.2%	68.3%	1.12×	1.31
Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 goals	60.9%	63.2%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 goals	39.1%	36.8%	31.9%	1.16×	2.71
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 goals	24.2%	23.8%	31.7%	0.75×	4.21
Mito Hollyhock over 2.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.06
Mito Hollyhock over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock under 1.5 in 1st half	94.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Mito Hollyhock under 0.5 in 1st half	68.7%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Mito Hollyhock over 0.5 in 1st half	31.3%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 in 1st half	5.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.90

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock scores equally in both	47.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Mito Hollyhock scores more in 2nd half	32.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
Mito Hollyhock scores more in 1st half	19.7%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (away no bet)	72.6%	68.4%	62.2%	1.10×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	27.4%	31.6%	37.8%	0.84×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock even goals	57.6%	56.9%	54.2%	1.05×	1.76
Mito Hollyhock odd goals	42.4%	43.1%	45.8%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.6%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
FC Tokyo to score 2+ in a row	47.4%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
FC Tokyo to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Mito Hollyhock to score 2+ in a row	16.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Mito Hollyhock to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.63

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo corners (+3.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Tokyo corners (+2.5)	87.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Tokyo corners (+1.5)	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Mito Hollyhock corners (+3.5)	74.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Mito Hollyhock corners (+2.5)	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Mito Hollyhock corners (+1.5)	52.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Tokyo corners (-1.5)	47.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
FC Tokyo corners (-2.5)	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Tokyo corners (-3.5)	25.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Mito Hollyhock corners (-1.5)	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Mito Hollyhock corners (-2.5)	12.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Mito Hollyhock corners (-3.5)	7.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	19.9%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.4%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	80.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	61.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	38.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	38.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	19.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	13.6%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.7%	11.5%	12.8%	0.90×	8.72
1-1	10.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
2-0	10.5%	11.5%	7.3%	1.56×	8.72
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.50
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-1	6.1%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
3-0	6.4%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
3-1	6.0%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
0-2	2.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.32
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.32
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.30
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.30
4-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2nd half DNB)	70.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Mito Hollyhock (2nd half DNB)	29.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo leading at HT (DNB)	72.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Mito Hollyhock leading at HT (DNB)	27.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw (1X)	80.8%	80.6%	68.9%	1.17×	1.24
FC Tokyo or Mito Hollyhock (12)	77.8%	75.6%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Mito Hollyhock or draw (X2)	41.4%	46.0%	57.0%	0.81×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw at HT	83.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo or Mito Hollyhock at HT	58.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Mito Hollyhock or draw at HT	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw (1UP)	80.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Mito Hollyhock or draw (1UP)	41.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw in 2nd half	80.3%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
FC Tokyo or Mito Hollyhock in 2nd half	66.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Mito Hollyhock or draw in 2nd half	53.2%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (DNB)	75.3%	74.6%	58.0%	1.29×	1.34
Mito Hollyhock (DNB)	24.7%	25.4%	42.0%	0.60×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score first	62.1%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Mito Hollyhock to score first	31.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	6.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.9%	51.3%	50.5%	1.02×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.1%	48.7%	49.5%	0.98×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.4%	41.6%	37.2%	1.12×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.1%	38.4%	40.2%	0.96×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	9.5%	1.30×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.8%	85.6%	86.3%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.2%	14.4%	13.8%	1.05×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.9%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.07

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	45.1%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.9%	26.6%	20.9%	1.27×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.8%	22.9%	29.5%	0.78×	4.37
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.27

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 0	39.1%	35.9%	31.9%	1.13×	2.78
Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
Mito Hollyhock to score exactly 2	17.2%	19.6%	19.7%	0.99×	5.11
Mito Hollyhock to score 3+	6.9%	8.5%	12.2%	0.70×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score exactly 1	29.3%	26.6%	36.3%	0.73×	3.77
FC Tokyo to score 3+	27.8%	26.5%	14.8%	1.79×	3.77
FC Tokyo to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
FC Tokyo to score exactly 0	16.0%	18.8%	24.7%	0.76×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo leading at HT	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	41.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Mito Hollyhock leading at HT	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo -1: 2	41.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Tokyo -1: 1	33.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
FC Tokyo -1: X	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (0:1)	41.4%	42.6%	57.0%	0.75×	2.35
FC Tokyo (0:1)	33.8%	30.1%	18.1%	1.66×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	24.8%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (0:2)	66.2%	72.2%	81.9%	0.88×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	18.0%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.54
FC Tokyo (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	6.3%	2.44×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (0:3)	84.2%	85.4%	93.8%	0.91×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.7%	5.8%	4.2%	1.38×	17.17
FC Tokyo (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	2.2%	2.65×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock (0:4)	93.9%	94.5%	97.8%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.65
FC Tokyo (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (1:0)	80.8%	81.3%	68.9%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.8%	12.7%	19.4%	0.66×	7.87
Mito Hollyhock (1:0)	6.4%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2:0)	93.6%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.7%	2.3%	6.1%	0.38×	43.54
Mito Hollyhock (2:0)	1.6%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to concede	60.9%	63.6%	68.1%	0.93×	1.57
FC Tokyo clean sheet	39.1%	36.4%	31.9%	1.14×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 1st half	68.7%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
FC Tokyo to concede in 1st half	31.3%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 2nd half	56.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Tokyo to concede in 2nd half	43.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo over 2.5 corners	83.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
FC Tokyo under 6.5 corners	73.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Tokyo over 3.5 corners	69.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Tokyo under 5.5 corners	61.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Tokyo over 4.5 corners	53.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Tokyo under 4.5 corners	46.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Tokyo over 5.5 corners	38.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Tokyo under 3.5 corners	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Tokyo over 6.5 corners	26.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
FC Tokyo under 2.5 corners	16.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 3.5 goals	88.6%	87.3%	94.8%	0.92×	1.15
FC Tokyo over 0.5 goals	84.0%	82.2%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
FC Tokyo under 2.5 goals	72.2%	74.2%	85.2%	0.87×	1.35
FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	39.2%	1.36×	1.88
FC Tokyo under 1.5 goals	45.3%	46.8%	60.8%	0.77×	2.14
FC Tokyo over 2.5 goals	27.8%	25.8%	14.8%	1.74×	3.88
FC Tokyo under 0.5 goals	16.0%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.62
FC Tokyo over 3.5 goals	11.4%	12.7%	5.2%	2.47×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 1st half	81.3%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	49.4%	—	—	2.02
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 1st half	18.7%	16.1%	—	—	6.20

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo scores more in 2nd half	40.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
FC Tokyo scores equally in both	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
FC Tokyo scores more in 1st half	27.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.6%	51.4%	45.6%	1.13×	1.95
Mito Hollyhock (home no bet)	46.4%	48.6%	54.4%	0.89×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo even goals	51.3%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
FC Tokyo odd goals	48.7%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
HT 1-0	24.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 1-1	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
Any other HT score	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	36.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	19.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Mito Hollyhock at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT	9.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Draw at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
FC Tokyo at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Mito Hollyhock at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Mito Hollyhock at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
FC Tokyo at HT / Mito Hollyhock at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score last	62.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Mito Hollyhock to score last	31.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	6.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Tokyo to lead by 1 at any time	70.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Tokyo to lead by 2 at any time	40.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Mito Hollyhock to lead by 1 at any time	36.4%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
FC Tokyo to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Mito Hollyhock to lead by 2 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Mito Hollyhock to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	62.27

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo most corners	59.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Mito Hollyhock most corners	29.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.2%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.9%	72.4%	68.0%	1.06×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	68.8%	65.0%	1.06×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.8%	63.3%	69.7%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.1%	53.2%	44.1%	1.21×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.1%	48.5%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.6%	43.6%	46.6%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.6%	39.2%	35.3%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.9%	30.2%	20.9%	1.44×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.9%	24.5%	18.0%	1.36×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.5%	14.8%	8.9%	1.66×	6.75
7+ goals	2.3%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo never behind	57.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Mito Hollyhock never behind	23.0%	24.7%	—	—	4.06

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.2%	77.3%	70.5%	1.10×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.8%	66.3%	76.6%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	46.6%	1.13×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	53.4%	0.89×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.2%	33.7%	23.4%	1.44×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.8%	22.7%	29.5%	0.77×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	11.4%	1.09×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	5.6%	1.37×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.2%	92.4%	94.0%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.5%	81.1%	87.0%	0.93×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.7%	67.5%	61.2%	1.10×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.2%	61.9%	69.5%	0.89×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.8%	38.1%	30.5%	1.25×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.3%	32.5%	38.8%	0.84×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.5%	18.9%	13.0%	1.46×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.8%	7.6%	6.0%	1.27×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.1%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.80
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock not to score in both halves	86.5%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
FC Tokyo not to score in both halves	64.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
FC Tokyo to score in both halves	35.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Mito Hollyhock to score in both halves	13.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.9%	53.8%	50.5%	1.07×	1.86
Only FC Tokyo scores	33.1%	33.3%	25.0%	1.33×	3.00
Only Mito Hollyhock scores	10.0%	7.1%	17.8%	0.40×	14.02
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.1%	7.0%	1.01×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.8%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.5%	7.6%	5.9%	1.28×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	7.0%	1.08×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.3%	7.6%	5.6%	1.35×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	31.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	21.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	19.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Tokyo not to win both halves	80.1%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
FC Tokyo to win both halves	19.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Mito Hollyhock to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.49

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win either half	69.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Mito Hollyhock to win neither half	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Mito Hollyhock to win either half	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
FC Tokyo to win neither half	30.5%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mito Hollyhock not to win to nil	90.0%	92.1%	82.2%	1.12×	1.09
FC Tokyo not to win to nil	66.9%	69.6%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
FC Tokyo to win to nil	33.1%	30.4%	25.0%	1.21×	3.29
Mito Hollyhock to win to nil	10.0%	7.9%	17.8%	0.45×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo by 1	24.8%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Draw	22.2%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
FC Tokyo by 2	18.0%	17.0%	12.0%	1.42×	5.87
FC Tokyo by 3+	15.8%	17.0%	6.3%	2.73×	5.87
Mito Hollyhock by 1	12.8%	11.8%	19.4%	0.61×	8.51
Mito Hollyhock by 2	4.7%	2.7%	6.1%	0.45×	36.76
Mito Hollyhock by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.85