FC Twente v Sparta Rotterdam — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Twente

20:00 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,185h before kick-off

FC Twente win

72.8%

model 71.2%

Draw

17.4%

model 18.4%

Sparta Rotterdam win

9.7%

model 10.4%

731710

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.2%
2-1 9.5%
3-0 9.0%
1-1 8.7%
1-0 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.2%	Under 2.5	36.8%
BTTS yes	52.8%	BTTS no	47.2%
FC Twente 1+	91.1%	FC Twente 2+	69.5%
Sparta Rotterdam 1+	57.0%	Sparta Rotterdam 2+	20.7%

Expected goals 2.41 – 0.84. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

FC Twente (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 44%

73.2% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1214 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sparta Rotterdam not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1672 Elo against 1469.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Twente have an estimated 72.8% win probability, against 17.4% for the draw and 9.7% for Sparta Rotterdam. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.41 for FC Twente and 0.84 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Why FC Twente

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1672 Elo against 1469. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.4%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Sparta Rotterdam can win

Nothing in the data singles out Sparta Rotterdam.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Twente, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sparta Rotterdam, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Twente: 60% possession, 21.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sparta Rotterdam: 49% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Twente's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Twente are the model's most likely outcome at 72.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.2%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	711810	2.41–0.84	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	672112	2.17–0.81	2-0 12%	57%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win	67.4%	64.8%	44.4%	1.46×	1.54
Draw	20.8%	24.4%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09
Sparta Rotterdam to win	11.8%	13.5%	30.1%	0.45×	7.43

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & not both score	38.3%	33.3%	23.4%	1.42×	3.00
FC Twente & both teams score	29.1%	25.2%	21.2%	1.19×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.7%	13.3%	22.2%	0.60×	7.53
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.02
Sparta Rotterdam & both teams score	6.4%	8.3%	17.2%	0.48×	12.02
Sparta Rotterdam & not both score	5.4%	8.3%	13.1%	0.64×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & over 1.5	57.3%	54.9%	36.2%	1.52×	1.82
FC Twente & over 2.5	45.4%	45.0%	28.9%	1.56×	2.22
FC Twente & under 3.5	40.3%	40.2%	27.5%	1.46×	2.49
FC Twente & over 3.5	27.1%	26.1%	17.0%	1.53×	3.84
FC Twente & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	15.7%	1.38×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.7%	12.8%	22.2%	0.58×	7.79
FC Twente & under 1.5	10.0%	12.8%	8.4%	1.53×	7.79
Sparta Rotterdam & over 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	26.2%	0.30×	12.63
Sparta Rotterdam & under 3.5	8.9%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
Sparta Rotterdam & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	10.7%	0.45×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	10.7%	0.45×	20.81
Sparta Rotterdam & under 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	9.9%	0.49×	20.81
Sparta Rotterdam & under 1.5	3.2%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.82
Sparta Rotterdam & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	10.4%	0.46×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (1UP)	77.9%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Sparta Rotterdam (1UP)	28.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.67

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2UP)	67.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Sparta Rotterdam (2UP)	11.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.17

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win 2nd half	54.6%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Sparta Rotterdam to win 2nd half	14.3%	11.5%	—	—	8.69

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.4%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Sparta Rotterdam under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Sparta Rotterdam over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.6%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Twente under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
FC Twente over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.9%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
FC Twente under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (+0.5)	88.2%	88.5%	69.9%	1.27×	1.13
Sparta Rotterdam (+2.5)	76.3%	78.5%	86.8%	0.90×	1.27
FC Twente (-0.5)	67.4%	68.7%	44.4%	1.55×	1.46
Sparta Rotterdam (+1.5)	55.6%	57.0%	74.7%	0.76×	1.75
FC Twente (-1.5)	44.4%	43.0%	25.3%	1.70×	2.33
Sparta Rotterdam (+0.5)	32.6%	31.3%	55.6%	0.56×	3.19
FC Twente (-2.5)	23.7%	21.5%	13.2%	1.62×	4.65
Sparta Rotterdam (-0.5)	11.8%	11.5%	30.1%	0.38×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam to concede	88.5%	86.3%	83.6%	1.03×	1.16
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet	11.5%	13.7%	16.4%	0.83×	7.31

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam to concede in 1st half	60.6%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet in 1st half	39.4%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam to concede in 2nd half	70.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet in 2nd half	29.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam under 6.5 corners	89.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Sparta Rotterdam under 5.5 corners	81.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sparta Rotterdam under 4.5 corners	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Sparta Rotterdam over 2.5 corners	65.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Sparta Rotterdam under 3.5 corners	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Sparta Rotterdam over 3.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sparta Rotterdam under 2.5 corners	34.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Sparta Rotterdam over 4.5 corners	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Sparta Rotterdam over 5.5 corners	18.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Sparta Rotterdam over 6.5 corners	10.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Sparta Rotterdam under 2.5 goals	95.1%	97.5%	84.9%	1.15×	1.03
Sparta Rotterdam under 1.5 goals	80.4%	81.4%	58.1%	1.40×	1.23
Sparta Rotterdam over 0.5 goals	55.6%	59.4%	73.2%	0.81×	1.68
Sparta Rotterdam under 0.5 goals	44.4%	40.6%	26.8%	1.52×	2.46
Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals	19.6%	18.6%	41.9%	0.44×	5.39
Sparta Rotterdam over 2.5 goals	4.9%	2.5%	15.1%	0.17×	39.78
Sparta Rotterdam over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.5%	5.6%	0.44×	39.98

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Sparta Rotterdam under 0.5 in 1st half	72.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Sparta Rotterdam over 0.5 in 1st half	27.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	4.0%	—	—	24.78

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam scores equally in both	51.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Sparta Rotterdam scores more in 2nd half	29.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Sparta Rotterdam scores more in 1st half	18.3%	17.8%	—	—	5.62

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (away no bet)	76.4%	73.5%	63.5%	1.16×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.6%	26.5%	36.5%	0.72×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam even goals	59.9%	57.0%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
Sparta Rotterdam odd goals	40.1%	43.0%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
FC Twente to score 2+ in a row	57.1%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
FC Twente to score 3+ in a row	28.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sparta Rotterdam to score 2+ in a row	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Sparta Rotterdam to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.41

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente corners (+3.5)	96.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Twente corners (+2.5)	94.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Twente corners (+1.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
FC Twente corners (-1.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Twente corners (-2.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente corners (-3.5)	51.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Sparta Rotterdam corners (+3.5)	48.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Sparta Rotterdam corners (+2.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sparta Rotterdam corners (+1.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sparta Rotterdam corners (-1.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Sparta Rotterdam corners (-2.5)	5.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Sparta Rotterdam corners (-3.5)	3.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	43.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
0-8 corners	28.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	62.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	37.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	20.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.9%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.72
1-0	10.0%	11.5%	8.4%	1.37×	8.72
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	11.7%	0.63×	13.50
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.50
3-0	8.6%	7.4%	4.3%	1.74×	13.51
3-1	7.0%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
Any other score	7.0%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
0-1	3.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-2	3.6%	1.7%	8.1%	0.21×	58.30
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.32
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	4.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.29
4-1	3.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2nd half DNB)	79.2%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Sparta Rotterdam (2nd half DNB)	20.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente leading at HT (DNB)	80.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Sparta Rotterdam leading at HT (DNB)	20.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw (1X)	88.2%	86.5%	69.9%	1.24×	1.16
FC Twente or Sparta Rotterdam (12)	79.2%	75.6%	74.4%	1.02×	1.32
Sparta Rotterdam or draw (X2)	32.6%	35.2%	55.6%	0.63×	2.84

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw at HT	87.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
FC Twente or Sparta Rotterdam at HT	61.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Sparta Rotterdam or draw at HT	50.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw (1UP)	88.2%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Sparta Rotterdam or draw (1UP)	32.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw in 2nd half	85.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
FC Twente or Sparta Rotterdam in 2nd half	69.0%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Sparta Rotterdam or draw in 2nd half	45.4%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.2%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	43.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (DNB)	85.1%	87.0%	59.6%	1.46×	1.15
Sparta Rotterdam (DNB)	14.9%	13.0%	40.4%	0.32×	7.67

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score first	68.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Sparta Rotterdam to score first	25.6%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	51.3%	60.3%	0.85×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.8%	48.7%	39.7%	1.23×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.3%	41.6%	48.7%	0.85×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	32.9%	34.5%	28.8%	1.20×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	16.9%	21.5%	11.1%	1.94×	4.64
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	11.7%	0.71×	12.05

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.6%	85.6%	80.4%	1.07×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.4%	14.4%	19.6%	0.73×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.9%	60.1%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.11

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	40.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	46.7%	1.01×	2.12
4-6 goals	31.5%	30.7%	33.8%	0.91×	3.26
0-1 goals	19.3%	20.2%	15.7%	1.29×	4.94
7+ goals	3.2%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam to score exactly 0	44.4%	37.4%	26.8%	1.39×	2.68
Sparta Rotterdam to score exactly 1	36.1%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
Sparta Rotterdam to score exactly 2	14.6%	12.9%	26.9%	0.48×	7.75
Sparta Rotterdam to score 3+	4.9%	4.6%	15.1%	0.31×	21.73

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score 3+	36.8%	35.6%	23.7%	1.50×	2.81
FC Twente to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
FC Twente to score exactly 1	24.9%	23.3%	33.2%	0.70×	4.29
FC Twente to score exactly 0	11.5%	14.3%	16.4%	0.87×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente leading at HT	49.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	38.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Sparta Rotterdam leading at HT	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente -1: 1	44.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Twente -1: 2	32.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
FC Twente -1: X	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:1)	44.4%	42.7%	25.3%	1.69×	2.34
Sparta Rotterdam (0:1)	32.6%	30.1%	55.6%	0.54×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.2%	19.3%	1.25×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam (0:2)	55.6%	62.8%	74.7%	0.84×	1.59
FC Twente (0:2)	23.7%	20.3%	13.2%	1.54×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	20.7%	20.3%	12.2%	1.66×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam (0:3)	76.3%	80.4%	86.8%	0.93×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	13.1%	10.0%	7.8%	1.28×	10.04
FC Twente (0:3)	10.5%	9.9%	5.6%	1.76×	10.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam (0:4)	89.5%	92.0%	94.4%	0.98×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.6%	4.6%	2.6%	1.78×	21.69
FC Twente (0:4)	4.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (1:0)	88.2%	86.1%	69.9%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.0%	6.9%	14.8%	0.47×	14.49
Sparta Rotterdam (1:0)	3.8%	3.3%	15.5%	0.21×	30.52

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2:0)	96.2%	96.8%	84.5%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	8.8%	0.26×	43.65
Sparta Rotterdam (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede	55.6%	60.6%	73.2%	0.83×	1.65
FC Twente clean sheet	44.4%	39.4%	26.8%	1.47×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente clean sheet in 1st half	72.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
FC Twente to concede in 1st half	27.7%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente clean sheet in 2nd half	61.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
FC Twente to concede in 2nd half	38.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 2.5 corners	94.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Twente over 3.5 corners	87.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Twente over 4.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
FC Twente over 5.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Twente over 6.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Twente under 6.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Twente under 5.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Twente under 4.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Twente under 3.5 corners	12.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.27
FC Twente under 2.5 corners	5.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 0.5 goals	88.5%	87.3%	83.6%	1.04×	1.15
FC Twente under 3.5 goals	82.6%	82.2%	89.2%	0.92×	1.22
FC Twente over 1.5 goals	63.7%	63.6%	50.5%	1.26×	1.57
FC Twente under 2.5 goals	63.2%	63.6%	76.3%	0.83×	1.57
FC Twente over 2.5 goals	36.8%	36.4%	23.7%	1.53×	2.75
FC Twente under 1.5 goals	36.3%	36.4%	49.5%	0.74×	2.75
FC Twente over 3.5 goals	17.4%	17.8%	10.8%	1.65×	5.62
FC Twente under 0.5 goals	11.5%	12.7%	16.4%	0.77×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
FC Twente over 0.5 in 1st half	60.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
FC Twente under 0.5 in 1st half	39.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
FC Twente over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente scores more in 2nd half	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
FC Twente scores equally in both	29.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
FC Twente scores more in 1st half	27.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	63.9%	60.0%	45.9%	1.31×	1.67
Sparta Rotterdam (home no bet)	36.1%	40.0%	54.1%	0.74×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente even goals	50.7%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
FC Twente odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.7%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
HT 1-0	26.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
HT 2-0	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 1-1	8.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
Any other HT score	7.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 0-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente at HT / FC Twente at FT	44.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / FC Twente at FT	20.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Sparta Rotterdam at HT / Sparta Rotterdam at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Draw at HT / Sparta Rotterdam at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
FC Twente at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Sparta Rotterdam at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Sparta Rotterdam at HT / FC Twente at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
FC Twente at HT / Sparta Rotterdam at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score last	68.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Sparta Rotterdam to score last	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	6.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Twente to lead by 1 at any time	77.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Twente to lead by 2 at any time	50.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Sparta Rotterdam to lead by 1 at any time	28.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
FC Twente to lead by 3 at any time	26.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Sparta Rotterdam to lead by 2 at any time	7.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.93
Sparta Rotterdam to lead by 3 at any time	1.4%	1.6%	—	—	63.31

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente most corners	78.9%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Sparta Rotterdam most corners	14.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Corners level	6.8%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.9%	78.7%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.6%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.2%	59.1%	58.9%	1.00×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.9%	53.2%	55.7%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.0%	48.5%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.5%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.1%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.8%	39.2%	37.0%	1.06×	2.55
4-6 goals	31.5%	35.2%	33.8%	1.04×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.6%	30.2%	28.8%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.9%	14.8%	16.9%	0.88×	6.75
7+ goals	3.2%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.08

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente never behind	65.0%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Sparta Rotterdam never behind	16.0%	18.2%	—	—	5.50

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	81.9%	82.3%	79.1%	1.04×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	84.3%	0.98×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	65.3%	66.3%	62.3%	1.06×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	57.1%	58.6%	59.7%	0.98×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.9%	41.4%	40.3%	1.03×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	34.7%	33.7%	37.7%	0.89×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	15.7%	1.13×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	18.1%	17.7%	20.9%	0.85×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.6%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.0%	92.4%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	78.3%	75.9%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.8%	72.4%	79.2%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.2%	55.7%	51.7%	1.08×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.8%	44.3%	48.3%	0.92×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.2%	27.6%	20.8%	1.33×	3.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	21.7%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.0%	7.6%	10.3%	0.74×	13.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.4%	2.8%	4.3%	0.65×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.9%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.22

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam not to score in both halves	89.3%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
FC Twente not to score in both halves	57.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
FC Twente to score in both halves	42.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Sparta Rotterdam to score in both halves	10.7%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	53.8%	60.3%	0.89×	1.86
Only FC Twente scores	38.3%	39.9%	23.4%	1.70×	2.51
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.1%	3.5%	2.03×	14.05
Only Sparta Rotterdam scores	5.4%	7.1%	13.1%	0.54×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.6%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.7%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	13.2%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	9.9%	7.6%	11.9%	0.64×	13.13
6 or more goals	8.1%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	28.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	22.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	30.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam not to win both halves	98.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Twente not to win both halves	72.7%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
FC Twente to win both halves	27.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Sparta Rotterdam to win both halves	1.8%	2.8%	—	—	36.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win either half	76.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sparta Rotterdam to win neither half	75.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Sparta Rotterdam to win either half	24.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
FC Twente to win neither half	23.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sparta Rotterdam not to win to nil	94.6%	92.1%	86.9%	1.06×	1.09
FC Twente not to win to nil	61.7%	66.6%	76.6%	0.87×	1.50
FC Twente to win to nil	38.3%	33.4%	23.4%	1.43×	2.99
Sparta Rotterdam to win to nil	5.4%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.70

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente by 3+	23.7%	24.1%	13.2%	1.82×	4.15
FC Twente by 1	23.0%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
FC Twente by 2	20.7%	24.1%	12.2%	1.98×	4.15
Draw	20.8%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Sparta Rotterdam by 1	8.0%	7.2%	14.8%	0.49×	13.90
Sparta Rotterdam by 2	2.9%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.81
Sparta Rotterdam by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.88