FC Utrecht v sc Heerenveen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Utrecht

20:00 UTC

sc Heerenveen

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 1,377h before kick-off

FC Utrecht win

49.2%

model 47.9%

Draw

23.1%

model 24.6%

sc Heerenveen win

27.7%

model 27.5%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
2-1 9.3%
1-2 6.9%
2-0 6.7%
2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.5%	Under 2.5	36.5%
BTTS yes	64.8%	BTTS no	35.2%
FC Utrecht 1+	84.7%	FC Utrecht 2+	56.1%
sc Heerenveen 1+	75.2%	sc Heerenveen 2+	40.6%

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 56%

58.5% fair odds 1.71

moderate signal · 2005 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Utrecht carry the stronger rating, 1571 Elo against 1542.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Utrecht have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for sc Heerenveen and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.88 for FC Utrecht and 1.39 for sc Heerenveen.

Why FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht carry the stronger rating, 1571 Elo against 1542.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why sc Heerenveen can win

Nothing in the data singles out sc Heerenveen.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Utrecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for sc Heerenveen, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Utrecht: 44% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 19.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. sc Heerenveen: 55% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Utrecht are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482527	1.88–1.39	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	492526	1.88–1.34	1-1 11%	62%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win	49.0%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11
sc Heerenveen to win	26.3%	27.9%	30.1%	0.93×	3.59
Draw	24.7%	24.5%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht & both teams score	27.8%	25.2%	21.2%	1.19×	3.97
FC Utrecht & not both score	21.1%	21.8%	23.4%	0.93×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & both teams score	16.1%	18.0%	17.2%	1.04×	5.57
sc Heerenveen & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.1%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht & over 1.5	42.5%	40.3%	36.2%	1.11×	2.48
FC Utrecht & over 2.5	35.5%	34.9%	28.9%	1.21×	2.87
FC Utrecht & under 3.5	27.4%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
sc Heerenveen & over 1.5	22.0%	21.6%	26.2%	0.83×	4.63
FC Utrecht & over 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & over 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
sc Heerenveen & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
FC Utrecht & under 2.5	13.5%	12.8%	15.7%	0.82×	7.79
sc Heerenveen & over 3.5	10.1%	12.8%	10.4%	1.24×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
sc Heerenveen & under 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.63
FC Utrecht & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
sc Heerenveen & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (1UP)	66.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
sc Heerenveen (1UP)	46.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2UP)	49.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
sc Heerenveen (2UP)	26.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win 2nd half	40.9%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	32.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
sc Heerenveen to win 2nd half	26.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (+2.5)	87.0%	88.5%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
FC Utrecht (+0.5)	73.7%	73.7%	69.9%	1.05×	1.36
sc Heerenveen (+1.5)	71.8%	73.7%	74.7%	0.99×	1.36
sc Heerenveen (+0.5)	51.0%	52.4%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
FC Utrecht (-0.5)	49.0%	47.6%	44.4%	1.07×	2.10
FC Utrecht (-1.5)	28.2%	26.3%	25.3%	1.04×	3.80
sc Heerenveen (-0.5)	26.3%	26.3%	30.1%	0.87×	3.80
FC Utrecht (-2.5)	13.0%	11.5%	13.2%	0.87×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede	84.7%	81.6%	83.6%	0.98×	1.23
sc Heerenveen clean sheet	15.3%	18.4%	16.4%	1.12×	5.42

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede in 1st half	55.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
sc Heerenveen clean sheet in 1st half	44.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to concede in 2nd half	65.7%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
sc Heerenveen clean sheet in 2nd half	34.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen over 2.5 corners	80.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
sc Heerenveen under 6.5 corners	75.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
sc Heerenveen over 3.5 corners	65.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
sc Heerenveen under 5.5 corners	64.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
sc Heerenveen under 4.5 corners	50.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
sc Heerenveen over 4.5 corners	49.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
sc Heerenveen over 5.5 corners	35.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
sc Heerenveen under 3.5 corners	34.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
sc Heerenveen over 6.5 corners	24.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
sc Heerenveen under 2.5 corners	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 3.5 goals	95.3%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
sc Heerenveen under 2.5 goals	84.9%	81.5%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 goals	73.7%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 goals	61.4%	63.2%	58.1%	1.09×	1.58
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 goals	38.6%	36.8%	41.9%	0.88×	2.71
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 goals	26.3%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.56
sc Heerenveen over 2.5 goals	15.1%	18.5%	15.1%	1.23×	5.40
sc Heerenveen over 3.5 goals	4.7%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.79

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
sc Heerenveen under 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
sc Heerenveen over 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
sc Heerenveen over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen scores equally in both	38.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
sc Heerenveen scores more in 2nd half	38.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
sc Heerenveen scores more in 1st half	22.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (away no bet)	66.4%	66.4%	63.5%	1.05×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.6%	33.6%	36.5%	0.92×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen even goals	53.4%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
sc Heerenveen odd goals	46.6%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.4%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	73.5%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
FC Utrecht to score 2+ in a row	46.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
sc Heerenveen to score 2+ in a row	27.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
FC Utrecht to score 3+ in a row	18.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
sc Heerenveen to score 3+ in a row	7.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht corners (+3.5)	86.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Utrecht corners (+2.5)	80.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
sc Heerenveen corners (+3.5)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Utrecht corners (+1.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
sc Heerenveen corners (+2.5)	67.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
sc Heerenveen corners (+1.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Utrecht corners (-1.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Utrecht corners (-2.5)	32.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
sc Heerenveen corners (-1.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Utrecht corners (-3.5)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
sc Heerenveen corners (-2.5)	19.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
sc Heerenveen corners (-3.5)	13.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	36.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.50
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
0-0	5.1%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-1	5.9%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
0-1	4.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-2	3.6%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.30
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-0	4.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	2.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2nd half DNB)	60.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
sc Heerenveen (2nd half DNB)	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht leading at HT (DNB)	63.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
sc Heerenveen leading at HT (DNB)	36.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or sc Heerenveen (12)	75.3%	75.5%	74.4%	1.02×	1.32
FC Utrecht or draw (1X)	73.7%	72.1%	69.9%	1.03×	1.39
sc Heerenveen or draw (X2)	51.0%	52.6%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw at HT	77.8%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
sc Heerenveen or draw at HT	61.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
FC Utrecht or sc Heerenveen at HT	60.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw (1UP)	73.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
sc Heerenveen or draw (1UP)	51.0%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht or draw in 2nd half	73.4%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
FC Utrecht or sc Heerenveen in 2nd half	67.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
sc Heerenveen or draw in 2nd half	59.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.6%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (DNB)	65.1%	67.3%	59.6%	1.13×	1.49
sc Heerenveen (DNB)	34.9%	32.7%	40.4%	0.81×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score first	55.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
sc Heerenveen to score first	39.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	5.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.5%	56.7%	60.3%	0.94×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.5%	43.3%	39.7%	1.09×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.3%	47.3%	48.7%	0.97×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.5%	33.3%	28.8%	1.16×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.05

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.4%	79.7%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	21.6%	20.3%	19.6%	1.03×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.4%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	48.6%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	8.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	23.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.0%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	37.0%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.1%	42.1%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	35.5%	35.1%	33.8%	1.04×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.9%	20.2%	15.7%	1.29×	4.95
7+ goals	4.5%	1.9%	4.1%	0.45×	54.05

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 0	26.3%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.66
sc Heerenveen to score exactly 2	23.5%	22.3%	26.9%	0.83×	4.48
sc Heerenveen to score 3+	15.1%	19.6%	15.1%	1.30×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score 3+	28.9%	26.6%	23.7%	1.12×	3.77
FC Utrecht to score exactly 1	28.8%	26.6%	33.2%	0.80×	3.77
FC Utrecht to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
FC Utrecht to score exactly 0	15.3%	18.8%	16.4%	1.14×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
FC Utrecht leading at HT	38.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
sc Heerenveen leading at HT	22.2%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht -1: 2	51.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Utrecht -1: 1	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Utrecht -1: X	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:1)	51.0%	51.3%	55.6%	0.92×	1.95
FC Utrecht (0:1)	28.2%	27.0%	25.3%	1.07×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.2%	19.3%	1.25×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:2)	71.8%	75.6%	74.7%	1.01×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.2%	15.3%	12.2%	1.25×	6.55
FC Utrecht (0:2)	13.0%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:3)	87.0%	90.6%	86.8%	1.04×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.0%	5.8%	7.8%	0.75×	17.20
FC Utrecht (0:3)	5.0%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (0:4)	95.0%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.4%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.73
FC Utrecht (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (1:0)	73.7%	72.4%	69.9%	1.04×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	14.5%	12.7%	14.8%	0.86×	7.86
sc Heerenveen (1:0)	11.8%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht (2:0)	88.2%	88.5%	84.5%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.68
sc Heerenveen (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.58

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.2%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to concede	73.7%	73.2%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
FC Utrecht clean sheet	26.3%	26.8%	26.8%	1.00×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht clean sheet in 1st half	58.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Utrecht to concede in 1st half	41.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to concede in 2nd half	55.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Utrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	44.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht over 2.5 corners	86.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Utrecht over 3.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Utrecht under 6.5 corners	65.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Utrecht over 4.5 corners	60.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
FC Utrecht under 5.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Utrecht over 5.5 corners	47.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Utrecht under 4.5 corners	39.1%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
FC Utrecht over 6.5 corners	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Utrecht under 3.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
FC Utrecht under 2.5 corners	13.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 3.5 goals	87.9%	87.3%	89.2%	0.98×	1.15
FC Utrecht over 0.5 goals	84.7%	82.2%	83.6%	0.98×	1.22
FC Utrecht under 2.5 goals	71.1%	74.2%	76.3%	0.97×	1.35
FC Utrecht over 1.5 goals	55.9%	58.6%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
FC Utrecht under 1.5 goals	44.1%	41.4%	49.5%	0.84×	2.41
FC Utrecht over 2.5 goals	28.9%	25.8%	23.7%	1.09×	3.88
FC Utrecht under 0.5 goals	15.3%	17.8%	16.4%	1.08×	5.63
FC Utrecht over 3.5 goals	12.1%	12.7%	10.8%	1.18×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	80.7%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	19.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.19

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht scores more in 2nd half	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
FC Utrecht scores equally in both	31.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
FC Utrecht scores more in 1st half	27.1%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen (home no bet)	51.5%	51.4%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	48.5%	48.6%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht even goals	51.2%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
FC Utrecht odd goals	48.8%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
HT 1-0	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	13.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
Any other HT score	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	30.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Draw at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
sc Heerenveen at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	14.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	9.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
FC Utrecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
sc Heerenveen at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
sc Heerenveen at HT / FC Utrecht at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
FC Utrecht at HT / sc Heerenveen at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.70

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to score last	55.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
sc Heerenveen to score last	39.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.57
No goal scored	5.1%	7.4%	—	—	13.55

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.9%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Utrecht to lead by 1 at any time	66.0%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.1%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
sc Heerenveen to lead by 1 at any time	46.9%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
FC Utrecht to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
sc Heerenveen to lead by 2 at any time	18.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
FC Utrecht to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
sc Heerenveen to lead by 3 at any time	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.98

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht most corners	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
sc Heerenveen most corners	36.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.2%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.5%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.7%	72.4%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.0%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.7%	59.1%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.9%	53.2%	58.9%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	51.6%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.5%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.6%	35.2%	37.0%	0.95×	2.84
4-5 goals	29.3%	30.2%	28.8%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.6%	18.8%	16.9%	1.11×	5.31
7+ goals	4.5%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.02

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht never behind	47.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
sc Heerenveen never behind	28.8%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	89.3%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.1%	82.3%	84.3%	0.98×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.9%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	62.3%	61.7%	59.7%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.0%	58.6%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.0%	41.4%	37.7%	1.10×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	37.7%	38.3%	40.3%	0.95×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	22.1%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.9%	17.7%	15.7%	1.13×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	10.7%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.2%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.0%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.7%	75.9%	79.2%	0.96×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.0%	72.4%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.5%	51.9%	48.3%	1.07×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.5%	48.1%	51.7%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.0%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.3%	24.1%	20.8%	1.16×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.0%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.8%	2.8%	4.3%	0.65×	35.52

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.8%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.0%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.2%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.2%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.8%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen not to score in both halves	77.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
FC Utrecht not to score in both halves	63.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
FC Utrecht to score in both halves	36.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
sc Heerenveen to score in both halves	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.5%	60.4%	60.3%	1.00×	1.66
Only FC Utrecht scores	21.1%	22.2%	23.4%	0.95×	4.50
Only sc Heerenveen scores	10.2%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.07
Neither team scores	5.1%	7.1%	3.5%	2.03×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.9%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.5%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	10.7%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.25
6 or more goals	10.7%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	5.1%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.7%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	26.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	15.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.2%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	15.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen not to win both halves	94.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Utrecht not to win both halves	83.9%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
FC Utrecht to win both halves	16.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
sc Heerenveen to win both halves	6.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Utrecht to win either half	63.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
sc Heerenveen to win neither half	57.2%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
sc Heerenveen to win either half	42.8%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
FC Utrecht to win neither half	36.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
sc Heerenveen not to win to nil	89.8%	88.1%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
FC Utrecht not to win to nil	78.9%	78.1%	76.6%	1.02×	1.28
FC Utrecht to win to nil	21.1%	21.9%	23.4%	0.93×	4.58
sc Heerenveen to win to nil	10.2%	11.9%	13.1%	0.91×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
FC Utrecht by 1	20.8%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
FC Utrecht by 2	15.2%	17.0%	12.2%	1.40×	5.87
sc Heerenveen by 1	14.5%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.50
FC Utrecht by 3+	13.0%	11.8%	13.2%	0.89×	8.51
sc Heerenveen by 2	7.7%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
sc Heerenveen by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.78