FC Van v BKMA — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · ARM-Premier League · 2627

ARM-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

FC Van

12:00 UTC

BKMA

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 76h before kick-off

FC Van win

37.4%

Draw

28.7%

BKMA win

33.9%

372934

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-0 9.7%
0-1 9.1%
0-0 9.1%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.6%	Under 2.5	54.4%
BTTS yes	51.7%	BTTS no	48.3%
FC Van 1+	72.4%	FC Van 2+	36.8%
BKMA 1+	70.2%	BKMA 2+	34.2%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

A half without a goal

Goal in both halves · usually 41%

52.5% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1351 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

BKMA (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 78%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 13561 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Van have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while BKMA have allowed 1.35.
At home FC Van average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
FC Van have only 0 matches on record.
BKMA have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Van have an estimated 37.4% win probability, against 33.9% for BKMA and 28.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for FC Van and 1.21 for BKMA.

Why FC Van

FC Van have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while BKMA have allowed 1.35. At home FC Van average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.29 to 1.21.

Why BKMA can win

BKMA have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while FC Van have allowed 1.35. Away from home BKMA average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Van, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for BKMA, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Van: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. BKMA: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

FC Van are the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	372934	1.29–1.21	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	362935	1.24–1.22	1-1 14%	45%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to win	37.4%	37.5%	44.4%	0.84×	2.67
BKMA to win	33.9%	31.4%	30.6%	1.03×	3.18
Draw	28.7%	27.3%	25.0%	1.09×	3.66

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van & not both score	20.7%	21.5%	24.4%	0.88×	4.65
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.2%	17.7%	1.03×	5.49
BKMA & not both score	18.6%	18.2%	16.0%	1.14×	5.49
FC Van & both teams score	16.7%	18.2%	20.1%	0.91×	5.49
BKMA & both teams score	15.3%	18.2%	14.6%	1.25×	5.49
Draw & not both score	9.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.05×	13.04

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van & over 1.5	27.7%	26.5%	34.1%	0.78×	3.78
FC Van & under 3.5	27.7%	26.5%	30.3%	0.87×	3.78
BKMA & under 3.5	25.4%	26.5%	21.6%	1.22×	3.78
BKMA & over 1.5	24.8%	21.8%	23.1%	0.95×	4.59
Draw & under 2.5	22.8%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.59
Draw & under 3.5	22.8%	21.8%	18.8%	1.16×	4.59
FC Van & over 2.5	20.9%	21.8%	26.9%	0.81×	4.59
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	17.7%	17.7%	1.00×	5.66
FC Van & under 2.5	16.5%	17.7%	17.5%	1.01×	5.66
BKMA & over 2.5	18.7%	17.7%	18.4%	0.96×	5.66
BKMA & under 2.5	15.2%	17.7%	12.2%	1.44×	5.66
FC Van & under 1.5	9.7%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.17
FC Van & over 3.5	9.7%	7.6%	14.2%	0.54×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	9.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.17
BKMA & under 1.5	9.1%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.17
BKMA & over 3.5	8.5%	7.6%	9.0%	0.84×	13.17

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (1UP)	53.4%	53.3%	59.8%	0.89×	1.88
BKMA (1UP)	50.3%	53.1%	50.4%	1.05×	1.88

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (2UP)	37.4%	37.6%	45.2%	0.83×	2.66
BKMA (2UP)	33.9%	36.3%	34.2%	1.06×	2.76

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.9%	36.9%	32.7%	1.13×	2.71
FC Van to win 2nd half	31.2%	32.4%	37.7%	0.86×	3.09
BKMA to win 2nd half	30.9%	32.4%	29.7%	1.09×	3.09

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA (+2.5)	94.1%	92.3%	90.1%	1.02×	1.08
BKMA (+1.5)	83.0%	83.1%	77.7%	1.07×	1.20
FC Van (+0.5)	66.1%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
BKMA (+0.5)	62.6%	62.8%	55.6%	1.13×	1.59
FC Van (-0.5)	37.4%	37.2%	44.4%	0.84×	2.69
BKMA (-0.5)	33.9%	32.0%	30.6%	1.05×	3.13
FC Van (-1.5)	17.0%	16.9%	22.3%	0.76×	5.92
FC Van (-2.5)	5.9%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	12.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA to concede	72.4%	75.5%	76.7%	0.98×	1.32
BKMA clean sheet	27.6%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA clean sheet in 1st half	57.5%	58.1%	51.8%	1.12×	1.72
BKMA to concede in 1st half	42.5%	41.9%	48.2%	0.87×	2.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.3%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
BKMA under 2.5 goals	87.7%	87.2%	87.0%	1.00×	1.15
BKMA over 0.5 goals	70.2%	71.3%	68.3%	1.04×	1.40
BKMA under 1.5 goals	65.8%	67.7%	66.3%	1.02×	1.48
BKMA over 1.5 goals	34.2%	32.3%	33.7%	0.96×	3.09
BKMA under 0.5 goals	29.8%	28.7%	31.7%	0.91×	3.48
BKMA over 2.5 goals	12.3%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.81
BKMA over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	37.45

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	93.6%	89.4%	1.05×	1.07
BKMA under 0.5 in 1st half	61.6%	62.4%	59.0%	1.06×	1.60
BKMA over 0.5 in 1st half	38.4%	37.6%	41.0%	0.92×	2.66
BKMA over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	6.4%	10.6%	0.60×	15.61

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (away no bet)	56.6%	58.5%	64.0%	0.91×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	43.4%	41.5%	36.0%	1.15×	2.41

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA even goals	54.4%	53.5%	55.7%	0.96×	1.87
BKMA odd goals	45.6%	46.5%	44.3%	1.05×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	86.9%	82.7%	1.05×	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	13.1%	17.3%	0.76×	7.63

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.2%	60.4%	66.2%	0.91×	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.8%	39.6%	33.8%	1.17×	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.9%	52.1%	58.6%	0.89×	1.92
FC Van to score 2+ in a row	29.3%	27.1%	36.9%	0.74×	3.68
BKMA to score 2+ in a row	26.7%	27.1%	28.6%	0.95×	3.69
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.3%	17.3%	22.9%	0.76×	5.77
FC Van to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	7.8%	14.2%	0.55×	12.74
BKMA to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.78

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.7%	11.2%	11.5%	0.98×	8.90
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	10.4%	0.72×	13.48
0-0	9.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.49
1-2	7.8%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.48
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.49
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.48
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.10
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.11
1-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.10
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.70×	58.11
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.10
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.11
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.90×	58.11
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.10
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.10
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.11
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.73×	58.11
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.66×	58.11
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.98×	58.11
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.11
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.11
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.63×	58.11
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.22×	58.11
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van leading at HT (DNB)	54.2%	56.1%	56.7%	0.99×	1.78
BKMA leading at HT (DNB)	45.8%	43.9%	43.3%	1.01×	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van or BKMA (12)	71.3%	72.7%	75.0%	0.97×	1.38
FC Van or draw (1X)	66.1%	68.6%	69.4%	0.99×	1.46
BKMA or draw (X2)	62.6%	62.5%	55.6%	1.13×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van or draw at HT	75.2%	76.4%	74.1%	1.03×	1.31
BKMA or draw at HT	70.7%	71.1%	66.2%	1.08×	1.41
FC Van or BKMA at HT	54.1%	54.1%	59.7%	0.91×	1.85

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van or draw (1UP)	66.1%	70.7%	74.2%	0.95×	1.41
BKMA or draw (1UP)	62.6%	69.8%	63.9%	1.09×	1.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van or draw in 2nd half	69.1%	67.6%	70.3%	0.96×	1.48
BKMA or draw in 2nd half	68.8%	67.6%	62.3%	1.08×	1.48
FC Van or BKMA in 2nd half	62.1%	63.1%	67.3%	0.94×	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.5%	65.3%	58.9%	1.11×	1.53
Neither half drawn	34.5%	34.7%	41.1%	0.84×	2.88

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (DNB)	52.5%	51.5%	59.2%	0.87×	1.94
BKMA (DNB)	47.5%	48.5%	40.8%	1.19×	2.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to score first	46.8%	46.1%	51.2%	0.90×	2.17
BKMA to score first	44.1%	44.3%	42.9%	1.03×	2.26
No goal scored	9.1%	6.3%	5.9%	1.07×	15.79

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.7%	51.8%	52.3%	0.99×	1.93
Not both teams to score	48.3%	48.2%	47.7%	1.01×	2.08

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.8%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	38.0%	38.0%	40.9%	0.93×	2.63
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	11.9%	11.5%	1.04×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.5%	10.6%	0.80×	11.82

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.4%	85.9%	86.0%	1.00×	1.16
Both teams to score 2+	12.6%	14.1%	14.0%	1.00×	7.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.9%	71.4%	70.2%	1.02×	1.40
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.1%	28.6%	29.8%	0.96×	3.50

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.8%	61.2%	57.8%	1.06×	1.64
Both score 2nd half only	22.8%	23.3%	23.8%	0.98×	4.29
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	11.9%	12.5%	0.96×	8.40
Both score in both halves	4.4%	4.6%	6.0%	0.77×	21.64

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.5%	82.7%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.5%	17.3%	18.5%	0.94×	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.0%	52.5%	41.1%	1.28×	1.91
A goal in each half	50.0%	47.5%	58.9%	0.81×	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.9%	46.6%	45.4%	1.03×	2.15
0-1 goals	27.9%	27.3%	25.2%	1.08×	3.66
4-6 goals	22.8%	23.3%	26.9%	0.86×	4.29
7+ goals	1.4%	2.0%	2.4%	0.82×	50.27

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
BKMA to score exactly 0	29.8%	27.4%	31.7%	0.86×	3.65
BKMA to score exactly 2	21.9%	23.1%	20.8%	1.11×	4.32
BKMA to score 3+	12.3%	12.9%	13.0%	1.00×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to score exactly 1	35.5%	36.5%	33.1%	1.10×	2.74
FC Van to score exactly 0	27.6%	26.4%	23.3%	1.13×	3.79
FC Van to score exactly 2	22.8%	22.9%	23.9%	0.96×	4.37
FC Van to score 3+	14.0%	13.2%	19.7%	0.67×	7.58

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.9%	45.9%	40.3%	1.14×	2.18
FC Van leading at HT	29.3%	28.9%	33.8%	0.85×	3.47
BKMA leading at HT	24.8%	23.6%	25.9%	0.91×	4.23

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van -1: 2	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Van -1: X	20.4%	23.2%	—	—	4.30
FC Van -1: 1	17.0%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA (0:1)	62.6%	60.3%	55.6%	1.09×	1.66
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	23.5%	22.2%	1.06×	4.25
FC Van (0:1)	17.0%	18.2%	22.3%	0.81×	5.51

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA (0:2)	83.0%	83.0%	77.7%	1.07×	1.20
Draw (0:2)	11.1%	11.4%	12.4%	0.92×	8.79
FC Van (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	9.9%	0.78×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA (0:3)	94.1%	92.6%	90.1%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.6%	5.9%	0.44×	38.94
FC Van (0:3)	1.7%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	38.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA (0:4)	98.3%	97.7%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.4%	2.5%	0.56×	70.58
FC Van (0:4)	0.4%	1.4%	1.5%	0.94×	70.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (1:0)	66.1%	69.3%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Draw (1:0)	19.2%	17.5%	17.0%	1.03×	5.70
BKMA (1:0)	14.7%	12.5%	13.6%	0.92×	8.01

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van (2:0)	85.3%	88.0%	86.4%	1.02×	1.14
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.7%	8.1%	0.82×	14.97
BKMA (2:0)	4.8%	2.8%	5.4%	0.51×	36.31

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.1%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06
Halves equal	27.6%	26.2%	25.2%	1.04×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.2%	26.3%	1.00×	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to concede	70.2%	72.0%	68.3%	1.05×	1.39
FC Van clean sheet	29.8%	28.0%	31.7%	0.88×	3.57

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van clean sheet in 1st half	61.6%	62.3%	59.0%	1.06×	1.61
FC Van to concede in 1st half	38.4%	37.7%	41.0%	0.92×	2.65

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van under 3.5 goals	95.8%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
FC Van under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.5%	80.3%	1.09×	1.14
FC Van over 0.5 goals	72.4%	73.2%	76.7%	0.95×	1.37
FC Van under 1.5 goals	63.2%	62.4%	56.3%	1.11×	1.60
FC Van over 1.5 goals	36.8%	37.6%	43.7%	0.86×	2.66
FC Van under 0.5 goals	27.6%	26.8%	23.3%	1.15×	3.73
FC Van over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.5%	19.7%	0.64×	7.97
FC Van over 3.5 goals	4.2%	3.4%	7.6%	0.45×	29.05

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van under 1.5 in 1st half	89.3%	87.4%	85.9%	1.02×	1.15
FC Van under 0.5 in 1st half	57.5%	58.1%	51.8%	1.12×	1.72
FC Van over 0.5 in 1st half	42.5%	41.9%	48.2%	0.87×	2.39
FC Van over 1.5 in 1st half	10.7%	12.6%	14.1%	0.89×	7.91

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA (home no bet)	54.1%	52.1%	55.1%	0.95×	1.92
Draw (home no bet)	45.9%	47.9%	44.9%	1.07×	2.09

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van even goals	53.8%	50.9%	52.8%	0.97×	1.96
FC Van odd goals	46.2%	49.1%	47.2%	1.04×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.6%	35.3%	29.3%	1.21×	2.83
HT 1-0	19.4%	20.1%	20.7%	0.97×	4.98
HT 0-1	17.0%	20.0%	16.3%	1.23×	4.99
HT 1-1	9.6%	8.0%	10.2%	0.79×	12.44
HT 2-0	5.4%	8.0%	7.1%	1.12×	12.48
HT 0-2	4.2%	2.5%	4.9%	0.51×	40.36
Any other HT score	3.2%	2.5%	4.7%	0.52×	40.41
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	0.89×	40.45
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.5%	3.3%	0.76×	40.43
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	0.9%	2.76×	40.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van at HT / FC Van at FT	21.6%	20.5%	25.8%	0.80×	4.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.3%	17.2%	14.1%	1.22×	5.82
BKMA at HT / BKMA at FT	18.0%	17.2%	17.4%	0.99×	5.82
Draw at HT / FC Van at FT	13.9%	12.2%	14.7%	0.83×	8.20
Draw at HT / BKMA at FT	13.7%	12.2%	11.6%	1.05×	8.20
FC Van at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.4%	5.1%	1.25×	15.59
BKMA at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.7%	5.6%	0.65×	27.26
FC Van at HT / BKMA at FT	2.2%	3.7%	3.0%	1.23×	27.33
BKMA at HT / FC Van at FT	2.0%	3.7%	2.9%	1.26×	27.34

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Van to score last	46.8%	46.3%	51.4%	0.90×	2.16
BKMA to score last	44.1%	42.6%	42.7%	1.00×	2.35
No goal scored	9.1%	6.3%	5.9%	1.07×	15.79

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.9%	93.6%	94.1%	0.99×	1.07
FC Van to lead by 1 at any time	53.4%	50.9%	59.8%	0.85×	1.97
BKMA to lead by 1 at any time	50.3%	50.8%	50.4%	1.01×	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.2%	41.3%	48.2%	0.86×	2.42
FC Van to lead by 2 at any time	22.4%	21.3%	28.2%	0.76×	4.69
BKMA to lead by 2 at any time	19.9%	17.3%	20.3%	0.85×	5.77
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.7%	11.0%	19.5%	0.57×	9.09
FC Van to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	7.6%	12.1%	0.63×	13.17
BKMA to lead by 3 at any time	6.2%	7.6%	7.4%	1.03×	13.20

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.1%	86.4%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.1%	82.0%	78.0%	1.05×	1.22
2-6 goals	70.7%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
2-5 goals	67.9%	68.2%	68.5%	1.00×	1.47
1-3 goals	66.7%	68.2%	63.3%	1.08×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.2%	62.7%	60.1%	1.04×	1.60
2-3 goals	47.9%	47.4%	45.4%	1.04×	2.11
1-2 goals	45.4%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
3-6 goals	44.1%	43.7%	49.0%	0.89×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.4%	43.7%	45.1%	0.97×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.7%	34.6%	36.8%	0.94×	2.89
4-6 goals	22.8%	23.8%	26.9%	0.88×	4.20
4-5 goals	20.0%	23.8%	23.0%	1.03×	4.20
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	12.3%	0.73×	11.18
7+ goals	1.4%	2.2%	2.4%	0.92×	44.61

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA never behind	37.5%	47.4%	40.2%	1.18×	2.11
FC Van never behind	40.6%	46.2%	49.6%	0.93×	2.17

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	52.1%	50.0%	49.8%	1.00×	2.00
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.0%	50.2%	1.00×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	55.1%	53.7%	1.03×	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	44.9%	46.3%	0.97×	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	51.6%	51.1%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.4%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.8%	96.0%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Over 0.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.7%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.8%	77.0%	70.6%	1.09×	1.30
Over 1.5 goals	72.1%	72.2%	74.8%	0.97×	1.39
Under 2.5 goals	54.4%	52.2%	48.5%	1.07×	1.92
Over 2.5 goals	45.6%	47.8%	51.5%	0.93×	2.09
Under 1.5 goals	27.9%	27.8%	25.2%	1.10×	3.60
Over 3.5 goals	24.2%	23.0%	29.4%	0.78×	4.35
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.14
Under 0.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.2%	4.0%	6.3%	0.62×	25.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.5%	97.3%	93.1%	1.05×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.5%	86.7%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.2%	67.4%	62.3%	1.08×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.0%	62.0%	67.1%	0.92×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.0%	38.0%	32.9%	1.16×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.8%	32.6%	37.7%	0.86×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.5%	13.4%	17.2%	0.77×	7.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.5%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.66
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	2.5%	1.08×	36.70

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	91.6%	88.4%	1.04×	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	73.4%	66.3%	1.11×	1.36
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.4%	64.3%	70.7%	0.91×	1.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.6%	35.7%	29.3%	1.22×	2.80
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	26.6%	33.7%	0.79×	3.76
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	8.4%	11.6%	0.72×	11.95

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.9%	82.6%	77.5%	1.07×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	79.8%	82.3%	0.97×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	56.4%	50.2%	1.12×	1.77
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	43.6%	49.8%	0.88×	2.30
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	20.2%	17.7%	1.14×	4.95
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.1%	17.4%	22.5%	0.77×	5.76

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA not to score in both halves	80.2%	81.2%	77.6%	1.05×	1.23
FC Van not to score in both halves	77.9%	76.3%	70.5%	1.08×	1.31
FC Van to score in both halves	22.1%	23.7%	29.5%	0.80×	4.22
BKMA to score in both halves	19.8%	18.8%	22.4%	0.84×	5.32

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.7%	54.5%	52.3%	1.04×	1.84
Only FC Van scores	20.7%	21.3%	24.4%	0.87×	4.71
Only BKMA scores	18.6%	17.1%	16.0%	1.07×	5.83
Neither team scores	9.1%	7.2%	7.3%	0.98×	13.96

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.5%	25.0%	23.3%	1.07×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.48
Exactly 1 goals	18.8%	17.6%	17.9%	0.98×	5.69
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.3%	14.7%	0.84×	8.13
Exactly 0 goals	9.1%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.88
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.8%	8.4%	0.93×	12.89
6 or more goals	4.2%	4.1%	6.3%	0.64×	24.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.2%	43.5%	49.8%	0.87×	2.30
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	34.3%	32.5%	1.06×	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	23.5%	20.2%	17.7%	1.14×	4.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA not to win both halves	92.2%	92.2%	91.8%	1.00×	1.08
FC Van not to win both halves	90.7%	92.2%	86.8%	1.06×	1.08
FC Van to win both halves	9.3%	7.8%	13.2%	0.59×	12.84
BKMA to win both halves	7.8%	7.8%	8.2%	0.95×	12.90

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA to win neither half	52.1%	51.1%	52.6%	0.97×	1.96
FC Van to win either half	51.2%	51.1%	58.3%	0.88×	1.96
FC Van to win neither half	48.8%	48.9%	41.7%	1.17×	2.04
BKMA to win either half	47.9%	48.9%	47.4%	1.03×	2.04

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
BKMA not to win to nil	81.4%	82.6%	84.0%	0.98×	1.21
FC Van not to win to nil	79.3%	78.7%	75.6%	1.04×	1.27
FC Van to win to nil	20.7%	21.3%	24.4%	0.87×	4.70
BKMA to win to nil	18.6%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.76

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.7%	27.4%	25.0%	1.10×	3.65
FC Van by 1	20.4%	23.3%	22.2%	1.05×	4.29
BKMA by 1	19.2%	17.3%	17.0%	1.02×	5.78
FC Van by 2	11.1%	11.8%	12.4%	0.96×	8.46
BKMA by 2	9.9%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.65
FC Van by 3+	5.9%	7.3%	9.9%	0.74×	13.66
BKMA by 3+	4.8%	3.0%	5.4%	0.54×	33.80