FC Volendam v Jong FC Utrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

FC Volendam

18:00 UTC

Jong FC Utrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 55h before kick-off

FC Volendam win

64.3%

model 65.2%

Draw

17.9%

model 17.9%

Jong FC Utrecht win

17.8%

model 16.9%

641818

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
2-0 8.6%
1-1 7.9%
3-1 7.6%
1-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.5%	Under 2.5	32.5%
BTTS yes	60.7%	BTTS no	39.3%
FC Volendam 1+	90.5%	FC Volendam 2+	68.3%
Jong FC Utrecht 1+	67.4%	Jong FC Utrecht 2+	30.8%

Expected goals 2.36 – 1.12. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

89%

★ Best pick

FC Volendam (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

strong signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Volendam or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Volendam carry the stronger rating, 1462 Elo against 1338.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Volendam have an estimated 64.3% win probability, against 17.9% for the draw and 17.8% for Jong FC Utrecht. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.36 for FC Volendam and 1.12 for Jong FC Utrecht.

Why FC Volendam

FC Volendam carry the stronger rating, 1462 Elo against 1338.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.9%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Jong FC Utrecht can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jong FC Utrecht.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Volendam, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jong FC Utrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Volendam: 52% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong FC Utrecht: 47% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Volendam are the model's most likely outcome at 64.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	651817	2.36–1.12	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	771310	2.89–0.98	2-0 9%	74%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win	76.5%	78.1%	44.5%	1.76×	1.28
Draw	13.4%	13.5%	22.1%	0.61×	7.41
Jong FC Utrecht to win	10.1%	13.4%	33.5%	0.40×	7.45

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & both teams score	40.9%	40.0%	22.0%	1.82×	2.50
FC Volendam & not both score	35.5%	33.3%	22.6%	1.47×	3.01
Draw & both teams score	11.5%	13.3%	17.4%	0.76×	7.54
Jong FC Utrecht & both teams score	6.4%	8.3%	19.7%	0.42×	12.02
Jong FC Utrecht & not both score	3.7%	4.9%	14.0%	0.35×	20.58
Draw & not both score	1.9%	4.8%	4.8%	1.01×	20.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & over 1.5	70.2%	67.1%	37.0%	1.82×	1.49
FC Volendam & over 2.5	61.5%	54.6%	30.8%	1.77×	1.83
FC Volendam & over 3.5	44.6%	40.3%	18.9%	2.13×	2.48
FC Volendam & under 3.5	31.9%	30.8%	25.7%	1.20×	3.25
FC Volendam & under 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Jong FC Utrecht & over 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	27.4%	0.29×	12.63
FC Volendam & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Jong FC Utrecht & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	23.7%	0.33×	12.63
Jong FC Utrecht & under 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	19.8%	0.40×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Jong FC Utrecht & under 2.5	3.3%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.82
Jong FC Utrecht & over 3.5	3.6%	4.8%	13.9%	0.35×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	1.9%	4.8%	4.8%	1.00×	20.83
Jong FC Utrecht & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	6.3%	0.77×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1UP)	85.7%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Jong FC Utrecht (1UP)	29.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2UP)	76.5%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Jong FC Utrecht (2UP)	10.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win 2nd half	63.1%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	23.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
Jong FC Utrecht to win 2nd half	13.1%	11.4%	—	—	8.77

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.1%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.9%	13.2%	—	—	7.60

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (+0.5)	89.9%	88.5%	66.5%	1.33×	1.13
FC Volendam (-0.5)	76.5%	78.5%	44.5%	1.76×	1.27
Jong FC Utrecht (+2.5)	64.0%	63.0%	88.2%	0.71×	1.59
FC Volendam (-1.5)	56.5%	57.0%	24.4%	2.33×	1.75
Jong FC Utrecht (+1.5)	43.5%	43.0%	75.6%	0.57×	2.33
FC Volendam (-2.5)	36.0%	37.0%	11.8%	3.14×	2.70
Jong FC Utrecht (+0.5)	23.5%	21.5%	55.5%	0.39×	4.65
Jong FC Utrecht (-0.5)	10.1%	11.5%	33.5%	0.34×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede	94.4%	92.0%	81.3%	1.13×	1.09
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet	5.6%	8.0%	18.7%	0.43×	12.43

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede in 1st half	71.1%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet in 1st half	28.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede in 2nd half	80.7%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	19.3%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 6.5 corners	81.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Jong FC Utrecht over 2.5 corners	77.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Jong FC Utrecht under 5.5 corners	70.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Jong FC Utrecht over 3.5 corners	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Jong FC Utrecht under 4.5 corners	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Jong FC Utrecht over 4.5 corners	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Jong FC Utrecht under 3.5 corners	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Jong FC Utrecht over 5.5 corners	29.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Jong FC Utrecht under 2.5 corners	22.6%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Jong FC Utrecht over 6.5 corners	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Jong FC Utrecht under 2.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 goals	74.2%	71.9%	58.0%	1.24×	1.39
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 goals	62.6%	63.2%	72.7%	0.87×	1.58
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 goals	37.4%	36.8%	27.3%	1.35×	2.72
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 goals	25.8%	28.1%	42.0%	0.67×	3.56
Jong FC Utrecht over 2.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	18.6%	0.41×	13.05
Jong FC Utrecht over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	7.0%	0.36×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	94.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht scores equally in both	46.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Jong FC Utrecht scores more in 2nd half	33.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Jong FC Utrecht scores more in 1st half	20.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (away no bet)	85.1%	84.2%	66.8%	1.26×	1.19
Draw (away no bet)	14.9%	15.8%	33.2%	0.48×	6.32

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht even goals	57.0%	56.9%	57.0%	1.00×	1.76
Jong FC Utrecht odd goals	43.0%	43.1%	43.0%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	68.2%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.8%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	77.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Volendam to score 2+ in a row	71.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row	45.3%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
FC Volendam to score 3+ in a row	43.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Jong FC Utrecht to score 2+ in a row	15.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Jong FC Utrecht to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	—	—	39.04

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam corners (+3.5)	89.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Volendam corners (+2.5)	83.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Volendam corners (+1.5)	76.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+3.5)	75.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+2.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+1.5)	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Volendam corners (-1.5)	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Volendam corners (-2.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Volendam corners (-3.5)	24.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-1.5)	23.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-2.5)	16.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-3.5)	10.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.0%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	30.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	16.7%	13.8%	4.7%	2.96×	7.23
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.50
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
3-0	8.4%	7.4%	4.1%	1.83×	13.50
3-1	8.2%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.50
1-0	6.2%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-1	5.7%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
4-0	6.0%	7.4%	3.4%	2.15×	13.51
4-1	5.9%	7.4%	1.4%	5.48×	13.51
0-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.31
0-1	2.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.31
0-2	1.0%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
1-2	2.9%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.30
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.32
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-2	2.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.30
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.31
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2nd half DNB)	82.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Jong FC Utrecht (2nd half DNB)	17.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT (DNB)	83.2%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Jong FC Utrecht leading at HT (DNB)	16.8%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1X)	89.9%	86.6%	66.5%	1.30×	1.16
FC Volendam or Jong FC Utrecht (12)	86.6%	86.5%	77.9%	1.11×	1.16
Jong FC Utrecht or draw (X2)	23.5%	21.9%	55.5%	0.39×	4.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw at HT	88.2%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
FC Volendam or Jong FC Utrecht at HT	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Jong FC Utrecht or draw at HT	41.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1UP)	89.9%	92.3%	—	—	1.08
Jong FC Utrecht or draw (1UP)	29.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw in 2nd half	86.9%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
FC Volendam or Jong FC Utrecht in 2nd half	76.2%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Jong FC Utrecht or draw in 2nd half	36.9%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	53.0%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	47.0%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (DNB)	88.3%	87.2%	57.0%	1.53×	1.15
Jong FC Utrecht (DNB)	11.7%	12.8%	43.0%	0.30×	7.80

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score first	73.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Jong FC Utrecht to score first	24.9%	23.3%	—	—	4.30
No goal scored	1.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.63

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.9%	55.0%	58.8%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.1%	45.0%	41.2%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.2%	47.3%	49.5%	0.95×	2.12
Not both score & over 2.5	21.0%	27.7%	13.0%	2.13×	3.61
Not both score & under 2.5	20.1%	27.7%	28.3%	0.98×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	5.7%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.8%	79.7%	79.0%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.2%	20.3%	21.0%	0.97×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	27.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	8.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.9%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	71.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
A half without a goal	28.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.4%	42.1%	37.6%	1.12×	2.37
2-3 goals	35.6%	35.1%	41.0%	0.86×	2.85
0-1 goals	10.4%	16.9%	18.4%	0.92×	5.93
7+ goals	9.6%	7.7%	3.2%	2.40×	13.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 0	37.4%	35.9%	27.3%	1.32×	2.78
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	30.8%	1.17×	2.78
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 2	18.1%	19.6%	23.6%	0.83×	5.11
Jong FC Utrecht to score 3+	7.7%	8.6%	18.6%	0.46×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score 3+	55.0%	44.4%	25.6%	1.74×	2.25
FC Volendam to score exactly 2	23.3%	23.3%	25.8%	0.90×	4.29
FC Volendam to score exactly 1	16.1%	18.8%	30.2%	0.62×	5.33
FC Volendam to score exactly 0	5.6%	10.3%	18.7%	0.55×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT	58.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Draw at HT	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Jong FC Utrecht leading at HT	11.8%	11.8%	—	—	8.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam -1: 1	56.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
FC Volendam -1: 2	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
FC Volendam -1: X	20.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:1)	56.5%	55.8%	24.4%	2.28×	1.79
Jong FC Utrecht (0:1)	23.5%	24.2%	55.5%	0.44×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.0%	17.8%	20.1%	0.89×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (0:2)	43.5%	39.0%	75.6%	0.52×	2.57
FC Volendam (0:2)	36.0%	38.1%	11.8%	3.23×	2.62
Draw (0:2)	20.5%	20.3%	12.8%	1.59×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (0:3)	64.0%	66.2%	88.2%	0.75×	1.51
FC Volendam (0:3)	19.7%	16.3%	6.3%	2.60×	6.15
Draw (0:3)	16.3%	16.1%	5.7%	2.85×	6.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (0:4)	80.3%	86.9%	93.7%	0.93×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	10.4%	9.8%	4.3%	2.27×	10.23
FC Volendam (0:4)	9.3%	4.7%	2.1%	2.23×	21.46

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1:0)	89.9%	86.2%	66.5%	1.30×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	6.9%	6.9%	18.2%	0.38×	14.50
Jong FC Utrecht (1:0)	3.2%	3.3%	15.5%	0.21×	30.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2:0)	96.8%	96.8%	84.5%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	8.8%	0.26×	43.68
Jong FC Utrecht (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	6.8%	0.34×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.6%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.0%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede	62.6%	63.7%	72.7%	0.88×	1.57
FC Volendam clean sheet	37.4%	36.3%	27.3%	1.33×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam clean sheet in 1st half	67.5%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
FC Volendam to concede in 1st half	32.5%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam clean sheet in 2nd half	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
FC Volendam to concede in 2nd half	44.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 2.5 corners	86.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
FC Volendam over 3.5 corners	74.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Volendam under 6.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
FC Volendam over 4.5 corners	59.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Volendam under 5.5 corners	54.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
FC Volendam over 5.5 corners	45.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
FC Volendam under 4.5 corners	40.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Volendam over 6.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
FC Volendam under 3.5 corners	25.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
FC Volendam under 2.5 corners	13.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	81.3%	1.13×	1.08
FC Volendam over 1.5 goals	78.3%	77.7%	51.2%	1.52×	1.29
FC Volendam under 3.5 goals	67.4%	68.0%	89.9%	0.76×	1.47
FC Volendam over 2.5 goals	55.0%	58.6%	25.6%	2.29×	1.71
FC Volendam under 2.5 goals	45.0%	41.4%	74.4%	0.56×	2.41
FC Volendam over 3.5 goals	32.6%	32.0%	10.1%	3.18×	3.12
FC Volendam under 1.5 goals	21.7%	22.3%	48.8%	0.46×	4.49
FC Volendam under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	18.7%	0.42×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half	64.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 1st half	35.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam scores more in 2nd half	46.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
FC Volendam scores more in 1st half	28.9%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
FC Volendam scores equally in both	24.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.0%	56.4%	39.7%	1.42×	1.77
Jong FC Utrecht (home no bet)	43.0%	43.6%	60.3%	0.72×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam even goals	50.2%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
FC Volendam odd goals	49.8%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
HT 0-0	19.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 2-0	15.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Any other HT score	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 0-1	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 0-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam at HT / FC Volendam at FT	53.5%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Draw at HT / FC Volendam at FT	19.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	6.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Draw at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / FC Volendam at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
FC Volendam at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
FC Volendam at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	1.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score last	73.1%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Jong FC Utrecht to score last	25.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
No goal scored	1.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.63

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Volendam to lead by 1 at any time	85.7%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	70.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
FC Volendam to lead by 2 at any time	63.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	41.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
FC Volendam to lead by 3 at any time	40.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 1 at any time	29.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 2 at any time	7.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.91
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 3 at any time	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	63.12

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam most corners	55.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Jong FC Utrecht most corners	33.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.0%	83.4%	78.5%	1.06×	1.20
1-5 goals	78.8%	78.7%	86.4%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	72.7%	0.99×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.6%	63.3%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
1-4 goals	63.7%	63.3%	74.1%	0.85×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.2%	59.1%	60.4%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	53.6%	0.99×	1.88
4-6 goals	44.4%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
1-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	54.7%	0.80×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
2-3 goals	35.6%	39.2%	41.0%	0.96×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.6%	35.2%	31.8%	1.11×	2.84
5-6 goals	24.9%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.08
1-2 goals	23.9%	24.5%	32.9%	0.74×	4.08
7+ goals	9.6%	8.9%	3.2%	2.78×	11.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam never behind	68.8%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Jong FC Utrecht never behind	12.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.1%	95.4%	95.2%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.6%	87.6%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	91.0%	0.90×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	74.2%	72.5%	62.4%	1.16×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	65.5%	66.3%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	54.0%	52.5%	40.7%	1.29×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	46.0%	47.5%	59.3%	0.80×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	34.5%	33.7%	21.3%	1.59×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	25.8%	27.5%	37.6%	0.73×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	9.0%	1.97×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.4%	12.4%	18.4%	0.67×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	1.9%	4.6%	4.8%	0.95×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.4%	86.7%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.7%	86.7%	77.2%	1.12×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.2%	75.9%	89.8%	0.85×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.6%	67.4%	52.0%	1.30×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	57.2%	55.8%	73.6%	0.76×	1.79
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	42.8%	44.2%	26.4%	1.68×	2.26
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.4%	32.6%	48.0%	0.68×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.8%	24.1%	10.2%	2.36×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.3%	13.3%	22.8%	0.58×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.6%	13.3%	3.4%	3.91×	7.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.6%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.5%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.5%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.4%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.6%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to score in both halves	85.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Volendam to score in both halves	57.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
FC Volendam not to score in both halves	42.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Jong FC Utrecht to score in both halves	14.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.9%	58.7%	58.8%	1.00×	1.71
Only FC Volendam scores	35.5%	39.9%	22.6%	1.76×	2.51
Only Jong FC Utrecht scores	3.7%	4.6%	14.0%	0.33×	21.69
Neither team scores	1.9%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.77

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
6 or more goals	19.3%	17.5%	9.0%	1.95×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.4%	17.5%	19.3%	0.90×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.1%	17.5%	12.4%	1.41×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	8.5%	7.6%	13.8%	0.55×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	1.9%	4.5%	4.8%	0.93×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	26.0%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
3+ goals in 1st half	22.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.3%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
1 goal in 2nd half	24.1%	22.8%	—	—	4.38
No goals in 2nd half	10.6%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to win both halves	98.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Volendam not to win both halves	63.4%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
FC Volendam to win both halves	36.6%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Jong FC Utrecht to win both halves	1.5%	2.8%	—	—	36.14

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win either half	84.6%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Jong FC Utrecht to win neither half	76.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Jong FC Utrecht to win either half	23.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
FC Volendam to win neither half	15.4%	16.1%	—	—	6.20

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to win to nil	96.3%	96.1%	86.0%	1.12×	1.04
FC Volendam not to win to nil	64.5%	66.6%	77.4%	0.86×	1.50
FC Volendam to win to nil	35.5%	33.4%	22.6%	1.48×	3.00
Jong FC Utrecht to win to nil	3.7%	3.9%	14.0%	0.28×	25.81

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam by 3+	36.0%	34.6%	11.8%	2.94×	2.89
FC Volendam by 2	20.5%	24.1%	12.8%	1.89×	4.15
FC Volendam by 1	20.0%	17.1%	20.1%	0.85×	5.86
Draw	13.4%	11.8%	22.1%	0.53×	8.51
Jong FC Utrecht by 1	6.9%	7.2%	18.2%	0.40×	13.91
Jong FC Utrecht by 2	2.4%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.83
Jong FC Utrecht by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.88