Fenerbahce v Besiktas — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627
TUR-Super Lig
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.11–1.27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.91–1.26 | 1-1 11% | 61% | 62% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to win | 55.5% | 58.4% | 45.3% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Draw | 22.8% | 22.1% | 26.0% | 0.85× | 4.52 |
| Besiktas to win | 21.7% | 22.1% | 28.9% | 0.76× | 4.52 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce & both teams score | 31.9% | 32.7% | 23.2% | 1.41× | 3.06 |
| Fenerbahce & not both score | 23.6% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 1.02× | 4.42 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 0.98× | 5.63 |
| Besiktas & both teams score | 13.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 0.83× | 8.21 |
| Besiktas & not both score | 7.8% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 0.51× | 13.66 |
| Draw & not both score | 4.4% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 0.46× | 27.05 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce & over 1.5 | 49.3% | 46.9% | 36.1% | 1.30× | 2.13 |
| Fenerbahce & over 2.5 | 41.7% | 43.9% | 30.2% | 1.45× | 2.28 |
| Fenerbahce & under 3.5 | 28.7% | 25.5% | 29.4% | 0.87× | 3.92 |
| Fenerbahce & over 3.5 | 26.8% | 25.5% | 16.1% | 1.59× | 3.92 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.4% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 0.97× | 5.69 |
| Besiktas & over 1.5 | 18.3% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 0.78× | 5.69 |
| Besiktas & over 2.5 | 15.5% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 0.97× | 5.70 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 14.5% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 0.63× | 7.86 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 14.5% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 0.63× | 7.86 |
| Fenerbahce & under 2.5 | 13.8% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 0.84× | 7.86 |
| Besiktas & under 3.5 | 13.1% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 0.65× | 7.86 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.30× | 13.40 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.30× | 13.40 |
| Besiktas & over 3.5 | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 0.79× | 13.40 |
| Fenerbahce & under 1.5 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 0.80× | 13.42 |
| Besiktas & under 2.5 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 0.68× | 13.42 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 0.57× | 21.92 |
| Besiktas & under 1.5 | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 0.69× | 21.96 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce (1UP) | 71.3% | 76.4% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Besiktas (1UP) | 42.9% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce (2UP) | 55.5% | 61.0% | — | — | 1.64 |
| Besiktas (2UP) | 21.7% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.75 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to win 2nd half | 46.0% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
| 2nd half drawn | 30.8% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Besiktas to win 2nd half | 23.2% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas (+2.5) | 82.7% | 82.3% | 90.1% | 0.91× | 1.22 |
| Fenerbahce (+0.5) | 78.3% | 78.6% | 71.1% | 1.11× | 1.27 |
| Besiktas (+1.5) | 65.7% | 68.9% | 78.6% | 0.88× | 1.45 |
| Fenerbahce (-0.5) | 55.5% | 57.1% | 45.3% | 1.26× | 1.75 |
| Besiktas (+0.5) | 44.5% | 42.9% | 54.7% | 0.78× | 2.33 |
| Fenerbahce (-1.5) | 34.3% | 31.1% | 21.4% | 1.45× | 3.21 |
| Besiktas (-0.5) | 21.7% | 21.4% | 28.9% | 0.74× | 4.67 |
| Fenerbahce (-2.5) | 17.3% | 17.7% | 9.9% | 1.79× | 5.65 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas to concede | 87.8% | 89.9% | 77.7% | 1.16× | 1.11 |
| Besiktas clean sheet | 12.2% | 10.1% | 22.3% | 0.45× | 9.87 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas to concede in 1st half | 59.5% | 60.4% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Besiktas clean sheet in 1st half | 40.5% | 39.6% | — | — | 2.53 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas under 3.5 goals | 96.0% | 97.3% | 95.3% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Besiktas under 2.5 goals | 86.4% | 88.9% | 86.1% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Besiktas over 0.5 goals | 72.0% | 71.9% | 69.9% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Besiktas under 1.5 goals | 63.7% | 64.2% | 65.2% | 0.99× | 1.56 |
| Besiktas over 1.5 goals | 36.3% | 35.8% | 34.8% | 1.03× | 2.79 |
| Besiktas under 0.5 goals | 28.0% | 28.1% | 30.1% | 0.93× | 3.56 |
| Besiktas over 2.5 goals | 13.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 0.80× | 9.01 |
| Besiktas over 3.5 goals | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 0.57× | 37.07 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.7% | 93.2% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Besiktas under 0.5 in 1st half | 60.1% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Besiktas over 0.5 in 1st half | 39.9% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Besiktas over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.3% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.66 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce (away no bet) | 70.9% | 74.2% | 63.6% | 1.17× | 1.35 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 29.1% | 25.8% | 36.4% | 0.71× | 3.87 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas even goals | 53.9% | 52.4% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Besiktas odd goals | 46.1% | 47.6% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.10 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 75.9% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 24.1% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.88 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 76.1% | 73.0% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 23.9% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.71 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 67.8% | 64.9% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Fenerbahce to score 2+ in a row | 52.5% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 29.8% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.96 |
| Besiktas to score 2+ in a row | 25.0% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Fenerbahce to score 3+ in a row | 23.9% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Besiktas to score 3+ in a row | 6.5% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.68 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 0.92× | 8.64 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 0.74× | 13.74 |
| 2-0 | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.20× | 13.74 |
| Any other score | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.76× | 13.75 |
| 3-1 | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.54× | 13.75 |
| 1-0 | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 0.78× | 13.75 |
| 1-2 | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 1.10× | 13.75 |
| 2-2 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.59× | 13.75 |
| 3-0 | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.59× | 13.75 |
| 0-0 | 4.4% | 1.8% | 8.0% | 0.23× | 55.40 |
| 3-2 | 4.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 0.42× | 55.40 |
| 0-1 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 6.6% | 0.27× | 55.42 |
| 0-2 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 0.41× | 55.44 |
| 1-3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.68× | 55.45 |
| 2-3 | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.68× | 55.44 |
| 4-0 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.02× | 55.44 |
| 4-1 | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.22× | 55.42 |
| 3-3 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.36× | 55.46 |
| 4-2 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.53× | 55.45 |
| 0-3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.76× | 55.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.53× | 55.50 |
| 1-4 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.75× | 55.49 |
| 2-4 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.04× | 55.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.07× | 55.49 |
| 4-3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.44× | 55.48 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 12.22× | 55.50 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce leading at HT (DNB) | 68.7% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Besiktas leading at HT (DNB) | 31.3% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce or draw (1X) | 78.3% | 77.9% | 71.1% | 1.10× | 1.28 |
| Fenerbahce or Besiktas (12) | 77.2% | 77.9% | 74.0% | 1.05× | 1.28 |
| Besiktas or draw (X2) | 44.5% | 41.6% | 54.7% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce or draw at HT | 80.4% | 81.6% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Fenerbahce or Besiktas at HT | 62.8% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Besiktas or draw at HT | 56.8% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce or draw (1UP) | 78.3% | 84.7% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Besiktas or draw (1UP) | 44.5% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce or draw in 2nd half | 76.8% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Fenerbahce or Besiktas in 2nd half | 69.2% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Besiktas or draw in 2nd half | 54.0% | 55.6% | — | — | 1.80 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 55.5% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Neither half drawn | 44.6% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce (DNB) | 71.9% | 71.3% | 61.0% | 1.17× | 1.40 |
| Besiktas (DNB) | 28.1% | 28.7% | 39.0% | 0.74× | 3.48 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to score first | 59.6% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Besiktas to score first | 36.0% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| No goal scored | 4.4% | 4.1% | — | — | 24.64 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 64.2% | 57.6% | 55.6% | 1.04× | 1.74 |
| Not both teams to score | 35.8% | 42.4% | 44.4% | 0.95× | 2.36 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 54.1% | 47.2% | 43.2% | 1.09× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 24.3% | 25.7% | 33.8% | 0.76× | 3.90 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 1.09× | 8.54 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 0.93× | 8.55 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 77.4% | 83.6% | 83.3% | 1.00× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 22.6% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 0.99× | 6.09 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 62.4% | 64.7% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 37.6% | 35.3% | — | — | 2.83 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 47.3% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 28.8% | 24.8% | — | — | 4.03 |
| Both score 1st half only | 15.1% | 18.0% | — | — | 5.54 |
| Both score in both halves | 8.9% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.29 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 76.1% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 23.9% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 65.5% | 66.2% | — | — | 1.51 |
| A half without a goal | 34.5% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 42.4% | 43.2% | 45.6% | 0.95× | 2.32 |
| 4-6 goals | 38.0% | 35.4% | 28.5% | 1.24× | 2.82 |
| 0-1 goals | 14.0% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 0.72× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.03× | 18.59 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas to score exactly 1 | 35.7% | 34.5% | 35.3% | 0.98× | 2.90 |
| Besiktas to score exactly 0 | 28.0% | 27.1% | 30.1% | 0.90× | 3.69 |
| Besiktas to score exactly 2 | 22.7% | 24.0% | 21.1% | 1.14× | 4.17 |
| Besiktas to score 3+ | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 0.97× | 7.44 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to score 3+ | 35.2% | 35.9% | 22.1% | 1.62× | 2.78 |
| Fenerbahce to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 27.1% | 23.9% | 1.13× | 3.70 |
| Fenerbahce to score exactly 1 | 25.7% | 27.0% | 32.0% | 0.84× | 3.70 |
| Fenerbahce to score exactly 0 | 12.2% | 13.4% | 22.3% | 0.60× | 7.44 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce leading at HT | 43.2% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Draw at HT | 37.2% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Besiktas leading at HT | 19.6% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.43 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce -1: 2 | 44.5% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Fenerbahce -1: 1 | 34.3% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Fenerbahce -1: X | 21.2% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.18 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas (0:1) | 44.5% | 42.0% | 54.7% | 0.77× | 2.38 |
| Fenerbahce (0:1) | 34.3% | 34.8% | 21.4% | 1.63× | 2.88 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.2% | 24.4% | 24.0% | 1.01× | 4.10 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas (0:2) | 65.7% | 65.7% | 78.6% | 0.84× | 1.52 |
| Fenerbahce (0:2) | 17.3% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 1.65× | 6.13 |
| Draw (0:2) | 17.0% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 1.40× | 6.13 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas (0:3) | 82.7% | 83.5% | 90.1% | 0.93× | 1.20 |
| Draw (0:3) | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 1.08× | 14.31 |
| Fenerbahce (0:3) | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.95× | 14.46 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas (0:4) | 92.7% | 94.1% | 96.5% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 0.51× | 78.98 |
| Fenerbahce (0:4) | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.06× | 80.01 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce (1:0) | 78.3% | 78.1% | 71.1% | 1.10× | 1.28 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.5% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 0.74× | 8.50 |
| Besiktas (1:0) | 9.2% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 0.66× | 11.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce (2:0) | 90.8% | 91.6% | 86.9% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| Draw (2:0) | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 0.84× | 15.21 |
| Besiktas (2:0) | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 0.49× | 37.07 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.6% | 48.8% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.1% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 23.3% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.31 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to concede | 72.0% | 71.1% | 69.9% | 1.02× | 1.41 |
| Fenerbahce clean sheet | 28.0% | 28.9% | 30.1% | 0.96× | 3.47 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce clean sheet in 1st half | 60.1% | 63.3% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Fenerbahce to concede in 1st half | 39.9% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.72 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce over 0.5 goals | 87.8% | 87.8% | 77.7% | 1.13× | 1.14 |
| Fenerbahce under 3.5 goals | 83.8% | 82.5% | 92.6% | 0.89× | 1.21 |
| Fenerbahce under 2.5 goals | 64.9% | 62.7% | 77.9% | 0.81× | 1.59 |
| Fenerbahce over 1.5 goals | 62.2% | 62.6% | 45.9% | 1.37× | 1.60 |
| Fenerbahce under 1.5 goals | 37.8% | 37.4% | 54.1% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| Fenerbahce over 2.5 goals | 35.2% | 37.3% | 22.1% | 1.68× | 2.68 |
| Fenerbahce over 3.5 goals | 16.2% | 17.5% | 7.4% | 2.38× | 5.70 |
| Fenerbahce under 0.5 goals | 12.2% | 12.2% | 22.3% | 0.55× | 8.20 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce under 1.5 in 1st half | 77.1% | 79.1% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Fenerbahce over 0.5 in 1st half | 59.5% | 60.2% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Fenerbahce under 0.5 in 1st half | 40.5% | 39.8% | — | — | 2.51 |
| Fenerbahce over 1.5 in 1st half | 22.9% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.79 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas (home no bet) | 48.7% | 51.4% | 52.7% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 51.3% | 48.6% | 47.3% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce even goals | 50.7% | 50.2% | 51.0% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| Fenerbahce odd goals | 49.3% | 49.8% | 49.0% | 1.02× | 2.01 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 24.5% | 22.7% | — | — | 4.41 |
| HT 1-0 | 21.8% | 22.6% | — | — | 4.42 |
| HT 0-1 | 12.2% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.94 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.4% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.95 |
| HT 2-0 | 10.0% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.97 |
| Any other HT score | 7.8% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.00 |
| HT 2-1 | 5.1% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.04 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.82 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.84 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.3% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.93 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce at HT / Fenerbahce at FT | 35.6% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
| Draw at HT / Fenerbahce at FT | 16.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.6% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
| Besiktas at HT / Besiktas at FT | 11.5% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Draw at HT / Besiktas at FT | 8.1% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.20 |
| Fenerbahce at HT / Draw at FT | 5.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.26 |
| Besiktas at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.31 |
| Besiktas at HT / Fenerbahce at FT | 3.4% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.37 |
| Fenerbahce at HT / Besiktas at FT | 2.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.42 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to score last | 59.7% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Besiktas to score last | 35.9% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| No goal scored | 4.4% | 4.1% | — | — | 24.64 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.6% | 95.9% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Fenerbahce to lead by 1 at any time | 71.3% | 76.8% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 57.6% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Besiktas to lead by 1 at any time | 42.9% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Fenerbahce to lead by 2 at any time | 42.5% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 25.5% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
| Fenerbahce to lead by 3 at any time | 20.9% | 19.8% | — | — | 5.06 |
| Besiktas to lead by 2 at any time | 15.5% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.67 |
| Besiktas to lead by 3 at any time | 4.6% | 2.6% | — | — | 37.76 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 83.0% | 81.6% | 85.4% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| 2-6 goals | 80.4% | 81.5% | 73.9% | 1.10× | 1.23 |
| 2-5 goals | 73.4% | 73.6% | 69.8% | 1.06× | 1.36 |
| 1-4 goals | 70.5% | 73.6% | 75.4% | 0.98× | 1.36 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.9% | 62.3% | 59.7% | 1.04× | 1.61 |
| 3-6 goals | 60.0% | 58.8% | 51.3% | 1.15× | 1.70 |
| 3-5 goals | 52.9% | 52.3% | 47.2% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| 1-3 goals | 52.0% | 52.3% | 61.2% | 0.85× | 1.91 |
| 2-3 goals | 42.4% | 43.6% | 45.6% | 0.96× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.4% | 43.6% | 37.2% | 1.17× | 2.29 |
| 4-6 goals | 38.0% | 38.8% | 28.5% | 1.36× | 2.57 |
| 4-5 goals | 31.0% | 34.1% | 24.3% | 1.40× | 2.93 |
| 1-2 goals | 30.0% | 34.1% | 38.3% | 0.89× | 2.94 |
| 5-6 goals | 19.5% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 1.27× | 5.51 |
| 7+ goals | 5.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 3.29× | 11.44 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce never behind | 52.7% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Besiktas never behind | 24.3% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.0% | 50.1% | 50.7% | 0.99× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 52.0% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 1.01× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.3% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.7% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.7% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.3% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.6% | 95.6% | 92.0% | 1.04× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 87.4% | 88.8% | 93.2% | 0.95× | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.0% | 88.7% | 76.4% | 1.16× | 1.13 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74.9% | 72.5% | 83.2% | 0.87× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% | 65.4% | 53.8% | 1.22× | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56.4% | 57.7% | 69.0% | 0.84× | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.6% | 42.3% | 31.0% | 1.37× | 2.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34.4% | 34.6% | 46.2% | 0.75× | 2.89 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25.1% | 27.5% | 16.8% | 1.64× | 3.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14.0% | 11.3% | 23.6% | 0.48× | 8.87 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.66× | 8.90 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 0.55× | 22.80 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 94.0% | 92.8% | 97.2% | 0.95× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 85.6% | 88.0% | 92.5% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 82.4% | 80.7% | 69.5% | 1.16× | 1.24 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 69.2% | 68.1% | 80.4% | 0.85× | 1.47 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 55.9% | 55.3% | 40.2% | 1.38× | 1.81 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 44.1% | 44.7% | 59.8% | 0.75× | 2.24 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 30.8% | 31.9% | 19.6% | 1.63× | 3.14 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 17.6% | 19.3% | 30.5% | 0.63× | 5.18 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 14.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 1.59× | 8.36 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 6.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 2.62× | 13.81 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 83.0% | 83.7% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 75.5% | 77.9% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 58.5% | 60.2% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 41.5% | 39.8% | — | — | 2.51 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 24.5% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.53 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 17.0% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.13 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 85.6% | 85.7% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 68.7% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 58.7% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 41.3% | 45.7% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 31.3% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.17 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 14.4% | 14.3% | — | — | 7.01 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas not to score in both halves | 78.7% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Fenerbahce not to score in both halves | 58.4% | 60.1% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Fenerbahce to score in both halves | 41.6% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| Besiktas to score in both halves | 21.3% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 64.2% | 58.4% | 55.6% | 1.05× | 1.71 |
| Only Fenerbahce scores | 23.6% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 1.03× | 4.37 |
| Only Besiktas scores | 7.8% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 0.46× | 15.01 |
| Neither team scores | 4.4% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 0.49× | 25.49 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.9% | 21.5% | 23.0% | 0.94× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 20.5% | 21.5% | 22.7% | 0.95× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.5% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 1.30× | 5.38 |
| 6 or more goals | 12.6% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 1.82× | 8.09 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 1.21× | 8.09 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 9.6% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 0.48× | 13.11 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 0.55× | 22.85 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 58.7% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 26.9% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 14.4% | 13.1% | — | — | 7.63 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas not to win both halves | 95.3% | 96.6% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Fenerbahce not to win both halves | 79.9% | 80.3% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Fenerbahce to win both halves | 20.1% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Besiktas to win both halves | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.68 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce to win either half | 69.1% | 67.3% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Besiktas to win neither half | 61.9% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Besiktas to win either half | 38.1% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Fenerbahce to win neither half | 30.9% | 32.7% | — | — | 3.06 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas not to win to nil | 92.2% | 92.3% | 85.5% | 1.08× | 1.08 |
| Fenerbahce not to win to nil | 76.4% | 77.1% | 77.7% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Fenerbahce to win to nil | 23.6% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 1.03× | 4.37 |
| Besiktas to win to nil | 7.8% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 0.53× | 13.01 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% | 23.7% | 26.0% | 0.91× | 4.21 |
| Fenerbahce by 1 | 21.2% | 23.7% | 24.0% | 0.99× | 4.22 |
| Fenerbahce by 3+ | 17.3% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 1.72× | 5.89 |
| Fenerbahce by 2 | 17.0% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 1.46× | 5.89 |
| Besiktas by 1 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 0.74× | 8.44 |
| Besiktas by 2 | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 0.91× | 14.13 |
| Besiktas by 3+ | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 0.52× | 35.35 |