Fenerbahce v Trabzonspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Fenerbahce

20:00 UTC

Trabzonspor

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,209h before kick-off

Fenerbahce win

60.5%

model 62.2%

Draw

21.6%

model 20.7%

Trabzonspor win

17.9%

model 17.1%

612218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
1-1 9.1%
2-0 8.1%
3-1 7.4%
3-0 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.1%	Under 2.5	31.9%
BTTS yes	63.4%	BTTS no	36.6%
Fenerbahce 1+	90.3%	Fenerbahce 2+	67.6%
Trabzonspor 1+	69.2%	Trabzonspor 2+	33.0%

Expected goals 2.33 – 1.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Fenerbahce over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 46%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fenerbahce or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Fenerbahce carry the stronger rating, 1761 Elo against 1644.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Fenerbahce have an estimated 60.5% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.9% for Trabzonspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.33 for Fenerbahce and 1.18 for Trabzonspor.

Why Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce carry the stronger rating, 1761 Elo against 1644. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Trabzonspor can win

Nothing in the data singles out Trabzonspor.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Fenerbahce, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Trabzonspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fenerbahce: 59% possession, 20.8 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Trabzonspor: 54% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fenerbahce's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Fenerbahce are the model's most likely outcome at 60.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	622117	2.33–1.18	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	602119	2.37–1.31	2-1 9%	71%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to win	60.2%	58.1%	45.4%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	20.7%	24.4%	25.9%	0.94×	4.09
Trabzonspor to win	19.2%	19.4%	28.9%	0.67×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce & both teams score	36.5%	33.3%	23.1%	1.44×	3.00
Fenerbahce & not both score	23.6%	21.8%	22.4%	0.97×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
Trabzonspor & both teams score	13.2%	13.3%	14.6%	0.91×	7.54
Trabzonspor & not both score	6.0%	8.3%	14.4%	0.58×	12.02
Draw & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce & over 1.5	55.0%	54.8%	36.2%	1.51×	1.82
Fenerbahce & over 2.5	47.9%	45.1%	30.3%	1.49×	2.22
Fenerbahce & over 3.5	33.1%	30.8%	16.1%	1.92×	3.25
Fenerbahce & under 3.5	27.1%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Trabzonspor & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	22.4%	0.80×	5.56
Trabzonspor & over 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	18.1%	0.71×	7.79
Fenerbahce & under 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	15.2%	0.85×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Trabzonspor & under 3.5	10.7%	12.8%	19.6%	0.66×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Trabzonspor & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.63
Fenerbahce & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Trabzonspor & under 2.5	4.6%	4.8%	10.9%	0.44×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.82
Trabzonspor & under 1.5	2.5%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (1UP)	75.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Trabzonspor (1UP)	41.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (2UP)	60.2%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Trabzonspor (2UP)	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to win 2nd half	49.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
2nd half drawn	28.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Trabzonspor to win 2nd half	21.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Trabzonspor over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Trabzonspor under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Trabzonspor over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.1%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Fenerbahce under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Fenerbahce over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Fenerbahce under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.9%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (+0.5)	80.8%	82.5%	71.1%	1.16×	1.21
Trabzonspor (+2.5)	78.5%	78.5%	90.0%	0.87×	1.27
Trabzonspor (+1.5)	60.5%	62.9%	78.5%	0.80×	1.59
Fenerbahce (-0.5)	60.2%	62.9%	45.4%	1.39×	1.59
Trabzonspor (+0.5)	39.8%	37.1%	54.6%	0.68×	2.70
Fenerbahce (-1.5)	39.5%	37.1%	21.5%	1.72×	2.70
Fenerbahce (-2.5)	21.5%	21.5%	10.0%	2.15×	4.65
Trabzonspor (-0.5)	19.2%	17.5%	28.9%	0.61×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor to concede	90.7%	91.8%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
Trabzonspor clean sheet	9.3%	8.2%	22.2%	0.37×	12.16

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor to concede in 1st half	64.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Trabzonspor clean sheet in 1st half	36.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor to concede in 2nd half	74.1%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Trabzonspor clean sheet in 2nd half	25.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor under 6.5 corners	89.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Trabzonspor under 5.5 corners	81.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Trabzonspor under 4.5 corners	69.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Trabzonspor over 2.5 corners	65.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Trabzonspor under 3.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Trabzonspor over 3.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Trabzonspor under 2.5 corners	34.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Trabzonspor over 4.5 corners	30.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Trabzonspor over 5.5 corners	18.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Trabzonspor over 6.5 corners	10.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	95.3%	1.02×	1.03
Trabzonspor under 2.5 goals	85.5%	87.8%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Trabzonspor over 0.5 goals	73.0%	71.9%	69.8%	1.03×	1.39
Trabzonspor under 1.5 goals	62.3%	63.2%	65.2%	0.97×	1.58
Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals	37.7%	36.8%	34.8%	1.06×	2.72
Trabzonspor under 0.5 goals	27.0%	28.1%	30.2%	0.93×	3.56
Trabzonspor over 2.5 goals	14.5%	12.2%	13.8%	0.88×	8.19
Trabzonspor over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	4.7%	0.53×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor under 1.5 in 1st half	90.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Trabzonspor under 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Trabzonspor over 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Trabzonspor over 1.5 in 1st half	9.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.48

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor scores equally in both	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Trabzonspor scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Trabzonspor scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (away no bet)	74.4%	68.5%	63.6%	1.08×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.6%	31.5%	36.4%	0.87×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor even goals	53.6%	52.6%	54.5%	0.97×	1.90
Trabzonspor odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	45.5%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	71.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.3%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.7%	21.9%	—	—	4.58

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.5%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Fenerbahce to score 2+ in a row	58.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fenerbahce to score 3+ in a row	29.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Trabzonspor to score 2+ in a row	25.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Trabzonspor to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.04

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce corners (+3.5)	96.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Fenerbahce corners (+2.5)	93.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Fenerbahce corners (+1.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fenerbahce corners (-1.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Fenerbahce corners (-2.5)	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Trabzonspor corners (+3.5)	52.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Fenerbahce corners (-3.5)	47.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Trabzonspor corners (+2.5)	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Trabzonspor corners (+1.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Trabzonspor corners (-1.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Trabzonspor corners (-2.5)	6.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Trabzonspor corners (-3.5)	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	38.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.2%	11.5%	4.1%	2.78×	8.72
1-1	8.7%	7.4%	12.5%	0.59×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
3-1	7.3%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.51
1-0	5.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-2	6.1%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.51
3-2	4.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
0-0	3.4%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	58.30
0-1	2.5%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.31
0-2	2.2%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.66×	58.32
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.31
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.32
4-0	3.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
4-1	4.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.29
4-2	2.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	11.64×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (2nd half DNB)	69.9%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Trabzonspor (2nd half DNB)	30.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce leading at HT (DNB)	71.7%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Trabzonspor leading at HT (DNB)	28.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw (1X)	80.8%	80.6%	71.1%	1.13×	1.24
Fenerbahce or Trabzonspor (12)	79.3%	75.6%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
Trabzonspor or draw (X2)	39.8%	41.9%	54.6%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw at HT	81.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Fenerbahce or Trabzonspor at HT	65.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Trabzonspor or draw at HT	53.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw (1UP)	80.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Trabzonspor or draw (1UP)	41.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce or draw in 2nd half	78.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Fenerbahce or Trabzonspor in 2nd half	71.4%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Trabzonspor or draw in 2nd half	50.1%	53.9%	—	—	1.86

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.4%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	47.6%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (DNB)	75.8%	74.7%	61.1%	1.22×	1.34
Trabzonspor (DNB)	24.2%	25.3%	38.9%	0.65×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to score first	62.3%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Trabzonspor to score first	34.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	67.0%	58.4%	55.5%	1.05×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.0%	41.6%	44.5%	0.93×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.4%	47.6%	43.2%	1.10×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	20.2%	27.7%	33.7%	0.82×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	12.5%	0.66×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.2%	80.6%	83.4%	0.97×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.8%	19.4%	16.6%	1.16×	5.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.4%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.89

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Both score 2nd half only	30.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score in both halves	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	26.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.8%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	30.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	42.2%	42.1%	28.4%	1.48×	2.37
2-3 goals	38.9%	35.1%	45.7%	0.77×	2.85
0-1 goals	10.9%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.92
7+ goals	8.0%	7.6%	2.7%	2.88×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Trabzonspor to score exactly 0	27.0%	27.4%	30.2%	0.91×	3.65
Trabzonspor to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.48
Trabzonspor to score 3+	14.5%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to score 3+	42.3%	35.3%	22.2%	1.59×	2.83
Fenerbahce to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
Fenerbahce to score exactly 1	22.1%	23.3%	32.0%	0.73×	4.29
Fenerbahce to score exactly 0	9.3%	10.3%	22.2%	0.46×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce leading at HT	46.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Draw at HT	34.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Trabzonspor leading at HT	18.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce -1: 2	39.8%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Fenerbahce -1: 1	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Fenerbahce -1: X	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor (0:1)	39.8%	37.4%	54.6%	0.68×	2.68
Fenerbahce (0:1)	39.5%	37.4%	21.5%	1.74×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	20.7%	24.2%	24.0%	1.01×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor (0:2)	60.5%	67.0%	78.5%	0.85×	1.49
Fenerbahce (0:2)	21.5%	20.3%	10.0%	2.03×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	18.0%	15.3%	11.6%	1.31×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor (0:3)	78.5%	80.6%	90.0%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.6%	9.9%	6.6%	1.50×	10.06
Fenerbahce (0:3)	9.9%	5.8%	3.5%	1.65×	17.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor (0:4)	90.1%	94.5%	96.5%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.0%	4.6%	2.5%	1.84×	21.74
Fenerbahce (0:4)	3.9%	1.2%	1.2%	1.04×	81.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (1:0)	80.8%	81.3%	71.1%	1.14×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.0%	12.7%	15.9%	0.80×	7.88
Trabzonspor (1:0)	8.1%	6.9%	13.1%	0.53×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce (2:0)	91.9%	94.0%	86.9%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	7.8%	0.82×	15.71
Trabzonspor (2:0)	2.7%	2.3%	5.4%	0.42×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to concede	73.0%	73.2%	69.8%	1.05×	1.37
Fenerbahce clean sheet	27.0%	26.8%	30.2%	0.89×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce clean sheet in 1st half	59.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Fenerbahce to concede in 1st half	40.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to concede in 2nd half	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Fenerbahce clean sheet in 2nd half	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce over 2.5 corners	93.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Fenerbahce over 3.5 corners	85.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Fenerbahce over 4.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Fenerbahce over 5.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Fenerbahce over 6.5 corners	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Fenerbahce under 6.5 corners	48.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Fenerbahce under 5.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Fenerbahce under 4.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Fenerbahce under 3.5 corners	14.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
Fenerbahce under 2.5 corners	6.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.2%	77.8%	1.19×	1.08
Fenerbahce under 3.5 goals	78.5%	77.7%	92.6%	0.84×	1.29
Fenerbahce over 1.5 goals	68.5%	68.0%	46.0%	1.48×	1.47
Fenerbahce under 2.5 goals	57.7%	58.6%	77.8%	0.75×	1.71
Fenerbahce over 2.5 goals	42.3%	41.4%	22.2%	1.86×	2.42
Fenerbahce under 1.5 goals	31.5%	32.0%	54.1%	0.59×	3.12
Fenerbahce over 3.5 goals	21.5%	22.3%	7.4%	3.02×	4.49
Fenerbahce under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	22.2%	0.35×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Fenerbahce over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Fenerbahce under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Fenerbahce over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce scores more in 2nd half	44.4%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Fenerbahce scores more in 1st half	28.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Fenerbahce scores equally in both	27.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.9%	51.4%	47.3%	1.09×	1.95
Trabzonspor (home no bet)	48.2%	48.6%	52.7%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce even goals	50.4%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Fenerbahce odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-0	21.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
Any other HT score	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 2-1	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce at HT / Fenerbahce at FT	39.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Draw at HT / Fenerbahce at FT	16.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Trabzonspor at HT / Trabzonspor at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / Trabzonspor at FT	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Fenerbahce at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Trabzonspor at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Trabzonspor at HT / Fenerbahce at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Fenerbahce at HT / Trabzonspor at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to score last	62.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Trabzonspor to score last	34.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Fenerbahce to lead by 1 at any time	75.3%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Fenerbahce to lead by 2 at any time	48.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.25
Trabzonspor to lead by 1 at any time	41.4%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	30.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Fenerbahce to lead by 3 at any time	25.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Trabzonspor to lead by 2 at any time	14.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Trabzonspor to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	—	—	60.52

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce most corners	76.4%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Trabzonspor most corners	16.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.22
Corners level	7.5%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	81.1%	83.4%	73.9%	1.13×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.9%	78.7%	85.4%	0.92×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.4%	72.4%	69.8%	1.04×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.7%	68.8%	75.4%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.2%	63.3%	51.4%	1.23×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.1%	59.1%	59.8%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.5%	53.2%	47.3%	1.12×	1.88
1-3 goals	46.4%	48.5%	61.3%	0.79×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.2%	43.6%	28.4%	1.53×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
2-3 goals	38.9%	39.2%	45.7%	0.86×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.5%	35.2%	24.3%	1.45×	2.84
1-2 goals	25.5%	30.2%	38.3%	0.79×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.9%	24.5%	14.3%	1.71×	4.08
7+ goals	8.0%	8.9%	2.7%	3.35×	11.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce never behind	55.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Trabzonspor never behind	21.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	50.8%	1.00×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	49.2%	1.00×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.1%	87.6%	76.4%	1.15×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	93.2%	0.88×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	71.2%	72.5%	53.9%	1.34×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.1%	66.3%	83.2%	0.80×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	50.2%	52.5%	30.9%	1.70×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	49.8%	47.5%	69.1%	0.69×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	30.9%	33.7%	16.8%	2.01×	2.97
Under 2.5 goals	28.9%	27.5%	46.1%	0.60×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	6.8%	2.61×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.4%	23.6%	0.53×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.3%	92.4%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.7%	86.7%	69.6%	1.25×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	80.5%	81.1%	92.5%	0.88×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.5%	61.9%	40.2%	1.54×	1.62
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	61.7%	61.9%	80.4%	0.77×	1.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	38.3%	38.1%	19.6%	1.95×	2.63
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.5%	38.1%	59.8%	0.64×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	19.5%	18.9%	7.5%	2.51×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.3%	13.3%	30.4%	0.44×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.7%	7.6%	2.8%	2.75×	13.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.8%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	54.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half	45.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.64

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	36.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor not to score in both halves	77.8%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Fenerbahce not to score in both halves	52.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Fenerbahce to score in both halves	47.4%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
Trabzonspor to score in both halves	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	67.0%	59.9%	55.5%	1.08×	1.67
Only Fenerbahce scores	23.6%	22.3%	22.4%	0.99×	4.49
Only Trabzonspor scores	6.0%	7.1%	14.4%	0.49×	14.05
Neither team scores	3.4%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.9%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
6 or more goals	16.7%	17.5%	6.8%	2.58×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.2%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	7.6%	7.6%	15.8%	0.48×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	3.4%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 1st half	21.5%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	20.2%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.3%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.34
No goals in 2nd half	12.1%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Fenerbahce not to win both halves	76.4%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Fenerbahce to win both halves	23.6%	24.7%	—	—	4.05
Trabzonspor to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce to win either half	73.2%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Trabzonspor to win neither half	64.1%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Trabzonspor to win either half	35.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Fenerbahce to win neither half	26.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Trabzonspor not to win to nil	94.0%	92.1%	85.6%	1.08×	1.09
Fenerbahce not to win to nil	76.4%	78.1%	77.6%	1.01×	1.28
Fenerbahce to win to nil	23.6%	21.9%	22.4%	0.98×	4.57
Trabzonspor to win to nil	6.0%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.69

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fenerbahce by 3+	21.5%	24.1%	10.0%	2.41×	4.15
Fenerbahce by 1	20.7%	24.1%	24.0%	1.00×	4.15
Draw	20.7%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.15
Fenerbahce by 2	18.0%	17.0%	11.6%	1.47×	5.87
Trabzonspor by 1	11.0%	11.8%	15.9%	0.74×	8.51
Trabzonspor by 2	5.5%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.92
Trabzonspor by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	5.4%	0.50×	36.82