Feyenoord Rotterdam v Ajax Amsterdam — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Feyenoord Rotterdam

20:00 UTC

Ajax Amsterdam

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 849h before kick-off

Feyenoord Rotterdam win

36.6%

model 35.1%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.7%

Ajax Amsterdam win

36.8%

model 38.2%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
1-2 8.6%
2-1 8.2%
0-1 6.4%
2-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.8%	Under 2.5	42.2%
BTTS yes	61.6%	BTTS no	38.4%
Feyenoord Rotterdam 1+	76.9%	Feyenoord Rotterdam 2+	43.1%
Ajax Amsterdam 1+	78.5%	Ajax Amsterdam 2+	45.5%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.54. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Ajax Amsterdam (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 75%

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1330 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Ajax Amsterdam (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Ajax Amsterdam have an estimated 36.8% win probability, against 36.6% for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 1.54 for Ajax Amsterdam.

Why Feyenoord Rotterdam

Nothing in the data singles out Feyenoord Rotterdam.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.47 to 1.54. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Ajax Amsterdam can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Feyenoord Rotterdam, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Ajax Amsterdam, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Feyenoord Rotterdam: 53% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Ajax Amsterdam: 61% possession, 19.4 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Ajax Amsterdam are the model's most likely outcome at 36.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352738	1.47–1.54	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332839	1.30–1.44	1-1 13%	52%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to win	39.2%	36.4%	30.1%	1.21×	2.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win	32.6%	30.4%	44.4%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	28.2%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	22.2%	0.98×	4.59
Ajax Amsterdam & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
Ajax Amsterdam & not both score	19.5%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam & both teams score	16.7%	18.0%	21.2%	0.85×	5.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam & not both score	15.9%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam & over 1.5	31.2%	30.8%	26.2%	1.17×	3.25
Ajax Amsterdam & under 3.5	26.6%	26.1%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 1.5	25.5%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
Ajax Amsterdam & over 2.5	24.5%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	15.1%	1.43×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.2%	21.6%	15.1%	1.43×	4.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	28.9%	0.75×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.4%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
Ajax Amsterdam & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	15.7%	0.82×	7.79
Ajax Amsterdam & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	10.4%	1.24×	7.79
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	17.0%	0.46×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
Ajax Amsterdam & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	4.1%	1.93×	12.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (1UP)	56.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1UP)	50.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (2UP)	39.2%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2UP)	32.6%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Ajax Amsterdam to win 2nd half	35.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 2nd half	28.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Ajax Amsterdam over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Ajax Amsterdam under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Ajax Amsterdam over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (+2.5)	94.9%	92.1%	86.8%	1.06×	1.09
Ajax Amsterdam (+1.5)	85.2%	88.4%	74.7%	1.18×	1.13
Ajax Amsterdam (+0.5)	67.4%	68.7%	55.6%	1.24×	1.46
Feyenoord Rotterdam (+0.5)	60.8%	62.9%	69.9%	0.90×	1.59
Ajax Amsterdam (-0.5)	39.2%	37.1%	30.1%	1.23×	2.70
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-0.5)	32.6%	31.3%	44.4%	0.71×	3.19
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)	14.8%	11.6%	25.3%	0.46×	8.66
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)	5.1%	7.9%	13.2%	0.59×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to concede	72.7%	76.7%	83.6%	0.92×	1.30
Ajax Amsterdam clean sheet	27.3%	23.3%	16.4%	1.42×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Ajax Amsterdam to concede in 1st half	42.7%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to concede in 2nd half	52.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Ajax Amsterdam clean sheet in 2nd half	47.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam under 6.5 corners	89.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Ajax Amsterdam under 5.5 corners	80.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Ajax Amsterdam under 4.5 corners	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Ajax Amsterdam over 2.5 corners	66.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Ajax Amsterdam under 3.5 corners	52.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Ajax Amsterdam over 3.5 corners	47.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Ajax Amsterdam under 2.5 corners	33.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Ajax Amsterdam over 4.5 corners	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Ajax Amsterdam over 5.5 corners	19.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Ajax Amsterdam over 6.5 corners	11.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Ajax Amsterdam under 2.5 goals	82.4%	81.5%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
Ajax Amsterdam over 0.5 goals	76.3%	76.2%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
Ajax Amsterdam under 1.5 goals	57.8%	59.4%	58.1%	1.02×	1.68
Ajax Amsterdam over 1.5 goals	42.2%	40.6%	41.9%	0.97×	2.46
Ajax Amsterdam under 0.5 goals	23.7%	23.8%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
Ajax Amsterdam over 2.5 goals	17.6%	18.5%	15.1%	1.23×	5.39
Ajax Amsterdam over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	5.6%	1.36×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Ajax Amsterdam under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Ajax Amsterdam over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Ajax Amsterdam over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam scores more in 2nd half	40.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Ajax Amsterdam scores equally in both	37.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Ajax Amsterdam scores more in 1st half	23.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (away no bet)	53.6%	51.7%	63.5%	0.81×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.4%	48.3%	36.5%	1.32×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam even goals	52.8%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
Ajax Amsterdam odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Ajax Amsterdam to score 2+ in a row	33.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 2+ in a row	28.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Ajax Amsterdam to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ in a row	8.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+3.5)	95.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+2.5)	92.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+1.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-1.5)	62.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Ajax Amsterdam corners (+3.5)	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-2.5)	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Ajax Amsterdam corners (+2.5)	48.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-3.5)	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Ajax Amsterdam corners (+1.5)	37.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Ajax Amsterdam corners (-1.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Ajax Amsterdam corners (-2.5)	7.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Ajax Amsterdam corners (-3.5)	4.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	34.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	46.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	36.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	34.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	26.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	3.5%	2.12×	13.51
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.51
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.51
1-0	7.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
2-0	5.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.31
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (2nd half DNB)	55.6%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2nd half DNB)	44.4%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam leading at HT (DNB)	51.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT (DNB)	48.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Ajax Amsterdam (12)	71.8%	72.1%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
Ajax Amsterdam or draw (X2)	67.4%	69.6%	55.6%	1.25×	1.44
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1X)	60.8%	63.6%	69.9%	0.91×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam or draw at HT	72.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw at HT	71.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Ajax Amsterdam at HT	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam or draw (1UP)	67.4%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1UP)	60.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam or draw in 2nd half	71.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw in 2nd half	64.5%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Ajax Amsterdam in 2nd half	63.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (DNB)	54.6%	51.0%	40.4%	1.26×	1.96
Feyenoord Rotterdam (DNB)	45.4%	49.0%	59.6%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to score first	48.5%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score first	43.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.8%	55.0%	60.3%	0.91×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.2%	45.0%	39.7%	1.13×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.4%	41.6%	48.7%	0.85×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.0%	38.4%	28.8%	1.33×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.4%	11.7%	1.06×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.3%	82.6%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.7%	17.4%	19.6%	0.88×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.0%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.8%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	45.2%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	47.2%	46.7%	1.01×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.2%	26.6%	33.8%	0.79×	3.76
0-1 goals	22.9%	22.9%	15.7%	1.46×	4.37
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	31.5%	1.07×	2.96
Ajax Amsterdam to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	26.9%	0.83×	4.48
Ajax Amsterdam to score exactly 0	23.7%	22.3%	26.8%	0.83×	4.48
Ajax Amsterdam to score 3+	17.6%	19.6%	15.1%	1.30×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	33.2%	1.07×	2.81
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 0	27.3%	26.5%	16.4%	1.61×	3.77
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.3%	26.9%	0.87×	4.29
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+	14.2%	14.3%	23.7%	0.60×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Ajax Amsterdam leading at HT	28.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT	27.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam -1: 1	60.8%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Ajax Amsterdam -1: X	19.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.70
Ajax Amsterdam -1: 2	19.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (0:1)	67.4%	65.2%	55.6%	1.17×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.8%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:1)	14.8%	13.7%	25.3%	0.54×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (0:2)	85.2%	87.1%	74.7%	1.16×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.02
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:2)	5.1%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (0:3)	94.9%	92.7%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	7.8%	0.31×	42.05
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.98
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1:0)	60.8%	65.3%	69.9%	0.93×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.84
Ajax Amsterdam (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	15.5%	1.10×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2:0)	80.7%	84.6%	84.5%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.0%	10.3%	8.8%	1.16×	9.72
Ajax Amsterdam (2:0)	7.3%	6.4%	6.8%	0.93×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede	76.3%	76.1%	73.2%	1.04×	1.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet	23.7%	23.9%	26.8%	0.89×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 2nd half	57.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 2nd half	42.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 corners	90.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 corners	81.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 4.5 corners	70.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 5.5 corners	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 6.5 corners	54.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 6.5 corners	45.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 5.5 corners	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 4.5 corners	29.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 corners	18.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 corners	9.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 goals	95.7%	96.4%	89.2%	1.08×	1.04
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 goals	85.8%	87.2%	76.3%	1.14×	1.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	83.6%	0.89×	1.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 goals	62.8%	63.6%	49.5%	1.29×	1.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 goals	37.2%	36.4%	50.5%	0.72×	2.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	16.4%	1.57×	3.88
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 goals	14.2%	12.8%	23.7%	0.54×	7.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 goals	4.3%	3.6%	10.8%	0.34×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	9.7%	—	—	10.34

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores equally in both	39.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 1st half	24.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam (home no bet)	58.2%	56.4%	54.1%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	41.8%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam even goals	53.7%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam odd goals	46.3%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
HT 0-1	18.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-2	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 2-0	5.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam at HT / Ajax Amsterdam at FT	21.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Ajax Amsterdam at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT	11.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Ajax Amsterdam at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Ajax Amsterdam at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Ajax Amsterdam at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to score last	48.6%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score last	43.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Ajax Amsterdam to lead by 1 at any time	56.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 1 at any time	50.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Ajax Amsterdam to lead by 2 at any time	25.6%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 2 at any time	20.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Ajax Amsterdam to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.94

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam most corners	72.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Ajax Amsterdam most corners	19.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.7%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.0%	72.4%	80.4%	0.90×	1.38
2-5 goals	71.2%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	62.8%	63.3%	58.9%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.4%	48.5%	55.7%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.5%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.6%	48.5%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.6%	43.6%	37.0%	1.18×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.3%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.2%	30.2%	33.8%	0.89×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.4%	24.5%	28.8%	0.85×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.1%	14.8%	16.9%	0.88×	6.75
7+ goals	2.2%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam never behind	41.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.06
Feyenoord Rotterdam never behind	35.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.7%	87.6%	79.1%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	77.1%	77.3%	84.3%	0.92×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.6%	72.5%	62.3%	1.16×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.6%	52.5%	59.7%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.4%	47.5%	40.3%	1.18×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.4%	27.5%	37.7%	0.73×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	22.9%	22.7%	15.7%	1.45×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	14.3%	12.4%	20.9%	0.60×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.4%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.2%	81.1%	74.9%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.3%	67.5%	79.2%	0.85×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.2%	61.9%	51.7%	1.20×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.8%	38.1%	48.3%	0.79×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.7%	32.5%	20.8%	1.56×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.8%	18.9%	25.1%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.6%	10.3%	0.73×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	4.3%	0.65×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.3%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.4%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to score in both halves	77.7%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Ajax Amsterdam not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Ajax Amsterdam to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score in both halves	22.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.8%	58.6%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Only Ajax Amsterdam scores	19.5%	16.0%	13.1%	1.23×	6.24
Only Feyenoord Rotterdam scores	15.9%	16.0%	23.4%	0.68×	6.25
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.1%	3.5%	2.04×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.9%	24.8%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.1%	17.5%	12.3%	1.42×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	11.9%	0.64×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.0%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	31.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.6%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Ajax Amsterdam not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Ajax Amsterdam to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ajax Amsterdam to win either half	53.8%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win neither half	52.1%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win either half	47.9%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Ajax Amsterdam to win neither half	46.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win to nil	84.1%	83.1%	76.6%	1.09×	1.20
Ajax Amsterdam not to win to nil	80.5%	83.1%	86.9%	0.96×	1.20
Ajax Amsterdam to win to nil	19.5%	16.9%	13.1%	1.29×	5.91
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win to nil	15.9%	16.9%	23.4%	0.72×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.2%	27.9%	25.6%	1.09×	3.59
Ajax Amsterdam by 1	19.9%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.86
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 1	17.8%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Ajax Amsterdam by 2	12.0%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 2	9.7%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
Ajax Amsterdam by 3+	7.3%	7.2%	6.8%	1.05×	13.91
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 3+	5.1%	7.2%	13.2%	0.54×	13.92