Feyenoord Rotterdam v Excelsior — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Feyenoord Rotterdam

20:00 UTC

Excelsior

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 681h before kick-off

Feyenoord Rotterdam win

57.9%

model 58.9%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.9%

Excelsior win

19.1%

model 18.2%

582319

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.1%
1-0 7.8%
3-1 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.1%	Under 2.5	38.9%
BTTS yes	59.0%	BTTS no	41.0%
Feyenoord Rotterdam 1+	87.4%	Feyenoord Rotterdam 2+	61.2%
Excelsior 1+	66.3%	Excelsior 2+	29.6%

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Feyenoord Rotterdam (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 44%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Excelsior (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 87%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Feyenoord Rotterdam carry the stronger rating, 1677 Elo against 1567.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Feyenoord Rotterdam have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.1% for Excelsior. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.07 for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 1.09 for Excelsior.

Why Feyenoord Rotterdam

Feyenoord Rotterdam carry the stronger rating, 1677 Elo against 1567.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Excelsior can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Feyenoord Rotterdam, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Excelsior, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Feyenoord Rotterdam: 53% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Excelsior: 43% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Feyenoord Rotterdam are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	592318	2.07–1.09	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	582318	2.02–1.07	1-1 11%	60%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win	58.4%	54.0%	44.4%	1.22×	1.85
Draw	23.3%	24.4%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09
Excelsior to win	18.3%	19.4%	30.1%	0.64×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam & both teams score	29.6%	25.2%	21.2%	1.19×	3.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam & not both score	28.8%	25.2%	23.4%	1.07×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
Excelsior & both teams score	10.7%	13.3%	17.2%	0.77×	7.54
Excelsior & not both score	7.6%	8.3%	13.1%	0.64×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.6%	8.3%	3.5%	2.38×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 1.5	50.3%	48.8%	36.2%	1.35×	2.05
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 2.5	40.9%	40.2%	28.9%	1.39×	2.49
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 3.5	33.7%	30.8%	27.5%	1.12×	3.25
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 3.5	24.7%	21.6%	17.0%	1.27×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	15.7%	1.15×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Excelsior & over 1.5	14.5%	12.8%	26.2%	0.49×	7.79
Excelsior & under 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Excelsior & over 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.79
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Excelsior & under 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	3.5%	2.26×	12.63
Excelsior & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.63
Excelsior & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1UP)	72.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Excelsior (1UP)	37.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2UP)	58.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Excelsior (2UP)	18.3%	17.3%	—	—	5.77

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 2nd half	47.8%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	32.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Excelsior to win 2nd half	20.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.5%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Excelsior under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Excelsior over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Excelsior over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.5%	13.0%	—	—	7.67

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.0%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior (+2.5)	82.1%	82.5%	86.8%	0.95×	1.21
Feyenoord Rotterdam (+0.5)	81.7%	82.5%	69.9%	1.18×	1.21
Excelsior (+1.5)	64.0%	63.0%	74.7%	0.84×	1.59
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-0.5)	58.4%	57.0%	44.4%	1.28×	1.75
Excelsior (+0.5)	41.6%	43.0%	55.6%	0.77×	2.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)	36.0%	37.0%	25.3%	1.47×	2.70
Excelsior (-0.5)	18.3%	17.5%	30.1%	0.58×	5.72
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)	17.9%	17.5%	13.2%	1.32×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior to concede	86.8%	86.3%	83.6%	1.03×	1.16
Excelsior clean sheet	13.2%	13.7%	16.4%	0.83×	7.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior to concede in 1st half	58.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Excelsior clean sheet in 1st half	41.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior to concede in 2nd half	68.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Excelsior clean sheet in 2nd half	31.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior under 6.5 corners	91.5%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Excelsior under 5.5 corners	84.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Excelsior under 4.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Excelsior over 2.5 corners	61.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Excelsior under 3.5 corners	57.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Excelsior over 3.5 corners	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Excelsior under 2.5 corners	38.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Excelsior over 4.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Excelsior over 5.5 corners	15.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Excelsior over 6.5 corners	8.5%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Excelsior under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	84.9%	1.09×	1.08
Excelsior under 1.5 goals	71.1%	71.9%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
Excelsior over 0.5 goals	65.6%	68.0%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
Excelsior under 0.5 goals	34.4%	32.0%	26.8%	1.20×	3.12
Excelsior over 1.5 goals	28.9%	28.1%	41.9%	0.67×	3.56
Excelsior over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	15.1%	0.51×	13.04
Excelsior over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.5%	5.6%	0.44×	39.91

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Excelsior under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Excelsior over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28
Excelsior over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.76

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior scores equally in both	44.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Excelsior scores more in 2nd half	34.8%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Excelsior scores more in 1st half	20.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (away no bet)	71.5%	68.4%	63.5%	1.08×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.5%	31.6%	36.5%	0.87×	3.16

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior even goals	55.9%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
Excelsior odd goals	44.1%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.0%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 2+ in a row	51.7%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ in a row	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Excelsior to score 2+ in a row	19.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Excelsior to score 3+ in a row	4.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.07

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+3.5)	96.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+2.5)	93.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+1.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-1.5)	64.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Excelsior corners (+3.5)	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-2.5)	54.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Excelsior corners (+2.5)	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-3.5)	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Excelsior corners (+1.5)	35.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Excelsior corners (-1.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Excelsior corners (-2.5)	6.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Excelsior corners (-3.5)	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	39.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.9%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
2-0	9.3%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.50
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.50
1-0	8.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
3-1	6.7%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
0-0	5.6%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.3%	1.74×	13.51
Any other score	5.9%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
0-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.32
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.30
4-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2nd half DNB)	70.4%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Excelsior (2nd half DNB)	29.6%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT (DNB)	72.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Excelsior leading at HT (DNB)	27.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1X)	81.7%	80.6%	69.9%	1.15×	1.24
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Excelsior (12)	76.7%	75.6%	74.4%	1.02×	1.32
Excelsior or draw (X2)	41.6%	46.0%	55.6%	0.83×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw at HT	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Excelsior at HT	61.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Excelsior or draw at HT	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1UP)	81.7%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Excelsior or draw (1UP)	41.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw in 2nd half	79.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Excelsior in 2nd half	67.9%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Excelsior or draw in 2nd half	52.2%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.3%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.7%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (DNB)	76.1%	74.7%	59.6%	1.25×	1.34
Excelsior (DNB)	23.9%	25.3%	40.4%	0.63×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score first	61.8%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Excelsior to score first	32.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.0%	55.0%	60.3%	0.91×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.0%	45.0%	39.7%	1.13×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.1%	44.3%	48.7%	0.91×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	29.4%	33.3%	28.8%	1.16×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	12.6%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.7%	82.6%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.3%	17.4%	19.6%	0.89×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.7%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.2%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Both score 1st half only	13.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.6%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.1%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	38.9%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.2%	46.7%	1.01×	2.12
4-6 goals	33.5%	30.7%	33.8%	0.91×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.5%	20.2%	15.7%	1.29×	4.94
7+ goals	3.8%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
Excelsior to score exactly 0	34.4%	33.8%	26.8%	1.26×	2.95
Excelsior to score exactly 2	19.6%	19.6%	26.9%	0.73×	5.11
Excelsior to score 3+	9.3%	8.6%	15.1%	0.57×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+	32.9%	32.6%	23.7%	1.37×	3.07
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 1	26.8%	26.5%	33.2%	0.80×	3.77
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 0	13.2%	14.3%	16.4%	0.87×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	38.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Excelsior leading at HT	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam -1: 2	41.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Feyenoord Rotterdam -1: 1	36.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Feyenoord Rotterdam -1: X	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior (0:1)	41.6%	42.6%	55.6%	0.77×	2.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:1)	36.0%	37.3%	25.3%	1.48×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.2%	19.3%	1.25×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior (0:2)	64.0%	67.1%	74.7%	0.90×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.1%	15.3%	12.2%	1.26×	6.54
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:2)	17.9%	15.3%	13.2%	1.16×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior (0:3)	82.1%	85.3%	86.8%	0.98×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.5%	9.9%	7.8%	1.28×	10.08
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:3)	7.4%	5.8%	5.6%	1.03×	17.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior (0:4)	92.6%	94.5%	94.4%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1:0)	81.7%	81.3%	69.9%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.3%	12.7%	14.8%	0.86×	7.88
Excelsior (1:0)	7.0%	6.9%	15.5%	0.44×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2:0)	93.0%	94.0%	84.5%	1.11×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.0%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.71
Excelsior (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede	65.6%	66.6%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet	34.4%	33.4%	26.8%	1.25×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 1st half	34.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 2nd half	52.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 2nd half	47.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 corners	90.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 corners	81.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 4.5 corners	70.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 6.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 6.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 4.5 corners	29.7%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 corners	18.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 corners	9.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 goals	86.8%	87.3%	83.6%	1.04×	1.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 goals	85.3%	87.2%	89.2%	0.98×	1.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 goals	67.1%	68.0%	76.3%	0.89×	1.47
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 goals	60.0%	63.6%	50.5%	1.26×	1.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 goals	40.0%	36.4%	49.5%	0.74×	2.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 goals	32.9%	32.0%	23.7%	1.35×	3.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 goals	14.7%	12.8%	10.8%	1.18×	7.84
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 goals	13.2%	12.7%	16.4%	0.78×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 1st half	78.4%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 1st half	58.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 1st half	41.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 1st half	21.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 2nd half	42.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores equally in both	30.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 1st half	27.5%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.0%	56.4%	45.9%	1.23×	1.77
Excelsior (home no bet)	44.0%	43.6%	54.1%	0.81×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam even goals	50.9%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam odd goals	49.1%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
HT 1-0	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	10.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 1-2	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.24

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT	37.3%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
Draw at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Excelsior at HT / Excelsior at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Draw at HT / Excelsior at FT	7.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Excelsior at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Excelsior at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Excelsior at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score last	61.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Excelsior to score last	32.4%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	5.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.52

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.4%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 1 at any time	72.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 2 at any time	43.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Excelsior to lead by 1 at any time	37.9%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.2%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Excelsior to lead by 2 at any time	12.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Excelsior to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.68

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam most corners	74.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Excelsior most corners	17.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	8.2%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.1%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.7%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.4%	72.4%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.2%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.5%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.1%	59.1%	58.9%	1.00×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.9%	59.1%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.4%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.5%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.7%	35.2%	37.0%	0.95×	2.84
4-6 goals	33.5%	35.2%	33.8%	1.04×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.0%	30.2%	28.8%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.2%	18.8%	16.9%	1.11×	5.31
7+ goals	3.8%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.05

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam never behind	56.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Excelsior never behind	22.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.7%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.3%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.1%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	96.5%	0.96×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.5%	82.3%	84.3%	0.98×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.0%	82.3%	79.1%	1.04×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	62.7%	61.7%	62.3%	0.99×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.7%	58.6%	59.7%	0.98×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	40.3%	1.03×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	37.3%	38.3%	37.7%	1.01×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.0%	17.7%	20.9%	0.85×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.7%	15.7%	1.13×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	3.5%	2.21×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.2%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.6%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.3%	75.9%	79.2%	0.96×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.8%	75.9%	74.9%	1.01×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.0%	51.9%	51.7%	1.01×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.0%	48.1%	48.3%	0.99×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.2%	24.1%	25.1%	0.96×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.7%	24.1%	20.8%	1.16×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.4%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.8%	4.3%	0.65×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior not to score in both halves	83.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to score in both halves	60.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score in both halves	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Excelsior to score in both halves	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.0%	58.6%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Only Feyenoord Rotterdam scores	28.8%	26.1%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
Only Excelsior scores	7.6%	7.1%	13.1%	0.54×	14.04
Neither team scores	5.6%	7.1%	3.5%	2.03×	14.05

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.8%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.9%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.7%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.3%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.6%	7.6%	3.5%	2.17×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	23.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.9%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	17.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win both halves	78.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win both halves	21.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
Excelsior to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.36

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win either half	70.6%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Excelsior to win neither half	66.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Excelsior to win either half	33.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win neither half	29.4%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Excelsior not to win to nil	92.4%	92.1%	86.9%	1.06×	1.09
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win to nil	71.2%	75.3%	76.6%	0.98×	1.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win to nil	28.8%	24.7%	23.4%	1.05×	4.05
Excelsior to win to nil	7.6%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.65

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.3%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 1	22.4%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 2	18.1%	17.0%	12.2%	1.40×	5.87
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 3+	17.9%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.87
Excelsior by 1	11.3%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.51
Excelsior by 2	5.0%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.92
Excelsior by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.84