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Feyenoord Rotterdam v Internazionale — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
23.1%
model 23.6%
Draw
19.1%
model 19.4%
Internazionale win
57.8%
model 57.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-2 9.4%
  2. 1-1 8.2%
  3. 0-2 7.1%
  4. 0-1 7.0%
  5. 1-3 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.568.2% Under 2.531.8%
BTTS yes64.8% BTTS no35.2%
Feyenoord Rotterdam 1+73.7% Feyenoord Rotterdam 2+38.6%
Internazionale 1+88.7% Internazionale 2+64.0%

Expected goals 1.34 – 2.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
85/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Internazionale (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 34%
57.0% fair odds 1.75
strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
84.1% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1830 Elo against 1677.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Internazionale have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 23.1% for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 2.18 for Internazionale.

Why Feyenoord Rotterdam

They have had 30 days' rest to Internazionale's 17.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why Internazionale can win

Internazionale carry the stronger rating, 1830 Elo against 1677. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Internazionale's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Lautaro Martínez (0.75), Marcus Thuram (0.56), Federico Dimarco (0.52).

Availability

No lineup on record for Feyenoord Rotterdam, so availability is unknown. 1 of Internazionale's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Feyenoord Rotterdam: 53% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Internazionale: 61% possession, 20.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.90 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Internazionale are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.4%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Internazionale have scored 28 from 28.3 expected and conceded 13 from 12.7 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

WDDWWWWDWW last 10 scored 28 from 28.3 xG conceded 13 from 12.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.34–2.18 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.19–1.95 1-2 10% 61% 59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to win 55.7% 53.9% 33.7% 1.60× 1.86
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 23.5% 24.5% 51.0% 0.48× 4.09
Draw 20.7% 24.4% 15.6% 1.57× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale & both teams score 28.9% 25.2% 18.4% 1.37× 3.97
Internazionale & not both score 26.8% 25.2% 15.6% 1.62× 3.98
Draw & both teams score 17.0% 18.0% 10.7% 1.68× 5.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam & both teams score 13.1% 13.3% 26.8% 0.50× 7.54
Feyenoord Rotterdam & not both score 10.5% 13.3% 24.5% 0.54× 7.54
Draw & not both score 3.7% 4.9% 5.1% 0.95× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale & over 1.5 46.6% 45.0% 28.1% 1.61× 2.22
Internazionale & over 2.5 38.4% 34.9% 23.7% 1.47× 2.87
Internazionale & under 3.5 32.5% 30.7% 19.1% 1.61× 3.25
Internazionale & over 3.5 23.2% 21.6% 14.8% 1.46× 4.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 1.5 17.8% 18.0% 42.9% 0.42× 5.56
Internazionale & under 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 10.2% 1.76× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.0% 18.0% 10.7% 1.68× 5.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 3.5 16.0% 18.0% 26.8% 0.67× 5.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 2.5 14.7% 12.8% 36.7% 0.35× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.2% 12.8% 10.5% 1.23× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.2% 12.8% 10.5% 1.23× 7.79
Internazionale & under 1.5 9.1% 7.9% 5.9% 1.35× 12.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 2.5 8.8% 7.9% 14.5% 0.54× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.6% 7.9% 5.4% 1.48× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.6% 7.9% 5.4% 1.48× 12.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & over 3.5 7.6% 7.9% 24.5% 0.32× 12.63
Feyenoord Rotterdam & under 1.5 5.8% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 3.7% 4.8% 5.1% 0.94× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (1UP) 70.2% 75.0% — — 1.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1UP) 42.9% 38.7% — — 2.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (2UP) 55.7% 54.6% — — 1.83
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2UP) 23.5% 23.8% — — 4.21
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to win 2nd half 47.9% 45.6% — — 2.19
2nd half drawn 30.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 2nd half 21.5% 24.1% — — 4.15
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale over 0.5 in 2nd half 69.0% 70.2% — — 1.42
Internazionale under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.4% 70.1% — — 1.43
Internazionale over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.6% 29.9% — — 3.34
Internazionale under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.0% 29.8% — — 3.36
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.2% 88.3% — — 1.13
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 2nd half 50.8% 55.1% — — 1.82
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 2nd half 49.2% 44.9% — — 2.23
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.8% 11.7% — — 8.57
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (+2.5) 97.2% 96.3% 81.6% 1.18× 1.04
Internazionale (+1.5) 91.0% 92.1% 68.4% 1.35× 1.09
Internazionale (+0.5) 76.5% 78.5% 49.0% 1.60× 1.27
Internazionale (-0.5) 55.7% 57.0% 33.7% 1.69× 1.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam (+0.5) 44.3% 43.0% 66.3% 0.65× 2.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-0.5) 23.5% 21.5% 51.0% 0.42× 4.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) 9.0% 7.9% 31.6% 0.25× 12.67
Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5) 2.8% 3.7% 18.4% 0.20× 27.14
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to concede 69.5% 72.4% 79.6% 0.91× 1.38
Internazionale clean sheet 30.5% 27.6% 20.4% 1.35× 3.62
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 1st half 60.0% 64.2% — — 1.56
Internazionale to concede in 1st half 40.0% 35.8% — — 2.79
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale clean sheet in 2nd half 50.8% 54.7% — — 1.83
Internazionale to concede in 2nd half 49.2% 45.3% — — 2.21
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale under 6.5 corners 83.7% 81.4% — — 1.23
Internazionale under 5.5 corners 74.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Internazionale over 2.5 corners 70.3% 71.6% — — 1.40
Internazionale under 4.5 corners 62.0% 61.8% — — 1.62
Internazionale over 3.5 corners 53.5% 53.1% — — 1.89
Internazionale under 3.5 corners 46.5% 46.9% — — 2.13
Internazionale over 4.5 corners 38.0% 38.2% — — 2.62
Internazionale under 2.5 corners 29.7% 28.4% — — 3.52
Internazionale over 5.5 corners 25.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
Internazionale over 6.5 corners 16.3% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale under 3.5 goals 86.6% 87.8% 92.3% 0.95× 1.14
Internazionale over 0.5 goals 85.8% 87.8% 70.7% 1.24× 1.14
Internazionale under 2.5 goals 69.0% 68.0% 79.1% 0.86× 1.47
Internazionale over 1.5 goals 58.0% 59.4% 40.1% 1.48× 1.68
Internazionale under 1.5 goals 42.0% 40.6% 59.9% 0.68× 2.47
Internazionale over 2.5 goals 31.0% 32.0% 20.9% 1.53× 3.13
Internazionale under 0.5 goals 14.2% 12.2% 29.3% 0.42× 8.19
Internazionale over 3.5 goals 13.4% 12.2% 7.7% 1.59× 8.20
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale under 1.5 in 1st half 81.6% 82.8% — — 1.21
Internazionale over 0.5 in 1st half 54.2% 55.5% — — 1.80
Internazionale under 0.5 in 1st half 45.8% 44.5% — — 2.25
Internazionale over 1.5 in 1st half 18.4% 17.2% — — 5.80
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale scores more in 2nd half 45.0% 43.6% — — 2.30
Internazionale scores equally in both 30.5% 33.2% — — 3.02
Internazionale scores more in 1st half 24.5% 21.9% — — 4.58
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (away no bet) 53.2% 51.7% 76.6% 0.67× 1.93
Draw (away no bet) 46.8% 48.3% 23.4% 2.07× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale even goals 51.0% 52.6% 53.6% 0.98× 1.90
Internazionale odd goals 49.0% 47.4% 46.4% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 79.6% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 20.4% 18.7% — — 5.36
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 71.4% 67.6% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 28.6% 32.4% — — 3.09
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 64.0% 60.0% — — 1.67
Internazionale to score 2+ in a row 49.0% 46.2% — — 2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row 26.6% 25.0% — — 4.00
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 2+ in a row 23.2% 19.6% — — 5.10
Internazionale to score 3+ in a row 21.2% 19.6% — — 5.11
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ in a row 5.8% 5.5% — — 18.20
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+3.5) 88.6% 84.5% — — 1.18
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+2.5) 82.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Internazionale corners (+3.5) 75.0% 70.7% — — 1.41
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (+1.5) 75.0% 70.7% — — 1.41
Internazionale corners (+2.5) 66.1% 65.9% — — 1.52
Internazionale corners (+1.5) 55.9% 57.1% — — 1.75
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-1.5) 44.1% 42.9% — — 2.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-2.5) 33.9% 34.1% — — 2.93
Feyenoord Rotterdam corners (-3.5) 25.0% 29.3% — — 3.42
Internazionale corners (-1.5) 25.0% 29.3% — — 3.42
Internazionale corners (-2.5) 17.3% 20.2% — — 4.95
Internazionale corners (-3.5) 11.4% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 46.7% 41.7% — — 2.40
9-11 corners 27.5% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 25.7% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.9% 80.6% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 74.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 10.5 corners 66.2% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 7.5 corners 63.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 56.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 53.3% 53.1% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 46.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 9.5 corners 43.1% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 7.5 corners 36.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 33.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 25.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 19.1% 19.4% — — 5.17
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 9.1% 7.4% 5.9% 1.26× 13.51
1-1 9.5% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.51
1-2 9.8% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.51
0-2 8.3% 7.4% 4.6% 1.61× 13.51
0-3 5.4% 7.4% 3.8% 1.93× 13.51
1-0 5.8% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.51
1-3 6.4% 7.4% 2.8% 2.64× 13.51
2-1 6.0% 7.4% 7.7% 0.97× 13.51
2-2 5.8% 7.4% 3.8% 1.93× 13.51
Any other score 5.5% 7.4% 11.5% 0.64× 13.51
0-0 3.7% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.30
0-4 2.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.30
1-4 3.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.30
2-0 3.1% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.30
2-3 3.8% 1.7% 5.4% 0.32× 58.30
2-4 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.31
3-0 1.2% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.31
3-1 2.4% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.31
3-2 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.31
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.31
3-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.32
4-0 0.4% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.32
4-1 0.7% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.32
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.34× 58.32
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (2nd half DNB) 69.0% 67.0% — — 1.49
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2nd half DNB) 31.0% 33.0% — — 3.03
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale leading at HT (DNB) 63.7% 65.6% — — 1.53
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT (DNB) 36.3% 34.4% — — 2.91
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Internazionale (12) 79.3% 75.6% 84.4% 0.89× 1.32
Internazionale or draw (X2) 76.5% 75.5% 49.0% 1.54× 1.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1X) 44.3% 46.1% 66.3% 0.70× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale or draw at HT 78.0% 79.5% — — 1.26
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw at HT 61.4% 60.9% — — 1.64
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Internazionale at HT 60.6% 60.9% — — 1.64
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale or draw (1UP) 76.5% 83.7% — — 1.20
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw (1UP) 44.3% 52.8% — — 1.89
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale or draw in 2nd half 78.5% 75.9% — — 1.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Internazionale in 2nd half 69.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw in 2nd half 52.1% 54.4% — — 1.84
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.6% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 41.4% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (DNB) 70.3% 71.3% 39.8% 1.79× 1.40
Feyenoord Rotterdam (DNB) 29.7% 28.7% 60.2% 0.48× 3.49
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to score first 59.8% 62.3% — — 1.60
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score first 36.4% 32.7% — — 3.06
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% — — 23.09
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 59.0% 55.0% 55.4% 0.99× 1.82
Not both teams to score 41.0% 45.0% 44.6% 1.01× 2.23
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 49.5% 44.4% 50.0% 0.89× 2.25
Not both score & under 2.5 29.9% 33.3% 29.3% 1.14× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 11.1% 12.4% 15.6% 0.79× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.5% 8.3% 5.6% 1.48× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.7% 82.6% 80.9% 1.02× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 19.3% 17.4% 19.1% 0.91× 5.74
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 66.3% 67.1% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 33.7% 32.9% — — 3.04
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 52.1% 54.4% — — 1.84
Both score 2nd half only 26.4% 27.2% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 14.2% 10.8% — — 9.25
Both score in both halves 7.3% 6.8% — — 14.66
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.5% 81.2% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 21.5% 18.8% — — 5.32
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 60.8% 59.5% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 39.2% 40.5% — — 2.47
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.1% 42.2% 37.2% 1.13× 2.37
4-6 goals 34.3% 30.8% 37.5% 0.82× 3.25
0-1 goals 18.6% 20.2% 18.9% 1.07× 4.95
7+ goals 4.1% 1.8% 6.9% 0.27× 54.12
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to score 3+ 31.0% 33.8% 20.9% 1.62× 2.96
Internazionale to score exactly 1 27.8% 27.4% 30.9% 0.89× 3.65
Internazionale to score exactly 2 27.1% 27.4% 19.4% 1.41× 3.65
Internazionale to score exactly 0 14.2% 12.9% 29.3% 0.44× 7.75
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 1 36.2% 35.6% 25.0% 1.42× 2.81
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 0 30.5% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score exactly 2 21.5% 23.3% 23.7% 0.98× 4.29
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 3+ 11.8% 14.3% 31.4% 0.46× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 39.4% 39.1% — — 2.56
Internazionale leading at HT 38.6% 39.1% — — 2.56
Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at HT 22.0% 20.5% — — 4.87
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale -1: 1 44.3% 42.8% — — 2.33
Internazionale -1: 2 32.2% 30.0% — — 3.33
Internazionale -1: X 23.5% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (0:1) 76.5% 73.7% 49.0% 1.50× 1.36
Draw (0:1) 14.5% 13.7% 19.6% 0.70× 7.28
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:1) 9.0% 9.3% 31.6% 0.29× 10.78
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (0:2) 91.0% 90.7% 68.4% 1.33× 1.10
Draw (0:2) 6.2% 7.7% 13.5% 0.57× 13.06
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:2) 2.8% 3.7% 18.4% 0.20× 26.72
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (0:3) 97.2% 96.6% 81.6% 1.18× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.1% 2.4% 8.9% 0.27× 42.14
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:3) 0.7% 2.4% 9.7% 0.24× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (0:4) 99.3% 98.1% 90.3% 1.09× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 5.9% 0.21× 82.11
Feyenoord Rotterdam (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 82.15
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (1:0) 44.3% 43.5% 66.3% 0.66× 2.30
Internazionale (1:0) 32.2% 30.1% 17.1% 1.76× 3.33
Draw (1:0) 23.5% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam (2:0) 67.8% 70.9% 82.9% 0.86× 1.41
Draw (2:0) 16.8% 15.8% 7.9% 2.00× 6.33
Internazionale (2:0) 15.5% 15.8% 9.4% 1.67× 6.35
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.2% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 21.9% 24.3% — — 4.11
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede 85.8% 85.4% 70.7% 1.21× 1.17
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet 14.2% 14.6% 29.3% 0.50× 6.87
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 1st half 54.2% 55.5% — — 1.80
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 1st half 45.8% 44.5% — — 2.25
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam to concede in 2nd half 69.0% 67.4% — — 1.48
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet in 2nd half 31.0% 32.6% — — 3.07
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 corners 80.7% 81.0% — — 1.24
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 6.5 corners 71.6% 71.9% — — 1.39
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 corners 67.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 5.5 corners 60.4% 62.3% — — 1.61
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 4.5 corners 52.9% 52.6% — — 1.90
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 4.5 corners 47.1% 47.4% — — 2.11
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 5.5 corners 39.6% 37.7% — — 2.65
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 corners 32.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 6.5 corners 28.4% 28.1% — — 3.55
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 corners 19.3% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 3.5 goals 96.7% 96.4% 83.9% 1.15× 1.04
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 2.5 goals 88.2% 87.3% 68.6% 1.27× 1.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 goals 69.5% 68.0% 79.6% 0.85× 1.47
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 goals 66.7% 67.9% 45.2% 1.50× 1.47
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 goals 33.3% 32.1% 54.8% 0.58× 3.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 goals 30.5% 32.0% 20.4% 1.57× 3.12
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 2.5 goals 11.8% 12.7% 31.4% 0.41× 7.85
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 3.5 goals 3.3% 3.6% 16.1% 0.23× 27.53
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 1.5 in 1st half 90.7% 94.6% — — 1.06
Feyenoord Rotterdam under 0.5 in 1st half 60.0% 63.8% — — 1.57
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 0.5 in 1st half 40.0% 36.2% — — 2.76
Feyenoord Rotterdam over 1.5 in 1st half 9.3% 5.4% — — 18.61
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores equally in both 42.0% 42.1% — — 2.38
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 2nd half 34.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Feyenoord Rotterdam scores more in 1st half 23.7% 21.1% — — 4.73
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale (home no bet) 72.9% 66.9% 68.4% 0.98× 1.49
Draw (home no bet) 27.1% 33.1% 31.6% 1.05× 3.02
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam even goals 54.7% 50.7% 53.3% 0.95× 1.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam odd goals 45.3% 49.3% 46.7% 1.06× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 27.4% 28.5% — — 3.52
HT 0-1 21.6% 24.3% — — 4.12
HT 1-0 14.1% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 1-1 10.9% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-2 8.4% 6.9% — — 14.45
Any other HT score 5.9% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 1-2 4.3% 2.4% — — 41.93
HT 2-0 3.6% 2.4% — — 41.97
HT 2-1 2.8% 2.4% — — 42.03
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale at HT / Internazionale at FT 32.6% 32.3% — — 3.09
Draw at HT / Internazionale at FT 19.3% 16.8% — — 5.95
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT 13.1% 12.6% — — 7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.4% 12.6% — — 7.92
Draw at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT 8.8% 6.1% — — 16.40
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.1% — — 16.50
Internazionale at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.81
Feyenoord Rotterdam at HT / Internazionale at FT 3.9% 3.5% — — 28.83
Internazionale at HT / Feyenoord Rotterdam at FT 1.6% 3.5% — — 28.91
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to score last 59.8% 56.5% — — 1.77
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score last 36.5% 38.7% — — 2.59
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% — — 23.09
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.3% 95.6% — — 1.05
Internazionale to lead by 1 at any time 70.2% 73.8% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 54.2% 50.8% — — 1.97
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 1 at any time 42.9% 39.3% — — 2.55
Internazionale to lead by 2 at any time 39.8% 34.8% — — 2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 22.8% 19.6% — — 5.11
Internazionale to lead by 3 at any time 18.6% 14.9% — — 6.71
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 2 at any time 14.8% 10.6% — — 9.47
Feyenoord Rotterdam to lead by 3 at any time 4.2% 1.6% — — 60.91
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam most corners 55.0% 51.7% — — 1.93
Internazionale most corners 34.5% 34.4% — — 2.91
Corners level 10.6% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.4% 81.4% 1.07× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.4% 78.7% 74.5% 1.06× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.5% 78.7% 67.3% 1.17× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.6% 72.3% 67.6% 1.07× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.6% 63.3% 53.6% 1.18× 1.58
1-3 goals 57.9% 59.1% 51.0% 1.16× 1.69
3-6 goals 56.6% 59.1% 58.7% 1.01× 1.69
3-5 goals 50.9% 53.2% 51.8% 1.03× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.1% 43.6% 37.2% 1.17× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.9% 39.2% 37.8% 1.04× 2.55
1-2 goals 35.6% 39.2% 29.8% 1.31× 2.55
4-6 goals 34.3% 35.2% 37.5% 0.94× 2.84
4-5 goals 28.5% 30.2% 30.6% 0.99× 3.31
5-6 goals 16.7% 18.8% 21.2% 0.89× 5.31
7+ goals 4.1% 2.6% 6.9% 0.37× 39.07
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale never behind 53.4% 62.4% — — 1.60
Feyenoord Rotterdam never behind 26.0% 29.9% — — 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 48.9% 50.9% 45.4% 1.12× 1.96
Odd number of goals 51.1% 49.1% 54.6% 0.90× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.6% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.4% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.8% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.2% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.3% 95.4% 94.9% 1.01× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 90.2% 92.3% 86.2% 1.07× 1.08
Over 1.5 goals 81.4% 82.3% 81.1% 1.01× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 79.2% 77.3% 72.2% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 61.7% 61.7% 55.9% 1.11× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 60.7% 61.7% 65.3% 0.95× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 39.3% 38.3% 34.7% 1.10× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 38.3% 38.3% 44.1% 0.87× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 20.8% 22.7% 27.8% 0.82× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 18.6% 17.7% 18.9% 0.94× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 9.8% 7.7% 13.8% 0.56× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 0.90× 21.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.7% 97.2% 92.6% 1.05× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 89.0% 86.7% 84.0% 1.03× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 76.6% 75.9% 77.6% 0.98× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 74.8% 72.4% 66.8% 1.08× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 50.6% 51.9% 44.0% 1.18× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.4% 48.1% 56.0% 0.86× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 25.2% 27.6% 33.2% 0.83× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 23.4% 24.1% 22.4% 1.07× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.0% 13.3% 16.0% 0.83× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.3% 2.8% 7.4% 0.38× 35.54
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.9% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 72.6% 71.4% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 63.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 36.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 27.4% 28.6% — — 3.50
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.1% 11.0% — — 9.06
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.4% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.8% 77.5% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 54.9% 53.4% — — 1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 45.1% 46.6% — — 2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.2% 22.5% — — 4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.6% 17.0% — — 5.88
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to score in both halves 80.3% 84.1% — — 1.19
Internazionale not to score in both halves 62.7% 63.2% — — 1.58
Internazionale to score in both halves 37.3% 36.8% — — 2.72
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score in both halves 19.7% 15.9% — — 6.29
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 59.0% 58.7% 55.4% 1.06× 1.70
Only Internazionale scores 26.8% 26.0% 15.6% 1.67× 3.84
Only Feyenoord Rotterdam scores 10.5% 11.0% 24.5% 0.45× 9.07
Neither team scores 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 0.91× 21.63
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 21.4% 1.05× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 20.8% 22.6% 16.1% 1.40× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.5% 17.5% 16.6% 1.05× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.8% 12.1% 14.0% 0.86× 8.24
Exactly 5 goals 11.0% 12.1% 14.3% 0.85× 8.25
6 or more goals 9.8% 7.6% 13.8% 0.55× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 0.88× 22.36
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.7% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 27.4% 28.5% — — 3.51
2 goals in 1st half 22.8% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 14.1% 10.9% — — 9.15
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 54.9% 51.6% — — 1.94
1 goal in 2nd half 29.6% 29.5% — — 3.39
No goals in 2nd half 15.6% 16.6% — — 6.02
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win both halves 95.3% 97.2% — — 1.03
Internazionale not to win both halves 81.6% 83.7% — — 1.19
Internazionale to win both halves 18.4% 16.3% — — 6.15
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win both halves 4.7% 2.8% — — 35.10
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale to win either half 68.1% 67.8% — — 1.48
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win neither half 61.1% 64.9% — — 1.54
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win either half 38.9% 35.1% — — 2.85
Internazionale to win neither half 31.9% 32.2% — — 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Feyenoord Rotterdam not to win to nil 89.5% 88.1% 75.5% 1.17× 1.14
Internazionale not to win to nil 73.2% 75.4% 84.4% 0.89× 1.33
Internazionale to win to nil 26.8% 24.7% 15.6% 1.58× 4.06
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win to nil 10.5% 11.9% 24.5% 0.48× 8.43
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Internazionale by 1 23.5% 24.1% 16.8% 1.43× 4.15
Draw 20.7% 24.1% 15.6% 1.55× 4.15
Internazionale by 2 16.8% 17.0% 7.9% 2.16× 5.87
Internazionale by 3+ 15.5% 17.0% 9.4% 1.81× 5.87
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 1 14.5% 11.8% 19.6% 0.60× 8.51
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 2 6.2% 7.2% 13.5% 0.53× 13.91
Feyenoord Rotterdam by 3+ 2.8% 2.7% 18.4% 0.15× 36.84
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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