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Fiorentina v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–0
0.41 – 1.00 xG
Shots
8 – 8
On target
3 – 1
Shots in box
4 – 7
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.08 – 0.11
Goals − xG
+0.59 – -1.04
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.30.60.91.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Danilo Cataldi 23' — goal
Fiorentina 0.41 xGCagliari 1.04 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Dodô 2' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Riccardo Sottil 5' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dodô 7' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Antoine Makoumbou 10' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 10' — Saved Shot (0.62 xG, Open Play)Adam Obert 11' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Danilo Cataldi 23' — Goal (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yacine Adli 23' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sebastiano Luperto 30' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Lucas Beltrán 31' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Yacine Adli 36' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Jonathan Ikone 46' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 61' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Zito 62' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Gaetano 72' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ndary Adopo 75' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)
Fiorentina attacking right Cagliari attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Fiorentina Dodô 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
5' Fiorentina Riccardo Sottil 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lucas Beltrán
7' Fiorentina Dodô 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
10' Cagliari Antoine Makoumbou 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
10' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.62 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nadir Zortea
11' Cagliari Adam Obert 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Nicolas Viola
23' Fiorentina Danilo Cataldi 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Goal Lucas Beltrán
23' Fiorentina Yacine Adli 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Danilo Cataldi
30' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Razvan Marin
31' Fiorentina Lucas Beltrán 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Riccardo Sottil
36' Fiorentina Yacine Adli 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
46' Fiorentina Jonathan Ikone 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lucas Beltrán
61' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
62' Cagliari Zito 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yerry Mina
72' Cagliari Gianluca Gaetano 0.10 Open Play Missed Shot Tommaso Augello
75' Cagliari Ndary Adopo 0.05 Set Piece Missed Shot Gianluca Gaetano

Players

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dodô DR 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.22
Danilo Cataldi DMC 90 1 0 1 1 0.05 0.05 0.11
Robin Gosens DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Pietro Comuzzo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Luca Ranieri DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
David de Gea GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Lucas Beltrán AMC 84 0 1 1 3 0.08 0.15 0.27
Yacine Adli DMC 68 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.15
Riccardo Sottil AML 68 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.08 0.22
Jonathan Ikone AMR 57 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Christian Kouamé FW 57 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moise Kean Sub 33 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andrea Colpani Sub 33 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Amir Richardson Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Albert Gudmundsson Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fabiano Parisi Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Roberto Piccoli FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.70 0.00 0.70
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.17
Yerry Mina DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.69
Tommaso Augello AML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.17
Gabriele Zappa DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alen Sherri GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antoine Makoumbou DMC 84 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.75
Nadir Zortea AMR 74 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.62 0.62
Razvan Marin DMC 73 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.07
Adam Obert DL 58 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Nicolas Viola AMC 47 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.00
Gianluca Gaetano Sub 43 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.05 0.17
Zito Sub 32 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Ndary Adopo Sub 17 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Mattia Felici Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Leonardo Pavoletti Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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