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Fiorentina v Frosinone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 29 August 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG

Fiorentina
0–3
1.82 – 1.95 xG
Frosinone
Shots
25 – 12
On target
4 – 6
Shots in box
14 – 10
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.18 – 0.40
Goals − xG
-1.82 – +1.05
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.11.62.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Antonio Raimondo 25' — goalGabriele Bracaglia 37' — goalAntonio Raimondo 67' — goal
Fiorentina 1.82 xGFrosinone 1.95 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Giorgi Kvernadze 3' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Cher Ndour 8' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Bracaglia 10' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Albert Gudmundsson 12' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Franco Mastantuono 15' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Franco Mastantuono 16' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Albert Gudmundsson 19' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Arthur Atta 19' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Seydou Fini 24' — Blocked Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Antonio Raimondo 25' — Goal (0.60 xG, Open Play)Arthur Atta 32' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mateo Pellegrino 33' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Franco Mastantuono 34' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mateo Pellegrino 34' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Valde 35' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Albert Gudmundsson 36' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Franco Mastantuono 36' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Bracaglia 37' — Goal (0.19 xG, From Corner)Albert Gudmundsson 39' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Anthony Oyono 45' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ilario Monterisi 46' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Arthur Atta 50' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Arthur Atta 50' — Missed Shot (0.60 xG, Open Play)Cher Ndour 51' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Anthony Oyono 53' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Alejandro Jiménez 55' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Franco Mastantuono 56' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Franco Mastantuono 62' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Nicolo Fagioli 64' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ilario Monterisi 64' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Antonio Raimondo 67' — Goal (0.31 xG, Open Play)Arthur Atta 80' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Giorgio Cittadini 81' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Mateo Pellegrino 82' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Giorgi Kvernadze 86' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Franco Mastantuono 88' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Rolando Mandragora 93' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Direct Freekick)
Fiorentina attacking right Frosinone attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gabriele Bracaglia
8' Fiorentina Cher Ndour 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mateo Pellegrino
10' Frosinone Gabriele Bracaglia 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Antonio Raimondo
12' Fiorentina Albert Gudmundsson 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mateo Pellegrino
15' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
16' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Albert Gudmundsson
19' Fiorentina Albert Gudmundsson 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Franco Mastantuono
19' Fiorentina Arthur Atta 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
24' Frosinone Seydou Fini 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Antonio Raimondo
25' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.60 Open Play Left Foot Goal Giorgi Kvernadze
32' Fiorentina Arthur Atta 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alejandro Jiménez
33' Fiorentina Mateo Pellegrino 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Albert Gudmundsson
34' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Christ Inao Oulaï
34' Fiorentina Mateo Pellegrino 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Albert Gudmundsson
35' Fiorentina Valde 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Cher Ndour
36' Fiorentina Albert Gudmundsson 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mateo Pellegrino
36' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
37' Frosinone Gabriele Bracaglia 0.19 From Corner — Goal Giacomo Calo
39' Fiorentina Albert Gudmundsson 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
45' Frosinone Anthony Oyono 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Giorgi Kvernadze
46' Frosinone Ilario Monterisi 0.07 From Corner — Missed Shot Giacomo Calo
50' Fiorentina Arthur Atta 0.06 From Corner — Missed Shot Valde
50' Fiorentina Arthur Atta 0.60 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Albert Gudmundsson
51' Fiorentina Cher Ndour 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Christ Inao Oulaï
53' Frosinone Anthony Oyono 0.01 From Corner — Blocked Shot Giacomo Calo
55' Fiorentina Alejandro Jiménez 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Christ Inao Oulaï
56' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Albert Gudmundsson
62' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Valde
64' Fiorentina Nicolo Fagioli 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Franco Mastantuono
64' Frosinone Ilario Monterisi 0.08 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot Giacomo Calo
67' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Goal Gabriele Bracaglia
80' Fiorentina Arthur Atta 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alejandro Jiménez
81' Frosinone Giorgio Cittadini 0.04 From Corner — Missed Shot Giacomo Calo
82' Fiorentina Mateo Pellegrino 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
86' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Aleksa Terzic
88' Fiorentina Franco Mastantuono 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Nicolo Fagioli
93' Fiorentina Rolando Mandragora 0.02 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot —

Players

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Arthur Atta MC 90 0 0 5 0 0.71 0.00 0.99
Franco Mastantuono FWR 90 0 0 7 2 0.34 0.08 0.63
Mateo Pellegrino FW 90 0 0 3 3 0.29 0.20 0.61
Valde DL 90 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.16 0.36
Radu Dragusin DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
David de Gea GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Alejandro Jiménez DR 87 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.03 0.28
Albert Gudmundsson FWL 74 0 0 4 5 0.25 0.88 1.13
Christ Inao Oulaï MC 74 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.11 0.21
Cher Ndour MC 64 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.07 0.21
Marin Pongracic DC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Nicolo Fagioli Sub 26 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.15
Viery Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Rolando Mandragora Sub 16 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Marco Brescianini Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
João Mário Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Frosinone

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Antonio Raimondo FW 90 2 0 2 2 0.91 0.39 1.30
Giorgi Kvernadze AML 90 0 1 2 2 0.18 0.67 0.85
Ilario Monterisi DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.16 0.00 0.04
Anthony Oyono DR 90 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.14
Patrizio Masini DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.66
Romano Schmid AMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.70
Lorenzo Palmisani GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Giacomo Calo DMC 85 0 1 0 5 0.00 0.40 0.66
Gabriele Bracaglia DL 77 1 1 2 2 0.25 0.35 1.01
Gabriele Calvani DC 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Seydou Fini AMR 49 0 0 1 0 0.32 0.00 0.39
Alessio Zerbin Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Giorgio Cittadini Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Aleksa Terzic Sub 13 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.14
Florian Grillitsch Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Daniel Bîrligea Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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