Fluminense FC v Cruzeiro — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Fluminense FC

20:00 UTC

Cruzeiro

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 825h before kick-off

Fluminense FC win

47.1%

model 48.0%

Draw

26.5%

model 26.8%

Cruzeiro win

26.4%

model 25.2%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 9.4%
2-0 8.5%
0-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.7%	Under 2.5	48.3%
BTTS yes	55.1%	BTTS no	44.9%
Fluminense FC 1+	80.3%	Fluminense FC 2+	48.2%
Cruzeiro 1+	67.3%	Cruzeiro 2+	30.8%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.12. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 48%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fluminense FC over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 80%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Fluminense FC have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.4% for Cruzeiro. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Fluminense FC and 1.12 for Cruzeiro.

Why Fluminense FC

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Cruzeiro can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cruzeiro.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Fluminense FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cruzeiro, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fluminense FC: 60% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cruzeiro: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Fluminense FC are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482725	1.62–1.12	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482725	1.60–1.09	1-1 13%	50%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to win	48.0%	47.4%	48.9%	0.97×	2.11
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.58
Cruzeiro to win	24.9%	24.5%	24.0%	1.02×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC & not both score	25.7%	25.2%	28.1%	0.90×	3.98
Fluminense FC & both teams score	22.3%	21.8%	21.0%	1.04×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	18.0%	20.8%	0.86×	5.56
Cruzeiro & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	10.3%	1.29×	7.54
Cruzeiro & not both score	12.4%	13.3%	13.8%	0.96×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.9%	8.3%	6.7%	1.25×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC & over 1.5	38.2%	34.9%	36.7%	0.95×	2.87
Fluminense FC & under 3.5	32.5%	30.7%	36.8%	0.84×	3.25
Fluminense FC & over 2.5	29.6%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.8%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	20.8%	0.87×	5.56
Cruzeiro & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Fluminense FC & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
Cruzeiro & under 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Fluminense FC & over 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	12.2%	1.47×	5.56
Cruzeiro & over 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.79
Cruzeiro & under 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	11.0%	1.17×	7.79
Fluminense FC & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	12.4%	0.64×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	6.7%	1.19×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Cruzeiro & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.63
Cruzeiro & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.6%	1.43×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (1UP)	63.1%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Cruzeiro (1UP)	42.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (2UP)	48.0%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Cruzeiro (2UP)	24.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to win 2nd half	39.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
2nd half drawn	36.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Cruzeiro to win 2nd half	24.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.0%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Cruzeiro under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Cruzeiro over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Cruzeiro over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.0%	13.3%	—	—	7.54

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.9%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Fluminense FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.8%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Fluminense FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Fluminense FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (+2.5)	89.4%	88.5%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Fluminense FC (+0.5)	75.1%	78.5%	76.0%	1.03×	1.27
Cruzeiro (+1.5)	74.4%	73.7%	76.8%	0.96×	1.36
Cruzeiro (+0.5)	52.0%	52.4%	51.1%	1.03×	1.91
Fluminense FC (-0.5)	48.0%	47.6%	48.9%	0.97×	2.10
Fluminense FC (-1.5)	25.6%	26.3%	23.2%	1.14×	3.80
Cruzeiro (-0.5)	24.9%	21.5%	24.0%	0.90×	4.64
Fluminense FC (-2.5)	10.6%	11.5%	9.2%	1.25×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro to concede	79.7%	78.8%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
Cruzeiro clean sheet	20.3%	21.2%	20.3%	1.04×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro clean sheet in 1st half	50.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Cruzeiro to concede in 1st half	49.7%	49.5%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro to concede in 2nd half	59.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Cruzeiro clean sheet in 2nd half	40.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro under 6.5 corners	80.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cruzeiro over 2.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cruzeiro under 5.5 corners	70.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cruzeiro under 4.5 corners	57.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cruzeiro over 3.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Cruzeiro under 3.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Cruzeiro over 4.5 corners	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Cruzeiro over 5.5 corners	29.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cruzeiro under 2.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cruzeiro over 6.5 corners	19.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.5%	97.9%	1.00×	1.03
Cruzeiro under 2.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	90.8%	1.02×	1.08
Cruzeiro under 1.5 goals	70.2%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Cruzeiro over 0.5 goals	66.4%	68.0%	65.4%	1.04×	1.47
Cruzeiro under 0.5 goals	33.6%	32.0%	34.6%	0.92×	3.13
Cruzeiro over 1.5 goals	29.8%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Cruzeiro over 2.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	9.2%	0.83×	13.04
Cruzeiro over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.5%	2.1%	1.21×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	93.8%	—	—	1.07
Cruzeiro under 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Cruzeiro over 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cruzeiro over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	6.2%	—	—	16.16

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro scores equally in both	43.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Cruzeiro scores more in 2nd half	35.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Cruzeiro scores more in 1st half	20.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (away no bet)	63.9%	62.0%	64.2%	0.97×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.1%	38.0%	35.8%	1.06×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro even goals	55.6%	56.9%	54.9%	1.04×	1.76
Cruzeiro odd goals	44.4%	43.1%	45.1%	0.96×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Fluminense FC to score 2+ in a row	39.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Cruzeiro to score 2+ in a row	21.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Fluminense FC to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Cruzeiro to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.24

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC corners (+3.5)	86.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fluminense FC corners (+2.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cruzeiro corners (+3.5)	74.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Fluminense FC corners (+1.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cruzeiro corners (+2.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cruzeiro corners (+1.5)	56.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fluminense FC corners (-1.5)	43.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Fluminense FC corners (-2.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cruzeiro corners (-1.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fluminense FC corners (-3.5)	25.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Cruzeiro corners (-2.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Cruzeiro corners (-3.5)	13.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	69.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	67.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	61.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 8.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	38.5%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	13.7%	0.84×	8.71
1-0	9.8%	7.4%	12.4%	0.60×	13.51
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
0-0	7.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.51
1-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.51
0-1	6.3%	7.4%	7.0%	1.06×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
3-1	5.0%	7.4%	4.0%	1.87×	13.51
0-2	4.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
3-0	4.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.29
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.30
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
4-0	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.31
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.80×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	10.80×	58.32
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (2nd half DNB)	61.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Cruzeiro (2nd half DNB)	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC leading at HT (DNB)	64.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Cruzeiro leading at HT (DNB)	35.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw (1X)	75.1%	75.5%	76.0%	0.99×	1.32
Fluminense FC or Cruzeiro (12)	72.9%	72.1%	72.7%	0.99×	1.39
Cruzeiro or draw (X2)	52.0%	52.6%	51.1%	1.03×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw at HT	79.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Cruzeiro or draw at HT	63.6%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Fluminense FC or Cruzeiro at HT	56.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw (1UP)	75.1%	83.6%	—	—	1.20
Cruzeiro or draw (1UP)	52.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC or draw in 2nd half	75.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Fluminense FC or Cruzeiro in 2nd half	63.9%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Cruzeiro or draw in 2nd half	60.7%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (DNB)	65.8%	67.3%	67.1%	1.00×	1.49
Cruzeiro (DNB)	34.2%	32.7%	32.9%	0.99×	3.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score first	54.7%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Cruzeiro to score first	37.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	7.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.1%	51.3%	51.7%	0.99×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.9%	48.7%	48.3%	1.01×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.1%	41.6%	38.3%	1.09×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	36.7%	38.4%	38.9%	0.99×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	13.7%	0.91×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	87.1%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	12.9%	1.12×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.0%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.2%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	46.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.7%	47.2%	49.7%	0.95×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.3%	26.6%	24.3%	1.10×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.0%	22.9%	25.7%	0.89×	4.36
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	0.6%	2.90×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	37.5%	0.96×	2.78
Cruzeiro to score exactly 0	33.6%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Cruzeiro to score exactly 2	20.0%	22.3%	19.0%	1.17×	4.49
Cruzeiro to score 3+	9.8%	8.6%	9.2%	0.93×	11.67

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score exactly 1	32.3%	32.6%	34.3%	0.95×	3.07
Fluminense FC to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	27.1%	0.98×	3.77
Fluminense FC to score 3+	21.6%	23.3%	18.6%	1.26×	4.29
Fluminense FC to score exactly 0	20.3%	23.3%	20.3%	1.15×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Fluminense FC leading at HT	36.4%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Cruzeiro leading at HT	20.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC -1: 2	52.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Fluminense FC -1: 1	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Fluminense FC -1: X	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:1)	52.0%	51.3%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Fluminense FC (0:1)	25.6%	27.0%	23.2%	1.17×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.2%	25.9%	0.94×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:2)	74.4%	75.7%	76.8%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.9%	11.0%	14.1%	0.78×	9.09
Fluminense FC (0:2)	10.6%	11.0%	9.2%	1.19×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:3)	89.4%	90.7%	90.8%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.0%	5.8%	6.7%	0.87×	17.23
Fluminense FC (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	2.7%	0.88×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro (0:4)	96.4%	98.1%	97.3%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	81.88
Fluminense FC (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.06

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (1:0)	75.1%	78.5%	76.0%	1.03×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.0%	12.7%	14.6%	0.87×	7.86
Cruzeiro (1:0)	9.9%	6.9%	9.5%	0.73×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC (2:0)	90.1%	93.9%	90.5%	1.04×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	7.0%	6.4%	6.2%	1.03×	15.67
Cruzeiro (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	3.5%	0.66×	43.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to concede	66.4%	66.7%	65.4%	1.02×	1.50
Fluminense FC clean sheet	33.6%	33.3%	34.6%	0.96×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC clean sheet in 1st half	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Fluminense FC to concede in 1st half	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC clean sheet in 2nd half	51.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Fluminense FC to concede in 2nd half	48.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC over 2.5 corners	81.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Fluminense FC under 6.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fluminense FC over 3.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fluminense FC under 5.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Fluminense FC over 4.5 corners	55.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Fluminense FC under 4.5 corners	45.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Fluminense FC over 5.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Fluminense FC under 3.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Fluminense FC over 6.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Fluminense FC under 2.5 corners	18.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.2%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Fluminense FC over 0.5 goals	79.7%	77.8%	79.7%	0.98×	1.29
Fluminense FC under 2.5 goals	78.4%	77.8%	81.4%	0.95×	1.29
Fluminense FC under 1.5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	54.4%	0.98×	1.88
Fluminense FC over 1.5 goals	47.4%	46.8%	45.6%	1.03×	2.14
Fluminense FC over 2.5 goals	21.6%	22.2%	18.6%	1.20×	4.50
Fluminense FC under 0.5 goals	20.3%	22.2%	20.3%	1.09×	4.50
Fluminense FC over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.8%	5.7%	1.36×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC under 1.5 in 1st half	84.9%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Fluminense FC under 0.5 in 1st half	50.3%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Fluminense FC over 0.5 in 1st half	49.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Fluminense FC over 1.5 in 1st half	15.1%	16.1%	—	—	6.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC scores more in 2nd half	38.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Fluminense FC scores equally in both	35.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Fluminense FC scores more in 1st half	26.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.1%	51.4%	53.3%	0.97×	1.95
Cruzeiro (home no bet)	47.9%	48.6%	46.7%	1.04×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC even goals	52.1%	50.7%	51.6%	0.98×	1.97
Fluminense FC odd goals	47.9%	49.3%	48.4%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	22.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.42
HT 2-0	7.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.4%	—	—	41.93
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	41.99
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	29.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Cruzeiro at HT / Cruzeiro at FT	12.9%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Cruzeiro at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Fluminense FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Cruzeiro at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Cruzeiro at HT / Fluminense FC at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Fluminense FC at HT / Cruzeiro at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to score last	54.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Cruzeiro to score last	37.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	7.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Fluminense FC to lead by 1 at any time	63.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Cruzeiro to lead by 1 at any time	42.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Fluminense FC to lead by 2 at any time	31.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Cruzeiro to lead by 2 at any time	14.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Fluminense FC to lead by 3 at any time	12.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Cruzeiro to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC most corners	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Cruzeiro most corners	36.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	88.7%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.6%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.0%	72.4%	73.8%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.4%	72.3%	69.7%	1.04×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.8%	63.3%	68.7%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.5%	63.3%	62.7%	1.01×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.4%	48.5%	47.1%	1.03×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.7%	48.5%	49.7%	0.98×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.8%	43.6%	43.0%	1.01×	2.29
1-2 goals	41.8%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.8%	39.2%	36.0%	1.09×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.3%	30.2%	24.3%	1.24×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.8%	24.5%	20.2%	1.21×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.5%	14.8%	11.3%	1.31×	6.76
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	0.6%	4.02×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC never behind	49.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Cruzeiro never behind	29.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.9%	49.2%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.1%	50.8%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	88.3%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.0%	77.3%	74.3%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.7%	72.5%	75.2%	0.96×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.4%	52.5%	47.6%	1.10×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	49.6%	47.5%	52.4%	0.91×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.3%	27.5%	24.8%	1.11×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.0%	22.7%	25.7%	0.88×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	11.7%	1.06×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	4.8%	1.62×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	99.3%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.9%	92.4%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.1%	81.1%	86.5%	0.94×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.7%	67.5%	64.9%	1.04×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.7%	61.9%	67.9%	0.91×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.3%	38.1%	32.1%	1.19×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.3%	32.5%	35.1%	0.93×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.9%	18.9%	13.5%	1.40×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.1%	7.6%	5.1%	1.48×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	0.7%	4.24×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.6%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro not to score in both halves	83.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Fluminense FC not to score in both halves	70.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Fluminense FC to score in both halves	29.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Cruzeiro to score in both halves	17.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.1%	53.9%	51.7%	1.04×	1.86
Only Fluminense FC scores	25.7%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.85
Only Cruzeiro scores	12.4%	11.0%	13.8%	0.80×	9.06
Neither team scores	7.9%	7.1%	6.7%	1.07×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.9%	26.8%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.1%	17.5%	19.2%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.8%	12.1%	13.2%	0.92×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	7.9%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	8.0%	7.6%	7.1%	1.07×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.6%	7.6%	4.8%	1.60×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	32.7%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.7%	21.4%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	10.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	21.3%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro not to win both halves	94.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Fluminense FC not to win both halves	85.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Fluminense FC to win both halves	14.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Cruzeiro to win both halves	5.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.23

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fluminense FC to win either half	61.2%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Cruzeiro to win neither half	60.3%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Cruzeiro to win either half	39.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.85
Fluminense FC to win neither half	38.8%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cruzeiro not to win to nil	87.6%	88.1%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Fluminense FC not to win to nil	74.3%	75.4%	71.9%	1.05×	1.33
Fluminense FC to win to nil	25.7%	24.6%	28.1%	0.88×	4.06
Cruzeiro to win to nil	12.4%	11.9%	13.8%	0.86×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.59
Fluminense FC by 1	22.4%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.15
Cruzeiro by 1	15.0%	11.8%	14.6%	0.81×	8.51
Fluminense FC by 2	14.9%	11.8%	14.1%	0.83×	8.51
Fluminense FC by 3+	10.6%	11.7%	9.2%	1.28×	8.51
Cruzeiro by 2	7.0%	7.2%	6.2%	1.16×	13.91
Cruzeiro by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	3.5%	0.78×	36.84