Folgore v San Marino Academy — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · SMR-Campionato · 2627

SMR-Campionato results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Folgore

13:00 UTC

San Marino Academy

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 10 Sep, 11:32 · 217h before kick-off

Folgore win

73.7%

model 71.6%

Draw

18.1%

model 18.9%

San Marino Academy win

8.2%

model 9.5%

74188

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (960 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.7%
2-1 9.4%
3-0 9.4%
1-1 9.0%
1-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.2%	Under 2.5	37.8%
BTTS yes	51.5%	BTTS no	48.5%
Folgore 1+	91.0%	Folgore 2+	69.2%
San Marino Academy 1+	55.3%	San Marino Academy 2+	19.3%

Expected goals 2.40 – 0.81. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Folgore (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 22%

51.8% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 11499 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 88%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Folgore have only 1 matches on record.
San Marino Academy have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Folgore have an estimated 73.7% win probability, against 18.1% for the draw and 8.2% for San Marino Academy. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.40 for Folgore and 0.81 for San Marino Academy.

Why Folgore

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.1%.

Why San Marino Academy can win

Away from home San Marino Academy average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Folgore, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for San Marino Academy, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Folgore: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. San Marino Academy: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Folgore are the model's most likely outcome at 73.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	721910	2.40–0.81	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	76167	2.61–0.75	2-0 12%	65%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to win	76.3%	77.7%	44.4%	1.75×	1.29
Draw	16.4%	19.4%	25.0%	0.78×	5.16
San Marino Academy to win	7.3%	8.6%	30.6%	0.28×	11.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore & not both score	43.0%	39.0%	24.4%	1.60×	2.56
Folgore & both teams score	33.3%	29.3%	20.1%	1.46×	3.41
Draw & both teams score	11.9%	13.2%	17.7%	0.75×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	7.3%	0.68×	20.26
San Marino Academy & both teams score	4.5%	4.9%	14.6%	0.34×	20.26
San Marino Academy & not both score	2.8%	4.9%	16.0%	0.31×	20.31

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore & over 1.5	68.2%	66.6%	34.1%	1.95×	1.50
Folgore & over 2.5	56.3%	54.4%	26.9%	2.02×	1.84
Folgore & under 3.5	39.2%	34.7%	30.3%	1.14×	2.89
Folgore & over 3.5	37.1%	34.6%	14.2%	2.45×	2.89
Folgore & under 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	17.5%	1.02×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	12.3%	12.9%	18.8%	0.69×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	12.3%	12.9%	18.8%	0.69×	7.78
Draw & over 1.5	11.9%	12.9%	17.7%	0.73×	7.78
Folgore & under 1.5	8.1%	8.0%	10.4%	0.77×	12.56
San Marino Academy & over 1.5	5.7%	8.0%	23.1%	0.35×	12.57
San Marino Academy & under 3.5	5.3%	8.0%	21.6%	0.37×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.9%	7.3%	0.67×	20.52
San Marino Academy & over 2.5	4.8%	4.9%	18.4%	0.27×	20.52
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.53
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.53
San Marino Academy & under 2.5	2.5%	4.9%	12.2%	0.40×	20.53
San Marino Academy & under 1.5	1.6%	4.9%	7.5%	0.65×	20.54
San Marino Academy & over 3.5	2.0%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.54

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (1UP)	84.6%	87.5%	59.8%	1.46×	1.14
San Marino Academy (1UP)	23.8%	23.3%	50.4%	0.46×	4.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (2UP)	76.3%	76.0%	45.2%	1.68×	1.32
San Marino Academy (2UP)	7.3%	8.5%	34.2%	0.25×	11.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to win 2nd half	62.9%	59.4%	37.7%	1.58×	1.68
2nd half drawn	26.5%	26.4%	32.7%	0.81×	3.79
San Marino Academy to win 2nd half	10.6%	12.0%	29.7%	0.40×	8.36

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.5%	92.1%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
San Marino Academy under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.0%	59.1%	46.6%	1.27×	1.69
San Marino Academy over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.0%	40.9%	53.4%	0.77×	2.45
San Marino Academy over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.5%	7.9%	17.7%	0.45×	12.69

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	75.7%	58.7%	1.29×	1.32
Folgore under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	58.8%	77.4%	0.76×	1.70
Folgore over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	41.2%	22.6%	1.82×	2.43
Folgore under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	24.3%	41.4%	0.59×	4.12

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (+0.5)	92.7%	92.1%	69.4%	1.33×	1.09
Folgore (-0.5)	76.3%	78.3%	44.4%	1.76×	1.28
San Marino Academy (+2.5)	65.8%	68.7%	90.1%	0.76×	1.46
Folgore (-1.5)	55.9%	56.9%	22.3%	2.56×	1.76
San Marino Academy (+1.5)	44.1%	43.1%	77.7%	0.55×	2.32
Folgore (-2.5)	34.2%	31.3%	9.9%	3.15×	3.20
San Marino Academy (+0.5)	23.7%	21.7%	55.6%	0.39×	4.61
San Marino Academy (-0.5)	7.3%	7.9%	30.6%	0.26×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy to concede	92.7%	91.1%	76.7%	1.19×	1.10
San Marino Academy clean sheet	7.3%	8.9%	23.3%	0.38×	11.21

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy to concede in 1st half	67.5%	69.4%	48.2%	1.44×	1.44
San Marino Academy clean sheet in 1st half	32.5%	30.6%	51.8%	0.59×	3.27

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy to concede in 2nd half	77.4%	75.1%	58.7%	1.28×	1.33
San Marino Academy clean sheet in 2nd half	22.6%	24.9%	41.4%	0.60×	4.02

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
San Marino Academy under 2.5 goals	96.0%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
San Marino Academy under 1.5 goals	82.8%	81.2%	66.3%	1.23×	1.23
San Marino Academy over 0.5 goals	52.5%	53.6%	68.3%	0.79×	1.86
San Marino Academy under 0.5 goals	47.5%	46.4%	31.7%	1.46×	2.16
San Marino Academy over 1.5 goals	17.2%	18.8%	33.7%	0.56×	5.33
San Marino Academy over 2.5 goals	4.0%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.74
San Marino Academy over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	95.8%	89.4%	1.07×	1.04
San Marino Academy under 0.5 in 1st half	74.2%	68.8%	59.0%	1.17×	1.45
San Marino Academy over 0.5 in 1st half	25.8%	31.2%	41.0%	0.76×	3.21
San Marino Academy over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	4.2%	10.6%	0.40×	23.56

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy scores equally in both	54.0%	50.5%	40.6%	1.24×	1.98
San Marino Academy scores more in 2nd half	28.4%	26.2%	36.5%	0.72×	3.82
San Marino Academy scores more in 1st half	17.5%	17.9%	22.9%	0.78×	5.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (away no bet)	82.3%	82.5%	64.0%	1.29×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	17.7%	17.5%	36.0%	0.49×	5.73

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy even goals	61.3%	58.4%	55.7%	1.05×	1.71
San Marino Academy odd goals	38.7%	41.6%	44.3%	0.94×	2.41

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.1%	81.9%	82.7%	0.99×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.9%	18.1%	17.3%	1.04×	5.53

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.7%	72.5%	66.2%	1.10×	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.3%	27.5%	33.8%	0.81×	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.7%	72.0%	58.6%	1.23×	1.39
Folgore to score 2+ in a row	67.7%	62.2%	36.9%	1.69×	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.7%	38.2%	22.9%	1.67×	2.62
Folgore to score 3+ in a row	39.5%	36.6%	14.2%	2.58×	2.73
San Marino Academy to score 2+ in a row	10.0%	5.7%	28.6%	0.20×	17.53
San Marino Academy to score 3+ in a row	1.5%	2.5%	9.1%	0.28×	39.74

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	12.4%	11.4%	4.1%	2.79×	8.80
2-0	11.9%	11.4%	7.2%	1.58×	8.80
3-0	10.4%	11.4%	3.9%	2.90×	8.81
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.53
1-0	8.1%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.54
1-1	7.8%	7.4%	11.5%	0.64×	13.54
3-1	7.7%	7.4%	4.2%	1.77×	13.54
4-0	6.8%	7.4%	1.8%	4.21×	13.54
4-1	5.0%	7.4%	1.7%	4.44×	13.54
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	57.56
0-1	1.6%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	57.57
0-2	1.0%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.57
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.58
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.96×	57.58
1-2	2.5%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.57
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.58
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	57.58
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.56
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.85×	57.58
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.93×	57.58
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.57
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.58
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.71×	57.58
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.57
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.68×	57.58
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	16.38×	57.58

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (2nd half DNB)	85.6%	86.2%	55.9%	1.54×	1.16
San Marino Academy (2nd half DNB)	14.4%	13.8%	44.1%	0.31×	7.27

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore leading at HT (DNB)	85.6%	85.6%	56.7%	1.51×	1.17
San Marino Academy leading at HT (DNB)	14.4%	14.4%	43.3%	0.33×	6.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore or draw (1X)	92.7%	91.4%	69.4%	1.32×	1.09
Folgore or San Marino Academy (12)	83.6%	80.6%	75.0%	1.07×	1.24
San Marino Academy or draw (X2)	23.7%	22.3%	55.6%	0.40×	4.49

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore or draw at HT	90.4%	89.5%	74.1%	1.21×	1.12
Folgore or San Marino Academy at HT	66.7%	66.3%	59.7%	1.11×	1.51
San Marino Academy or draw at HT	42.9%	42.8%	66.2%	0.65×	2.34

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore or draw (1UP)	92.7%	93.6%	74.2%	1.26×	1.07
San Marino Academy or draw (1UP)	23.8%	24.7%	63.9%	0.39×	4.04

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore or draw in 2nd half	89.4%	88.0%	70.3%	1.25×	1.14
Folgore or San Marino Academy in 2nd half	73.5%	73.6%	67.3%	1.09×	1.36
San Marino Academy or draw in 2nd half	37.1%	40.6%	62.3%	0.65×	2.46

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.7%	50.3%	58.9%	0.85×	1.99
Neither half drawn	50.3%	49.7%	41.1%	1.21×	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (DNB)	91.3%	92.7%	59.2%	1.56×	1.08
San Marino Academy (DNB)	8.7%	7.3%	40.8%	0.18×	13.66

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to score first	74.3%	75.4%	51.2%	1.47×	1.33
San Marino Academy to score first	21.2%	22.5%	42.9%	0.52×	4.44
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	5.9%	0.73×	23.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.3%	51.6%	47.6%	1.08×	1.94
Both teams to score	49.7%	48.4%	52.4%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.9%	41.7%	40.9%	1.02×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	27.0%	33.4%	37.1%	0.90×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	23.3%	28.4%	10.6%	2.69×	3.52
Both score & under 2.5	7.8%	8.4%	11.5%	0.73×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.4%	85.4%	86.0%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.6%	14.6%	14.0%	1.04×	6.85

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.7%	74.0%	70.2%	1.05×	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.3%	26.0%	29.8%	0.87×	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.0%	59.4%	57.8%	1.03×	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.4%	20.9%	23.8%	0.88×	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.7%	12.5%	0.86×	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.1%	6.0%	0.84×	19.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.4%	82.4%	81.5%	1.01×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.6%	17.6%	18.5%	0.95×	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.4%	66.6%	58.9%	1.13×	1.50
A half without a goal	34.6%	33.4%	41.1%	0.81×	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.7%	41.9%	45.4%	0.92×	2.39
4-6 goals	37.8%	35.0%	27.0%	1.30×	2.86
0-1 goals	14.2%	17.2%	25.2%	0.68×	5.82
7+ goals	5.4%	7.6%	2.4%	3.14×	13.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy to score exactly 0	47.5%	42.1%	31.7%	1.33×	2.37
San Marino Academy to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.8%	34.6%	1.03×	2.80
San Marino Academy to score exactly 2	13.2%	13.0%	20.8%	0.63×	7.70
San Marino Academy to score 3+	4.0%	4.6%	13.0%	0.36×	21.67

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to score 3+	48.4%	37.4%	19.7%	1.90×	2.67
Folgore to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.1%	24.0%	1.09×	3.83
Folgore to score exactly 1	19.2%	19.2%	33.1%	0.58×	5.21
Folgore to score exactly 0	7.3%	10.5%	23.3%	0.45×	9.54

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore leading at HT	57.1%	57.2%	33.8%	1.69×	1.75
Draw at HT	33.3%	33.7%	40.3%	0.84×	2.96
San Marino Academy leading at HT	9.6%	10.5%	25.9%	0.41×	9.50

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore -1: 1	55.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Folgore -1: 2	23.7%	23.7%	—	—	4.23
Folgore -1: X	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (0:1)	55.9%	55.6%	22.3%	2.50×	1.80
San Marino Academy (0:1)	23.7%	24.4%	55.6%	0.44×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.4%	22.2%	1.10×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy (0:2)	44.1%	39.2%	77.7%	0.50×	2.55
Folgore (0:2)	34.2%	29.0%	9.9%	2.92×	3.45
Draw (0:2)	21.8%	20.0%	12.3%	1.62×	5.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy (0:3)	65.8%	71.5%	90.1%	0.79×	1.40
Folgore (0:3)	17.7%	16.0%	4.0%	3.95×	6.25
Draw (0:3)	16.5%	15.9%	5.9%	2.71×	6.27

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy (0:4)	82.3%	86.8%	96.0%	0.90×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	9.9%	4.9%	2.5%	1.93×	20.46
Folgore (0:4)	7.8%	4.9%	1.5%	3.21×	20.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (1:0)	92.7%	92.3%	69.4%	1.33×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.1%	7.0%	17.0%	0.41×	14.33
San Marino Academy (1:0)	2.2%	3.5%	13.6%	0.26×	28.93

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore (2:0)	97.8%	96.5%	86.4%	1.12×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	1.8%	2.4%	8.1%	0.30×	41.39
San Marino Academy (2:0)	0.5%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Halves equal	23.6%	24.1%	25.2%	0.96×	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to concede	52.5%	53.5%	68.3%	0.78×	1.87
Folgore clean sheet	47.5%	46.5%	31.7%	1.47×	2.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore clean sheet in 1st half	74.2%	68.4%	59.0%	1.16×	1.46
Folgore to concede in 1st half	25.8%	31.6%	41.0%	0.77×	3.16

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore clean sheet in 2nd half	64.0%	59.0%	46.6%	1.27×	1.70
Folgore to concede in 2nd half	36.0%	41.0%	53.4%	0.77×	2.44

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.1%	76.7%	1.20×	1.09
Folgore over 1.5 goals	73.5%	74.3%	43.7%	1.70×	1.35
Folgore under 3.5 goals	73.4%	74.3%	92.4%	0.80×	1.35
Folgore under 2.5 goals	51.6%	52.8%	80.3%	0.66×	1.90
Folgore over 2.5 goals	48.4%	47.2%	19.7%	2.40×	2.12
Folgore under 1.5 goals	26.5%	25.7%	56.3%	0.46×	3.89
Folgore over 3.5 goals	26.6%	25.7%	7.6%	3.38×	3.89
Folgore under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.9%	23.3%	0.34×	12.68

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore under 1.5 in 1st half	69.1%	68.2%	85.9%	0.79×	1.47
Folgore over 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.0%	48.2%	1.41×	1.47
Folgore under 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	32.0%	51.8%	0.62×	3.13
Folgore over 1.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.8%	14.1%	2.25×	3.15

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore scores more in 2nd half	45.6%	46.9%	38.0%	1.23×	2.13
Folgore scores more in 1st half	28.6%	28.0%	24.9%	1.13×	3.57
Folgore scores equally in both	25.8%	28.0%	37.1%	0.75×	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	69.2%	63.4%	44.9%	1.41×	1.58
San Marino Academy (home no bet)	30.8%	36.6%	55.1%	0.67×	2.73

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore even goals	50.3%	50.4%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Folgore odd goals	49.7%	49.6%	47.2%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	26.9%	28.8%	20.7%	1.39×	3.47
HT 0-0	24.3%	24.2%	29.3%	0.83×	4.13
HT 2-0	15.2%	18.6%	7.1%	2.61×	5.38
Any other HT score	10.7%	10.9%	4.7%	2.31×	9.17
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.1%	10.2%	0.70×	14.01
HT 0-1	7.0%	7.1%	16.3%	0.44×	14.03
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.37
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.62
HT 0-2	1.1%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.63
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore at HT / Folgore at FT	53.0%	55.7%	25.8%	2.16×	1.80
Draw at HT / Folgore at FT	20.3%	21.7%	14.7%	1.48×	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.0%	12.6%	14.1%	0.89×	7.91
San Marino Academy at HT / San Marino Academy at FT	3.6%	3.5%	17.4%	0.20×	28.78
Folgore at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	5.1%	0.68×	28.79
Draw at HT / San Marino Academy at FT	3.0%	3.5%	11.6%	0.30×	28.80
San Marino Academy at HT / Folgore at FT	3.0%	3.5%	2.9%	1.20×	28.80
San Marino Academy at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.80
Folgore at HT / San Marino Academy at FT	0.7%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to score last	74.6%	73.0%	51.4%	1.42×	1.37
San Marino Academy to score last	20.9%	25.9%	42.7%	0.61×	3.85
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	5.9%	0.73×	23.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
Folgore to lead by 1 at any time	84.6%	87.6%	59.8%	1.46×	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.3%	69.4%	48.2%	1.44×	1.44
Folgore to lead by 2 at any time	61.6%	61.3%	28.2%	2.17×	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.3%	34.9%	19.5%	1.79×	2.87
Folgore to lead by 3 at any time	37.4%	34.9%	12.1%	2.88×	2.87
San Marino Academy to lead by 1 at any time	23.8%	19.6%	50.4%	0.39×	5.10
San Marino Academy to lead by 2 at any time	5.0%	6.6%	20.3%	0.32×	15.22
San Marino Academy to lead by 3 at any time	0.9%	1.6%	7.4%	0.21×	63.56

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.2%	83.3%	86.4%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.4%	83.3%	72.4%	1.15×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.5%	72.3%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.8%	72.2%	78.0%	0.93×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.1%	60.1%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.8%	59.3%	49.0%	1.21×	1.69
3-5 goals	52.8%	53.4%	45.1%	1.18×	1.87
1-3 goals	52.3%	53.4%	63.3%	0.84×	1.87
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.6%	45.4%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	36.8%	1.19×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.8%	39.3%	27.0%	1.46×	2.55
4-5 goals	30.8%	35.3%	23.0%	1.53×	2.83
1-2 goals	30.3%	35.3%	41.2%	0.86×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.3%	18.9%	12.3%	1.54×	5.30
7+ goals	5.4%	9.0%	2.4%	3.70×	11.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore never behind	71.7%	76.9%	49.6%	1.55×	1.30
San Marino Academy never behind	10.9%	12.5%	40.2%	0.31×	8.01

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	50.2%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.7%	53.7%	0.96×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.3%	46.3%	1.04×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	52.0%	51.1%	1.02×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.0%	48.9%	0.98×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	93.7%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	74.8%	1.17×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.3%	77.2%	85.3%	0.91×	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	65.2%	66.0%	51.5%	1.28×	1.52
Under 3.5 goals	56.8%	58.5%	70.6%	0.83×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	43.2%	41.5%	29.4%	1.41×	2.41
Under 2.5 goals	34.8%	34.0%	48.5%	0.70×	2.94
Over 4.5 goals	24.7%	22.8%	14.7%	1.55×	4.39
Under 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.6%	25.2%	0.50×	7.96
Over 5.5 goals	12.3%	12.6%	6.3%	1.98×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.70

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.2%	92.4%	97.5%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.9%	86.6%	93.1%	0.93×	1.16
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.1%	80.5%	67.1%	1.20×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.7%	67.6%	82.8%	0.82×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.3%	55.2%	37.7%	1.46×	1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.7%	44.8%	62.3%	0.72×	2.23
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.3%	32.4%	17.2%	1.88×	3.09
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.9%	19.5%	32.9%	0.59×	5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.1%	13.4%	6.9%	1.94×	7.45
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.8%	7.6%	2.5%	3.01×	13.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.9%	86.3%	88.4%	0.98×	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.7%	78.7%	70.7%	1.11×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.3%	62.7%	66.3%	0.95×	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.7%	37.3%	33.7%	1.10×	2.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.3%	21.3%	29.3%	0.73×	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.2%	13.7%	11.6%	1.18×	7.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	85.3%	82.3%	1.04×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	67.6%	77.5%	0.87×	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.8%	49.8%	1.10×	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.2%	50.2%	0.90×	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	32.4%	22.5%	1.44×	3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	14.7%	17.7%	0.83×	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy not to score in both halves	90.7%	89.9%	77.6%	1.16×	1.11
Folgore to score in both halves	52.2%	55.7%	29.5%	1.89×	1.80
Folgore not to score in both halves	47.8%	44.3%	70.5%	0.63×	2.26
San Marino Academy to score in both halves	9.3%	10.1%	22.4%	0.45×	9.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.7%	50.4%	52.4%	0.96×	1.98
Only Folgore scores	43.0%	46.6%	24.4%	1.91×	2.14
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.7%	7.3%	0.64×	21.49
Only San Marino Academy scores	2.8%	4.6%	16.0%	0.29×	21.55

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.4%	22.1%	1.02×	4.46
Exactly 2 goals	20.7%	22.4%	23.3%	0.96×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	18.5%	17.6%	14.7%	1.20×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	12.4%	12.0%	8.4%	1.44×	8.30
6 or more goals	12.3%	12.0%	6.3%	1.90×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	9.7%	7.8%	17.9%	0.44×	12.83
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.5%	7.3%	0.62×	22.19

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.0%	35.9%	37.0%	0.97×	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	24.6%	21.7%	22.2%	0.98×	4.60
No goals in 1st half	24.3%	21.7%	29.3%	0.74×	4.60
3+ goals in 1st half	17.2%	15.2%	11.6%	1.31×	6.56

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.9%	53.4%	49.8%	1.07×	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	29.8%	32.5%	0.92×	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	14.8%	14.6%	17.7%	0.82×	6.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy not to win both halves	98.9%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Folgore not to win both halves	63.7%	68.6%	86.8%	0.79×	1.46
Folgore to win both halves	36.3%	31.4%	13.2%	2.37×	3.19
San Marino Academy to win both halves	1.1%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	36.85

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore to win either half	83.8%	83.2%	58.3%	1.43×	1.20
San Marino Academy to win neither half	80.9%	82.7%	52.6%	1.57×	1.21
San Marino Academy to win either half	19.1%	17.3%	47.4%	0.36×	5.79
Folgore to win neither half	16.2%	16.8%	41.7%	0.40×	5.95

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Marino Academy not to win to nil	97.2%	96.2%	84.0%	1.14×	1.04
Folgore not to win to nil	57.0%	59.9%	75.6%	0.79×	1.67
Folgore to win to nil	43.0%	40.1%	24.4%	1.64×	2.49
San Marino Academy to win to nil	2.8%	3.8%	16.0%	0.24×	26.09

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Folgore by 3+	34.2%	27.6%	9.9%	2.78×	3.62
Folgore by 2	21.8%	24.2%	12.3%	1.96×	4.14
Folgore by 1	20.3%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Draw	16.4%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.92
San Marino Academy by 1	5.1%	7.3%	17.0%	0.43×	13.75
San Marino Academy by 2	1.8%	2.8%	8.1%	0.35×	35.57
San Marino Academy by 3+	0.5%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.60