Fomboni v 15 de Agosto — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 11 September 2026 · CAF-Champions League · 2627
CAF Champions League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.1%
- 1-0 10.5%
- 2-1 9.2%
- 0-1 8.0%
- 2-0 7.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 49.9% | Under 2.5 | 50.1% |
| BTTS yes | 53.5% | BTTS no | 46.5% |
| Fomboni 1+ | 77.9% | Fomboni 2+ | 44.5% |
| 15 de Agosto 1+ | 68.7% | 15 de Agosto 2+ | 32.3% |
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Fomboni have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while 15 de Agosto have allowed 1.35.
- At home Fomboni average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 10/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Fomboni have only 0 matches on record.
- 15 de Agosto have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Fomboni have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 29.2% for 15 de Agosto and 25.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Fomboni and 1.16 for 15 de Agosto.
Why Fomboni
Fomboni have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while 15 de Agosto have allowed 1.35. At home Fomboni average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 25.5%. Draws run at 33% in this competition.
Why 15 de Agosto can win
15 de Agosto have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Fomboni have allowed 1.35. Away from home 15 de Agosto average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Fomboni, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for 15 de Agosto, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Fomboni: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. 15 de Agosto: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Fomboni are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 13/100, data quality 10/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.51–1.16 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.